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October 9, 2012

Big Story Weather – October 9, 2012

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from October 8: The big chill has been on for a good portion of the United States east of the Rockies, while the west is still dealing with very dry conditions in places like Portland and Seattle and also the Southwest. A weak frontal boundary moved through the Northern Plains last night and dropped a few sprinkles across the region.

Weather Outlook for October 9: Low pressure moving north of the Great Lakes today will bring a few passing showers to places in Minnesota and Iowa along with places like Green Bay. High pressure building in over the Northern Rockies will bring with it another shot of cold Canadian air southward across the Eastern portion of the United States. Below is the weather for a few select cities.

Boston: (Partly Cloudy: 55F) | Gulfport MS: (Partly Cloudy: 76F) | Omaha NE: (Showers: 52F) | Denver CO: (Partly Cloudy: 55F) | San Diego CA: (Sunny: 71F)

International Weather Outlook: High pressure over Eastern China will slowly start to push eastward bringing partly cloudy skies to the Korea´s and also Japan. The monsoonal rains will continue to impact portions of Southeast Asia to include Pakistan and India. A frontal boundary will extend form England southeastward into portions of France and Spain and bring with it the chance of seeing some showers. High pressure will influence the weather over the southern portion of South America and also the majority of Australia will enjoy high pressure today, while in the Northern part there is a developing area of low pressure that may bring a few showers to the north. Below is a five day forecast for Hong Kong China.

Tuesday: Partly Cloudy 23C | Wednesday: Partly Cloudy 22C | Thursday: Sunny 28C | Friday: Sunny 27C | Saturday: Partly Cloudy 27C

October 9, 2012 Storm Tracker Update:

Atlantic Basin: There are two areas of interest this morning in the basin. The first area is just east of Florida and has winds near 15kts and a pressure of 1010mb. It will slowly drift northward into the boundary. The second is back off the coast of South America and it has winds near 15kts and also a pressure of 1010mb. This feature will slowly drift towards the west and may intensify slightly over the next 24hrs.

Eastern Pacific: Tropical Depression Olivia has winds estimated at 30kts and a pressure of 1004mb. This storm will slowly drift north-northwestward over the next 24hrs.

Western Pacific: Typhoon Prapiroon is still moving slowly to the north and will soon make a turn to the northeast with winds estimated around 65kts and a pressure of 974mb. Also Tropical Depression Gaemi continues to drift over Vietnam and weaken as winds are now around 20kts and a pressure of 1007mb.

South Indian Ocean: There remains an area of interest this morning located near 18.7N and 87.3E. The winds are around 15kts and a pressure of 1010mb. This feature will continue to drift slowly westward across the Indian Ocean basin.

ENSO Watch: Things are starting to shape up here in the United States indicating that El-Nino may now be under way. We are starting to see an increase in Southern Storm tracks along with a stronger high pressure that beginning to push all the weather systems up and over the Pacific Northwest. These are just some signs we will have to continue to watch over the coming weeks.

Five Day Storm Index Outlook for Oct 9-13:

Boston MA: Today and tomorrow a weak frontal boundary may bring a few passing showers into the region which will lead to a slight impact risk. However, after that look for nice weather to return and the impacts to be none.

Gulfport MS: High pressure has settled into the area and the next five days look to provide no impacts to the region.

Omaha NE: High pressure will be moving over the area for the next few days, however by the 13th another low pressure system will be moving into the region and bring a chance of thunderstorms which will create a slight risk.

Denver CO: A quiet few days followed by a frontal boundary beginning to move in on the 12th which will lead to some thunderstorm development on the front range creating a slight risk of impacts for the region.

San Diego CA: Today and tomorrow will be nice. However, as an upper level low begins to move in off the coast, anticipate seeing a chance of thunderstorms over San Diego on the 11th, which could lead to some slight impacts.

Climate Watch for October 4-8:

Boston MA: Started the period out about 4 degrees below average and then warmed to about 9-13 degrees above, followed by the 7th and 8th being about 8 degrees below average.

Gulfport MS: Temps have been staying about 2-5 degrees above average and then on the 7th temps fell to around 4-6 degrees below average.

Omaha NE: A very cold past few days as temps have been running about 11-21 degrees below average for this time of year, the 8th temps did warm a touch to around 3 degrees above average.

Denver CO: Temps have been very cold over the past few days averaging about 16-33 degrees below normal for this time of year, the 8th temps did finally go back to about 5 degrees above average.

San Diego CA: The temps have been fairly consistent with the average only up or down a few degrees the entire past five days.

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 9, 2012:

Day 1-3: A frontal boundary will drape through the Great Lakes region bringing some wide spread scattered showers to the area. High pressure will influence the weather for the Rockies and also an upper level high height will bring nice weather to the Gulf Coast region.

