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November 2, 2012

Big Story Weather – November 2, 2012

Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from November 1:
There were a few showers still in the Northeast yesterday as the cold front moved through the area. High pressure brought nice conditions to the majority of the country. A frontal boundary over the Pacific Northwest brought showers to that region.

Weather Outlook for November 2: Conditions will finally begin to improve in the Northeast as it will be partly to mostly cloudy and cool in the region. A frontal boundary will move through the Northern Plains today bringing some rain and snow to North Dakota and also into Northern Minnesota. High pressure over Florida will bring nice conditions to the Southeast and Gulf Coast region. High pressure over the Rockies will bring nice weather to the region and also into the Southwestern United States. The frontal boundary will still be moving along the Pacific Northwest bringing showers to the region. Below is the weather for a few select cities.

Boston MA: (Mostly Cloudy: 50F) | Gulfport MS: (Partly Cloudy: 79F) | Fargo ND: (Mostly Cloudy with showers: 42F) | Salt Lake City UT: (Partly Cloudy: 62F) | San Diego CA: (Partly Cloudy: 80F)

International Weather Outlook for November 2:
Low pressure over Northern Japan will bring showers to the region and partly cloudy skies will be found through Southern Japan and the Koreas. High pressure will bring partly cloudy skies to Eastern China, while an upper level feature will move southward into Southeast Asia bringing an increase in showers. High pressure over the Middle East will bring partly cloudy skies to the region. Low pressure moving through England and the associated cold front will spread showers from England into Western Europe. A weak area of low pressure will be moving through the Southern tip of South America bringing an increase of clouds. Two areas of high pressure will influence the weather from Northern Australia into Southern Australia, while low pressure will bring scattered showers to Southwestern Australia. Here is the forecast for a few select international cities.

Seoul South Korea: Partly Cloudy and cool with low temps near 8C.

Manila Philippians: Partly Cloudy with a low near 20C.

New Delhi India: Mostly Cloudy with heavy rain and a low near 24C.

Darwin Australia: Partly Cloudy with a low near 17C.

November 2, 2012 Storm Tracker Update:

Atlantic Basin: A tranquil day in the Atlantic as nothing is forecasted over the next 24hrs.

Eastern Pacific: Tropical Storm Rosa continues to track westward away from the coast of Mexico and should be no impact to land with winds around 40kts and a pressure of 1005mb. It will  continue to weaken over the next 24hrs.

Gulf of Alaska: A very deep low pressure system is moving into the Gulf of Alaska and the associated frontal boundaries are now impacting the Pacific Northwest. A second low pressure system is beginning to move into the Southwest portion of the Gulf of Alaska.

Central Pacific: There is one area of low pressure to the Southwest of Hawaii but should be no impact to the region over the next 24hrs.

Western Pacific: No tropical activity in this region today.

South Indian Ocean: A few waves to the west of India will bring heavier rain to the region, but no tropical development forecasted over the next 24hrs.

ENSO Watch (Neutral Phase): We still remain in a neutral phase which is a surprise as it was much anticipated to already be in a weak El-Nino. There are still signs in the farther western boxes that we could possibly still have El-Nino setup in those boxes. This condition will have to continue to be watched.

Five Day Storm Index Outlook for November 2-6:

Boston MA: A few lingering showers will impact the region today. Otherwise expect to see no impacts for the remainder of the forecast period.

Gulfport MS: A nice few days before a frontal boundary moves through the region which will bring a slight chance of impacts for the 3rd and 4th.

Fargo ND: Look for some light rain and snow showers over the next couple of days which could lead to some slight impacts from wet surfaces and scattered slick spots.

Salt Lake City UT: A week of high pressure will keep the region impact free.

San Diego CA: The region should see a few more cooler days and then a slow warming leaving the area impact free.

Climate Watch for October 28-November 1:

Boston MA: The period started about 1-2 degrees below average and then warmed to around 4-6 above average, followed by a return to near normal conditions the past two days.

Gulfport MS: Temps have been colder than average. On the 28th temps were about 12 degrees below average followed by a slow warming trend as now temps are about 1-2 degrees below average.

