Last updated on April 21, 2014 at 5:04 EDT

Thomson Reuters Predicts 2013 Nobel Laureates

September 25, 2013

Higgs Boson is forecast for Science honors; Economics nominees include theorists of economic regulation

PHILADELPHIA, Sept. 25, 2013 /PRNewswire/ — The IP & Science business of Thomson Reuters, the world leader in intelligent information for businesses and professionals, announced its 2013 “Nobel-class” Citation Laureates today. Having accurately forecast 27 Nobel Prize winners since its inception in 2002, the annual Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates study mines scientific research citations to identify the most influential researchers in the fields of chemistry, physics, medicine and economics.

This year, noteworthy nominees on the Thomson Reuters list include Francois Englert and Peter W. Higgs for their prediction of the Brout-Englert-Higgs boson particle in the field of physics; and, in the field of economics, Sam Peltzman and Richard A. Posner for their work extending economic theories of regulation. Nominees in the field of medicine include Adrian P. Bird, Howard Cedar and Aharon Razin for their fundamental discoveries concerning DNA methylation and gene expression. Chemistry nominees include M.G. Finn, Valery V. Fokin and K. Barry Sharpless for their development of modular click chemistry. If selected, this would be Sharpless’s second Nobel Prize (he won in 2001 for his work on chirally catalyzed oxidation reactions).

The complete list of Nobel predictions includes 28 researchers representing 22 distinct academic and research organizations, and six different countries.

“Scientific research citations function as a repayment of an intellectual debt,” said Gordon Macomber, managing director, Thomson Reuters Scholarly & Scientific Research. “By analyzing these citations in aggregate over many years, we are able to identify individual researchers and institutions that have the greatest impact on their fields of study and, as a result, are most likely to capture the attention of the Nobel jury.”

The annual Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates study is based on analysis of proprietary data from the Thomson Reuters research and citation database, Web of Science((TM)), which identifies the most influential researchers in the categories of chemistry, physics, physiology or medicine, and economics. Based on a thorough review of citations to each person’s research, the company names these high-impact researchers as Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates and predicts they will be Nobel Prize winners, either this year or in the future.

For detailed information about the Citation Laureates and their fields of research, and to view previously named Citation Laureates whom Thomson Reuters considers continuing contenders for a Nobel Prize, visit Thomson Reuters ScienceWatch, an open-Web resource for science metrics and research performance analysis. Thomson Reuters works with academic institutions and funding bodies globally using its unique data and the methodology underlying the Citation Laureates program to identify top and emerging talent across disciplines. Read more information about the insights that can be gleaned from bibliometric data.

Follow @TR_ScienceWatch on Twitter for up-to-the-minute news on the predictions and deeper insight into their fields of research. Facebook users are encouraged to submit their own predictions for the 2013 Nobel Prize winners and take part in Nobel discussions on the Web of Knowledge Facebook page.

The 2013 Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates by Nobel Prize category are:


    A. Paul Alivisatos
    Samsung Distinguished Professor of
     Nanoscience and Nanotechnology,
     and Professor of Chemistry and
     Materials Science and Engineering,
     and Director of Lawrence Berkeley
     National Laboratory
    University of California, Berkeley

    Berkeley, CA, USA


    Chad A. Mirkin
    George B. Rathmann Professor of

    Northwestern University

    Evanston, IL, USA


    Nadrian C. Seeman
    Margaret and Herman Sokol Professor
     of Chemistry
    New York University

    New York, NY, USA

    For contributions to DNA

    Bruce N. Ames
    Senior Scientist and Professor
     Emeritus, Biochemistry and
     Molecular Biology
    Children's Hospital Oakland Research
     Institute, Oakland, CA and
     University of California, Berkeley,
     Berkeley, CA, USA

    For the invention of the Ames test
     of mutagenicity

    M.G. Finn

    Professor of Chemistry and
    Georgia Institute of Technology

    Atlanta, GA, USA


    Valery V. Fokin
    Associate Professor of Chemistry
    The Scripps Research Institute
    La Jolla, CA, USA


