The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia Increases
NEW YORK, April 22, 2013 /PRNewswire/ — The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia increased 0.3 percent in February to 122.2 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent increase in January, and a 0.2 percent decline in December.
At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Australia, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.5 percent in February to 122.1 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent increase in January, and a 0.1 percent decline in December.
The LEI for Australia increased again in February, and its six-month change emerged from negative territory for the first time in more than a year. Meanwhile, the CEI also increased in February, and its six-month grow rate has improved somewhat from the second half of last year. Taken together, the recent improvement in both the LEI and CEI and their components suggests that the economy should continue to grow at a steady pace.
About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index(® )(LEI) for Australia
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.
The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index(®) for Australia include:
Yield Spread, 10 year minus Policy Rate
Share Prices, All Ordinaries
Money Supply, M3
Rural Goods Exports
Sales to Inventory Ratio
Gross Operating Surplus, Private Non-Financial Corporations
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About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world’s leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. www.conference-board.org.
Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes 2012 2013 6-month Dec Jan Feb Aug to Feb Leading Economic Index 121.7 p 121.8 p 122.2 p Percent Change -0.2 p 0.1 p 0.3 p 0.0 Diffusion 35.7 64.3 85.7 57.1 Coincident Economic Index 121.4 p 121.5 p 122.1 p Percent Change -0.1 p 0.1 p 0.5 p 0.5 Diffusion 50.0 87.5 100.0 62.5 n.a. Not available p Preliminary r Revised Indexes equal 100 in 2004 Source: The Conference Board All Rights Reserved
SOURCE The Conference Board