Caterpillar Reports Record Sales and Revenues and Profit Per Share for 2008
Posted on: Monday, 26 January 2009, 06:30 CST
PEORIA, Ill., Jan. 26 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Caterpillar Inc.
(NYSE: CAT) today announced record sales and revenues of $51.324 billion for
2008, up 14 percent from 2007. Profit per share was $5.66, up 5 percent and
profit after tax of $3.557 billion was about flat with 2007. The company also
reported record fourth-quarter sales and revenues of $12.923 billion, 6
percent higher than the fourth quarter of 2007. Profit per share for the
quarter was $1.08, down 28 percent from the fourth quarter of 2007.
"While 2008 was our sixth consecutive year of record sales and revenues,
it was an extraordinarily challenging year," said Caterpillar Chairman and
Chief Executive Officer Jim Owens. "Through the first three quarters we
experienced booming demand from key global industries, notably mining and
energy, and most emerging market countries. Delivery times for many products
were extended, and we were focused on increasing production and expediting
shipments to meet customer needs," Owens added. "Then we were whipsawed in the
fourth quarter as key industries were hit by a rapidly deteriorating global
economy and plunging commodity prices. In anticipation of lower demand we
encouraged dealers to align inventory with declining volume, and they
responded with significant order cancellations, particularly in December."
For the year, sales and revenues increased $6.366 billion- $3.816 billion
from higher sales volume, $1.352 billion from improved price realization, $653
million from the effects of currency, $284 million from higher Financial
Products revenues and $261 million from the consolidation of Caterpillar Japan
Ltd. (Cat Japan). Profit for 2008 was about flat with 2007, with the
positive impact of higher price realization, improved sales volume and lower
income tax expense about offset by higher operating costs, especially material
and freight costs.
Fourth-quarter sales and revenues of $12.923 billion increased $779
million from the fourth quarter of last year. Higher sales volume of $494
million, improved price realization of $308 million, $261 million related to
the consolidation of Cat Japan and $19 million from higher Financial Products
revenues were partially offset by $303 million of lower sales from the effects
of currency. Fourth-quarter profit of $661 million decreased $314 million as
significantly higher Machinery and Engines operating costs and a sharp decline
in profit related to Financial Products, more than offset a $409 million
favorable tax item and favorable price realization.
"Fourth-quarter profit was disappointing, particularly in light of record
fourth-quarter sales and revenues and a significant favorable tax adjustment,"
Owens said. "Fourth-quarter costs included transitional expenses as we moved
to lower volumes and initiated production cuts. In addition, Financial
Products results were impaired by financial market turbulence. It is now
clear that we need to sharply lower our production and costs, and aggressive
actions were triggered in December," Owens said.
Outlook
Global economic conditions and key commodity prices have continued to
decline significantly. Financial markets remain under stress, and our
expectations for 2009 have deteriorated. Uncertainty around the depth and
duration of this recession makes it very difficult to forecast sales and
revenues. As a result, Caterpillar is rapidly executing strategic "trough"
plans and implementing actions throughout the company to deal with a very
challenging global business environment. We have initiated actions which will
remove about 20,000 workers from our business and every indirect spend dollar
will be heavily scrutinized. These actions support lowering our production
costs in line with a 25-percent decline in sales volume and reducing Selling,
General and Administrative (SG&A) and Research and Development (R&D) costs
supporting our Machinery and Engines business by about 15 percent. We are
encouraged by government stimulus programs and actions taken by central banks
around the world to spur growth. However, economic conditions remain
uncertain, and we are planning for 2009 sales and revenues to be in a range of
plus or minus 10 percent from $40 billion. At $40 billion in 2009 sales and
revenues, the company expects to achieve profit of $2.50 per share, excluding
redundancy costs.
"These are very uncertain times, and it's imperative that we focus Team
Caterpillar on dramatically reducing production schedules and costs in light
of poor economic conditions throughout the world," Owens said. "While it's
painful for our employees and suppliers, it's absolutely necessary given
economic circumstances. We expect to have most of the actions needed to lower
employment and cost levels in place by the end of the first quarter," Owens
added.
"Without a doubt, 2009 will be a very tough year, but it's important to
remember that economic cycles aren't new, and we will emerge from this even
stronger than we are today. Throughout our 83-year history Caterpillar has
successfully managed through the Great Depression, several recessions, a world
war and numerous other adversities. We're a strong company with a management
team that's been through tough times before. We are the global leader, with
an unparalleled dealer network. We've strengthened our market position in
past recessions, and we have done so over the past few months. In addition,
we will continue to invest in product technology and operational efficiency
through these tough times," Owens added. "When the economy does recover, the
need for better housing, roads and capacity for energy and mining will still
be there, and we will be prepared to respond."
Note: Glossary of terms included on pages 33-34; first occurrence of terms
shown in bold italics.
For more than 80 years, Caterpillar Inc. has been making progress possible
and driving positive and sustainable change on every continent. With 2008
sales and revenues of $51.324 billion, Caterpillar is the world's leading
manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas
engines and industrial gas turbines. The company also is a leading services
provider through Caterpillar Financial Services, Caterpillar Remanufacturing
Services, Caterpillar Logistics Services and Progress Rail Services. More
information is available at: http://www.cat.com.
SAFE HARBOR Certain statements in this release relate to future events and
expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements involving known
and unknown factors that may cause actual results of Caterpillar Inc. to be
different from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements.
In this context, words such as "will," "would," "expect," "anticipate,"
"should" or other similar words and phrases often identify forward-looking
statements made on behalf of Caterpillar. It is important to note that actual
results of the company may differ materially from those described or implied
in such forward-looking statements based on a number of factors and
uncertainties, including, but not limited to, (i) adverse change in general
economic conditions; (ii) adverse change in the industries Caterpillar serves
including construction, infrastructure, mining, energy, marine and electric
power generation; (iii) Caterpillar's ability to manage material, including
steel, and freight costs; (iv) Caterpillar's ability to generate cash from
operations, secure external funding for its operations and manage its
liquidity needs; (v) material adverse change in customers' access to liquidity
and capital; (vi) currency exchange or interest rates changes; (vii) political
stability; (viii) market acceptance of the company's products and services;
(ix) significant changes in the competitive environment; (x) epidemic
diseases; (xi) severe change in weather conditions negatively impacting
operations; (xii) changes in law, regulations and tax rates; and (xiii) other
general economic, business and financing conditions and factors described in
more detail in the company's Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on October 31, 2008. This filing is available on our website at
http://www.cat.com/sec_filings. We do not undertake to update our forward-
looking statements.
