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June 25, 2012

Big Story Weather – June 25, 2012

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from June 22-24: Severe weather struck through the Northern Plains on the 23rd. However, the biggest news of the past weekend was the formation of Tropical Storm Debby and the huge impacts from storm surge, rip currents, tornadoes, heavy rain and damaging winds that it has brought to the entire state of Florida. As of this morning there have been 2 deaths related to the storm.  There have also been reports of wave height in the Gulf well over 12ft.

Big Story Weather Outlook for June 22: The big story of the day is Tropical Storm Debby which is located in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Florida providing wind/storms/flooding/dangerous conditions to the state of Florida. The rest of the Gulf Coast will see isolated thunderstorms this afternoon along with breezy conditions. The Northeast will experience a few thunderstorms this afternoon due to a trough going through the region. The remainder of the country will be under the influence of high pressure. Warm conditions will be found in the Southwest as the firefighting efforts continue.

Big Story Weather International Outlook: Low pressure moving towards Europe will bring an increase in cloud cover to the regions of Spain and England along with France. The monsoonal trough will be in full force today over India bringing increased showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure will be in control of the weather over the Korea´s and Japan.  An area of low pressure will be moving into the Southwest coast of Australia bringing showers and thunderstorms to places like Perth. High pressure will bring partly cloudy skies to the remainder of the country. The Middle East will also be warm and dry today.

Big Story Weather Tropical Outlook for June 25, 2012: This morning Tropical Storm Debby continues to drift slowly towards the Florida Panhandle. The storm is still around 50mph with a pressure of 992mb. Debby will continue to have large impacts on Florida along with dangerous rip currents westward into Alabama and Mississippi Barrier Islands. Along with that expect to see large amounts of coastal flooding from Mississippi to Florida. In the Western Pacific there is 95W just to the east of the Philippines which is bringing heavy rain to the region and has an estimated pressure near 1010mb and also winds around 15kts. The remainder of the tropics are quiet today.

ENSO Watch: Neutral Phase

(The following map is courtesy of F-5 data).

Sea Surface Temp Analysis:
This morning we see that the 26C contour is still making its way towards the coast of Peru. Also back in the French Polynesia Islands the sea temps this morning are in the 28-30C range as this water slowly continues to move eastward. The Hawaiian islands remain in the 24-25C range on the South Shores and 22-23C along the North facing shores. There is a colder tongue of water extending from the coast of South America westward back into the Pacific this morning. The overall pattern of the Pacific remains in a neutral phase of the ENSO Cycle.