    K. Barry Sharpless
    W.M. Keck Professor of Chemistry
    The Scripps Research Institute
    La Jolla, CA, USA
    For the development of modular
     click chemistry


    Francois Englert
    Professor Emeritus and
     Distinguished Visiting Professor
     in Residence, Chapman Institute
     for Quantum Studies
    Universite Libre de Bruxelles,
     Brussels, Belgium and Chapman
     University, Orange, CA, USA


    Peter W. Higgs

    Professor Emeritus
    University of Edinburgh

    Edinburgh, Scotland, UK

    For their prediction of the Brout-
     Englert-Higgs boson

    Hideo Hosono

    Professor, Materials and Structures
     Laboratory and Director of

    Materials Research Center for
     Element Strategy

    Tokyo Institute of Technology

    Yokohama, Japan

    For his discovery of iron-based

    Geoffrey W. Marcy
    Professor of Astronomy

    University of California, Berkeley

    Berkeley, CA, USA


    Michel Mayor

    Emeritus Professor

    University of Geneva

    Geneva, Switzerland


    Didier Queloz


    University of Cambridge, Cambridge,
     UK and University of Geneva,
     Geneva, Switzerland

    For their discoveries of extrasolar



    Adrian P. Bird

    Buchanan Professor of Genetics
    University of Edinburgh

    Edinburgh, Scotland, UK


    Howard Cedar

    Edmond J. Safra Distinguished Professor

    Hebrew University of Jerusalem

    Jerusalem, Israel


    Aharon Razin

    Professor of Biochemistry Emeritus

    Hebrew University of Jerusalem

    Jerusalem, Israel

    For their fundamental discoveries concerning
     DNA methylation and gene expression


    Daniel J. Klionsky

    Alexander G. Ruthven Professor of Life

    University of Michigan

    Ann Arbor, MI, USA


    Noboru Mizushima

    Professor, Biochemistry and Molecular Biology

    Graduate School and Faculty of Medicine

    University of Tokyo

    Tokyo Japan


    Yoshinori Ohsumi
    Professor, Frontier Research Center
    Tokyo Institute of Technology
    Yokohama, Japan

    For elucidating the molecular mechanisms and
     physiological function of autophagy

    Dennis J. Slamon
    Professor, Chief, and Executive Vice Chair
     for Research

    Department of Medicine, Hematology/Oncology
     and Director of Revlon/UCLA Women's Cancer
     Research Program

    University of California Los Angeles

    Los Angeles, CA, USA

    For his pioneering research identifying the
     HER-2/neu oncogene, leading to more
     effective cancer therapy



    Joshua D. Angrist
    Ford Professor of Economics

    Massachusetts Institute of

    Cambridge, MA, USA


    David E. Card

    Class of 1950 Professor of

    University of California,

    Berkeley, CA, USA


    Alan B. Krueger
    Bendheim Professor of Economics
    Princeton University

    Princeton, NJ, USA

    For their advancement of
     empirical microeconomics

    Sir David F. Hendry
    Professor of Economics
    University of Oxford

    Oxford, England, UK


    M. Hashem Pesaran
    John Elliot Distinguished Chair
     in Economics & Professor of
     Economics, and Emeritus
     Professor of Economics & Fellow
     of Trinity College, Cambridge

    University of Southern
     California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
     and University of Cambridge,
     Cambridge, England, UK


    Peter C.B. Phillips

    Sterling Professor of Economics
     and Professor of Statistics

    Yale University

    New Haven, CT, USA

    For their contributions to
     economic time-series, including
     modeling, testing and

    Sam Peltzman

    Ralph and Dorothy Keller
     Distinguished Service Professor
     of Economics Emeritus

    University of Chicago Booth
     School of Business

    Chicago, IL, USA


    Richard A. Posner
    Judge, United States Seventh
     Circuit Court of Appeals, and
     Senior Lecturer

    University of Chicago Law School

    Chicago, IL, USA
    For extending economic theories
     of regulation

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