Key Points
Fourth Quarter 2008
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
2008 2007 $ Change % Change
Machinery and Engines
Sales $12,120 $11,360 $760 7%
Financial Products
Revenues 803 784 19 2%
Total Sales and
Revenues 12,923 12,144 779 6%
Profit After Tax $661 $975 $(314) (32)%
Profit per common
share - diluted $1.08 $1.50 $(0.42) (28)%
Fourth-quarter sales and revenues of $12.923 billion were 6 percent higher
than the fourth quarter of 2007.
Machinery sales increased 3 percent, Engines sales increased 14 percent, and
Financial Products revenues increased 2 percent.
Fourth-quarter profit was $661 million, and profit per share of $1.08 was
$0.42 less than the fourth quarter of 2007.
Fourth-quarter profit declined $314 million as higher operating costs more
than offset a $409 million favorable tax adjustment and improved price
realization.
Full Year 2008
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
2008 2007 $ Change % Change
Machinery and Engines
Sales $48,044 $41,962 $6,082 14%
Financial Products
Revenues 3,280 2,996 284 9%
Total Sales and
Revenues 51,324 44,958 6,366 14%
Profit After Tax $3,557 $3,541 $16 -
Profit per common
share - diluted $5.66 $5.37 $0.29 5%
Machinery and Engines sales improved $6.082 billion driven by growth in
emerging markets, our broad global footprint in industries like mining and
energy and growth in integrated service businesses. Machinery sales increased
12 percent, and Engines sales increased 19 percent.
Machinery and Engines operating cash flow was $3.560 billion. Machinery
and Engines capital expenditures were $2.421 billion, and we repurchased 27.3
million shares of stock at a cost of $1.879 billion.
Outlook
-- We expect a very weak year for the world economy, continued declines
in commodity prices and industry declines in all regions.
-- Economic conditions remain uncertain, and we are planning for 2009
sales and revenues to be in a range of plus or minus 10 percent from
$40 billion.
-- At $40 billion in 2009 sales and revenues, the company expects to
achieve profit of $2.50 per share, excluding redundancy costs.
A question and answer section has been included in this release starting on
page 26.
DETAILED ANALYSIS
Consolidated Sales and Revenues Comparison
2008 vs. 2007
To access this chart, go to http://www.cat.com for the downloadable version of
Caterpillar 4Q 2008 earnings.
The chart above graphically illustrates reasons for the change in
Consolidated Sales and Revenues between 2007 (at left) and 2008 (at right).
Items favorably impacting sales and revenues appear as upward stair steps with
the corresponding dollar amounts above each bar, while items negatively
impacting sales and revenues appear as downward stair steps with dollar
amounts reflected in parentheses above each bar. The bar entitled Machinery
Volume includes the impact of consolidation of Cat Japan sales. Caterpillar
management utilizes these charts internally to visually communicate with the
company's Board of Directors and employees.
Sales and Revenues
Sales and revenues for 2008 were $51.324 billion, up $6.366 billion, 14
percent, from 2007. Machinery sales volume was up $2.399 billion, driven by
strength in developing economies. Engines sales volume increased $1.678
billion due to growth in all major industries, with particular strength in
petroleum.
In addition, price realization contributed $1.352 billion, currency had a
positive impact on sales of $653 million driven primarily by the stronger euro
and Financial Products revenues increased 9 percent.
Sales and Revenues by Geographic Region
(Millions of
dollars) Total %Change North America %Change EAME
2007
Machinery $28,359 $12,596 $8,588
Engines(1) 13,603 5,092 5,245
Financial
Products(2) 2,996 2,007 479
$44,958 $19,695 $14,312
(Millions of
dollars) %Change Asia/Pacific %Change Latin America %Change
2007
Machinery $4,026 $3,149
Engines(1) 2,136 1,130
Financial
Products(2) 240 270
$6,402 $4,549
(Millions of
dollars) Total %Change North America %Change EAME
2008
Machinery $31,804 12% $12,769 1% $9,220
Engines(1) 16,240 19% 5,445 7% 6,311
Financial
Products(2) 3,280 9% 2,001 - 590
$51,324 14% $20,215 3% $16,121
(Millions of
dollars) %Change Asia/Pacific %Change Latin America %Change
2008
Machinery 7% $5,709 42% $4,106 30%
Engines(1) 20% 2,910 36% 1,574 39%
Financial
Products(2) 23% 361 50% 328 21%
13% $8,980 40% $6,008 32%
(1) Does not include internal engines transfers of $2.822 billion and
$2.549 billion in 2008 and 2007, respectively. Internal engines
transfers are valued at prices comparable to those for unrelated
parties.
(2) Does not include internal revenues earned from Machinery and Engines
of $308 million and $400 million in 2008 and 2007, respectively.
Machinery Sales
Sales of $31.804 billion increased $3.445 billion, or 12 percent, from 2007.
-- Excluding the consolidation of Cat Japan, sales volume increased
$2.138 billion, with the gain occurring in the developing economies
of Africa/Middle East, Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS),
Asia/Pacific and Latin America.
-- Price realization increased $541 million.
-- Currency benefited sales by $505 million.
-- Geographic mix between regions (included in price realization) was
$2 million favorable.
-- The consolidation of Cat Japan added $261 million to 2008 sales.
-- Dealers in all regions reported higher inventories than year-end
2007 in both dollars and months of supply.
-- The U.S. economy was in recession throughout 2008, which contributed
to weaknesses in both construction and quarrying. Coal mining and
oil sands development were about the only positives for North
America.
-- The euro-zone entered recession in the second quarter and the United
Kingdom in the third quarter. As a result of these recessions,
housing construction declined sharply, nonresidential construction
weakened and sales volume declined.
-- Sales improved in the developing regions of Africa/Middle East, CIS,
Asia/Pacific and Latin America through the first three quarters of
2008. However, growth slowed sharply in the fourth quarter in
response to weakening economies.
North America - Sales increased $173 million, or 1 percent.
-- Sales volume decreased $143 million.
-- Price realization increased $316 million.
-- Dealers added slightly to reported inventories this year, a contrast
to more than a billion-dollar reduction in 2007. Dealers reported
higher inventories than a year earlier in both dollars and months of
supply.
-- Dealers reported significantly lower deliveries to end users, a
result of the recession in the United States that persisted
throughout the year. That recession led to lower sales in most key
industries other than coal mining and the Canadian oil sands.
-- U.S. housing starts declined to 904 thousand units, the lowest since
1945. Negatives for housing included a severe tightening in
mortgage lending standards, sharp declines in home prices and more
than an 11-month supply of unsold new homes. Canadian housing
starts declined 6 percent.
-- Spending for U.S. nonresidential construction increased in response
to the surge in new orders over the past few years. However, new
orders for commercial construction declined 18 percent in 2008.
Problems for building construction included increased vacancy rates,
declines in property prices and tighter credit conditions for
businesses.
-- New orders for highway construction declined almost 7 percent.