Day 4-7: The upper level low feature will start to deepen a surface low in the Southern Rockies that will start to bring some heavy rainfall to the region and also some strong thunderstorms will be possible. The East coast will be under high pressure, while the Pacific Northwest will start to feel the effects of the frontal boundary moving onshore. A low pressure system will begin to form over the Northern Rockies and start to make its way southward during the Day 7 time period.

Day 8-12: Another low pressure will begin to move through the Great Lakes region bringing some heavier precipitation to the area. Also a low pressure will be moving into the Pacific Northwest in the Canada region that will start to move eastward. A tropical feature may start approaching the Baja during this time period as well.

Day 13-15: The combination of tropical moisture moving in over the Southwest and also a piece of energy coming out of the Rockies really needs to be watched as it could become a strong severe weather maker and also on the back side of this storm we could be dealing with a winter storm.

Today's Spotlight Forecast is for Canton SD:

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with a high near 54F, winds will be from the Northwest at 10-15mph, overnight lows will drop to around 30F.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy and cool with a high near 59F, winds will be from the Southwest at 7-12mph, overnight lows around 36F.

Thursday: Partly cloudy and cooler with a high only near 53F, winds will be from the Northeast around 7-12mph, overnight lows falling to the 30´s.

Friday: Increasing clouds and warmer with a high near 58F, look for the winds to be out of the Southeast around 10-15mph with a low near 47F.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with periods of rain and warm with a high near 72F, winds will start from the Southwest around 8mph and then towards the afternoon shift to the Northwest around 7-12mph as overnight lows drop to around 44F.

Ask The Weatherman for October 9:

Question: What does the word funneling mean in weather?

Answer: Funneling in respect to weather means that you are taking the winds and pushing them through a tight gap in a mountain range or even a hill. For example, if you have a mountain that is facing north to south and there is a small valley in between the two peaks, and the winds are blowing from the west or east, these winds would get stronger as they moved through the valley. This is an important thing for meteorologists to understand the terrain of where they are forecasting so that they can pick up on this local feature.

*** To have your question of the day answered or have your city spotlighted for the day make sure to visit redOrbit on Facebook. ***

Green Energy Weather Report for October 9:

Wave Energy: A developing tropical wave to the east of Florida will generate some increasing waves in the general area. Also the upper level low off the coast of California will again play impact to some higher waves and the approaching frontal boundary will bring larger waves to the Pacific Northwest.

Solar Energy: The Southwest US will have another nice solar generating day along with the Gulf Coast region as high pressure is over the region and then back in the plains behind the frontal boundary that is moving through the area now.

Wind Energy: The backside of the cold front over the Dakota´s is going to lead to some winds in the 20-30mph range which will be good for the wind farms in that region and it may get too strong at times for the actual windmills to generate power.

Hydro-Energy: A few passing showers may add some extra water to the Ohio River Valley later today.

October 9 Weather and Your Wallet (Chicago IL):

Dining: Today, eating outdoors should be good. However, after 2PM the rain showers will begin to move into the area, so your supper this evening might want to be some warm soup at home or at a restaurant.

Transportation: Taking the bus or train should be a good commute this morning helping you save a few dollars on gas. However, later this afternoon you might want to head to the trains as the buses will be exposed to very strong winds along with any other high profile vehicle.

Shopping: This morning will be the best time to get out and shop. This afternoon you may want to have an umbrella handy to fight off the rain showers that will be moving into the area. The best shopping today will be in the larger indoor malls.

Electricity: This morning you are not thinking much about it, however, come tonight after the front moves through, look for the winds and temps to create the need for heating. On average today will consume about 15.0HDD which will add a tad to your electric bill.

Agriculture: The farmers should have a good day to get the crops out if they are still working on them and also after about 2Pm they will need to watch out for the rain showers that may slow down operations.

Construction: Road construction should be good through about 2PM, however any high rise construction that is being done today will need to be done with caution as the winds are going to be strong all day long.

Outdoor Venues: Planning on attending an outdoor event tonight? You might want to check in before spending the money on the ticket as the rain and cold will make it an unfavorable evening to attend outdoor venues.

*** New Weather Changer is where we are going to monitor the latest on weather features that are going to have a large change or impact on the region that they are heading in towards. ***

Weather Changer for October 9:

Area #1: Around October 10, a very deep low pressure system of about 988mb will begin to move into the Canadian west coast and the associated frontal boundary will setup over the Pacific Northwest leading the way for some much needed rain in this very dry region.

Area #2: The upper level feature that is moving in towards California will start to develop a surface low pressure of around 1012mb this will also create some light-moderate precipitation amounts in Southern California along with the Southwest which has been very dry as of lately.

Area #3: A strong cold high pressure center of 1024mb is going to start heading in from the Northern Rockies towards the southeast this will bring some very cool to cold air to many places east of the Rockies.