Big Story Weather – October 31, 2012
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from October 29-30: The big story has been the remains of Super Storm Sandy that pushed on shore late on the 29th with winds near 90mph along Atlantic City New Jersey where this storm made landfall. The biggest problem that occurred in New York City was the storm surge as it peaked over 12ft – a new record for the region. The southern portion of this storm is where all the heavy rainfall occurred as places like Baltimore got well over 4 inches of rain. There was also a winter side to this which made Sandy very unique and that is in West Virginia where some places got over 2ft of snowfall. The rest of the country has been fairly quiet over the past few days.
Weather Outlook for October 31: The remains of Sandy will once again bring windy and rainy conditions to portions of the Northeast and Great Lakes today along with some snowfall in the West Virginia region. High pressure over Northern Mexico will bring partly cloudy skies to the majority of the plains section. A weak frontal boundary will bring isolated showers to portions of North Dakota. High pressure will bring nice conditions to the Rockies and the Southwest. Another warm front will begin to push in over the Pacific Northwest bringing showers to the coastline. Below is the weather for a few select cities.
Cincinnati OH: (Cloudy with Rain: 44F) | Gulfport MS: (Partly Cloudy: 78F) | Dallas TX: (Partly Cloudy: 77F) | Denver CO: (Partly Cloudy: 70F) | Seattle WA: (Mostly Cloudy with Showers: 61F)
International Weather Outlook for October 31: High pressure over Northeast China will bring partly cloudy skies to the Korea´s along with Japan and Eastern China. A weak are of low pressure will be over India today brining a few showers to the region. High pressure over the Middle East will leave clear skies and warm conditions. A low pressure system will be approaching London today bringing with it showers. The frontal boundary will extend into Spain bringing rain to this region as well. A low pressure system is moving through the Southern tip of South America and will bring periods of rain to the region. High pressure will bring partly cloudy skies to Eastern Australia, while an upper level trough will bring cloudy skies and periods of showers to the Southwest portion of Australia. Here is the forecast for a few select international cities for the evening of Wednesday October 31.
Tokyo Japan: Partly Cloudy and cool with low temps near 11C.
Hong Kong China: Partly Cloudy with a low near 15C.
Kuala Lumpur Malaysia: Partly Cloudy with a low near 21C.
Sydney Australia: Partly Cloudy with a low near 18C.
October 31, 2012 Storm Tracker Update:
Atlantic Basin: For the first time in a long time this region is quiet with no storms in the area.
Eastern Pacific: Tropical Storm Rosa continues to track westward away from the coast of Mexico and should be no impact to land with winds around 40kts and a pressure of 1003mb.
Gulf of Alaska: There is one storm in the Eastern part of the Gulf which is beginning to move into the Pacific Northwest. Expect to see showers, mountain snows and also higher surf in the region.
Central Pacific: No areas of concern in this region today.
Western Pacific: No tropical activity in this region today.
South Indian Ocean: There is an area of lower pressure to the west of Thailand that has winds around 20kts and a pressure of 1007mb. This region will slowly move westward over the next 24hrs. Tropical Cyclone Nilam is moving towards India and will bring areas of heavy rain along with strong winds as the winds are currently around 55kts and pressure is near 982mb.
ENSO Watch (Neutral Phase): This morning everything is holding strong to remain in the Neutral phase, however there is still a chance to see El-Nino conditions to form and they will probably be weak.
Five Day Storm Index Outlook for October 31-Nov 4:
Cincinnati OH: The remains of Sandy will bring a moderate chance of impacts from periods of heavy rain and still winds gusting over 40mph. Tomorrow it will decrease to a slight impact as Sandy starts to push out.
Gulfport MS: High pressure will bring Northerly flow and no impacts over the next five days.
Dallas TX: High pressure will bring nice weather conditions for the next five days.
Denver CO: A nice start to the period followed with a slight chance of showers and impacts around the 3rd of November.
Seattle WA: A warm front moving through the area slowly will bring the next five days with slight chances of impacts due to the showers extending through the region.
Climate Watch for October 26-30:
The entire region from the East Coast to the Rockies has been dealing with some impressive cold air which sunk in behind Sandy.
Cincinnati OH: Temps started about 2 degrees above average followed by an extend period of temps running between 10-20degrees below average.
Gulfport MS: Temps started about 9 degrees above average and then a strong cold front moved through and temps started running about 11-17 degrees below average.
Dallas TX: Cold front moved through on the 26th and temps have been running about 10-18 degrees below average until the 30th when temps rose back to about 3 degrees above average.
Denver CO: Temps started out about 11-24 degrees below average followed by the 28th when temps rose to 2 degrees above average and finished the period about 8 degrees above average.
Seattle WA: Temps started about 4 degrees below average and then rose to around 1-5 degrees above average as the warm front has begun to push warmer air and rain into the region.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 31, 2012:
Day 1-3: The remains of Sandy will push showers and strong winds into the Great Lakes and Northeast still today. The Southeast and Southern Plains will deal with high pressure and nice weather that will extend into the Southwest as well. The Pacific Northwest will see another area of low pressure begin to bring showers to the region.