Unfavorable factors included limited growth in Federal highway
funding, state and local government budget difficulties and a sharp
increase in material input prices.
-- Nonmetals mining and quarry production dropped almost 14 percent in
response to lower construction activity.
-- The Central Appalachian coal price rose 90 percent, driven by a
43-percent increase in U.S. coal exports. U.S. coal production
increased 2.2 percent, and Canadian production rose 1.2 percent. As
a result, sales of the large tractors used in coal mining surged.
-- Investment in Canadian oil sands increased 23 percent, benefiting
from a 38-percent increase in crude oil prices.
EAME - Sales increased $632 million, or 7 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $196 million.
-- Price realization increased $66 million.
-- Currency benefited sales by $370 million.
-- Dealers reported year-end 2008 inventories that were significantly
higher than a year earlier in both dollars and months of supply.
-- Sales volume dropped in both the euro-zone and the United Kingdom,
due to recessions and a slowing in construction.
-- Housing permits in the euro-zone dropped 22 percent, and U.K.
housing orders fell 35 percent. High interest rates and home price
declines in several European countries contributed to weakness in
housing.
-- Mining and energy development, as well as increased construction,
caused sales volume to increase in Africa/Middle East. Oil prices
increased 37 percent, and production rose more than 4 percent from a
year earlier, which led to an increase in drilling.
-- Sales volume increased significantly in the CIS region, despite
economic problems that developed in the fourth quarter. Positive
factors included low interest rates, increased government spending,
increased energy prices and higher production of most energy
commodities.
Asia/Pacific - Sales increased $1,683 million, or 42 percent.
-- Sales volume excluding the consolidation of Cat Japan increased
$1,254 million.
-- Price realization increased $91 million.
-- Currency benefited sales by $77 million.
-- The consolidation of Cat Japan added $261 million to 2008 sales.
-- Dealers reported year-end 2008 inventories that were significantly
higher than a year earlier in both dollars and months of supply.
-- The largest gain in sales volume occurred in China, the result of
higher sales of locally produced wheel loaders and increased
construction activity.
-- Another large gain in sales volume occurred in Indonesia, largely
due to much higher coal prices. Indonesia is the world's largest
exporter of thermal coal, and coal supplies in Asia were very tight
for most of the year.
-- Sales volume increased in Australia, primarily due to high metals
and energy prices. Capital expenditures for mineral development
increased 37 percent, and expenditures for coal increased 46
percent. Rapid growth in the mining industry stretched
infrastructure capacity so investment in infrastructure increased 13
percent.
-- In India, 11-percent growth in construction and 4 percent higher
mining output contributed to an increase in sales volume.
Latin America - Sales increased $957 million, or 30 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $833 million.
-- Price realization increased $66 million.
-- Currency benefited sales by $58 million.
-- Dealers reported year-end 2008 inventories that were significantly
higher than a year earlier in both dollars and months of supply.
-- Brazil had the largest increase in sales volume. Economic growth
continued to benefit from interest rate reductions taken in 2007,
resulting in a 10-percent increase in construction. Iron ore
exports increased 62 percent, due to increased production and much
higher prices.
-- Sales volume increased sharply in Mexico. Positives included much
higher oil prices, increased natural gas production and 3-percent
growth in construction.
-- Sales volume growth in Colombia occurred in response to much higher
coal prices. In Chile, high copper prices led to an increase in
sales volume.
Engines Sales
Sales of $16.240 billion increased $2.637 billion, or 19 percent, from 2007.
-- Sales volume increased $1.678 billion.
-- Price realization increased $811 million.
-- Currency benefited sales $148 million.
-- Geographic mix between regions (included in price realization) was
$36 million favorable.
-- Dealer-reported inventories were up, and months of supply were up
slightly, supporting strong delivery rates.
North America - Sales increased $353 million, or 7 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $62 million.
-- Price realization increased $291 million.
-- Sales for on-highway truck applications increased 10 percent
compared to a very weak 2007. Demand remained below historic norms
due to the slowing U.S. economy that resulted in a reduction in
freight tonnage. Also, the impact of the decision to exit the on-
highway truck business was starting to be felt as Original Equipment
Manufacturer (OEM) customers reduced their reliance on Caterpillar
products.
-- Sales for petroleum engine applications increased 5 percent, driven
by a slight increase in natural gas and drilling applications.
-- Sales for marine applications increased 37 percent, with strong
demand early in the year for supply vessels that support offshore
drilling. This more than offset a decline in engine sales for
pleasure craft.
-- Sales for industrial applications increased 11 percent.
-- Sales for electric power applications decreased 2 percent due to
economic uncertainty and tightening credit conditions.
EAME - Sales increased $1,066 million, or 20 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $639 million.
-- Price realization increased $293 million.
-- Currency benefited sales by $134 million.
-- Sales for petroleum applications increased 46 percent based on
strong demand for engines used in drilling and production. Turbines
and turbine-related services increased in support of gas
transmission and oil and gas production applications in Africa,
Europe and the Middle East.
-- Sales for electric power applications increased 18 percent, with
strong demand for large- and mid-sized generator sets into Africa
and the Middle East. Mid-sized generator sets also benefited from
successful rental development.
-- Sales for marine applications increased 30 percent in workboats and
commercial vessels.
-- Sales for industrial applications increased 6 percent, with strong
demand for small engines used in the telecom sector. In addition,
demand for agricultural applications also improved as a result of
high agricultural commodity prices.
Asia/Pacific - Sales increased $774 million, or 36 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $603 million.
-- Price realization increased $157 million.
-- Currency benefited sales by $14 million.
-- Sales for petroleum applications increased 54 percent to support
record Chinese drill rig activity and increased demand for Asian
shipyards in support of offshore drilling.
-- Sales for marine applications increased 30 percent, with strong
demand for workboats and offshore shipbuilding. Large diesel demand
grew in the offshore and general cargo industries.
-- Sales of electric power engines increased 18 percent, with increased
demand from Bangladesh industrial customers, and continued success
with Chinese coal mine methane customers, for large gas generator
sets. Diesel demand resulted from data and telecommunication center
demand in China, and utility, mining and paper mill demand from
Indonesia.
-- Sales for industrial applications increased 62 percent driven by
sales in Australia into mining and irrigation sectors and by sales
in New Zealand.
Latin America - Sales increased $444 million, or 39 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $410 million.
-- Price realization increased $34 million.
-- Sales for petroleum applications increased 61 percent driven by the
heightened demand for power to support drilling and production in
Argentina, Venezuela, Mexico and Peru. Turbines and turbine-related
services increased for oil and gas production and gas transmission
applications in South America.
-- Sales of electric power engines increased 37 percent driven by high
commodity prices and infrastructure investment.
-- Sales for industrial applications increased 29 percent. This demand
was driven by good economic conditions and higher agricultural
commodity prices.
