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Carnival Corporation & plc Reports Full Details of First Quarter Earnings

March 22, 2011
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MIAMI, March 22, 2011 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ — Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE/LSE: CCL; NYSE: CUK) reported net income of $152 million, or $0.19 diluted EPS, on revenues of $3.4 billion for its first quarter ended February 28, 2011. Net income for the first quarter 2010 was $175 million, or $0.22 diluted EPS, on revenues of $3.2 billion. The first quarter 2010 included the favorable impact of $0.10 per share from unusual items.

Carnival Corporation & plc Chairman and CEO Micky Arison indicated that earnings in the first quarter 2011 were at the high end of the company’s December guidance due to lower than expected unit costs which offset higher than expected fuel prices.

Commenting on the first quarter, Arison said, “Net revenue yields increased 2 percent (constant dollars) driven by a significant improvement in ticket prices for our European brands. We remained focused on managing costs and reducing fuel consumption. All of which more than offset rising fuel prices during the quarter.”

Key metrics for the first quarter 2011 compared to the prior year were as follows:

  • On a constant dollar basis net revenue yields (net revenue per available lower berth day) increased 2.0 percent for 1Q 2011, which was in line with December guidance. Gross revenue yields increased 2.4 percent in current dollars.
  • Net cruise costs, excluding fuel and the 1Q 2010 $44 million gain on the sale of P&O Cruises (UK)’s Artemis, per available lower berth day (“ALBD”) were in line with the prior year in constant dollars, and were better than the December guidance of flat to up 1 percent. Gross cruise costs per ALBD in current dollars increased 4.4 percent.
  • Fuel prices increased 9 percent to $543 per metric ton for 1Q 2011 from $497 per metric ton in 1Q 2010 and were higher than the December guidance of $526 per metric ton.

During the first quarter, the company announced an increase in its regular quarterly dividend to $0.25 per share from $0.10 per share, signifying continuing confidence in the company’s future earnings potential.

2011 Outlook

Since the start of the calendar year, booking volumes and prices for the remaining three quarters are running higher than the prior year. At this point in time, cumulative advance bookings for the remainder of the year are at higher prices with slightly lower occupancies versus last year.

Arison noted, “Despite the uncertain world events that have unfolded during our peak booking period, we have experienced a solid wave season. Ticket prices for the peak summer season remain particularly strong. The convenience and affordability of a cruise vacation continues to gain recognition as consumers discover the unrivaled experience cruising offers. As a result, long-term fundamentals for our business remain attractive in an environment where consumers increasingly value the importance of taking their holidays.”

The company expects full year net revenue yields, on a constant dollar basis, to increase 2.5 to 3.5 percent compared to 3 to 4 percent in its December guidance. As previously announced, the change in yield guidance of approximately $44 million, or $0.05 per share, results from the itinerary changes in the Middle East and North Africa necessitated by the political unrest in that region. The company expects net revenue yields on a current dollar basis to increase 4.5 to 5.5 percent for the full year 2011 compared to 2010.

The company expects net cruise costs, excluding fuel, per ALBD for the full year 2011 to be flat to up slightly on a constant dollar basis compared to flat in its December guidance due to increasing inflation expectations. Slightly lower expectations in other cost categories are expected to offset the slightly higher net cruise costs guidance.

As previously announced, fuel prices have increased significantly since we provided December guidance. Based on current spot prices for fuel, fuel costs are now expected to increase $355 million for the full year 2011 compared to December guidance, costing an additional $0.45 per share. However, the weakening of the U.S. dollar since December guidance is expected to benefit earnings by $75 million, or $0.09 per share.

Taking all the above factors into consideration, the company now forecasts full year 2011 fully diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $2.55 to $2.65, compared to its December guidance range of $2.90 to $3.10 and full year 2010 of $2.47. This guidance is slightly better than the update provided on March 11, due to the change in spot prices for fuel and currency.

Second Quarter 2011

Second quarter constant dollar net revenue yields are expected to increase in the 1.5 to 2.5 percent range (4.5 to 5.5 percent on a current dollar basis) compared to the prior year. Net cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD for the second quarter are expected to be 2.0 to 3.0 percent higher on a constant dollar basis. Fuel costs for the second quarter are expected to increase $140 million compared to the prior year, costing an additional $0.18 per share.

Based on current fuel prices and currency exchange rates, the company expects fully diluted earnings for the second quarter 2011 to be in the range of $0.20 to $0.24 per share, down from $0.32 per share in 2010 due to the drag on earnings from the higher fuel prices.

