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June 26, 2012

Big Story Weather – June 26, 2012

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from June 25: Three major events over the last 24hrs dominated the weather over the United States. First, Tropical Storm Debby continues to wreak havoc on Florida. Pretty much the entire state is dealing with massive flooding, strong winds and high seas. Secondly, was the severe weather over the Northern Rockies which brought multiple warnings overnight for the region. The third impact is the heat that is building up over the Central United States expanding southeastward. Yesterday, many places saw Heat Index values soar past the 100F range expect more of the same today.

Big Story Weather Outlook for June 26: The big weather stories for today include Tropical Storm Debby which is slowly moving eastward at around 3mph. Florida will again today receive more heavy rain along with flooding, rip currents, strong winds and isolated tornadoes. An area of thunderstorms will also be found up in the Northeast along a low pressure center situated over Maine. Expect some of these storms to be strong to severe. From the Ohio River Valley westward into the Plains and expanding southward into the Gulf Coast and parts of the Southeast, the word is HOT. Temps in this region are going to soar with many places breaking into the 100-105F range and higher along with heat index values approaching 110-120F for places mostly back in the Plains along with dry conditions. The Gulf Coast will see dry weather and heat values near 105-110F. Hydrate and give yourself plenty of breaks if you have to work outside in this weather. West Coast remains dry today with the exception being Montana as another low pressure system is moving through the region bringing with it thunderstorms to the area.

Big Story Weather International Outlook:
High pressure over Japan will bring partly cloudy skies to the area from Japan back into the Koreas. South near Hong Kong another Low pressure is beginning to develop which will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.  The monsoonal trough will impact India again today with heavy rain. High pressure will be in control of the weather over the Middle East bringing partly cloudy skies and warm conditions to the region. Low pressure moving in near Spain will bring showers to Spain and France. Another Low moving to the Southeast of England will bring scattered showers to the region. High pressure over Southeast Australia will bring partly cloudy skies to the East coast while another low over the southern part of the country will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms to the majority of the southern part.

Big Story Weather Tropical Outlook for June 26, 2012: This morning Tropical Storm Debby continues to drift slowly towards the Florida Panhandle. The storm is still around 45mph with a pressure of 993mb. Debby will continue to bring heavy rain and high waves along with strong winds and isolated tornadoes to Florida today. In the Western Pacific there is 95W just to the east of the Philippines which is bringing heavy rain to the region and has an estimated pressure near 1006mb and also winds around 20kts. The rest of the tropics are quite this morning.

ENSO Watch: Neutral Phase “Slowly transitioning to EL-Nino likely”

(The following map is courtesy of F-5 data).

Sea Surface Temp Analysis: Warmer temps have started to arrive along the Peru Coast and also another surge of warmer air is moving across the Pacific from the French Polynesia islands indicating that the shift into EL-Nino may be beginning. This would start the  process of really changing the fall/winter outlooks based on each region.