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Research and Markets: Opioid Antagonists Are the Most Prevalent Drug Class in Late-Stage Development for the Alcohol Dependence Pipeline Which Include Two Reformulations of Naltrexone

February 6, 2008
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Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/c81994) has announced the addition of Pipeline Insight: Substance Dependence – Part II: Alcohol to their offering.

The continued uptake of existing brands and the launch of two opioid antagonists will cause the market to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 13.5% from 2006 to reach $304m across the seven major markets by 2016. The alcohol dependence market requires a paradigm shift away from the public perception that it is a behavioral disorder towards being regarded as a treatable medical condition.

Scope

– Analysis of epidemiology, unmet needs and clinical trial design in alcohol dependence with insight from key opinion leaders

– Overview of the current alcohol dependence market.

– Analysis of patient potential, marketing factors, commercial attractiveness and clinical attractiveness of key late-stage pipeline drugs.

– Indication-specific forecasts of key drug key late-stage pipeline drugs revenues to 2016.

Highlights of this title

The current alcohol dependence pipeline is small in comparison to other central nervous system markets. Opioid antagonists are the most prevalent drug class in late-stage development and include two reformulations of naltrexone. The author therefore believes the current alcohol dependence pipeline to be weak and lacking in innovation.

The efficacy of currently marketed pharmaceutical products is limited, thereby leaving market opportunity for new therapies. Furthermore, in view of the poor medication compliance rate in alcohol dependent patients, pipeline drugs that possess the potential to improve patient compliance can expect to receive a strong uptake.

Companies developing naltrexone depot drugs will experience difficulty distinguishing their products from Vivitrol (naltrexone once-monthly controlled-release, Alkermes/Cephalon) unless they price their drugs competitively and/or incorporate an injection device that produces less pain and fewer injection site reactions.

Key reasons to purchase this title

– Understand unmet needs and opportunities in this market based on the comments of interviewed key opinion leaders.

– Benchmark key late-stage alcohol dependence compounds against the current market leader.

– Assess the seven major market total sales forecasts of key late-stage pipeline drugs; and examine their clinical and commercial potential.

Content Outline:

ABOUT US HEALTHCARE 2

About the CNS pharmaceutical analysis team 2

CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3

Scope of the analysis 3

Our insight into the alcohol dependence market 4

Key metrics 5

Our pipeline assessment summary 6

Contributing experts 6

Related reports 7

CHAPTER 2 ALCOHOL DEPENDENCE – MARKET POTENTIAL 9

Definition of alcohol dependence 10

Both genetic and environmental factors play a role in the etiology of alcohol dependence 11

Screening and diagnosis of alcohol dependence 13

Verbal assessment 13

Self-report instruments 14

Alcohol dependence is often under-diagnosed and under-treated 16

Epidemiology of alcohol dependence 17

Alcohol dependence is estimated to affect 19.8 million people in the seven major markets 17

The prevalence of alcohol dependence is in decline in the US 19

However, key opinion leaders believe the prevalence of alcohol dependence is on the rise in developing nations 21

Alcohol dependence is more common in men than women 21

The prevalence of alcoholism declines with increasing age 22

Psychiatric co-morbidity is prevalent in alcohol-dependent patients 23

Alcohol dependence carries considerable adverse health and social consequences 25

Alcohol dependence is a major determinant of ill-health 25

Alcohol dependence carries a high socioeconomic impact 26

Current market overview 26

Although small, the alcohol dependence market demonstrates consistently strong growth 26

The EU dominates sales revenue of the alcohol dependence market 28

Only one alcohol dependence product is currently available in Japan 29

France is the largest alcohol dependence market in the 5EU 29

There are a limited number of drugs available to treat alcohol dependence 30

Merck KGaA and Forests Campral dominates the market with a 65% market share 32

Pharmacological treatment is commonly delivered in conjunction with non-pharmacologic treatment 33

Unmet need in alcohol dependence 33

Environmental unmet need: Greater resources and funding for treatments 34

Clinical unmet need: Greater efficacy 35

Clinical unmet need: Improved compliance 36

CHAPTER 3 PIPELINE OVERVIEW AND DYNAMICS 38

Pipeline overview 39

Opioid antagonists are the most prevalent drug class in the current pipeline 39

A paradigm shift is required to expand the alcohol dependence market 41

Definition of current comparator therapy 41

Vivitrol is Ours comparator therapy 41

Forecasts to 2016 43

Clinical trials 44

Phase III 6-month study 44

Vivitrols major competitor and key strengths and weaknesses 45

Classification of pipeline products 46

Recently discontinued or failed projects 46

Neramexane 47

Clinical trial design 47

There is a need for agreed research standards in alcohol dependence 47

Patient populations 47

Primary and secondary endpoints 48

CHAPTER 4 OPIOID ANTAGONIST LATE-STAGE DRUG ANALYSIS & FORECASTS 50

Overview for opioid antagonist class 51

Pipeline summary 51

Nalmefene (CPH-101) 51

Drug overview 51

Forecasts to 2016 52

Our drug assessment summary 53

Marketing factors 54

Nalmefene will benefit from the marketing resources of Lundbeck and Britannia 54

Gaining additional indications will serve to expand patient potential 55

Efficacy in the absence of formal psychosocial support provides a differentiating factor 56

Patient potential 56

Nalmefene set to be indicated for non-abstinent patients on an as-needed basis 56

Nalmefene will be aimed at reducing heavy drinking days rather than total abstinence 57

Satisfaction of unmet needs 57

Nalmefene does not match Vivitrols ability to improve compliance 57

Clinical trial data 58

Phase III data (Finland) 58

Phase III data (UK) 59

Naltrel (naltrexone depot) 59

Drug overview 59

Forecasts to 2016 60

Our drug assessment summary 61

Marketing factors 62

Naltrel will experience competition from Vivitrol 62

Elbion would benefit from seeking a marketing partner for Naltrel 63

Patient potential 63

Satisfaction of unmet needs 63

Clinical trial data 63

Phase III trial data 63

Depotrex (naltrexone) 65

Drug overview 65

CHAPTER 5 OTHER LATE-STAGE DRUG ANALYSIS 66

Overview for other drugs in late-stage development 67

Pipeline summary 67

ALKS-29 67

Drug overview 67

LY-686017 68

Drug overview 68

Ongoing clinical trials 69

BIBLIOGRAPHY 70

Journal papers 70

Books 74

Our reports 75

Websites 75

APPENDIX A 81

Methodology 81

Our forecast methodology 81

Epidemiology forecasts 81

Product forecasts 81

Definition of a standard unit 81

Contributing experts 83

APPENDIX B 84

Methodology 84

Definition of alcohol dependence market 84

About Our 85

About Our Healthcare 85

Our Healthcares therapy area capabilities 86

About the Disease analysis team 86

Disclaimer 88

List of Tables

List of Figures

Companies Mentioned:

– Alkermes Inc

– Barr Pharmaceuticals

– Britannia Building Society

– Cephalon

– DrugAbuse Sciences SAS

– Eli Lilly and Company

– Forest Laboratories, Inc

– Grant Supply Co.

– Grupo Radio Centro SA

– IMS Health

– Insight Communications Company, Inc.

– Merck & Co., Inc.

– Merck KGaA

– Miller Group Limited, The

– New York & Company, Inc.

– Odyssey Healthcare Inc

– RM plc

– Unit Corporation

– Wyeth

For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/c81994

Source: Datamonitor