-- Sales for on-highway truck applications decreased 7 percent as a
result of a loss of OEM business in this region.
Financial Products Revenues
Revenues of $3.280 billion increased $284 million, or 9 percent, from 2007.
-- Growth in average earning assets increased revenues $368 million,
which was partially offset by a decrease of $175 million due to
lower interest rates on new and existing finance receivables.
-- Revenues from earned premiums at Cat Insurance increased $84
million.
Consolidated Operating Profit Comparison
2008 vs 2007
To access this chart, go to http://www.cat.com for the downloadable version of
Caterpillar 4Q 2008 earnings.
The chart above graphically illustrates reasons for the change in
Consolidated Operating Profit between 2007 (at left) and 2008 (at right).
Items favorably impacting operating profit appear as upward stair steps with
the corresponding dollar amounts above each bar, while items negatively
impacting operating profit appear as downward stair steps with dollar amounts
reflected in parentheses above each bar. Caterpillar management utilizes
these charts internally to visually communicate with the company's Board of
Directors and employees. The bar entitled Other includes the operating profit
impact of consolidating adjustments, consolidation of Cat Japan and Machinery
and Engines other operating expenses.
Operating Profit
2008 operating profit of $4.448 billion was down $473 million from 2007 as
improved price realization and higher sales volume were more than offset by
higher costs and the unfavorable impact of currency.
Manufacturing costs increased $1.694 billion compared with 2007. The
majority of the manufacturing cost increase was driven by higher material and
freight costs. Material costs increased due to higher steel and commodity
prices, and freight costs increased primarily due to higher fuel prices, and
expediting costs related to higher production volume. In addition,
manufacturing labor and overhead costs increased to support capacity expansion
and velocity initiatives.
SG&A and R&D costs were up $605 million to support significant new product
programs and growth.
Currency had a $154 million unfavorable impact on operating profit as the
benefit to sales was more than offset by the negative impact on costs.
Operating Profit by Principal Line of Business
(Millions of dollars) 2008 2007 $ Change % Change
Machinery(1) $1,803 $2,758 $(955) (35)%
Engines(1) 2,319 1,826 493 27%
Financial Products 579 690 (111) (16)%
Consolidating
Adjustments (253) (353) 100
Consolidated Operating
Profit $4,448 $4,921 $(473) (10)%
(1) Caterpillar operations are highly integrated; therefore, the company
uses a number of allocations to determine lines of business operating
profit for Machinery and Engines.
Operating Profit by Principal Line of Business
-- Machinery operating profit of $1.803 billion was down $955 million,
or 35 percent, from 2007. Improved price realization and higher
sales volume were more than offset by higher costs and the
unfavorable impact of currency.
-- Engines operating profit of $2.319 billion was up $493 million, or
27 percent, from 2007. The favorable impacts of improved price
realization and higher sales volume were partially offset by higher
costs.
-- Financial Products operating profit of $579 million was down $111
million, or 16 percent, from 2007. The decrease was attributable to
a $136 million increase in SG&A expenses due primarily to a $95
million increase in the provision for credit losses at Cat
Financial, a $105 million impact from decreased net yield of average
earning assets, partially offset by a $130 million favorable impact
from higher average earning assets.
Other Profit/Loss Items
-- Other income/expense was income of $299 million compared with income
of $320 million in 2007. The favorable currency impacts of $79
million were more than offset by a $50 million unfavorable change in
mark-to-market adjustments on interest rate derivative contracts at
Cat Financial and a $37 million impairment of investments in Cat
Insurance's portfolio as a result of poor market performance.
-- The provision for income taxes for 2008 reflects an annual tax rate
of 31.5 percent, excluding the discrete items discussed below,
compared to a 30-percent rate in 2007. The increase in the tax rate
excluding discrete items over 2007 is attributable to changes in our
geographic mix of profits from a tax perspective.
The provision for income taxes for 2008 also includes discrete
benefits of $456 million. Repatriation of non-U.S. earnings
resulted in a tax benefit of $409 million due to available foreign
tax credits in excess of the U.S. tax liability on the dividend. A
benefit of $47 million was also recorded in 2008 due to a change in
tax status of a non-U.S. subsidiary allowing indefinite reinvestment
of undistributed profits and reversal of U.S. tax previously
recorded.
-- Equity in profit/(loss) of unconsolidated affiliated companies was
income of $37 million compared with income of $73 million in 2007.
The decrease is primarily related to lower profit at Shin
Caterpillar Mitsubishi Ltd. (SCM) through the first nine months and
the absence of profit after the consolidation of Cat Japan.
On August 1, 2008, SCM redeemed one-half of Mitsubishi Heavy
Industries Ltd.'s (MHI's) shares in SCM for $464 million.
Caterpillar now owns 67 percent of the renamed entity, Caterpillar
Japan Ltd. We consolidated Cat Japan's balance sheet on September
30, 2008. We began consolidating Cat Japan's results of operations
in the fourth quarter.
Employment
Caterpillar's worldwide employment was 112,887 at the end of 2008, up
11,554 from a year ago. Of the increase, approximately 5,500 were the result
of consolidating Cat Japan and about 1,300 were the result of acquisitions.
The remaining increase of 4,800 employees primarily supported growth and new
product introductions.
Revolving Credit Facilities
Largely driven by a significant decline in pension asset returns,
Caterpillar recognized a $3.4 billion year-end charge to other comprehensive
income. This non-operational charge caused our consolidated net worth to drop
below the covenant level in our $6.85 billion revolving credit facility
(Credit Facility). Our corporate bank group has consented to Caterpillar's
consolidated net worth level. We have no borrowings under this revolving
credit facility.
Cat Financial's profit was negatively impacted by, among other things,
deteriorating economic conditions in the fourth quarter. This resulted in a
decrease in its quarterly interest coverage ratio to a level below that
required in the Credit Facility. This, in addition to Caterpillar's drop in
consolidated net worth, resulted in Cat Financial falling below or failing to
meet similar covenant requirements in several other loan agreements. Cat
Financial's corporate bank group, with respect to the Credit Facility and
other loan agreements similarly affected, has consented to Cat Financial's
quarterly interest coverage level for the fourth quarter.
2009 Outlook
The financial and banking crisis accelerated in the fourth quarter of 2008
and has significantly impacted economic growth in general and the industries
that we serve around the globe. As a result, our outlook for 2009 has
worsened.
We expect 2009 will be the weakest year for economic growth in the postwar
period. We are expecting recessionary conditions to persist in most of the
world throughout the year, with no growth in the world economy.
-- Preliminary data indicates the world economy fell into recession in
fourth quarter 2008. The developed economies of the United States,
euro-zone, United Kingdom and Japan declined sharply, many
developing economies slowed, and commodity prices dropped in
response to weaker demand.
