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One Year Post Fukushima, Americans Are Divided About the Risks of Nuclear Power

March 14, 2012

NEW YORK, March 14, 2012 /PRNewswire/ – One year post-Fukushima and the nuclear disaster in Japan, American attitudes about nuclear energy have become polarized. The most recent results show a shift towards believing the risks outweigh the benefits, and now slightly more Americans believe the risks of nuclear energy outweigh the benefits (41% to 40%). In 2009 and 2011, the benefits of nuclear power outweighed the risks (44% to 34% in 2009 and 42% to 37% in 2011). Harris Poll research in 2011 was conducted before the disaster.

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These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,056 adults surveyed online between February 6 and 13, 2012 by Harris Interactive

This research points to some very distinct geographic differences among Americans. Regional differences may be a reflection of familiarity. The South has the greatest concentration of nuclear power plants (almost twice as many as the East) and the highest percentage of adults who believe the benefits outweigh the risks (43%, compared to 33% in the East and 41% in the Midwest and West).

There is also a clear age divide as Baby Boomers (ages 48-66) and Matures (67 and older) are more likely to say benefits of nuclear power outweigh the risks than both Echo Boomers (ages 18-35) and Gen Xers (ages 36-47) are. Party preference is indicative of attitudes about nuclear power as well. Republicans are the most likely to believe the benefits outweigh the risks (51%) and Independents are more likely than Democrats to say the benefits outweigh the risks (43% among Independents and only 32% among Democrats). Democrats seem to be a large driver of the sentiment that risks outweigh benefits for nuclear.

These polarized attitudes are likely to continue as the economic and environmental impact of the Fukushima disaster becomes clear.

So What?

Fukushima has been a reminder to Americans about the impact nuclear energy can have on communities. As the lasting economic and environmental impact is revealed, American voters and policy makers are likely to have shifting opinions, said Sarah Simmons, Senior Research Executive and Industry Thought Leader. As America’s demand for inexpensive energy continues to grow, the nuclear industry, policy makers and regulators must focus on safety and transparency if they expect to gain the trust of Americans.

                                                                                                      TABLE 1
                                                                                  BENEFITS VERSUS RISKS FOR VARIOUS ENERGY SOURCES
    "There are many sources of electric power used in the U.S. To the best of your knowledge, would you say the benefits of each source outweigh the risks or do you believe the risks outweigh the benefits?"

                                                                                                  Base: All adults
                                                                                                  ----------------
                                   BENEFITS OUTWEIGH RISKS (NET)   Benefits strongly   Benefits somewhat outweigh  RISKS OUTWEIGH BENEFITS (NET)   Risks somewhat outweigh   Risks strongly outweigh
                                                                     outweigh risks               risks                                                    benefits                  benefits         Not at all sure
                                    ----------------------------   -----------------   --------------------------   ----------------------------   -----------------------   -----------------------  ---------------
                  %                               %                        %                        %                            %                            %                         %
                 ---                             ---                      ---                      ---                          ---                          ---                       ---
    Solar                                                   2012                  79                           63                             15                         8                         4                4      13
    -----                                                   ----                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---     ---
                             2011                             77                  64                           13                              8                         3                         6               14
    -----------------------------                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
                             2009                             82                  68                           14                              5                         3                         2               13
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
    Wind                                                    2012                  76                           61                             16                         9                         5                5      15
    ----                                                    ----                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---     ---
                             2011                             75                  61                           14                             10                         3                         7               15
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
                             2009                             78                  62                           17                              7                         4                         2               15
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
    Natural gas                                             2012                  66                           34                             32                        17                        12                5      17
    -----------                                             ----                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---     ---
                             2011                             64                  31                           34                             17                        11                         6               18
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
                             2009                             66                  30                           36                             14                        11                         3               20
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
    Geothermal                                              2012                  53                           32                             21                        10                         6                4      37
    ----------                                              ----                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---     ---
                             2011                             52                  33                           18                             10                         5                         5               38
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
                             2009                             52                  32                           20                              7                         5                         2               40
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
    Coal                                                    2012                  42                           15                             27                        40                        23               17      18
    ----                                                    ----                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---     ---
                             2011                             38                  15                           23                             43                        24                        18               19
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
                             2009                             36                  13                           23                             42                        22                        20               22
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
    Nuclear                                                 2012                  40                           15                             24                        41                        19               21      20
    -------                                                 ----                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---     ---
                             2011                             42                  20                           22                             37                        18                        19               21
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
                             2009                             44                  21                           23                             34                        17                        17               22
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
    Biomass                                                 2012                  30                           13                             17                        12                         8                4      58
    -------                                                 ----                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---     ---
                             2011                             30                  14                           17                             12                         7                         6               57
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---
                             2009                             28                  12                           16                             12                         8                         4               60
                             ----                            ---                 ---                          ---                            ---                       ---                       ---              ---

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

                                                              TABLE 2
                            BENEFITS VERSUS RISKS FOR VARIOUS ENERGY SOURCES - By Generation and Region
    "There are many sources of electric power used in the U.S. To the best of your knowledge, would you say the benefits of each source outweigh the risks or do you believe the risks outweigh the benefits?"
                                            Percentage Saying "Benefits Outweigh Risks"

                                                          Base: All adults
                                                          ----------------
                                   Total                           Region                                        Generation
                                   -----                           ------                                        ----------
    East                           Midwest  South   West        Echo      Gen X    Baby         Matures
                                                    Boomers     (36-47)   Boomers        (67+)
                                                    (18-35)               (48-66)
    ---                                             ------                ------
                  %                   %        %         %          %        %          %                    %                   %
                 ---                 ---      ---       ---        ---      ---        ---                  ---                 ---
    Solar                               79      78          74        80       83           75                          74           83          84
    -----                              ---     ---         ---       ---      ---          ---                         ---          ---         ---
    Wind                                76      72          76        77       80           72                          75           80          79
    ----                               ---     ---         ---       ---      ---          ---                         ---          ---         ---
    Natural Gas                         66      60          66        67       71           53                          65           71          84
    -----------                        ---     ---         ---       ---      ---          ---                         ---          ---         ---
    Geothermal                          53      48          56        50       59           50                          49           54          62
    ----------                         ---     ---         ---       ---      ---          ---                         ---          ---         ---
    Coal                                42      35          49        48       33           33                          39           47          54
    ----                               ---     ---         ---       ---      ---          ---                         ---          ---         ---
    Nuclear                             40      33          41        43       41           34                          34           43          53
    -------                            ---     ---         ---       ---      ---          ---                         ---          ---         ---
    Biomass                             30      28          32        29       33           31                          31           32          24
    -------                            ---     ---         ---       ---      ---          ---                         ---          ---         ---

Methodology

This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between February 6 to 13, 2012 among 2,056 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words “margin of error” as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.

Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.

J41216
Q905, 910

The Harris Poll® #28, March 14, 2012
By Regina A. Corso, SVP, Harris Poll, Public Relations and Youth and Education Research, Harris Interactive

About Harris Interactive

Harris Interactive is one of the world’s leading custom market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Serving clients in over 215 countries and territories through our North American and European offices and a network of independent market research firms, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what’s next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.

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SOURCE Harris Interactive


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