Big Story Weather – October 23, 2012
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from October 22: Severe weather hit the West Coast yesterday. A combination of heavy snowfall along with severe storms was found in California. This system was also responsible for producing tornadoes which hit in the Northern portion of California. One possibly hit in or near Sacramento. A few stronger storms produced hail in Central Texas and Southern Illinois. Snowfall amounts have varied from a few inches at the basins of the mountains to near 6 inches plus in the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada´s and also the Cascades. Tropical Storm Sandy also formed southeast of Cuba along with another Tropical Depression further out in the Atlantic.
Weather Outlook for October 23: High pressure over the Southeast will bring nice conditions to the region. Another area of high pressure will impact the Northeast with partly cloudy skies as the high slides over from Central Canada. The low pressure that brought strong storms to the Southern Plains yesterday has now shifted into the Northern Plains today and will bring rain on the warm side. On the western side expect to see the possibility of snow mixing in with the system. The low pressure that brought tornadoes to California yesterday and all the heavy snow has shifted slightly to the Northeast near the Cascades. This region will be dealing with heavy snows and heavy valley rains. Below is the weather for a few select cities.
Buffalo NY: (Mostly Cloudy with Showers: 52F) | Gulfport MS: (Partly Cloudy: 80F) | Omaha NE: (Mostly Cloudy: 70F) | Boise ID: (Mostly Cloudy with Rain and Snow: 40F) | San Diego CA: (Sunny: 70F)
International Weather Outlook for October 23: A frontal boundary will move through Japan today bringing isolated showers to the region. High pressure will bring partly cloudy skies to the Korean peninsula along with Eastern China. The monsoonal trough will provide some showers along the boundary in India. High pressure will bring fair conditions to Eastern Europe and also Western Europe to include England. A strong area of high pressure is building into the Southwest portion of South America and will bring partly cloudy skies to the region. Two broad areas of high pressure will bring partly cloudy skies to the majority of Australia today. Here is the forecast for a few select international cities for Tuesday October 23.
Tokyo Japan: Partly Cloudy with a few showers and high near 18C.
Seoul South Korea: Partly Cloudy with a high near 18C.
New Delhi India: Partly Cloudy with a high near 27C.
Sydney Australia: Partly Cloudy with a high near 20C.
October 23, 2012 Storm Tracker Update:
Atlantic Basin: Tropical Storm Sandy has formed in the Caribbean with winds near 40kts and a pressure of 998mb. Tropical Depression 19 has formed further east in the Atlantic and has winds around 30kts with a pressure of 1006mb.
Eastern Pacific: There is one area moving off the coast of Central America that will need to be watched for possible development later this week. Winds are around 15kts and pressure near 1011mb.
Gulf of Alaska: The main low pushed onshore over Alaska, however another low is developing off the remaining frontal boundary and will begin to push eastward towards the Pacific Northwest.
Central Pacific: No areas of concern in this region today.
Western Pacific: There is one area located just east of Vietnam that has winds around 15kts and a pressure of 1010mb. This area will bring heavy rain to the coast of Vietnam today. A second feature is currently located east of the Philippines and is tracking towards the region. This could very possibly become a tropical depression later today as winds are around 20kts with a pressure of 1007mb.
South Indian Ocean: There is one feature just off the coast of India that has winds around 20kts along with a pressure of 1007mb. There is a slight chance of seeing this storm become stronger as it moves over the warmer ocean waters this week.
ENSO Watch (Neutral Phase): This morning everything is holding strong to remain in the Neutral phase, however there is still a chance to see El-Nino conditions form and they will probably be weak.
Five Day Storm Index Outlook for October 23-27:
Buffalo NY: A few showers passing through the area over the next couple of days will bring a slight impact to the region. The 25th looks good. Another quick shot of rain will move in during the 26th and 27th bringing the area back to a slight impact.
Gulfport MS: A quiet week for the next few days, however by the 27th a frontal boundary may begin to move into the area bringing a slight chance of thunderstorms and some impacts.
Omaha NE: A few showers associated with the cold front will pass through the area today followed by another chance on the 25th. Both of these will be enough to create a slight impact on the region.
Boise ID: A mix of rain and snow will impact the region today and tomorrow bringing with it a slight chance of impacts followed by a quiet rest of the week.
San Diego CA: A very nice week in store. Don´t expect to see any impacts over the next five days.
Climate Watch for October 18-22:
Buffalo NY: Temps started out about 8-12 degrees above average followed by the 20th when temps dropped to around 1-4 degrees below average and then finished the period back about 6 degrees above average.
Gulfport MS: Temps have been staying around 1-4 degrees above average over the past five days.
Omaha NE: Temps started out about 11-16 degrees below average and then quickly warmed to around 3-18 degrees above average over the past few days.
Boise ID: Temps started out about 1-5 degrees above average and then on the 21st temps fell to around 5-10 degrees below average during that time period.
San Diego CA: Temps started out just around normal with about 1-2 degrees above, followed by a frontal boundary that moved through the area and dropped temps to around 3-4 degrees below average for the area.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for Oct 23, 2012:
Day 1-3: High pressure will bring fair weather to the East Coast today and also back into the Gulf Coast and Southern Plains. A frontal boundary is moving through the Northern Plains which will bring some rain and also higher elevation snows to the Dakota´s. Along with that is a strong low pressure center over the west which will continue to produce valley rains and heavier mountain snows. Tropical Storm Sandy will continue to gain power southeast of Cuba. Day 3 will include a break in the west as an area of high pressure ridges into the region. A frontal boundary will move through the Great Lakes and Sandy will continue to track northward and now be east of Florida.
