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June 29, 2012

Big Story Weather – June 29, 2012

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from June 28: The heat again was the big story with many places hitting the century mark, while others were dealing with Heat Index values well over 110. Severe weather was limited to the Chicago area and also over into Pittsburg with the primary storm reports being wind and hail damage.

Big Story Weather Outlook for June 29: Low pressure will bring a few lingering thunderstorms to Northern Maine throughout the day. Otherwise, the rest of the Northeast will be hot and dry. For instance, New York will see temps in the lower to mid 90´s. High pressure moving into the Eastern Gulf of Mexico will bring dry conditions to the Southeast and also warm conditions throughout the region, while Florida with the northerly winds will be a tad bit cooler, including Tampa where a high temp in the Mid 80´s is possible. The Northern Plains will be warm and dry with the exception being a small trough moving through Nebraska and Iowa which will bring thunderstorms, some of which may be strong. Also, high temps in Minneapolis will be in the lower 80´s today, while the Southern Plains will be dealing with 90-100 degree heat again. The majority of the area from West of the Rockies will be dry and warm as high temps will reach the 90´s in Denver and throughout the fire stricken Colorado region, while along the West Coast places like San Diego will be feeling good today with high temps in the lower 80´s.

Big Story Weather International Outlook: Partly to Mostly cloudy skies will prevail from the Korea´s eastward into Japan as the area is under the influence of a weak high pressure center. Tropical Strom Doksuri continues to track towards mainland China with a landfall forecast to be near Hong Kong. Expect to see increasing clouds along with winds and rain in this region. The monsoonal trough will be very active throughout the entire Southeast Asia region today. Low pressure moving into Western Europe will bring mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers to places from London eastward into Spain and France, and southward into Italy today.

Big Story Weather Tropics for June 28, 2012: Debby making its last stand as it is moving towards Bermuda with estimated winds near 40kts and pressure around 997mb. In the Western Pacific TS Doksuri continues to track towards Southeast China, south of the major city of Hong Kong with estimated winds around 40kts and a pressure of 993mb. Elsewhere in the Pacific there is 96W which is about 2 degrees above the equator and is slowly drifting towards the Northwest with an estimated pressure of 1007mb and 20kts. A final area is located to the Northeast of Australia. 91P this morning has an estimated pressure of 1000mb and winds estimated to be around 30kts. It is very likely that this region will become a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24hrs.

Tropical Watch: The region off the coast of China where TS Doksuri continues to track towards we look at the ocean waters in that region and see there is plenty of warm water to support the system.

(The following map is courtesy of F-5 data).

With SST Temps in the 28-30C range along its path the water will support the system, however as the outer bands start to feel the land of Southeast China this will lead to a slow weakening of the system prior to making landfall.