Day 4-7: The period will start with high pressure on the East Coast and also into the Rockies. A frontal boundary will extend through the Midwest back into the Southern Plains. This frontal boundary during day 5 will push into the Mid-Atlantic region and the cold front will extend along the Gulf Coast. By day 7 we will be seeing another strong low pressure area moving up the Eastern Seaboard bringing with it more rain to the region and also the back side may be cold enough to support snow.
Day 8-12: The start of this period will include the frontal boundary and low moving into Maine. High pressure will be settling in over the Plains and a weak frontal boundary will begin to push in over the Pacific Northwest. During day 11 a low pressure system will begin to set up over the Southwest while high pressure is in control of the weather over the east. During day 10 a very potent low will be setting up over the Southwest and will be stuck in the region as a blocking high will be in place over the East. This will create areas of heavy rain and pockets of mountain snows.
Day 13-15: The start of this period will bring with it a very potent storm system to the Plains section with heavy rain and also on the Northern side we will be looking at some snowfall that may be heavy and also a potential large area of severe weather setting up.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Sioux Falls SD:
Wednesday: Partly Cloudy and mild with high temps rising to near 55F, winds will be from the Southwest around 2-7mph, overnight lows will fall to around 43F.
Thursday: Partly Cloudy and mild with high temps rising to around 53F, winds will shift to the Northeast around 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 36F.
Friday: Partly Cloudy and cooler with high temps near 47F, winds will be from the Southeast around 10-15mph as overnight lows fall to around 34F.
Saturday: Mostly Cloudy with periods of light rain as high temps rise to around 47F, winds will be from the Northwest around 2-7mph and low temps will fall to around 35F.
Sunday: Mostly Cloudy with periods of light rain as high temps rise to near 46F, winds will be from the Northeast around 2-7mph as low temps fall to around 34F.
Ask The Weatherman for October 31:
Question: What is cold surge?
Answer: A cold surge is the push of very cold air into an area. This cold air surges in from the north and is usually brought in by a cold front from the Northern Hemisphere. This also happens in the Southern Hemisphere, however, it comes in from the south as the poles are on the southern tip of the Earth so the southern winds bring the cold surge into this region behind a cold front.
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Green Energy Weather Report for October 31:
Wave Energy: The Pacific Northwest will have an increase in seas with the next frontal boundary beginning to move through the region. The Mid-Atlantic and Northeast will still see some good wave action from Sandy allowing this region to be good for wave energy through today.
Solar Energy: High pressure will make the Southern Rockies and the Southwest a great location for solar energy. The Southern Plains and Gulf Coast will also have high pressure dominating the weather which will support solar energy development today.
Wind Energy: The winds associated with Sandy will make the Great Lakes region good to develop wind energy as the winds return to the 20-30mph range. There may be higher gusts which could cause the wind turbines to be shut down for periods.
Hydro-Energy: The Pacific Northwest will see an increase in rainfall today and this week which will make this region a good source for Hydro Energy. Also, up in the Northeast, Sandy will still be providing some rainfall to this region which can work towards hydro energy.
October 31 Weather and Your Wallet (Austin TX):
Dining: Today will be a great day to take a break from the desk job and get out and enjoy lunch at the park or an outdoor restaurant. This evening a light jacket may be needed.
Transportation: A great day to travel on all routes. Utilize local transportation to save some money. Also a great day to walk or ride your bike to and from work.
Shopping: Pack your bags and head outside and get some shopping done as today will be excellent for that.
Electricity: A nice day in store to open the windows and let some fresh air into the house or office. There may be a small window between 2-4pm that you might want the air conditioner to help cool it down.
Agriculture: Farmers and gardeners will enjoy a great day to get some of those fall chores done as it will be partly cloudy and mild.
Construction: There should be plenty of fall projects going on and the weather will be very supportive of them to continue on schedule today.
Outdoor Venues: A nice day to take a walk in the park or just get outside and go for a jog. If you are heading to any outdoor venues this evening you might want to take a light jacket with you.
Weather Changer for October 31:
Area #1: The remains of Sandy will bring moderate rains and winds to the Great Lakes one more day before beginning to clear the area.
Area #2: The Pacific low pressure system that is moving through will bring moderate rainfall amounts to the Pacific Northwest and also possibly mountain snows.
Area #3: High pressure over the Southern Plains will bring some very nice conditions to the region.
Area #4: Another area of low pressure will begin to develop over the Northern Gulf and push up the east coast this could again bring heavy rain to the already weary Sandy locations.
Area #5: A new developing storm system in about 2 weeks will develop in this region and be forced into a blocking pattern for a few days.
Area #6: This is going to be one piece of area 5´s energy it will move the center of the low into Nebraska in about two weeks and there will be heavy rain on the east side along with a possible heavy snow maker on the western side.
Area #7 The frontal boundary will move through this region and we could be looking at a Severe weather outbreak for the Southern Plains and also into the Gulf Coast region which would fall in line with the Second severe weather season.