Consumer Credit Default Rates Decreased in February 2012 According to the S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices
NEW YORK, March 20, 2012 /PRNewswire/ — Data through February 2012, released today by S&P Indices and Experian for the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices, a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults, showed that all loan types saw a decrease in default rates for a second consecutive month. The national composite declined to 2.09% in February from the 2.16% January rate. The first mortgage default rate decreased from January’s 2.08% to February’s 2.02%. Second mortgage, bank card and auto loans default rates also declined from 1.30%, 4.57% and 1.27% in January to 1.20%, 4.41% and 1.22% in February, respectively.
“It seems that 2012 has begun on a positive note for the consumer,” says David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Indices. “We appear to be resuming the downward trend in consumer default rates that began in the spring of 2009. With last month’s release we reported that the second half of 2011 saw a rise in consumer defaults, led by four consecutive monthly increases in first mortgage default rates. January and February’s combined reports shows broad based declines in all types of default rates, which is a good way to start the year.
“The first mortgage default rate fell by six basis points in February, bringing this rate closer to the lows seen in the summer of 2011. Second mortgage and bank card default rates fell by even more during that month. In fact, both second mortgage and bank card default rates are their lowest in the three-year history of these data. While bank cards tend to have the highest default rate, at 4.41 % it is now less than half of the 9.15% recorded less than two years ago.
“Four of the five cities we cover saw their default rates drop. For the second consecutive month, Los Angeles saw the largest decline, moving from 2.54% in December, to 2.36% in January, to 1.87% in February. After three consecutive months of increasing default rates, Miami’s fell from 4.80% in January to 4.54% in February. It had the highest default rate of the cities we cover, which is no surprise given the relative state of its housing market. Dallas was the only city where default rates rose, from 1.53% to 1.61%, but it still retains the lowest rate among the five cities we follow.”
The table below summarizes the February 2012 results for the S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices. These data are not seasonally adjusted and are not subject to revision.
S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices National Indices ---------------- Index February 2012 January 2012 February 2011 Index Level Index Level Index Level --- ----------- ----------- ----------- Composite 2.09 2.16 2.54 --------- ---- ---- ---- First Mortgage 2.02 2.08 2.45 -------------- ---- ---- ---- Second Mortgage 1.20 1.30 1.46 --------------- ---- ---- ---- Bank Card 4.41 4.57 5.67 --------- ---- ---- ---- Auto Loans 1.22 1.27 1.58 ---------- ---- ---- ---- Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices Data through February 2012
The table below provides the S&P/Experian Consumer Default Composite Indices for the five MSAs:
Metropolitan February 2012 January 2012 February 2011 Statistical Area Index Level Index Level Index Level ---------------- ----------- ----------- ----------- New York 2.04 2.23 2.53 -------- ---- ---- ---- Chicago 2.71 2.76 2.82 ------- ---- ---- ---- Dallas 1.61 1.53 1.78 ------ ---- ---- ---- Los Angeles 1.87 2.36 2.70 ----------- ---- ---- ---- Miami 4.54 4.80 6.05 ----- ---- ---- ---- Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices Data through February 2012
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Jointly developed by S&P Indices and Experian, the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices are published on the third Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the default experience of consumer balances in four key loan categories: auto, bankcard, first mortgage lien and second mortgage lien. The Indices are calculated based on data extracted from Experian’s consumer credit database. This database is populated with individual consumer loan and payment data submitted by lenders to Experian every month. Experian’s base of data contributors includes leading banks and mortgage companies, and covers approximately $11 trillion in outstanding loans sourced from 11,500 lenders.
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