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October 25, 2012

Big Story Weather – October 25, 2012

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from October 24: Severe weather was limited to one isolated report in Southwest Minnesota yesterday. Winter weather was in full steam with some total snowfall reports around 1-2 inches in the Black Hills of South Dakota along with 2-5 inches throughout the Sierra Nevada´s and also the Cascades. High pressure brought nice weather to the Southeast and also the Gulf Coast region.

Weather Outlook for October 25: High pressure over Maine will bring partly cloudy skies to the Northeast and also down the Eastern Seaboard. Hurricane Sandy will bring increased winds and waves along with strong thunderstorms to Southern Florida as they currently have Tropical Storm Watches/Warnings in effect. A frontal boundary from the Great Lakes extends southwestward back towards Texas. This area will be the site for some isolated strong thunderstorms along with rain showers to the north and even snow on the northwest side of the low in the colder air over Minnesota. High pressure will bring a fairly nice but cold day to the Northern Rockies. The Southwest will see partly cloudy skies for the day. The temps will be cold but the sky will be partly cloudy in the Northwest. Below is the weather for a few select cities.

New York NY: (Partly Cloudy:  63F) | Miami FL: (Thunderstorms: 82F) | Dallas TX: (Mostly Cloudy with Thunderstorms: 74F) | Billings MT: (Mostly Cloudy: 33F) | Seattle WA: (Partly Cloudy: 54F)

International Weather Outlook for October 25: High pressure over the Korean Peninsula will bring partly cloudy skies to the region and also eastward into Japan. A weak monsoonal trough will persist over Southeast Asia with a few showers embedded along the boundary. High pressure will bring partly cloudy skies to the Middle East and also Eastern Europe. An area of low pressure moving into Spain will bring showers to the region and this will extend eastward into France. Another frontal boundary extending through England will bring cloudy skies and showers to the region. High pressure will bring partly cloudy skies to the tip of South America today and also Western Australia will be under high pressure. A weak frontal boundary will bring some scattered  showers to the Central part of Australia and the associated low pressure will impact southeast Australia with a few showers. Here is the forecast for a few select international cities for Thursday October 25 Evening.

Hong Kong China: Partly Cloudy with a few thunderstorms and a low near 25C.

Ho Chi Minh Vietnam: Partly Cloudy with a few thunderstorms and a low near 20C.

Bangkok Thailand: Partly Cloudy with a low near 25C.

Sydney Australia: Partly Cloudy with a low near 12C.

October 25, 2012 Storm Tracker Update:

Atlantic Basin: Hurricane Sandy continues to strengthen as it enters into the Atlantic this morning. Winds around the storm are near 95kts and a pressure of 954mb. This storm will continue to track northward bringing some impacts to Southeast Florida where Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings have been issued. Tropical Storm Tony continues to track out in the Atlantic and is now moving towards the Azores with winds near 45kts and a pressure of 1000mb.

Eastern Pacific: Nothing in the region today.

Gulf of Alaska: The new low is beginning to push off the main low and will start working its way towards the Pacific Northwest over the next few days.

Central Pacific: No areas of concern in this region today.

Western Pacific: Tropical Storm Son-Tinh continues to move over the Philippines with winds near 45kts and a pressure of 989mb. This storm will increase in strength as it moves west back over the open waters before making landfall in Southeast China.

South Indian Ocean: Tropical Cyclone Murjan has winds near 35kts this morning with a pressure near 996mb. This storm will start to move onshore over Eastern Africa over the next couple of days.

ENSO Watch (Neutral Phase): This morning everything is holding strong to remain in the Neutral phase, however there is still a chance to see El-Nino conditions to form and they will probably be weak.

Five Day Storm Index Outlook for October 25-29:

New York NY: A tranquil start to the period with no impacts forecasted until the 27th when there becomes a slight chance of impacts due to the approaching cold front. The 28th and 29th will see a moderate impact as the hurricane possibly has some impacts in the area with strong winds and high seas also a moderate impact due to heavy rain in the region.

Miami FL: The area will see strong impacts today and tomorrow from Hurricane Sandy with strong winds and heavy rain along with some storm surge possible in the region. Look for the impacts to become slight by the 27th and then diminishing for the remainder of the period.

Dallas TX: A frontal boundary moving through the region will bring a moderate chance of seeing some strong thunderstorms which could bring some periods of heavy rain and brief strong wind gusts. The remainder of the period will be quiet.

Billings MT: The period will be quiet as high pressure will be in control of the region.

Seattle WA: The region will see a light rain setup in the region however it should have very little impacts on the area at this time.

Climate Watch for October20-24:

New York NY: Temps started the period being up around 14 degrees above average followed by a slight drop to around 9-10 degrees above average.

Miami FL: Temps started the period up around 4 degrees above average and then fell to around average or slightly above for the remainder of the period.

Dallas TX: Temps have been running about 9-14 degrees above average for the entire period.

Billings MT: Temps started about 8 degrees above average and then a frontal boundary moved through and temps are now running about 9-17 degrees below average for the period.

Seattle WA: Temps have been running about 4-9 degrees below average the entire period.

