Big Story Weather – October 22, 2012
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from October 19-21: A strong frontal boundary began to approach the West Coast bringing some of the season´s first heavy snow to this region. The Cascades and the Sierra Nevada´s were under winter storm watches and warnings. The high pressure that slid into the Eastern portion of the United States brought some colder air down to the Southeast and Gulf Coast this past weekend. On Friday the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic Region dealt with some severe weather such as hail and strong winds. Other than that severe weather was quiet this week for the rest of the country.
Weather Outlook for October 22: High pressure along the East Coast will bring nice conditions to the region. A developing frontal boundary will bring some showers and thunderstorms to the Southern Plains and into the Northern Mississippi River Valley. High pressure will clip the Northern Plains bringing partly to mostly cloudy skies. A potent low pressure system is moving on shore over Northern California which will bring heavy rains. Mountain snows will be found in places from the Cascades southward into the Sierra Nevada´s which are under winter storm watches and warnings. Below is the weather for a few select cities.
Pittsburg PA: (Partly Cloudy: 70F) | New Orleans LA: (Partly Cloudy: 79F) | Rapid City SD: (Mostly Cloudy: 57F) | Spokane WA: (Mostly Cloudy with Rain and Snow by this evening: 45F) | Phoenix AZ: (Sunny: 82F)
International Weather Outlook for October 22: Low pressure will impact Japan with showers and isolated thunderstorms. Partly to mostly cloudy skies will prevail over the Korea´s and Eastern China. The monsoonal trough will be very active today in the Southeastern portion of Asia. High pressure over the Scandinavia region will bring partly cloudy skies southward into Western Europe and England. High pressure will impact the weather over the Southern tip of South America. Two areas of high pressure will impact Australia with the first located over the Southeastern portion of the country and also another area beginning to push on over towards the Western Coastal region of Australia.
Here is the forecast for a few select international cities for Tuesday October 23.
Hong Kong China: Partly Cloudy with a high near 25C.
Manila Philippians: Partly Cloudy with a high near 30C.
Singapore: Partly Cloudy with afternoon thunderstorms with a high near 29C.
Perth Australia: Partly Cloudy with a high near 21C.
October 22, 2012 Storm Tracker Update:
Atlantic Basin: There is an area in the Caribbean that has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm later today. Currently it has winds around 25kts and a pressure of 1004mb. The second feature is located bit further in the Atlantic but also has the potential of developing into a system later this week. Winds are around 25kts with a pressure of 1011mb.
Eastern Pacific: There is one area moving off the coast of Central America that will need to be watched for possible development later this week. Winds are around 15kts and pressure near 1011mb.
Gulf of Alaska: A strong area of low pressure is moving into the Northern Gulf of Mexico and will move into the Alaska area later over the next couple of days bringing strong winds and high seas and also the potential of snow and rain. A second wave is moving through the Northern Pacific. This feature is very strong and will possibly move towards the Pacific Northwest later this week.
Central Pacific: No areas of concern in this region today.
Western Pacific: There is one area of low pressure that is moving towards the Vietnam coast that has winds around 15kts and a pressure of 1010mb. Another feature is to the east of the Philippines and has winds around 20kts and a pressure of 1004mb.
South Indian Ocean: There is one feature just off the coast of India that has winds around 15kts and pressure of 1010mb. There is a slight chance of seeing this storm become stronger as it moves over the warmer ocean waters this week.
ENSO Watch: (Neutral Phase) This morning everything is holding strong to remain in the Neutral phase, however there is still a chance to see El-Nino conditions to form and they will probably be weak.
Five Day Storm Index Outlook for October 22-26:
Pittsburg PA: Today will be a nice day with no impacts expected. However, on the 23-24th, a frontal boundary will begin moving through the area and will bring a slight chance of impacts as the showers begin to move into the region. The 25th and 26th will return back to no impacts.
New Orleans LA: During the entire week, high pressure will influence the weather with partly cloudy skies and little to no impacts for the area.
Rapid City SD: Today and tomorrow there will be no impacts in the region. By the 24th and 25th a frontal boundary could push into the region bringing with it rain in the valleys and the possibility of snow in the mountains, which will leave the region with a chance of seeing slight impacts.
Spokane WA: Showers will begin to move into the region today bringing a slight impact, while the 23rd through the 25th the region will see rain and also snow mixing into the area. This will create the potential of seeing slight to moderate impacts through the region over the time period.
Phoenix AZ: The week will be quiet with no impacts expected for the region over the next five days.
Climate Watch for October 17-21:
Pittsburg PA: The temps started about 9 degrees above average slowly cooling to around 3-5 degrees above and then falling on the 20th to around 1-9 below average.
New Orleans LA: Temps have been running about 1-4 degrees above average for the past five days.
Rapid City SD: Temps started about 7-8 degrees below average and then rose to around 2 degrees above average followed by a very large warm up on the 20th as they were about 20 degrees above average followed by the 21st temps dropped to around 1 below average.
Spokane WA: Temps started about 3 degrees below average followed by a rise to about 6 degrees followed by another drop to 4-6 below average.
Phoenix AZ: The past five days temps have been running around 2-6 degrees above average for the region.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for Oct 22, 2012:
Day 1-3: High pressure will bring nice conditions to the Gulf coast eastward into the Southeast and also up the Eastern Seaboard. A developing low pressure will bring a chance of showers in the Northern Mississippi River valley and also some strong storms over the Southern Plains. A second more potent system is moving on shore over California bringing plenty of heavy rain and mountain snows as the winter storm watches and warnings are in place for this region. By day 3 we could be dealing with a potent winter storm in the Western Dakotas and also a tropical feature to the southeast of Cuba.