Day 4-7: High pressure will be impacting a good portion of the Western United States. A frontal boundary will be moving through the Ohio River Valley and extending back into the Gulf Coast region bringing with it isolated thunderstorms to the Gulf Coast. Sandy will be continuing up the East Coast probably heading towards Bermuda. Day 7 will have another low pressure moving through the Pacific Northwest and also High pressure in control over the Great Lakes extending southward into the Gulf Coast region while Sandy will continue tracking towards Bermuda.
Day 8-12: During this period, interaction with the frontal boundary along the East Coast and the possible impacts of Sandy will make for a very windy, rainy and higher elevation snowy day. A developing low in the Southern Plains will begin to push moisture northward into the Northern Plains and also another piece of energy will be working its way onshore over the Pacific Northwest.
Day 13-15: This period is going to have a frontal boundary extending into the Pacific Northwest along with a blocking High pressure north of the Great Lakes and also another frontal boundary moving through the Gulf Coast region. The remains of the low and energy from Sandy will be impacting the extreme Northeast with very strong winds and rain and possibly higher elevation snows.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Rapid City SD:
Tuesday: Mostly Cloudy and breezy with a high near 66F, winds from the Northwest at 12-17mph and overnight lows falling to around 43F.
Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy with Rain during the day mixing in with snow overnight, winds will be from the Northwest at 10-15mph as overnight lows fall to around 30F.
Thursday: Mostly Cloudy and colder with a high near 40F, winds from the Northwest at 8-13mph and overnight lows will fall to around 26F.
Friday: Mostly Cloudy and cool with a high near 40F, winds from the Southeast around 2-7mph as overnight lows fall to around 27F.
Saturday: Mostly Cloudy and a tad bit warmer as high temps rise to around 43F, winds from the Southeast around 5-10mph and overnight lows falling back to around 25F.
Ask The Weatherman for October 23:
Question: What does “off shore flow” mean?
Answer: When a weatherman refers to off shore flow they are talking about the air flowing from the land to the sea. Also this can be an important feature along the coast or the Great Lakes as this can be a sign that thunderstorms may form over the open waters during the overnight hours if enough moisture is present with the off shore flow. An interesting fact is that the off shore flow is strongest right before the sunrise.
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Green Energy Weather Report for October 23:
Wave Energy: The low that pushed on shore over California is leaving behind some stronger northwest winds which are impacting the region with larger waves. The development of Tropical Storm Sandy will also increase the waves towards the Southeast of Florida.
Solar Energy: The Southern Plains should be looking at a nice influx of sunshine today which makes it a great area for solar energy. The Gulf Coast and the Southeast into the Mid-Atlantic are also good areas for solar energy today.
Wind Energy: The Sierra Nevada´s and portions of the Cascades will have some stronger winds today which will make this region possibly very good for receiving wind energy.
Hydro-Energy: As the low pressure advances towards Southern Idaho, anticipate to see still some heavy mountain snows along with valley rains which will make this region good for hydro energy.
October 23 Weather and Your Wallet (Minneapolis MN):
Dining: Grabbing some breakfast this morning or having a meeting? You might want to dine indoors as it is going to be cool and rainy up until around lunchtime. For your midday meal, it might be a good time to get outside. However, it will be cloudy. This evening it’s best to just take your dinner indoors as the cold and rain will both be impacting the weather.
Transportation: A slow commute this morning as the rain showers move through. Expect another slow commute home as the rain showers begin to move back into the region.
Shopping: Indoor shopping is the way to go today. Look at hitting the Mall of America. That would be your best bet.
Electricity: A cool morning followed by a warmer afternoon should mean that air conditioning will not be necessary. However, anticipate the possibility of turning your heater on. Around 3.5HDD´s are forecasted.
Agriculture: Farming today is going to be difficult as the light rain moves in this morning and this evening. Today would be a good day to do repairs on equipment that you may have.
Construction: This morning the light rain and again this afternoon will make for a small window of good construction work today between 2pm and 6pm.
Outdoor Venues: This morning is going to be rainy which will keep anything outdoors limited. This afternoon around lunch time there may be a small break for a few outdoor things like a walk in the park. This evening is not looking to good with the colder air and the light rain moving in again.
Weather Changer for October 23:
Area #1: The low pressure will bring scattered rain showers to the Northern Plains today. Along with that expect to see the potential of some light snow over the Western Dakota´s during the evening hours.
Area #2: Tropical Storm Sandy will start to emerge into the Atlantic later on in this period. Expect to see the winds and seas start to pick up off the coast of Florida as this storm system moves northward.
Area #3: High pressure is ridging into the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast and will bring a nice day to these regions as temps may peak over 80 for some locations along the coast. Expect to see some frost in the mountain ranges this evening with this high.
Area #4: The Pacific low that brought the storms to California is slowly moving towards the Rockies and into the Idaho region. Expect to see more snow in the higher elevations along with that heavier valley rains to will become a problem for minor flooding.