-- Economic policymakers were distracted by inflationary concerns
during last summer's surge in commodity prices and were slow to
respond to economic weaknesses and the credit crisis. Effective
actions did not really begin until after the collapse of Lehman
Brothers in September. The timing of the response means the world
economy will likely remain severely depressed through at least the
middle of 2009.
-- Central banks in developed economies have cut interest rates to, or
near, record lows, and several key developing economies have
responded by lowering rates. In addition, some countries are
implementing measures to increase monetary growth, reduce credit
spreads and drive spending through fiscal stimulus programs, which
should aid construction.
-- Most commodity prices dropped below investment threshold levels in
late 2008, and producers are reducing and delaying investments. We
expect this unfavorable environment to persist throughout the year.
-- We expect 2009 will be a dismal year for the world economy, but
conditions for much better growth are developing, particularly in
industries we serve. Interest rates throughout the world are at
historically low levels and should eventually be favorable for
investment. Despite a higher level of spending over the past few
years, capacity in the world's infrastructure, mining and energy
industries is still inadequate or outdated. Reduced investment in
2009 is going to leave future capacity even more strained.
Government stimulus plans are a step in the right direction and
should help economic growth.
-- While we are encouraged by actions that have been taken to drive
economic improvements, we are concerned that the European Central
Bank and the Bank of Japan are responding too slowly to today's
economic crisis. In addition, we are concerned that central banks
may begin tightening policies at the first sign of economic recovery
and could create another downturn.
North American economies should decline 1.5 percent in 2009, but we expect
the United States will be the first major economy to pull out of recession,
sometime in the second half of 2009.
-- The U.S. economy has been in recession throughout 2008, GDP started
declining in the third quarter of 2008, and U.S. machinery
industries that we serve have been declining since early 2006.
Output likely will decline throughout the second quarter, causing
this recession to about match the 1981-82 recession in duration and
severity.
-- The Federal Funds rate has traded at the lowest level on record, and
the Fed has indicated it will keep rates low for an extended time.
So, we assume no rate increases will occur this year. Despite the
low Federal Funds rate, credit spreads remain elevated, so the Fed
is focusing on increasing liquidity and providing funds directly to
businesses and consumers. Monetary growth has accelerated at
unprecedented rates and should eventually encourage more spending,
possibly in the second half of 2009.
-- The Obama administration's stimulus program should increase funds
for infrastructure construction. Quick passage of the bill could
increase funding in the second half of 2009, and some improvement in
infrastructure spending is expected.
-- Housing affordability is near a record high, and 30-year mortgage
rates could fall below 4.5 percent this year, helping to stabilize
housing later in the year. We expect housing starts will be
approximately 900 thousand units, about the same as 2008.
-- Central Appalachian coal prices should average a little more than
$40 per ton in 2009, which should allow a 0.5 percent increase in
coal production.
-- The Canadian economy should decline slightly, prompting the Bank of
Canada to cut its interest rate another 25 basis points to 0.75
percent.
We expect European economies to decline 0.9 percent this year. Recessions
in both the euro-zone and United Kingdom will likely last most of the year,
making the recessions some of the worst in the postwar period.
-- The Bank of England recently cut interest rates to 1.5 percent, the
lowest since 1694. The European Central Bank cut interest rates to 2
percent and boosted monetary growth. However, the bank has been
less aggressive in cutting interest rates than other central banks,
creating the risk of an extended period of weakness.
-- European governments announced stimulus packages, which will provide
funds for infrastructure construction. However, we expect housing
and nonresidential construction will decline in most European
countries.
The Japanese economy should decline about 2 percent, remaining in
recession for most of the year.
-- The Bank of Japan recently cut interest rates from 0.3 percent to
0.1 percent. However, the short-term interest rate, as in the last
cycle, has not had a significant impact on improving growth.
-- The bank has started buying commercial paper and has increased bank
reserves slightly. Easing, however, has not been sufficient to
provide the liquidity for an economic recovery.
-- Government stimulus packages should boost public construction, but
private construction likely will continue declining.
Economic growth in the developing economies should average about 3 percent
in 2009, the slowest since 2002, but still outperform developed economies.
-- In recent years, these economies have benefited from lower inflation
and interest rates, more competitive exports and higher commodity
prices. Many of those factors remain more favorable than in past
downturns.
-- Key countries, particularly in Asia, have aggressively reversed past
policy tightening; with interest rates at or below lows earlier this
decade. We expect further easing in many countries.
-- In the past, balance-of-payments problems often prevented these
countries from adopting expansive economic policies during worldwide
economic slowdowns. We do not expect these countries to be as
severely constrained since many are running surpluses with developed
countries and have accumulated significant foreign exchange
reserves.
-- Most governments have not increased spending in line with increases
in export and commodity revenues. As a result, governments will not
need to cut spending in line with declines in exports and commodity
revenues.
2009 Sales and Revenues Outlook
The depth and duration of economic decline throughout the world makes it
very difficult to forecast sales and revenues. As a result, we are focused on
executing our strategic "trough" plans throughout the company.
We are encouraged by the actions of central banks around the world and the
prospects of fiscal stimulus. We are optimistic that economic conditions in
the United States will stabilize later in the year and may show some signs of
recovery. However, we are implementing actions throughout the company to be
prepared for a very negative year with sales and revenues in a range of plus
or minus 10 percent from $40 billion.
While sales and revenues could be higher than $40 billion in 2009, the
economic picture is extremely difficult to predict, and it is prudent to focus
the company on actions that will deliver our "trough" profit goal.
We expect significant declines in all geographic regions in most
industries. At $40 billion, the sales volume decline, excluding the impact of
consolidating Cat Japan, is about 25 percent. Volume related to machines and
engines would be down about 30 percent, and sales and revenues of integrated
service businesses would be down about 5 percent.
Some improvement in price realization and about $1 billion of additional
sales as a result of the consolidation of Cat Japan are partial offsets to the
sharp drop in volume.
2009 Profit Outlook
As a result of sharply declining sales, we expect 2009 profit to drop
significantly from 2008, and we are taking actions to deliver our "trough"
profit target of $2.50 per share, excluding redundancy costs, at $40 billion
in 2009 sales and revenues. We have initiated actions which will remove about
20,000 workers from our business and every indirect spend dollar will be
heavily scrutinized. These actions support lowering our production costs in
line with a 25-percent decline in sales volume and reducing SG&A and R&D costs
supporting our Machinery and Engines business collectively by about 15
percent. Actions include:
-- Voluntary and involuntary separations and layoffs of about 4,000
full-time production employees. Depending on business conditions
more layoffs may be required as the year unfolds.
-- Sharp declines in overtime work. Factory overtime is a key element
of volume flexibility and many facilities were working high levels
of overtime through most of 2008.