Day 4-7: A weak area of low pressure will be moving in over Washington while high pressure ridges in over California. A strong frontal boundary will extend southward from the Great Lakes into the Gulf Coast. This area could be the sight for some severe weather. The tropical storm by this time will be moving to the east of Florida.
Day 8-12: This time period will start with a low pressure system moving off the Northeast coast interacting with our tropical feature creating very high seas and strong winds along the Eastern Seaboard . We will have a frontal boundary extending down the East Coast. A very strong high pressure center will be moving in from the Northern Plains towards the Gulf Coast bringing some cold air to the region. Another frontal boundary will be moving in over the Pacific Northwest. During the middle of this forecast period we will see the low pressure and tropical feature combine to bring some heavy rain towards Maine and high pressure will continue to provide partly cloudy skies and cooler weather over the Middle part of the United States. Another low pressure will be moving into the Pacific Northwest. There will also be a tropical feature moving towards the Baja during this time period.
Day 13-15: This period will start with the strong coastal low impacting the Northeast and also impacting a good portion of people from Maine southward possibly into New York. A frontal boundary will be moving through the Northern Plains during this time and high pressure will impact the Midwest region. A stronger low pressure will begin to move into the Pacific Northwest again during this time period.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Ocean Springs MS:
Monday: Partly Cloudy and nice with a high near 78F, winds will be from the Southeast around 5-10mph and the overnight lows will fall to around 62F.
Tuesday: Partly Cloudy and warmer as the high temp will rise to near 80F, winds again from the Southeast around 8-13mph and overnight lows falling to around 65F.
Wednesday: Another partly cloudy day as high temps rise to around 80F again and the winds will be out of the Southeast around 5-10mph as overnight lows only fall to around 67F.
Thursday: Partly Cloudy and a tad bit warmer as high temps rise to around 81F, the overnight lows will drop to around 70F with winds from the Southeast around 7-12mph.
Friday: Partly to Mostly Cloudy skies as the next frontal boundary begins to reach the area look for a high near 83F and an overnight low down to around 60F, winds will be Southeast around 5-10mph, look for them to slowly shift overnight to the Northwest around 5mph.
Ask The Weatherman for October 22:
Question: What does it mean when the weatherman says that Warm Air Advection is moving into the area?
Answer: This is a dynamic term we use to explain that warmer air is being moved from one place to another and this is done by the winds blowing the air into a new region. If they are talking about warm air advection in the Northern hemisphere that usually means the winds are from some the south blowing the warmer air northward.
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Green Energy Weather Report for October 22:
Wave Energy: The low pressure that is beginning to move over California today will bring with it strong northwesterly winds over the waters of the Pacific making it a great place to generate wave energy today.
Solar Energy: A nice day in the Southwest will lead to some good solar energy production. Also with high pressure building in over the Southeast this region along with the Gulf Coast will have great solar energy potential today and this will extend up into the Mid-Atlantic and portions of the Northeast.
Wind Energy: The Sierra Nevada´s and portions of the Cascades will have some stronger winds today which will make this region possibly very good for receiving wind energy.
Hydro-Energy: The low pressure over California is going to bring a vast amount of precipitation to the region in the form of snow and rain which will help to fill some of these very dry regions up allowing water to start collecting in the rivers which in return could be used for great hydro energy today.
October 22 Weather and Your Wallet (Memphis TN):
Dining: A great day to save money and take your lunch from home and head out to the park. A winning kind of day to get that fresh air and also save the pocket book.
Transportation: Driving and local transportation should see no impacts from the weather. Also a very nice day to walk or ride a bike if possible to save a few extra dollars.
Shopping: Need to get some shopping done? Today will be a nice day to do hit that outdoor mall or sidewalk sales.
Electricity: A nice day in store. Based on the CDD´s there may be a small window between 12PM and 6PM that the air conditioners will be needed to keep the rooms comfortable as temps top out at around 80F.
Agriculture: A nice day for farmers to get in the fields and start their winter preps. Also a good day to get any yard work done as the leaves are starting to fall.
Construction: A good day for road construction crews and window washers as there are no weather impacts forecasted.
Outdoor Venues: Partly Cloudy skies will bring a nice day to the region along with the Southeast winds. This should make any outdoor function smooth and comfortable. However, as the sun sets, be advised you may need a jacket.
Weather Changer for October 22:
Area #1: A developing low pressure system will start to impact this region. High pressure to the east of it will send this storm off to the Northeast and into the Great Lakes over the next couple of days which will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.
Area #2: A tropical wave to the south-southeast of Florida will start taking shape and based on the ridge to the east of it, the storm has a very high likelihood that it will move northward over the next 24hrs and this could become a headache along the East Coast for high seas and stronger winds in the short term .
Area #3: High pressure moving into the Southeast will bring cooler weather to the region along with some stronger winds over the Appalachian region.
Area #4: A potent storm system is beginning to move into the California region and this will push slowly towards the East-Northeast and move into the plains later this week and could set the stage for a possible winter storm in the Western Dakota´s towards the weeks end. This storm system will also establish a cold front that will bring the chance of seeing some strong to severe storms over the Southern Plains during the same time period.