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November 1, 2012

Big Story Weather – November 1, 2012

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.

Big Story Weather from October 31: The remains of Sandy were again impacting the Northeast and Great Lakes with strong winds, heavy rainfall, and the snow was still flying in parts of West Virginia. Showers began to develop along the West Coast with the next frontal boundary and the rest of the country enjoyed a nice quiet day.

Weather Outlook for November 1: The frontal boundary over the Northeast will bring showers to the region again today. High pressure over the Gulf Coast will bring nice weather conditions to the region and that will also expand into the Ohio River Valley and into the Southeast. High pressure will bring partly cloudy skies to the Rockies and the Southwest. The approaching warm front will bring showers to Seattle and Portland. Below is the weather for a few select cities.

New York NY: (Cloudy with Rain: 51F) | Atlanta GA: (Partly Cloudy: 65F) | Sioux City IA: (Partly Cloudy: 59F) | Billings MT: (Partly Cloudy: 67F) | Portland OR: (Mostly Cloudy with Showers: 56F)

International Weather Outlook for November 1: Low pressure over Northern Japan will bring showers to the region. Partly cloudy skies will be found through Southern Japan and the Korea´s. High pressure over the Tibetan Plateau will bring partly cloudy skies to the majority of China. The tropical cyclone near India will bring periods of heavy rain to this region. A strong low pressure system is moving into Western Europe this will spread showers from England all the way southward into Spain and France. An area of Low pressure moving south of the tip of South America will bring showers to the region. High pressure will dominate the weather for the majority of Australia with the exception being the Southeast coast which may be dealing with extensive cloudiness. Here is the forecast for a few select international cities.

Seoul South Korea: Partly Cloudy and cool with low temps near 8C.

Manila Philippines: Partly Cloudy with a low near 20C.

New Delhi India: Mostly Cloudy with heavy rain and a low near 24C.

Darwin Australia: Partly Cloudy with a low near 17C.

November 1, 2012 Storm Tracker Update:

Atlantic Basin: For the first time in a long time this region is quiet with no storms in the area.

Eastern Pacific: Tropical Storm Rosa continues to track westward away from the coast of Mexico and should be no impact to land with winds around 50kts and a pressure of 1000mb.

Gulf of Alaska: There is one storm moving onshore near Vancouver Canada which the warm front is beginning to impact the Pacific Northwest. Another system is moving into the Central part of the Gulf of Alaska and this low will move towards the West Coast over the next few days.

Central Pacific: No areas of concern in this region today.

Western Pacific: No tropical activity in this region today.

South Indian Ocean: Tropical Cyclone Nilam is moving towards India and will bring areas of heavy rain along with strong winds. Winds are currently around 55kts and pressure is near 980mb.

ENSO Watch (Neutral Phase): We still remain in a neutral phase which is a surprise as it was much anticipated to already be in a weak El-Nino. There are still signs in the farther western boxes that we could possibly still have El-Nino setup in those boxes. This condition will have to continue to be watched.

Five Day Storm Index Outlook for November 1-5:

New York NY: Things should be nice over the next few days to help with recovery efforts. However, on the 5th of November, another storm system is going to move through the region and bring with it heavy rainfall which will put the region back into Moderate Impacts.

Atlanta GA: A nice week in store with high pressure controlling the weather leaving the region with no impacts.

Sioux City IA: This region will also enjoy nice weather which will make it impact free next five days.

Billings MT: Today there will be no impacts. However, a quick disturbance will move through tomorrow bringing the region a chance of slight impact and then again on the 5th another disturbance will move through bringing the impacts back up to slight.

Portland OR: The onshore flow of multiple weather systems will leave this region in the slight impact zone for the next five days.

Climate Watch for October 27-31:

New York City NY: Started the 27th about 4 degrees above average and then fell to around 2 degrees below average for the 28th before enjoying one day of warmer weather followed by now 1-5 degrees below average.

Atlanta GA: Temps were near average for the 27th followed by a cold front passage which has now put temps running about 4-13 degrees below average.

Sioux City IA: Temps started the period about 1-16 degrees below average and then warmed to around 4 above average for the 31st.

Billings MT: Temps started the 27th running about 16 degrees below average followed by a warming of 5-12 degrees above average.

Portland OR: Temps have been running about 2-10 degrees above average the entire period.

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for November 1, 2012:

Day 1-3: High pressure will control a good portion of the United States with the frontal boundary extending through the Northeast producing a few showers and then another frontal boundary along the Pacific Northwest which will bring showers into the region as well.

Day 4-7: The period will start with the development of a low in the Southeast which will push into the Northeast bringing more showers to the already saturated area. The remainder of the time period will be dominated by high pressure over most of the country with the exception being the Northeast where they will be dealing with the low pressure area and also the extreme Northwest which will also see another frontal boundary push onshore.

