Big Story Weather – October 1, 2012
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from September 28-30: This past weekend brought plenty of rainfall along with quite a bit of severe weather. Here is just a few of the reports from this weekend. On the 28th we saw one tornado in Western PA, along with multiple wind damage reports in the Mid-Atlantic region. On the 29th the action was found in Texas and South Carolina as Texas had wind damage and also two reported tornadoes. The 30th brought more severe weather along the frontal boundary as two tornadoes were reported in Southern Mississippi along with multiple wind damage reports and hail reports in New Mexico and Nebraska. The colder weather also started to move in over the Plains Sunday night.
Weather Outlook for October 1: Low pressure moving through central Alabama will create an area of severe weather from Alabama eastward into the Carolina´s today. Expect to see heavy rain and some severe winds. High pressure is beginning to ridge in over the Northern Rockies. This will usher in some colder air across the region. The heat will be found in the southwest as temps soar over 100 in the California valley´s today. Here is the weather for a few select cities:
New York NY: (PC 71F) | Orlando FL: (Storms 84F) | St. Louis MO: (PC 68F) | Cheyenne WY: (PC 67F) | San Diego CA: (Sunny 89F)
International Outlook: High pressure beginning to build in over Eastern China will bring partly cloudy skies to the Korea´s and also Japan as it begins to recover from this past weekend. High pressure will influence Eastern Europe with partly cloudy skies, while an area of low pressure begins to move in from England and will bring showers to Western Europe and also England. High pressure beginning to move in from the west will influence a good portion of South America. A 1024mb high will bring very nice conditions to the majority of Australia today as well.
Atlantic Basin: Hurricane Nadine continues to impact the Azores as it drifts slowly northeastward. Winds are now at 65kts with a pressure of 988mb. A new area of development has started to show signs of increasing in intensity. Currently the area is off the coast of Africa and has winds around 25kts with a pressure of 1008mb.
Eastern Pacific: Miriam is on its final leg of life with winds around 30kts and a pressure of 999mb.
Western Pacific: There is currently Tropical Depression 20W which is located to the Southeast of Iwo To Japan with winds near 30kts and a pressure of 1000mb. This system will slowly move northward and intensify slightly before curving east of mainland Japan. There is another area in the South China Sea that has winds near 20kts and a pressure of 1007mb.
ENSO Watch: Conditions are still very favorable for development of this phase soon.
Five Day Storm Index Outlook:
New York NY: Today will be quiet. A frontal boundary will approach the area on the 2nd and 3rd bringing a slight chance of thunderstorm activity and impacts to the area.
Orlando FL: Frontal boundary beginning to push into the area today and tomorrow will bring with it a moderate chance of thunderstorms and seeing impacts in the region. The rest of the period the afternoon breezes will create some afternoon thunderstorms bringing about a slight chance of impacts.
St. Louis MO: A tranquil week ahead as high pressure begins to move into the area.
Cheyenne WY: A quiet week as high pressure sits overhead.
San Diego CA: A warm start to the week however, the winds are blowing from the Northeast which is going to keep the area dry as well.
Climate Watch for the period of September 26-30:
New York NY: The period started out about 4-5 degrees above average followed by a cold front which brought temps back to around 1-6 degrees below average.
Orlando FL: Temps have maintained about 2-4 degrees above average for the entire past week.
St. Louis MO: The 26th temps were about 3 degrees above average, followed by a brief cool down with temps dropping to around 3-4 below average and then a gradual warm up with temps at or slightly above average.
Cheyenne WY: The period started with temps about 6-9 degrees below average, followed by a return of southerly winds which has brought temps to about 4-9 degrees above average.
San Diego CA: Temps have been warming the entire period and on the 29th and 30rd temps were running about 8-9 degrees above average.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 1, 2012:
Day 1-3: Low pressure over the Southeast will lead to a large area of thunderstorms and some severe weather. Also the high pressure moving in over the north will bring colder conditions to the area. The down sloping winds in the West will lead to some dry and very warm conditions in the Los Angeles Basin and surrounding areas.
Day 4-7: Strong area of high pressure will make its way down the Plains towards Texas and bring some very cold air into the region. The frontal boundary will continue to move through the Northeast bringing showers to the region.
Day 8-12: Another low pressure system will move through the Northern Plains and bring with it some colder air and the possibility of snowfall from the Plains into the Great Lakes region.
Day 13-15: A 1044mb high will push in and bring the first taste of Arctic air to the region with many places seeing low temps in the teens. This may just be the start of a very long winter. Also this cold air will push over the warmer surfaces of the south creating rain showers in the south along a boundary.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Watertown SD:
Monday: Partly Cloudy and mild with high temps in the upper 60´s. Winds will be from the Northwest around 8-13mph. Overnight lows will drop into the mid 40´s.
Tuesday: Partly Cloudy and nice with high temps in the lower 70´s. Winds will from the Southwest around 8mph. Overnight lows will drop into the mid 40´s.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a few afternoon and evening showers. High temps will be around 74 early and then drop throughout the afternoon. Winds will start Southwest and then shift to the Northwest overnight around 15mph. Low temps will be around 37.
Thursday: A few rain/snow showers in the morning followed by clearing skies and cold high temps will be in the mid 40´s, with overnight lows dropping into the 20´s. Winds will be Northwest around 20mph.
Friday: Partly cloudy and colder with high temps in the mid 40´s. Winds will be from the Northwest around 10mph with overnight lows near 20 which may be record cold!
Ask The Weatherman for October 1:
Question: What is an Alberta Clipper?
Answer: This feature is a low pressure system that develops over the plains of Alberta Canada and moves southeastward towards the Northern Plains and Great Lakes and then exits out the Northeast. The reason behind the Clipper is that it “clips” the United States.
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Green Energy Weather Report for October 1:
Wave Energy: Look for the best wave energy to be in the Northern Gulf along the frontal boundary and also beginning along the Southeast Coast.
Solar Energy: The Northern Plains will have high pressure building in which will bring plenty of sunshine. Also looking at good solar energy in the Southwest and also the Northwest.
Wind Energy: The Northern Gulf Coast along the frontal boundary winds are in the 15-25mph range creating a good push of wind energy.
Hydro-Energy: The Red River and also the Southern Portion of the Mississippi river are dealing with all the extra runoff from this past weekend which is making for a good day.