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Analysis of Global and China Potash Fertilizer Industry 2008
The consumption of global potash fertilizer in 2007 recorded 37 million tons, major consumer countries such as China, the United States, Brazil, India and Southeast Asian countries consumed two third of global potash fertilizer, but the output of potash fertilizer in these countries accounted for only 9.0 per cent of global output.
80 per cent of global potash fertilizer is for international trade. In terms of the shortage of potash fertilizer resources in China, East Asia, the United States, Latin America and South Asian, these countries import such a amount of potash fertilizer from Canada, Russia and Belarus, among South Asia countries are totally depend on import to support their demand of potash fertilizer, East Asia need to import 83 per cent of their demand and 84 per cent imported in Latin America; these three emerging markets consumed 16.37 million tons of potash fertilizer (calculated by pure) in 2006, accounting for 56 percent of global output, but, the output of their self-production was 2.37 million tons, the dependency ratio as much as 86 per cent. However, the pricing right of global potash fertilizer is controlled by BPC and Canpotex, the price of global potash fertilizer has been rising gradually.
China is the world’s largest potash fertilizer importer. The growth of import of potassium chloride maintained rising in 2007, but exports reduced substantially; the imports of various potassium chloride was 9.414 million tons, worth $2.29 billion, an increase of 33.5 and 57.2 per cent respectively than last year; annual export 59,000 tons, worth $16.5 million, decreased 80.3 and 75.2 per cent respectively than last year; the average import price was $243/ton, up 17.8 per cent than last year.
In 2007, China produced 3.1 million tons potassium chloride and 1.1 million tons of potassium sulphate, the total output of potash fertilizer was 2.55 million tons (calculated by pure K2O) and imported 5.55 million tons of potash fertilizer (pure), the ratio of dependency was 68 per cent. During Jan-May 2008 the output of China’s potash fertilizer was 891,500 tons, up 2.5 per cent than same period last year. In terms of the lack production of potash fertilizer, China will remain high dependency ratio in the future.
China imports nearly half of its demand of potassium chloride from Russia. In 2007, China imported 3.8515 million tons from Russia, up 11.4 per cent than last year, accounting for 40.9 per cent of its total imports; the average price was $241/ton, up 17.8 per cent than last year. China imported 60 per cent of its total potash fertilizer from Russia and Belarus, mainly from the BPC; 27 per cent from Canada, mainly from Canpotex.
The growth demand of potash fertilizer in China is expected to increase 8 per cent in 2008, total 8.2 million tons (pure), and among about 5.8 million tons (pure) need import and converted to 9.5 million tons of potassium chloride. The contracts with Canpotex, BPC, ICL, APC of potash fertilizer of 2008 are 2.5 million tons, the inventory of 2007 is about 3 million tons, therefore, the shortage is 4 million tons in 2008, which need to rely on imports. So the large spot demands will maintain or continue to push up the price of potash fertilizer in the domestic and international market.
Contents 1 Variety of major potash fertilizer product 2 Analysis of supply and demand of global market 2.1 Global consumption 2.2. Proportion of consumption of emerging market in Subtropical region 2.3 The high Ratio of dependency of emerging market 2.4 The solid rising demand of potash fertilizer in Asia 2.5 Production and export 2.6 The pricing rights of global potash fertilizer control by BPC and Canpotex 3 The rising price of potash fertilizer caused by global food crisis 3.1 The worsening global soil conditions and its nutrient loss 3.2 Global energy crisis caused food crisis 3.3 Global food crisis increased the demand of fertilizer 3.4 The rising price of potash fertilizer caused by global food crisis 4 The supply and demand of China market 4.1 The solid rising demand of potash fertilizer in China market 4.2 The high ratio of dependency 4.3 The potential reduction of export by Russia 4.4 The global price of potash fertilizer will remain high level in terms of the demand for spot from China 5 The development treads of potash fertilizer industry 5.1 The spot pricing is more popular in global market 5.2 leading existing manufacturers will continue to control global production 5.3 The future expansion of potash fertilizer 5.4 Summary 6 Analysis of key companies 6.1 CITIC Guoan group 6.2 Xinjiang Guannong Fruit & Antler Co., Ltd (Guan Nong Share) 6.3 Qinghai Salt Lake Potash Co,. LTD Figure Index The distribution of the world's major crops plant area The distribution of global sylvite consumption by K2O pure The distribution of global sylvite import by K2O pure Comparison of the growth ration of potash fertilizer of emerging market with KCl price The current output and surplus production capacity of global potash fertilizer The distribution country of global sylvite of proved reserves by K2O pure The distribution of global sylvite of production by K2O pure The distribution of global sylvite of export by K2O pure The output of potassium chloride of global major manufacturers Forecast of capacity utilization of global potassium chloride The global market share of global major potash fertilizer export firms 2007 The deteriorate of global soil conditions The proportion of global corps' output, consumption and inventory The Yield/unit of global grains Global consumption of fertilizer (Pure) The monthly price of FSU potassium chloride 2004-2008 The constitute of China's potash fertilizer consumption The growth ratio and constitute of crops plant acreage in China 2006 The supply and demand of potash fertilizer in China The major export countries of potassium chloride to China 2007 The import volume of potassium chloride of each export country and CIF 2006-2008 The sales structural changes of Uralkali potash fertilizer 2007-2008 The pricing range of Uralkali' s CFR 2008 Comparison of China's import volume of potassium chloride shipping contracts between 2007 and 2008 The proportion of spot import of potassium chloride in China 2006-2008 The Chinese import companies of potassium chloride Jan-May 2008 The import volume of potassium chloride of various trade mode and CIF The global price trend of potassium chloride The global sea freight trend of potassium chloride Prediction of production capacity of global potash fertilizer 2006-2013 Prediction of the output of global potash fertilizer 2006-2013 The ex works price of Lop Nur' s potassium sulphate (50% powder) The ex works price of Qinghai Salt Lake's potassium chloride (60% crystallization) Table Index The nutrient content of various potash fertilizers The consumer countries of potash fertilizer 2007 The global major crops of consumption of potash fertilizer 2007 The global reserves and output of global potash fertilizer 2006 The mineral nutrient content of various potash fertilizers The output of China's potash fertilizer 2004-2007 The production capacity and output of potassium sulphate of Guan Nong Share The production capacity and output of Potassium chloride of Qinghai Salt Lake potash
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Analysis of Global and China Potash Fertilizer Industry 2008
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