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July 6, 2012

Big Story Weather – July 6, 2012

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from July 5: The heat continued to impact many from the Plains eastward and also into the Southeast, where many places saw temps rise above the 100F mark and heat index values around 105-115F. The severe weather was found from the Mid-Atlantic all the way back into the Southeast and along the Gulf States with reports of wind and hail damage.

Big Story Weather Outlook: The Northeast will still see a few lingering thunderstorms around the coast of Maine. Otherwise the remainder of the Northeast will be warm and dry. The Mid-Atlantic region will also be warm and dry today as places like Baltimore top out into the 90´s for daytime highs. The Southeast will be hot with strong afternoon thunderstorms moving through places from Florida westward into New  Orleans and Houston, while Dallas should remain dry and very warm with temps closing in near the 100F range. The Northern Plains is today's extreme area with a strong frontal boundary forecasted to move through the area. Look for some strong to severe weather along with a big change in temps to arrive. Sioux City will get into the 90´s prior to the front arriving and then after the front passes expect to see the temps rapidly drop to the lower 70´s and some 60´s through the region. The west will be dry and mild again today as places like Seattle warm into the lower 80´s and then evening lows drop back into the mid 60´s.

Big Story Weather International Outlook: An area of Low pressure will move through Japan today bringing scattered showers from Japan westward into the Korea´s along with Shanghai China. The monsoonal trough will be in full force throughout India today bringing with it heavier areas of rainfall. A weak low pressure center will move through the southern portion of the Middle East allowing for an increase in cloud cover to the region. The majority of Western Europe will see a nice day, while England will be dealing with a few showers. High pressure situated over Southeast Australia will impact the majority of the country with partly cloudy skies, while the tail end of a cold front will impact the Perth region bringing with it showers and isolated thunderstorms.

Big Story Weather Tropics: Tropical Storm Daniel formed yesterday and is now churning its way through the Eastern Pacific. There should be no impact to land as it stays over the open waters. However, later today it is forecasted to gain Hurricane strength. Also overnight 97E has formed just off the coast of Central America and is getting better organized this morning. Tropical Storm Daniel has winds estimated around 55kts and a pressure near 995mb. While 97E this morning has an estimated pressure of 1009mb and winds near 25kts. The remainder of the tropics are quite this morning.

(The following map is courtesy of F-5 data).

Tropics Watch: This morning we focus our attention back into the Eastern Pacific where a Tropical storm has formed and also the latest forecast from the Climate Prediction Center has upgraded the chances to near 60% for EL-Nino to form over the next couple of month´s during the JAS period also known as the 3rd quarter months of July, August, September. The temps of the Eastern Pacific have been slowly increasing and shifting eastward towards the coast of Peru. Also noted is that the Sea Surface Temps around the Northern Side of Hawaii have increased over the past week or so.