Big Story Weather – July 13, 2012
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from July 12: Yesterday was a busy day from the severe weather standpoint, with places in Eastern Texas getting some of the heaviest rainfall ever in 24hrs. Houston Texas received over 10 inches in 24hrs, and that alone is a more than they get in an entire month. Heavy rain also fell throughout Western Louisiana. One lone tornado was reported in Central Florida along with many hail reports from the Dakota´s along with minor wind damage scattered through various states from the Southeast and also in the Northern Plains. All the major heat from the past few weeks have simmered down as the pattern is more supportive of normal July weather now. A little funny thing that I have noticed as a meteorologist…as soon as the heat is gone, all the sudden the stories of global climate change cease, hmm wonder why?
Big Story Weather Outlook: High pressure over the Mid-Atlantic will bring mild conditions along with partly cloudy skies along with the Northeast. Places like New York will see partly cloudy skies and temps in the lower 80´s. The southeast will be dealing with the stationary front from the Carolina´s back into Texas again today bringing with it plenty of rainfall for places like Memphis and Houston again. Temps will range in the mid 80´s for Memphis back into Eastern Texas. High pressure over Colorado will bring partly cloudy skies to the interior portion of the Rockies. Places like Denver will see high temp in the upper 80´s to lower 90´s. A frontal boundary moving through the Northern Plains will bring a chance of thunderstorms for places like the Twin Cities, while places west back in the Dakota´s will enjoy party cloudy skies and temps in the mid 80´s. The monsoonal rains will be found in the Southwest again today, while the West Coast enjoys another dry and mild day. In Portland the temps will reach the upper 80´s.
Big Story Weather International Outlook: Low pressure to the Northeast of Japan with the associated frontal boundary extending back into Eastern China will bring rain showers to places like Tokyo back into Seoul and southward into Shanghai and Hong Kong. The monsoonal trough will be in place over the Southeast portion of Asia bringing moderate rain to places like India. Low pressure over England will bring another day of showers to the region. Low pressure moving towards the Alaskan Islands will bring mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers to the southern portion of Alaska. High pressure will extend into Western Australia bringing partly cloudy skies, while the eastern portion of Australia will be dealing with showers and mostly cloudy skies.
Big Story Weather Oceans: Daniel has dissipated to a few thunderstorms tracking south of Hawaii. Emilia has also reached the colder waters which has forced the system down into Tropical Storm status. The system continues tracking westward towards the islands of Hawaii, but it should continue to weaken over the weekend. Estimated winds are around 60kts and pressure near 991mb. New to the tropical field is Tropical Storm Fabio which has formed over the same spot that Daniel and Emilia originated from. It will also begin to track West-Northwestward towards colder waters; however, Fabio is going to take a sharp turn to the North and head towards the Baja region. This will limit the strength of the storm as it will hit colder waters faster than the other two storms did. As you can see in the graphic below, estimated winds this morning are around 55kts with pressure near 995mb. Elsewhere the tropics remain quiet.
(The following map is courtesy of F-5 data).
Tropics Watch: Tropical Storm Fabio as it makes its way northwestward is going to leave the warmer waters rapidly and approach colder waters which will limit how intense it will be. Also, if it stays closer to the coastline of Baja, it will be able to stay stronger, longer due to the warmer waters. This system needs to be watched as it could bring heavy rain to the Baja region and the rainfall could extend into the Southwest part of the United States.