During the second quarter two new ships will debut in Europe, AIDA Cruises’ 2,194-passenger AIDAsol and Carnival Cruise Lines’ 3,690-passenger Carnival Magic, furthering the company’s strategy to expand its global presence.

Selected Key Forecast Metrics


                          Full Year 2011             Second Quarter 2011

                     Current          Constant    Current          Constant
                     Dollars          Dollars     Dollars          Dollars
    Change in:
    Net revenue
     yields         4.5 to 5.5%    2.5 to 3.5% 4.5 to 5.5%    1.5 to 2.5%
    Net cruise cost
     excluding
     fuel/ALBD      2.0 to 3.0%    0.0 to 1.0% 5.0 to 6.0%    2.0 to 3.0%


                           Full Year 2011         Second Quarter 2011

    Fuel price per
     metric ton                           $631                      $659
    Fuel consumption
     (metric tons in
     thousands)                          3,440                       875
    Currency
         Euro                  $1.39 to euro 1           $1.40 to euro 1
         Sterling    $1.61 to 1 pound Sterling $1.61 to 1 pound Sterling

The company has scheduled a conference call with analysts at 10:00 a.m. EDT (2:00 p.m. GMT) today to discuss its 2011 first quarter earnings. This call can be listened to live, and additional information can be obtained, via Carnival Corporation & plc’s Web site at www.carnivalcorp.com and www.carnivalplc.com.

Carnival Corporation & plc is the largest cruise vacation group in the world, with a portfolio of cruise brands in North America, Europe, Australia and Asia, comprised of Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, Seabourn, AIDA Cruises, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Ibero Cruises, P&O Cruises (UK) and P&O Cruises (Australia).

Together, these brands operate 98 ships totaling more than 191,000 lower berths with 10 new ships scheduled to be delivered between March 2011 and May 2014. Carnival Corporation & plc also operates Holland America Princess Alaska Tours, the leading tour company in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Traded on both the New York and London Stock Exchanges, Carnival Corporation & plc is the only group in the world to be included in both the S&P 500 and the FTSE 100 indices.

Cautionary Note Concerning Factors That May Affect Future Results

Some of the statements, estimates or projections contained in this earnings release are “forward-looking statements” that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions with respect to Carnival Corporation & plc, including some statements concerning future results, outlooks, plans, goals and other events which have not yet occurred. These statements are intended to qualify for the safe harbors from liability provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. We have tried, whenever possible, to identify these statements by using words like “will,” “may,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “forecast,” “future,” “intend,” “plan,” “estimate” and similar expressions of future intent or the negative of such terms. Because forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, there are many factors that could cause Carnival Corporation & plc’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied in this earnings release. Forward-looking statements include those statements which may impact, among other things, the forecasting of Carnival Corporation & plc’s earnings per share, net revenue yields, booking levels, pricing, occupancy, operating, financing and tax costs, fuel expenses, costs per available lower berth day, estimates of ship depreciable lives and residual values, liquidity, goodwill and trademark fair values and outlook. These factors include, but are not limited to, the following: general economic and business conditions; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; the international political climate, armed conflicts, terrorist and pirate attacks, vessel seizures, and threats thereof, and other world events affecting the safety and security of travel; competition from and overcapacity in the cruise ship or land-based vacation industries; accidents, the spread of contagious diseases and threats thereof, adverse weather conditions or natural disasters and other incidents affecting the health, safety, security and satisfaction of guests and crew; adverse publicity concerning the cruise industry in general, or Carnival Corporation & plc in particular, including any adverse impact that cruising may have on the marine environment; changes in and compliance with laws and regulations relating to the protection of persons with disabilities, employment, environment, health, safety, security, tax and other regulations under which Carnival Corporation & plc operates; economic, market and political factors that are beyond Carnival Corporation & plc’s control, which could increase its operating, financing and other costs; the ability of Carnival Corporation & plc to implement its shipbuilding programs and ship repairs, maintenance and refurbishments on terms that are favorable or consistent with its expectations; increases in Carnival Corporation & plc’s repairs and maintenance expenses and refurbishment costs as its fleet ages; the continued strength of Carnival Corporation & plc’s cruise brands and its ability to implement its brand strategies; Carnival Corporation & plc’s international operations are subject to additional risks not generally applicable to its U.S. operations; geographic regions in which Carnival Corporation & plc tries to expand its business may be slow to develop and ultimately not develop how it expects; whether Carnival Corporation & plc’s future operating cash flow will be sufficient to fund future obligations and whether it will be able to obtain financing, if necessary, in sufficient amounts and on terms that are favorable or consistent with its expectations; Carnival Corporation & plc counterparties’ abilities to perform; continuing financial viability of Carnival Corporation & plc’s travel agent distribution system, air service providers and other key vendors in its supply chain and reductions in the availability of, and increases in the pricing for, the services and products provided by these vendors; Carnival Corporation & plc’s decisions to self-insure against various risks or its inability to obtain insurance for certain risks at reasonable rates; disruptions and other damages to Carnival Corporation & plc’s information technology and other networks and operations and breaches in data security; loss of key personnel or Carnival Corporation & plc’s ability to recruit or retain qualified personnel; union disputes and other employee relation issues; lack of continuing availability of attractive, convenient and safe port destinations; and risks associated with the dual listed company arrangement. Forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as a prediction of actual results. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law or any relevant stock exchange rules, Carnival Corporation & plc expressly disclaim any obligation to disseminate, after the date of this release, any updates or revisions to any such forward-looking statements to reflect any change in expectations or events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based.

