Big Story Weather Header
June 21, 2012

Big Story Weather – June 21, 2012

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from June 20: Heavy rain and scattered storms were seen from Minnesota to the Great Lakes, with places in Minnesota receiving well over 4 inches of rain. Damaging hail and wind was reported from the Panhandle of Texas all the way north into the Great Lakes region.  The second major story was the heat along the East Coast and the Mid Atlantic where places around DC and Baltimore hit the upper 90´s with heat indexes well over 100's.

Big Story Weather Outlook for June 21: The heat is on for a second day along the East Coast, especially in the Mid-Atlantic region where places will get close to 100F with heat indexes in the 105 range. High pressure sits off the Southeast Coast bringing partly to mostly cloudy skies back into the Southeast and Gulf Coast. Frontal boundary extends from the Ohio River Valley back southwestward into the Panhandle of Texas bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region, some of which will reach the severe level with hail and damaging winds being the biggest threat. High pressure influences the weather from the Plains back all the way to the West Coast creating partly to mostly cloudy skies throughout the entire region.

Big Story Weather International Outlook: A weak area of high pressure will be in control of the weather from Japan to the Korea´s with another tropical depression just off the coast of China beginning to move Northeast towards Southern Japan over the next couple of days. The Middle East will be under dry and warm conditions again today. Low pressure over Ireland will bring showers to the region and also the showers will spread eastward into Western Europe. A strong low pressure moving south of South America will bring an increase to winds and seas to the region along with scattered showers. Low pressure will influence the weather with showers to the Southeast part of Australia, while the rest of the region will be under the influence of high pressure.

Big Story Tropics for June 21, 2012: This morning TD Talim weakens and shall be a minimal tropical depression today as it moves on towards southern Japan.  While in the remainder of the Western Pacific two areas of interest are being watched closely for further development. The first is 93W which is sitting off the coast of the Philippians with an estimated pressure near 1010mb and winds around 15kts. The second area is 94W which has formed to the West of Guam with an estimated pressure of 1010mb and 15kt estimated winds. This storm should remain away from Guam and start heading northward. In the Atlantic we still have Chris this morning, with winds near 50kts and a pressure around 990mb. This storm is pretty much going to remain out over the Atlantic with no immediate threats to land. The last location is in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico this morning that the NHC has given it a 30% of developing over the next 48 hrs. Satellite does support some small cyclonic turning in their report this morning. This area really needs to be monitored along the Northern Gulf Coast as it begins to push northwest and then northward over the next few days. The system could very well become tropical in nature soon.

ENSO WATCH:  Currently at a Neutral Phase.

(Sea surface chart courtesy of F-5 data)(Analysis by Meteorologist Joshua Kelly)

Back over in the Eastern Pacific we are still monitoring the potential start of EL-Nino later this year towards the late fall. Right now we still see the area of 26C trying to make a slow push towards the coast of Peru.  Hawaii is still maintaining temps in the 22-24C range. This morning a few pockets of 30C have developed off the coast of Central America these will support any further tropical systems that may develop in the region.