-- Several facilities have shortened workweeks, and thousands of
employees have been, or will be, affected by temporary layoffs and
full and partial plant shutdowns.
-- Elimination of almost 8,000 temporary, contract and agency workers.
While these workers are a key element of our "flexible workforce"
they are not included among the 112,887 full-time employees at year
end.
-- Voluntary separations of about 2,500 support and management
employees.
-- Additional layoffs or separations of as many as 5,000 support and
management employees.
-- Hiring freezes and suspension of salary increases for most support
and management employees.
-- Significant reductions in total compensation for executives / senior
managers.
-- At $2.50 profit per share, our short-term incentive plan would not
trigger payment.
-- Reduction in indirect expenses of about 15 percent.
-- Significant reduction in capital expenditures.
-- Shifting more resources to work on short- and medium-term material
cost reduction.
-- Shifting more resources to work on inventory reduction projects.
Elements of the 2009 Profit Outlook
-- We expect significantly lower sales volume across all regions and
most industries. The consolidation of Cat Japan is expected to add
about $1 billion to sales, but be negative to profit as a result of
severe economic decline in Japan.
-- We are forecasting improved price realization for 2009 as there
still is cost pressure in the system.
-- To support our price realization forecast, we are rapidly scaling
back production to align dealer inventory with demand as we move
through the year, and we believe the industry is rapidly scaling
back to minimize inventory as well.
-- Material costs are expected to increase slightly. Because material
costs rose significantly in the second half of 2008 and our material
costs tend to lag trends in commodities, we expect that year-over-
year cost comparisons will be negative in the first half of the year
and will improve in the second half.
-- We expect efficiency improvement as a result of continued
implementation of the Cat Production System (CPS) however,
production volume, particularly in the first quarter, will likely
drop faster than manufacturing costs as we sharply lower production,
employment and cost levels.
-- Excluding Cat Japan, Machinery and Engines SG&A and R&D expenses are
forecast to decline about 15 percent. R&D spending in 2009 will be
primarily focused on new products to meet Tier 4 regulatory
emissions requirements.
-- We expect about $500 million of redundancy expense related to
employment reductions, most of the expense is expected to occur in
the first quarter.
-- The tax rate in 2009 is expected to approximate the 2008 rate of
31.5 percent, excluding discrete tax items.
-- Financial Products profit before tax is expected to decline by about
50 percent in 2009 as a result of higher liquidity costs and the
resulting tighter spreads between the cost of borrowing and Cat
Financial's lending rates.
Machinery and Engines Cash Flow
Our priorities for the use of cash remain unchanged-a strong balance sheet
that helps protect our credit rating, capital to support growth, appropriately
funded employee benefit plans, modestly increasing dividends and stock
repurchases with excess cash.
-- For 2009 we expect operating cash flow to hold up better than
profit, with a significant decline in inventory and lower
receivables helping to offset the impact of lower profit.
-- The funded status of our defined benefit pension plans declined in
2008. As a result we expect to contribute approximately $1 billion
in 2009 versus $422 million that was contributed in 2008.
-- Capital expenditures are expected to be about $1.5 billion in 2009,
a decline of about 38 percent from 2008.
-- As a result of current economic conditions, we have temporarily put
our stock repurchase program on hold.
First Quarter 2009
It's not our practice to provide specific quarterly profit guidance, and
we don't intend to start. However, we are in unprecedented times, and some
discussion around the first quarter is appropriate.
While we expect the full year of 2009 to be very challenging, profit in
the first half, and particularly the first quarter, will be under severe
pressure. In fact, a first-quarter loss is possible. There are two primary
reasons that profit will be particularly weak early in the year:
-- First, production volume will be severely depressed and is likely to
fall faster than dealer sales to end users. We opened dealer order
boards around the world in the fourth quarter to allow dealers to
cancel existing orders in response to deteriorating economic
conditions. Dealers reacted and have cut orders substantially. We
expect that this will result in further declines in dealer inventory
in the first quarter at a time of year when dealers normally build
inventory in preparation for higher sales to end users in the spring
and summer. We have announced significant measures to bring
production, costs and employment down, but given lead times
necessary for employees, we expect that our production and sales
will fall faster than costs early in the year.
-- Second, we expect a substantial charge for redundancy costs, about
$500 million for the year, with most of it coming in the first
quarter.
DETAILED ANALYSIS
Consolidated Sales & Revenues Comparison
4th Qtr. 2008 vs 4th Qtr. 2007
To access this chart, go to http://www.cat.com for the downloadable version of
Caterpillar 4Q 2008 earnings.
The chart above graphically illustrates reasons for the change in
Consolidated Sales and Revenues between fourth quarter 2007 (at left) and
fourth quarter 2008 (at right). Items favorably impacting sales and revenues
appear as upward stair steps with the corresponding dollar amounts above each
bar, while items negatively impacting sales and revenues appear as downward
stair steps with dollar amounts reflected in parentheses above each bar. The
bar entitled Machinery Volume includes the impact of consolidation of Cat
Japan sales. Caterpillar management utilizes these charts internally to
visually communicate with the company's Board of Directors and employees.
Sales and Revenues
Sales and revenues for fourth quarter 2008 were $12.923 billion, up $779
million, or 6 percent, from fourth quarter 2007. Machinery volume was up $297
million. Excluding Cat Japan, machinery volume was up $36 million. Engines
volume was up $458 million, as growth in developing economies more than offset
significant weakness in developed economies. Price realization improved $308
million. Financial Products revenues increased $19 million. Currency had a
negative impact on sales of $303 million due to the strengthening of the U.S.
dollar against most major currencies.
Sales and Revenues by Geographic Region
(Millions of
dollars) Total %Change North America %Change EAME
Fourth Quarter
2007
Machinery $7,460 $3,112 $2,322
Engines(1) 3,900 1,275 1,617
Financial
Products(2) 784 494 150
$12,144 $4,881 $4,089
(Millions of
dollars) %Change Asia/Pacific %Change Latin America %Change
Fourth Quarter
2007
Machinery $1,194 $832
Engines(1) 654 354
Financial
Products(2) 62 78
$1,910 $1,264
(Millions of
dollars) Total %Change North America %Change EAME
Fourth Quarter
2008
Machinery $7,675 3% $2,833 (9)% $2,013
Engines(1) 4,445 14% 1,379 8% 1,670
Financial
Products(2) 803 2% 490 (1)% 144
$12,923 6% $4,702 (4)% $3,827
(Millions of
dollars) %Change Asia/Pacific %Change Latin America %Change
Fourth Quarter
2008
Machinery (13)% $1,652 38% $1,177 41%
Engines(1) 3% 849 30% 547 55%
Financial
Products(2) (4)% 89 44% 80 3%
(6)% $2,590 36% $1,804 43%
(1) Does not include internal engines transfers of $646 million and $652
million in fourth quarter 2008 and 2007, respectively. Internal
engines transfers are valued at prices comparable to those for
unrelated parties.