                            CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
                        CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
                                   (UNAUDITED)
                       (in millions, except per share data)

                                            Three Months Ended
                                               February 28,
                                               ------------
    Revenues                              2011                   2010
                                          ----                   ----
         Cruise
             Passenger tickets          $2,652                 $2,441  (a)
             Onboard and other             757                    729  (b)
         Tour and other                     10                      8
                                           ---                    ---
                                         3,419                  3,178
                                         -----                  -----
    Costs and Expenses
         Operating
              Cruise
                   Commissions,
                    transportation and
                    other                  664                    581  (a)
                   Onboard and other       120                    113
                   Payroll and related     411                    391
                   Fuel                    450                    397
                   Food                    231                    212
                   Other ship operating    510                    474  (c)
              Tour and other                 9                     14
                                           ---                    ---
              Total                      2,395                  2,182
         Selling and
          administrative                   422                    396
         Depreciation and
          amortization                     367                    345
                                           ---                    ---
                                         3,184                  2,923
                                         -----                  -----

    Operating Income                       235                    255
                                           ---                    ---

    Nonoperating
     (Expense) Income
         Interest income                     2                      4
         Interest expense, net
          of capitalized
          interest                         (86)                   (96)
         Other income
          (expense), net                     6                     (3)
                                           ---                    ---
                                           (78)                   (95)
                                           ---                    ---

    Income Before Income
     Taxes                                 157                    160

    Income Tax (Expense)
     Benefit, Net                           (5)                    15  (d)
                                           ---                    ---

    Net Income                            $152                   $175
                                          ====                   ====

    Earnings Per Share
         Basic                           $0.19                  $0.22
                                         =====                  =====
         Diluted                         $0.19                  $0.22
                                         =====                  =====

    Dividends Declared
     Per Share                           $0.25                  $0.10
                                         =====                  =====

    Weighted-Average Shares
     Outstanding - Basic                   790                    787
                                           ===                    ===
    Weighted-Average Shares
     Outstanding - Diluted                 794                    805
                                           ===                    ===
    (a) During the fourth quarter of 2010, we changed the classification
    of our port costs that vary with guest head counts to a gross
    presentation from a net presentation, which resulted in an increase
    in both passenger ticket revenues and commissions, transportation
    and other costs. The amount reclassified and now included on a gross
    basis in passenger ticket revenues and commissions, transportation
    and other costs was $83 million for the three months ended February
    28, 2010.
    (b) Includes $19 million from minimum guarantees and a litigation
    settlement.
    (c) Includes a $44 million gain recognized from the 2009 sale of P&O
    Cruises (UK)'s Artemis.
    (d) Includes an $18 million Italian investment incentive income tax
    benefit.

                         CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
                         CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
                                 (UNAUDITED)
                      (in millions, except par values)
                                                     February   November
                                                        28,        30,
                                                          2011       2010
                                                          ----       ----
    ASSETS
    Current Assets
        Cash and cash equivalents                         $465       $429
        Trade and other receivables, net                   308        248
        Inventories                                        343        320
        Prepaid expenses and other                         249        247
                                                           ---        ---
           Total current assets                          1,365      1,244
                                                         -----      -----

    Property and Equipment, Net                         31,225     30,967

    Goodwill                                             3,373      3,320

    Other Intangibles                                    1,335      1,320

    Other Assets                                           667        639
                                                           ---        ---
                                                       $37,965    $37,490
                                                       =======    =======

    LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
    Current Liabilities
        Short-term borrowings                             $679       $740
        Current portion of long-term debt                  811        613
        Accounts payable                                   516        503
        Accrued liabilities and other                    1,121      1,094
        Customer deposits                                2,882      2,805
                                                         -----      -----
             Total current liabilities                   6,009      5,755
                                                         -----      -----

