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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Spain Increases

August 13, 2012

NEW YORK, Aug. 14, 2012 /PRNewswire/ — The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Spain increased 0.3 percent in June to 102.4 (2004 = 100), following a 0.6 percent decline in May, and a 1.5 percent decline in April.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Spain, a measure of current economic activity, declined 0.2 percent in June to 97.4 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent decline in May, and a 0.5 percent decline in April.

The Conference Board LEI for Spain increased for the first time since January, though its six-month rate remains solidly in negative territory, and all of its components became weaker during the first half of 2012. In addition, The Conference Board CEI has been on a downward trend for more than a year. Despite the small improvement in the LEI this month, the recent behavior of the composite indexes suggests that the current contraction in the Spanish economy will continue and could even worsen in the near term.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Spain
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The six components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Spain include:

Capital Equipment Component of Industrial Production
Contribution to Euro M2
Stock Price Index
Long term Government Bond Yield
Order Books Survey
Job Placings

For more information including full press release and technical notes:
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=9

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world’s leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. www.conference-board.org.

                                                              Summary Table of Composite Indexes

                                                         2012                    6-month
                                                         ----
                                        Apr                         May                          Jun         Dec to Jun

    Leading
     Economic
     Index (LEI)                             102.7                       102.1                       102.4
        Percent
         Change                               -1.5                        -0.6                         0.3              -2.3
        Diffusion                             16.7                        33.3                        50.0               0.0

    Coincident
     Economic
     Index (CEI)                              97.7  p                     97.6  p                     97.4 p
        Percent
         Change                               -0.5  p                     -0.1  p                     -0.2 p            -1.4 p
        Diffusion                             20.0                        40.0                        30.0              20.0

    n.a. Not available      p Preliminary      r Revised
    Indexes equal 100 in 2004
    Source: The Conference Board      All Rights Reserved

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SOURCE The Conference Board


Source: PR Newswire