(2) Does not include internal revenues earned from Machinery and Engines
of $66 million and $104 million in fourth quarter 2008 and 2007,
respectively.
Machinery Sales
Sales of $7.675 billion increased $215 million, or 3 percent, from fourth
quarter 2007.
-- Sales volume increased $36 million, with the gain occurring in the
developing economies of Africa/Middle East, CIS, Asia/Pacific and
Latin America.
-- Price realization increased $85 million.
-- Currency decreased sales by $167 million.
-- Geographic mix between regions (included in price realization) was
$14 million favorable.
-- The consolidation of Cat Japan sales added $261 million to 2008
sales.
-- Dealers in all regions reported higher inventories than year-end
2007 in both dollars and months of supply.
-- The financial crisis intensified after the collapse of Lehman
Brothers in mid September. Recessions in the developed countries
worsened, and growth in the developing economies slowed abruptly.
As a result, dealers reported lower deliveries to end users than a
year earlier.
-- The U.S. economy probably declined at the fastest rate in more than
25 years. Construction, nonmetals mining and quarrying weakened
further. Coal mining and oil sands development were about the only
positives for North America.
-- The European economy declined, putting additional downward pressure
on construction.
-- Sales volume increased in the developing regions of Africa/Middle
East, CIS, Asia/Pacific and Latin America, although at a slower rate
than earlier in the year. Higher interest rates, the credit crisis,
lower commodity prices and reduced exports to developed countries
were the major factors causing this slowing.
North America - Sales decreased $279 million, or 9 percent.
-- Sales volume decreased $354 million.
-- Price realization increased $75 million.
-- Sales volume declined in line with lower reported dealer deliveries
to end users. Dealers added slightly to inventories, leaving them
higher than a year earlier in both dollars and months of supply.
-- The U.S. economy was in recession and the bankruptcy of Lehman
Brothers caused a severe tightening in financial markets. As a
result, economic output dropped sharply, and key industries reduced
machine purchases.
-- U.S. housing starts fell below a 700 thousand unit annual rate, the
lowest this cycle, and permits for new construction were even lower.
Housing starts were depressed by relatively high mortgage interest
rates, a further tightening in credit, a 10-percent decline in new
home prices and more than an 11-month supply of unsold new homes.
-- Orders for U.S. nonresidential construction fell 28 percent below a
year earlier. Negatives included limited growth in Federal highway
funding, higher material input costs, and declines in commercial
property prices. Banks further tightened credit standards on
commercial real estate loans in response to rising delinquencies and
financial stresses.
-- Sharp declines in construction caused a 13-percent drop in nonmetals
mining and quarry production.
-- Metals mining production increased sharply, but much lower metals
prices prompted mines to reduce machine purchases.
-- Coal production increased almost 3 percent, benefiting from
increased exports and much higher coal prices. Sales of machines
used in coal mining increased.
-- Crude oil prices declined, but to levels that were still attractive
for investment.
EAME - Sales decreased $309 million, or 13 percent.
-- Sales volume decreased $199 million.
-- Price realization decreased $19 million.
-- Currency impact decreased sales by $91 million.
-- Dealers in all regions reported higher inventories than year-end
2007 in both dollars and months of supply.
-- Preliminary data suggest recessions in both the euro-zone and the
United Kingdom worsened in fourth quarter 2008, and dealers reported
sizable declines in deliveries.
-- Interest rates remained relatively high, contributing to weakness in
construction. Housing permits in the euro-zone were probably down
more than 20 percent, and U.K. housing orders plunged more than 50
percent. Heavy construction in the euro-zone declined 6 percent.
-- Sales volume increased slightly in Africa/Middle East, ending more
than 5 years of strong year-on-year growth.
-- In the CIS, sales volume increased, although at a slower rate than
earlier in the year. Russia's economy slowed due to higher interest
rates, a credit crisis and lower oil revenues.
-- In both Africa/Middle East and CIS, sales volume in December was
lower than a year earlier.
Asia/Pacific - Sales increased $458 million, or 38 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $235 million.
-- Price realization increased $17 million.
-- Currency impact decreased sales by $55 million.
-- The consolidation of Cat Japan sales added $261 million to 2008
sales.
-- Dealers in all regions reported higher inventories than year-end
2007 in both dollars and months of supply.
-- Recessions in developed economies caused export growth to slow or
decline for most countries. In addition, several countries had
raised interest rates, which helped slow economic growth.
-- China's economy slowed, which sharply curtailed growth in sales
volume.
-- Higher coal prices contributed to sizable sales volume growth in
Indonesia.
-- Mine output expanded in Australia as mining employment increased 30
percent. Higher production, along with commodity prices that were
still attractive for investment, led to increased sales volume.
-- India had tightened economic policies to cope with inflation and the
economy slowed in the fourth quarter. Sales volume increased
slightly, ending several years of rapid growth.
Latin America - Sales increased $345 million, or 41 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $368 million.
-- Price realization decreased $2 million.
-- Currency impact decreased sales by $21 million.
-- Dealers reported higher inventories than year-end 2007 in both
dollars and months of supply.
-- The largest gain in sales volume occurred in Chile. Positives were
efforts to expand mine production and increased construction.
-- Higher coal prices boosted sales volume in Colombia.
-- Although the Mexican economy was sluggish, construction and the
energy industries expanded. Sales volume increased sharply.
-- Interest rate increases in Brazil caused the economy to slow sharply
in the fourth quarter, with industrial production declining. The
world steel industry reduced production in the last half of 2008,
causing Brazil's iron ore production to drop 5 percent. As a
result, growth in sales volume slowed significantly from rates
experienced during the first three quarters.
Engines Sales
Sales of $4.445 billion increased $545 million, or 14 percent, from fourth
quarter 2007.
-- Sales volume increased $458 million.
-- Price realization increased $223 million.
-- Currency impact decreased sales $136 million.
-- Geographic mix between regions (included in price realization) was
$2 million favorable.
-- Dealer-reported inventories were up, and months of supply were up
slightly, supporting strong delivery rates.
North America - Sales increased $104 million, or 8 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $22 million.
-- Price realization increased $82 million.
-- Sales for petroleum engine applications increased 14 percent due to
strong demand for gas compression, drilling and well service
applications. Turbine sales for gas transmission projects were down
due to timing of customer project schedules. This was partially
offset by an increase in turbine-related services.
-- Sales for electric power applications increased 8 percent, driven by
increases in turbine sales to support power plant projects.
-- Sales for on-highway truck applications increased 3 percent, when
compared with a very weak fourth quarter 2007 in the North American
on-highway heavy-duty truck market. Demand remained below historic
norms due to the slow U.S. economy that resulted in a reduction in
freight tonnage. Also, the impact of the decision to exit the on-
highway truck business was starting to be felt as OEM customers
reduced their reliance on Caterpillar products.