    Long-Term Debt                                       7,815      8,011

    Other Long-Term Liabilities and
     Deferred Income                                       706        693

    Shareholders' Equity
         Common stock of Carnival Corporation,
          $0.01 par value;                                   6          6
              1,960 shares authorized; 647 shares at
               2011 and
              646 shares at 2010 issued
         Ordinary shares of Carnival plc, $1.66
          par value; 215                                   357        355
              shares at 2011 and 214 shares at 2010
               issued
         Additional paid-in capital                      8,148      8,094
         Retained earnings                              17,178     17,224
         Accumulated other comprehensive income
          (loss)                                           141       (254)
         Treasury stock, 39 shares at 2011 and
          2010 of Carnival                              (2,395)    (2,394)
              Corporation and 31 shares at 2011 and
               2010 of                                  ------     ------
              Carnival plc, at cost
                  Total shareholders' equity            23,435     23,031
                                                        ------     ------
                                                       $37,965    $37,490
                                                       =======    =======

                CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
                     OTHER INFORMATION
                                                   Three Months
                                                       Ended
                                                   February 28,
                                                   ------------
                                                2011         2010
                                                ----         ----
    STATISTICAL INFORMATION
          Passengers carried (in
           thousands)                          2,185        2,049
          Occupancy percentage                 105.0%       103.5%
          Fuel consumption (metric tons
           in thousands)                         828          800
          Fuel cost per metric ton (a)          $543         $497
          Currencies
               U.S. dollar to euro 1           $1.34        $1.42
               U.S. dollar to 1 pound
                Sterling                       $1.58        $1.60
               U.S. dollar to Australian
                dollar                         $1.00        $0.90

    CASH FLOW INFORMATION (in
     millions)
         Cash from operations                   $412         $396
         Capital expenditures                   $172       $1,169
         Dividends paid                          $79

    (a)  Fuel cost per metric ton is calculated by
     dividing the cost of fuel by the number of metric
     tons consumed.


                                CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
                                NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

    Consolidated gross and net revenue yields were computed by dividing
     the gross and net cruise revenues, without rounding, by ALBDs
    as follows (dollars in millions, except yields) (a):


                                    Three Months Ended February 28,
                                    -------------------------------
                                                         2011
                                                 Constant
                                          2011    Dollar              2010
                                          ----    ------              ----

     Passenger ticket revenues          $2,652         $2,688       $2,441
     Onboard and other revenues            757            763          729
                                           ---            ---          ---
     Gross cruise revenues               3,409          3,451        3,170
                                         -----          -----        -----
     Less cruise costs
        Commissions, transportation
         and other                        (664)          (679)        (581)
        Onboard and other                 (120)          (121)        (113)
                                          ----           ----         ----
                                          (784)          (800)        (694)
                                          ----           ----         ----

     Net passenger ticket revenues       1,988          2,009        1,860
     Net onboard and other
      revenues                             637            642          616
                                           ---            ---          ---
     Net cruise revenues                $2,625         $2,651       $2,476
                                        ======         ======       ======

     ALBDs (b)                      16,686,710     16,686,710   15,890,082
                                    ==========     ==========   ==========

     Gross revenue yields              $204.30        $206.79      $199.48
     % increase vs. 2010                   2.4%           3.7%

     Net revenue yields                $157.28        $158.87      $155.81
     % increase vs. 2010                   0.9%           2.0%

     Net passenger ticket revenue
      yields                           $119.11        $120.41      $117.07
     % increase vs. 2010                   1.7%           2.9%

     Net onboard and other revenue
      yields                            $38.17         $38.46       $38.74
     % decrease vs. 2010                 (1.5)%         (0.7)%
     -------------------                 -----          -----

Consolidated gross and net cruise costs and net cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD were computed by dividing the gross and net cruise costs and net cruise costs excluding fuel, without rounding, by ALBDs as follows (dollars in millions, except costs per ALBD) (a):


                                  Three Months Ended February 28,
                                  -------------------------------
                                                        2011
                                                Constant
                                     2011        Dollar             2010
                                     ----        ------             ----

     Cruise operating
      expenses                     $2,386             $2,414      $2,168
     Cruise selling and
      administrative
      expenses (c)                    416                420         389
                                      ---                ---         ---
     Gross cruise costs             2,802              2,834       2,557

     Less cruise costs
      included in net
      cruise revenues
           Commissions,
            transportation and
            other                    (664)              (679)       (581)
           Onboard and other         (120)              (121)       (113)
                                     ----               ----        ----
     Net cruise costs               2,018              2,034       1,863

