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Inflation Concerns Continue to Drive Commodity Prices Up in October

November 19, 2009
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NEW YORK, Nov. 19 /PRNewswire/ — Commodities continued their upward momentum into October, posting positive performance across all index sectors.

Christopher Burton, Co-Lead Portfolio Manager for the Credit Suisse Total Commodity Return Strategy said, “The commodities market continues to perform well as global markets remain on track for recovery. Despite minor losses in equity markets, performance remains positive year-to-date. Although commodities have recovered some of their losses from 2008, we continue to believe current prices offer an exceptional entry point into the asset class, especially as central banks announce their intention to maintain low interest rates, which could lead to the stockpiling of certain commodities.”

Co-Lead Portfolio Manager, Andrew Karsh, added, “As inflation has not yet developed in terms announced by government figures, the potential for unexpected inflation remains quite high. Considering the fact that commodities are a leading indicator of inflation, we believe the time to invest in commodities is now, well in advance of lagging indicators such as in increase in CPI.”

The Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return gained 3.28% in October as a result of positive performance from all sectors, bringing the year-to-date performance of the Index to 12.64%. Lean Hogs, continuing its positive performance from September, was the top performer in October, gaining 14.33% most likely due to the conclusion of China’s ban on U.S. pork products. Gasoline also demonstrated strong performance this month, up 10.51%, because of a larger than expected reduction of stored gasoline. Sugar was the worst performer in October as it reversed its recent gains, declining 10.16% in October, but is still up significantly, 57.63%, for the year.

The Credit Suisse Total Commodity Return Strategy group periodically produces updates on relevant industry topics. For a copy of their latest whitepaper, “Capitalizing on any Curve: Clarifying Misconceptions About Commodity Indexing”, please click here or email ir.betastrategies@credit-suisse.com.

About the Credit Suisse Total Commodity Return Strategy

Credit Suisse’s Total Commodity Return Strategy has been managed for fourteen years and seeks to outperform the return of a commodities index, such as the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return or the S&P GSCI Total Return Index, using a quantitative commodity research process. Commodity index total returns are achieved through:

  • Spot Return: price return on specified commodity futures contracts;
  • Roll Yield: impact due to migration of futures positions from near to far contracts; and
  • Collateral Yield: return earned on collateral for the futures.

About the Portfolio Managers

Christopher Burton, CFA, and Andrew Karsh are Co-Lead Portfolio Managers of the Credit Suisse Total Commodity Return Strategy. As of October 31, 2009 the team managed approximately USD 4.0 billion in assets globally.

Credit Suisse AG

Credit Suisse AG is one of the world’s leading financial services providers and is part of the Credit Suisse group of companies (referred to here as ‘Credit Suisse’). As an integrated bank, Credit Suisse offers clients its combined expertise in the areas of private banking, investment banking and asset management. Credit Suisse provides advisory services, comprehensive solutions and innovative products to companies, institutional clients and high-net-worth private clients globally, as well as to retail clients in Switzerland. Credit Suisse is headquartered in Zurich and operates in over 50 countries worldwide. The group employs approximately 47,400 people. The registered shares (CSGN) of Credit Suisse’s parent company, Credit Suisse Group AG, are listed in Switzerland and, in the form of American Depositary Shares (CS), in New York. Further information about Credit Suisse can be found at www.credit-suisse.com.

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In its Asset Management business, Credit Suisse offers products across a broad spectrum of investment classes, including alternative investments such as private equity, hedge funds, real estate and credit, as well as multi-asset class solutions, which include equities and fixed income products. Credit Suisse’s Asset Management business manages portfolios, mutual funds and other investment vehicles for a broad spectrum of clients ranging from governments, institutions and corporations to private individuals. With offices focused on asset management in 19 countries, Credit Suisse’s Asset Management business is operated as a globally integrated network to deliver the bank’s best investment ideas and capabilities to clients around the world.

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Disclaimer

This document was produced by and the opinions expressed are those of Credit Suisse as of the date of writing and are subject to change. It has been prepared solely for information purposes and for the use of the recipient. It does not constitute an offer or an invitation by or on behalf of Credit Suisse to any person to buy or sell any security. Any reference to past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future. The information and analysis contained in this publication have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable but Credit Suisse does not make any representation as to their accuracy or completeness and does not accept liability for any loss arising from the use hereof.

Copyright © 2009, CREDIT SUISSE GROUP AG and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

SOURCE Credit Suisse AG


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