October 12, 2011
Spotty, Strong Convection Helps Irwin Regain Tropical Storm Status
Tropical Storm Irwin almost appeared down for the count, but spotty areas of flaring convection provided a clue to forecasters that he wasn't ready to give up yet. The cloud top temperatures were measured by a NASA instrument at a frigid -112 Fahrenheit, indicating they're very high and powerful.
An infrared image of Tropical Depression Irwin was taken from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument on NASA's Aqua satellite on Oct. 11 at 4:53 a.m. EDT. The infrared data revealed three areas of strong convection still occurring within the depression. Those three areas had high, very cold cloud tops (-80C/-112F) indicated strong convection, and heavy rainfall.
Irwin is centered about 620 miles (1000 km) south-southwest the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico, near 15.3 North and 115.0 West. Irwin is moving to the east at 8 mph (12 kmh) and is expected to continue that direction today, but turn to the east-northeast on Oct. 12.
The National Hurricane Center discussion for Irwin's future indicates that the strengthening is only temporary because of stable air and increasing wind shear. If infrared data shows Irwin's cloud tops warming, that means they're falling and there's not as much energy in the atmosphere. If that happens, Irwin may drop to depression status again over the next couple of days.
Image Caption: This infrared image of spotty cold cloud tops in Irwin (left) was taken from the AIRS instrument on NASA's Aqua satellite on Oct. 11 at 4:53 a.m. EDT. The purple areas indicate coldest cloud tops (-63F) and strongest convection, and heaviest rainfall. The powerful Hurricane Jova is seen to the right along the western Mexico coastline. Credit: NASA/JPiL/Ed Olsen
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