     Less fuel                       (450)              (450)       (397)
                                     ----               ----        ----
     Net cruise costs
      excluding fuel               $1,568             $1,584      $1,466
                                   ======             ======      ======

     ALBDs (b)                 16,686,710         16,686,710  15,890,082
                               ==========         ==========  ==========

     Gross cruise costs
      per ALBD                    $167.92            $169.81     $160.92
     %  increase vs.
      2010                            4.4%               5.5%

     Net cruise costs
      per ALBD                    $120.90            $121.89     $117.25
     % increase vs. 2010              3.1%               4.0%

     Net cruise costs
      excluding fuel
      per ALBD                     $93.95             $94.94      $92.25
     % increase vs. 2010              1.9%               2.9%
     -------------------              ---                ---


                             NOTES TO NON GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

(a) We use net cruise revenues per ALBD (“net revenue yields”), net cruise costs per ALBD and net cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD as significant non-GAAP financial measures of our cruise segment financial performance. These measures enable us to separate the impact of predictable capacity changes from the more unpredictable rate changes that affect our business. We believe these non-GAAP measures provide an expanded insight to measure our revenue and cost performance in addition to the standard U.S. GAAP-based financial measures.

Net revenue yields are commonly used in the cruise industry to measure a company’s cruise segment revenue performance and for revenue management purposes. We use “net cruise revenues” rather than “gross cruise revenues” to calculate net revenue yields. We believe that net cruise revenues is a more meaningful measure in determining revenue yield than gross cruise revenues because it reflects the cruise revenues earned net of our most significant variable costs, which are travel agent commissions, cost of air and other transportation, certain other costs that are directly associated with onboard and other revenues and credit card fees. Substantially all of our remaining cruise costs are largely fixed, except for the impact of changing prices, once our ship capacity levels have been determined.

Net passenger ticket revenues reflect gross cruise revenues, net of (1) onboard and other revenues, (2) commissions, transportation and other costs and (3) onboard and other cruise costs. Net onboard and other revenues reflect gross cruise revenues, net of (1) passenger ticket revenues, (2) commissions, transportation and other costs and (3) onboard and other cruise costs. Net passenger ticket revenue yields and net onboard and other revenue yields are computed by dividing net passenger ticket revenues and net onboard and other revenues by ALBDs.

Net cruise costs per ALBD and net cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD are the most significant measures we use to monitor our ability to control our cruise segment costs rather than gross cruise costs per ALBD. We exclude the same variable costs that are included in the calculation of net cruise revenues to calculate net cruise costs with and without fuel to avoid duplicating these variable costs in our non-GAAP financial measures.

We have not provided estimates of future gross revenue yields or future gross cruise costs per ALBD because the quantitative reconciliations of forecasted gross cruise revenues to forecasted net cruise revenues or forecasted gross cruise costs to forecasted net cruise costs would include a significant amount of uncertainty in projecting the costs deducted to arrive at this measure. As such, management does not believe that this reconciling information would be meaningful.

In addition, because our Europe, Australia & Asia cruise brands utilize the euro, sterling and Australian dollar to measure their results and financial condition, the translation of those operations to our U.S. dollar reporting currency results in decreases in reported U.S. dollar revenues and expenses if the U.S. dollar strengthens against these foreign currencies, and increases in reported U.S. dollar revenues and expenses if the U.S. dollar weakens against these foreign currencies. Accordingly, we also monitor and report our non-GAAP financial measures assuming the 2011 period currency exchange rates have remained constant with the 2010 period rates, or on a “constant dollar basis,” in order to remove the impact of changes in exchange rates on our non-U.S. dollar cruise operations. We believe that this is a useful measure since it facilitates a comparative view of the growth of our business in a fluctuating currency exchange rate environment.

There are no specific rules for determining our non-GAAP current and constant dollar financial measures and, accordingly, it is possible that they may not be exactly comparable to the like-kind information presented by other cruise companies, which is a potential risk associated with using these measures to compare us to other cruise companies.

(b) ALBDs is a standard measure of passenger capacity for the period, which we use to perform rate and capacity variance analyses to determine the main non-capacity driven factors that cause our cruise revenues and expenses to vary. ALBDs assume that each cabin we offer for sale accommodates two passengers and is computed by multiplying passenger capacity by revenue-producing ship operating days in the period.

(c) For the three months ended February 28, 2011 and 2010, selling and administrative expenses were $422 million and $396 million, respectively. For the three months ended February 28, 2011 and 2010, selling and administrative expenses were comprised of cruise selling and administrative expenses of $416 million and $389 million and Tour and Other selling and administrative expenses of $6 million and $7 million, respectively.

SOURCE Carnival Corporation


Source: newswire