-- Sales for industrial applications decreased 3 percent due to
substantially lower demand in construction, material handling and
auxiliary power units.
EAME - Sales increased $53 million, or 3 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $85 million.
-- Price realization increased $72 million.
-- Currency impact decreased sales by $104 million.
-- Sales for industrial applications decreased 16 percent, as demand in
the construction segments slowed with reduced spending on
infrastructure development. This was partially offset by increases
in agricultural applications.
-- Sales for marine applications increased 27 percent in workboats and
commercial vessels to support projects that were driven by high
commodity prices.
-- Sales for petroleum applications increased 16 percent based on
strong demand for engines used in drilling and production. Turbine
sales increased for gas transmission and oil and gas production
applications.
-- Sales for electric power applications increased 6 percent, with
strong demand in Africa/Middle East offsetting weaker demand in
Europe and the CIS and a decrease in turbine sales, which were the
result of timing of large power plant projects.
Asia/Pacific - Sales increased $195 million, or 30 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $170 million.
-- Price realization increased $57 million.
-- Currency impact decreased sales by $32 million.
-- Sales for petroleum applications increased 79 percent to support
Chinese drill rig activity and increased demand for Asian shipyards
in support of offshore drilling. Turbine sales increased for gas
transmission and oil and gas production applications.
-- Sales for marine applications increased 34 percent, with continued
strong demand for workboat, offshore and general cargo vessels.
-- Sales for industrial applications increased 39 percent, as a result
of higher sales into mining and irrigation sectors in Australia and
increased sales in New Zealand.
-- Sales of electric power engines decreased 2 percent.
Latin America - Sales increased $193 million, or 55 percent.
-- Sales volume increased $183 million.
-- Price realization increased $10 million.
-- Sales for petroleum applications increased 60 percent as turbines
and turbine-related services increased for gas transmission and oil
and gas production applications.
-- Sales of electric power engines increased 82 percent to support
infrastructure investment.
-- Sales for on-highway truck applications decreased 42 percent as a
result of OEM customers working down inventory and a loss of OEM
business.
Financial Products Revenues
Revenues of $803 million increased $19 million, or 2 percent, from the fourth
quarter 2007.
-- Growth in average earning assets increased revenues $56 million,
which was partially offset by a decrease of $46 million due to lower
interest rates on new and existing finance receivables.
-- Revenues from earned premiums at Cat Insurance increased $24
million.
Consolidated Operating Profit Comparison
4th Qtr. 2008 vs 4th Qtr. 2007
To access this chart, go to http://www.cat.com for the downloadable version of
Caterpillar 4Q 2008 earnings.
The chart above graphically illustrates reasons for the change in
Consolidated Operating Profit between fourth quarter 2007 (at left) and fourth
quarter 2008 (at right). Items favorably impacting operating profit appear as
upward stair steps with the corresponding dollar amounts above each bar, while
items negatively impacting operating profit appear as downward stair steps
with dollar amounts reflected in parentheses above each bar. Caterpillar
management utilizes these charts internally to visually communicate with the
company's Board of Directors and employees. The bar entitled Other includes
the operating profit impact of consolidating adjustments, consolidation of Cat
Japan and Machinery and Engines other operating expenses.
Operating Profit
Operating profit in fourth quarter 2008 of $457 million was $798 million
lower than fourth quarter 2007 as improved price realization and higher sales
volume were more than offset by higher costs.
Manufacturing costs increased $938 million compared with fourth quarter
2007. The increase was driven by higher material and freight costs, along
with manufacturing inefficiencies as costs did not drop in line with a sharp
decline in production volume.
SG&A and R&D costs were up $279 million to support significant new product
programs and growth initiatives.
Financial Products operating profit decreased $87 million.
Operating Profit by Principal Line of Business
(Millions of dollars)
Fourth Quarter Fourth Quarter $ %
2008 2007 Change Change
Machinery(1) $(6) $619 $(625) (101)%
Engines(1) 438 571 (133) (23)%
Financial Products 74 161 (87) (54)%
Consolidating
Adjustments (49) (96) 47
Consolidated Operating
Profit $457 $1,255 $(798) (64)%
(1) Caterpillar operations are highly integrated; therefore, the company
uses a number of allocations to determine lines of business operating
profit for Machinery and Engines.
Operating Profit by Principal Line of Business
-- Machinery operating loss was $6 million compared to an operating
profit of $619 million in the fourth quarter of 2007. Substantially
all of the change was the result of higher manufacturing costs.
-- Engines operating profit of $438 million was down $133 million, or
23 percent, from fourth quarter 2007. Higher costs were partially
offset by improved price realization and higher sales volume.
-- Financial Products operating profit of $74 million was down $87
million, or 54 percent, from fourth quarter 2007. The decrease was
primarily attributable to a $57 million impact from decreased net
yield on average earning assets and a $42 million increase in the
provision for credit losses at Cat Financial, partially offset by a
$22 million favorable impact from higher average earning assets.
Other Profit/Loss Items
-- Other income/expense was expense of $26 million compared with income
of $88 million in fourth quarter 2007. The decrease was primarily
due to a $47 million unfavorable change in mark-to-market
adjustments on interest rate derivative contracts at Cat Financial
and a $37 million impairment of investments in Cat Insurance's
portfolio as a result of poor market performance.
-- The provision for income taxes in the fourth quarter of 2008
reflects an annual tax rate of 31.5 percent, excluding the discrete
item discussed below, compared to a 30-percent rate in 2007. The
increase in the tax rate excluding discrete items over 2007 is
primarily attributable to a less favorable geographic mix of profits
from a tax perspective. Although we expected to lower our annual
tax rate by approximately one percentage point in the fourth quarter
due to the renewal of the U.S. research and development tax credit
in October 2008, this benefit was offset by less favorable fourth
quarter geographic mix of profits from a tax perspective resulting
in no change in the estimated tax rate from third quarter 2008.
The provision for income taxes in the fourth quarter of 2008 also
includes a discrete benefit of $409 million related to repatriation
of non-U.S. earnings with available foreign tax credits in excess of
the U.S. tax liability on the dividend. This compares to a
favorable adjustment of $55 million in the fourth quarter 2007
related to a decrease in the estimated tax rate.
-- Equity in profit/(loss) of unconsolidated affiliated companies was
income of $5 million compared with income of $22 million in fourth
quarter 2007. The decline reflects the absence of profit at Shin
Caterpillar Mitsubishi Ltd. (SCM) due to the redemption, on August
1, 2008, of one-half of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd.'s (MHI's)
shares in SCM.
SOURCE Caterpillar Inc.
Source: PR Newswire
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