Day 8-12: High pressure will begin to setup a blocking pattern along the East coast, while a new low begins to develop in the Southwest portion of the US. The remainder of this period will have the high pressure blocking over the East and the frontal boundary advancing into the Northern Plains setting the stage for some winter snows and also some strong thunderstorms with potential severe weather taking shape during this time period.

Day 13-15: The period will have the high pressure beginning to break down along the eastern seaboard along with our frontal boundary moving across the Mississippi River valley bringing an increase in severe weather to the region along with heavier rains in the North and still some snow into the Dakota´s. Also another wave will begin to push on shore over the Pacific Northwest. The end of the period will have another strong low pressure system moving across the plains section bringing another round of strong to severe storms and heavy rains to the region.

Today's Spotlight Forecast is for Denver CO:

Thursday: Mostly Cloudy and mild with a high near 70F, winds from the west around 2-7mph and a low near 46F.

Friday: Partly Cloudy with a high near 65F, winds from the South around 5-10mph look for overnight lows to fall to around 36F.

Saturday: Partly Cloudy and cooler with a high near 60F, winds will be from the West around 5-10mph and overnight lows will fall to around 35F.

Sunday: Partly Cloudy and cool with a high near 63F, winds will be from the Southwest around 2-7mph as overnight lows fall to around 35F.

Monday: Partly Cloudy and cool with high temps around 60F, winds will be from the Southwest around 2-7mph as overnight lows fall to around 36F.

Ask The Weatherman for November 1:

Question: Is there more than one type of cold front?

Answer: Yes. In the weather world we identify two types of cold fronts. The first one is called the Inactive Cold front and the second is the Active Cold Front. When you look at a weather map and you see the first part of the cold front which is extending from the low pressure or the red “L,” this is called the Inactive Cold Front. The cold front that is further south of that and forms to the southwest is called the Active Cold Front. In weather we learn to keep them separate as the inactive starts with an I means that it goes into the front. While the active cold front starts with an A which means away from the front.

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Green Energy Weather Report for November 1:

Wave Energy: The frontal boundary along the Pacific Northwest will bring an increase to ocean waves along the coast which will be great for wave energy. Also looking at the Northeast as the frontal boundary begins to make its way through the region there will be some good wave generation.

Solar Energy: High pressure will make the Southern Rockies and the Southwest a great location for solar energy. The Southern Plains and Gulf Coast will have high pressure dominating the weather which will support solar energy development today.

Wind Energy: The Pacific Northwest and also the Great Lakes regions will be the two best locations for wind energy today as both areas will be dealing with frontal enhanced winds.

Hydro-Energy: The Pacific Northwest will have another day of showers which is going to help provide water and help create some excellent hydro energy. The second place is the Northeast as they are still going to have some showers move through which will keep the rivers flowing and the hydro energy very good in the region.

November 1 Weather and Your Wallet (Gulfport MS):

Dining: A very nice day in the region. Temps will rise to a comfortable level making it a great day to get outside and enjoy lunch at the beach or the park. This evening you may want to take a jacket if you´re going out to eat.

Transportation: No issues today if you take the trolleys, trains or buses. It will be a nice day with no delays. Also a great day to walk or ride your bike to work.

Shopping: A nice day to get out and enjoy some of those early holiday bargains.

Electricity: Nice weather and great temps should allow you to open the windows and let some fresh air in all day long without it getting too hot.

Agriculture: Shrimp boaters should have a great day on the waters. Farmers in the region working on getting their land ready for the winter should have a nice day for it.

Construction: The buildings that are going up in the area should have great weather and the winds will not be that strong so no impact to any crane operations.

Outdoor Venues: A nice day to take a walk in the park or just get outside and go for a jog. If you are heading to any outdoor venues this evening you might want to take a light jacket with you.

Weather Changer for November 1:

Area #1: The frontal boundary moving through the Northeast today will bring some leftover showers and colder weather to the region.

Area #2: The frontal boundary pushing onshore in the Pacific Northwest is going to bring mild air and also a few days of showers to the region keeping it overcast and wet.

Area #3: High pressure building into the Southeast will make for a great day in the region and this will spread into the Gulf Coast and Western Plains also.

Area #4: A new developing low over the next few days will start to take shape over the Southeast and push into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast early next week bringing more rain to the devastated areas and may create a delay in recover methods.

Area #5: A new low will push out of the Pacific Northwest and slide into the Southwest later next week and will become a potent system that will bring snows to the mountains and also some heavier rains to the Southwest.

Area #6: By late next week the center of the low will move into this region bringing with it showers on the warm side along with the chance of seeing accumulating snows on the western side in the Dakota´s and Western Kansas and Nebraska.

Area #7: The cold front associated with the low in area #6 will advance into this region by late next week and create the setup for a possible severe weather situation along the Gulf Coast and Southern Mississippi River valley.