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for Oct 25, 2012:

Day 1-3: High pressure over Maine will bring fair conditions along a good portion of the East coast. Also the Gulf Coast and portions of the Southeast will deal with nice weather. Southern Florida is under Tropical Storm watches and warnings and will be dealing with rain, winds and high surf today as Sandy moves east of the region starting today. Another frontal boundary moving through the Northern Plains will bring some rain and isolated snow showers to the Northern Plains. High pressure will make for a nice day out west. Day 3 will see a frontal boundary beginning to push on shore in the Pacific Northwest again and also Hurricane Sandy will start pushing outer-bands into the Carolinas with strong winds and surge along with heavy rain.

Day 4-7: The frontal boundary will be pushing into the Northern Rockies bringing rain and snow to the region. High pressure will be in control of the weather over the middle of the United States. Interaction between a frontal boundary and Hurricane Sandy will bring very strong winds to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast along with high surf and moderate rainfall. Towards the end of this period Hurricane Sandy will have embedded in with the frontal boundary and possibly make landfall in Maine. This could create some intense winds in excess of 70mph along with high surf, storm surge and heavy rain which will lead to flooding. High pressure will still be impacting the middle of the United States as another frontal boundary starts to push on shore over the Pacific Northwest.

Day 8-12: The remains of Sandy will still bring isolated showers and moderate winds to the Northeast along with that High pressure will begin to build in over the Southeast and a frontal boundary will be moving through the Northern Plains and a second wave will begin pushing on shore over the Pacific Northwest.

Day 13-15: During this period a very strong low pressure area will develop in the Southwest and slowly push into the Midwest. There is the potential that we could see severe weather on the eastern side of this storm along with winter snows on the Northwest side.

Today's Spotlight Forecast is for Baltimore Maryland:

Thursday: Mostly Cloudy and mild with high temps near 72F, winds will be from the Southeast around 5-10mph and overnight lows will fall to around 58F.

Friday: Mostly Cloudy and mild as high temps hit near 68F, winds from the Northeast around 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 52F.

Saturday: Mostly Cloudy and cooler as high temps hit near 64F, winds will be from the Northeast around 5-10mph and overnight lows will fall to around 52F.

Sunday: Mostly Cloudy with periods of heavy rain possible high temps will be around 60F, winds will be from the Northwest around 10-15mph and overnight lows will fall to around 44F.

Monday: Cloudy with showers as high temps rise to near 48F, winds will be from the Northwest around 15-20mph and overnight lows will drop to around 35F.

Ask The Weatherman for October 25:

Question: What is the difference between weather and climate?

Answer: To answer this we must understand that although weather and climate work together, they are different things. Weather is what will happen with the atmosphere and oceans in a short period of time such as 1 day 5 days or even 2 weeks. Climate is the study of how the different cycles of ENSO, along with the annual and monthly temperatures compare with the climate norms and also evaluates how the precipitation compares with the norms. Climate is usually a look at 30 years of data to compare an area over that time period looking at the rain and temp trends.

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Green Energy Weather Report for October 25:

Wave Energy: The approaching hurricane will make some good wave energy early along the East Coast of Florida. However, it will soon get too high. The second place is along the Carolina coast where the waves should stay a good height for energy development.

Solar Energy: The Southwest will have plenty of sunshine today making it a prime place for solar energy. The Southeast and Northeast will also have ample amounts of sunshine making it a great day to generate solar energy.

Wind Energy: Along the East Coast of Florida there will be some great winds with speeds in the 20-30mph range which will generate a good amount of energy. The second best place will be in the Northern Plains behind the cold front with winds in the 15-25mph.

Hydro-Energy: The Northern end of the Mississippi River should see a good amount of rainfall which will enter into the river flow making for a great chance of creating hydro Energy.

October 25 Weather and Your Wallet (Atlanta GA):

Dining: A very nice day with comfortable. An excellent day to eat lunch at the park or get your food at an outdoor restaurant and enjoy this fall like weather.

Transportation: Today will be an excellent day to save money by biking or walking to work as the weather will be excellent.

Shopping: A great day to see if you can find any outdoor sales.

Electricity: Overall today should be a good day with not too much outside of the comfort level except maybe a small window between 2-4pm where there could be around 4CDD´s.

Agriculture: A great day to get any outdoor farm or yard work that needs to be done as the weather will feel very nice and enjoyable.

Construction: A great day to get construction work done on the roads and also any high rise washings that need to be done.

Outdoor Venues: An excellent day for visiting your favorite outdoor venue.

Weather Changer for October 25:

Area #1: The low pressure that is moving into the Great Lakes is bringing with it rain on the east side along with some snow to the western side. This feature will continue to move out of the region over the next 24hrs allowing for the area to begin drying out.

Area #2: Hurricane Sandy is beginning its move northward and today will start impacting South Florida with very strong winds maybe near 45mph along with heavy rain in the outer-bands and also some storm surge from the strong Northeast on shore flow.

Area #3: High pressure over the Northeast will make for one more nice day along the Eastern Seaboard.

Area #4: The frontal boundary extending through the southern plains could be the trigger area for a few strong thunderstorms for places like Dallas.

Area #5: High pressure over the West is bringing with it some colder air as temps are running below average in this area from the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Plains.