Fargo ND: Temps started the period about 12 degrees below average and then have been going back and forth between 1-3 degrees above to 1-3 degrees below average.

Salt Lake City UT: Temps have been warm ranging from 8-14 degrees above average the entire period.

San Diego CA: Temps started the period about 4-5 degrees above average and then slowly fell to being around 3-4 degrees below average.

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for November 2, 2012:

Day 1-3: High pressure over the Southeast will bring a nice next couple of days to the region. A low pressure system will move through the Northern Plains and also into the Great Lakes region. High pressure will impact the weather over the southwest and a warm front will bring showers to the Pacific Northwest. During the 2nd and 3rd day look for a low pressure area to develop in the Southern Plains and push eastward.

Day 4-7: The period will start with a low pressure system moving into the Carolinas as well has high pressure building in over the Plains section and another weak frontal boundary approaching the Pacific Northwest. The end of the period will have this low pressure center moving up the eastern seaboard bringing showers to the Sandy stricken areas.

Day 8-12: A potent weather system will start this period moving out of the Rockies and into the Plains region. Anticipate seeing an increase ins showers to the north and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains. By day 9 we will see a potent storm system dumping snow in the Northern Plains and back into the Rockies. Showers will develop ahead of the system and even strong to severe thunderstorms will be found in the Southern Plains advancing into the Gulf Coast region. By the end of this period a blocking high pressure along the East Coast will force the low pressure over the Plains to slowly move northward. This will increase the area of snowfall on the cold side of the system and also the severe weather area may expand from the Gulf Coast all the way into the upper Mississippi River Valley. The last day of this period we could be looking at heavy snows in the Northern Plains as this system develops a cold pocket near the center which will enhance the snowfall amounts north of the low. The severe weather line will advance eastward into the Ohio River Valley and also into the Southeast.

Day 13-15: The low pressure system will finally move into the Great Lakes. The frontal boundary will extend into the East Coast bringing showers and storms to this region. The cold pocket on the western side of the storm will continue to support some moderate snows in the Northern Plains and portions of the Great Lakes during this period while High pressure begins to build in behind the system.

Today's Spotlight Forecast is for Sioux City IA:

Friday: Partly Cloudy and mild with high temps near 54F. Winds will be from the Southeast around 5-10mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 30F.

Saturday: Mostly Cloudy with periods of showers as high temps rise to around 53F. Winds will be from the Southeast around 5-10mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 32F.

Sunday: Mostly Cloudy with periods of showers with a high near 50F. Winds again from the Southeast around 5-10mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 28F.

Monday: Partly Cloudy and cool with a high near 51F. Winds from the Northwest around 5-10mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 35F.

Tuesday: Partly Cloudy and warmer as high temps rise to around 54F. Winds will be from the Northwest around 5-10mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 36F.

Ask The Weatherman for November 2:

Question: Why was Sandy so strong?

Answer: Sandy was a CAT-1 Hurricane when it made landfall. The reason it was so strong at landfall is because it interacted with a cold front to the west of it. This helped to keep the low pressure area which created a large storm surge like the 12ft surge that hit the New Jersey and New York area. Also this is why we saw snow on the backside of Sandy because it interacted with the cold air from the west. So the cold front was the reason that Sandy did become so strong setting records for low pressure in the area and also storm surge.

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Green Energy Weather Report for November 2:

Wave Energy: The frontal boundary along the Pacific Northwest will still lead to some moderate wave generating in the region.

Solar Energy: High pressure will make the Southern Rockies and the Southwest a great location for solar energy. Also the Southern Plains and Gulf Coast will have high pressure dominating the weather which will support solar energy development today. The high pressure over Florida will make for a nice day in the Southeast region as well.

Wind Energy: The Pacific Northwest will see moderate winds with the frontal boundary. Also look for a region to develop in North Dakota behind a frontal boundary that is going to move through the region.

Hydro-Energy: The Pacific Northwest will have another day of showers which will help provide water to the region and help create some excellent hydro energy. A second place with the moderate rains and isolated snows will develop along the Red River in North Dakota along the border of Minnesota.

November 2 Weather and Your Wallet (Rapid City SD):

Dining: Looking to get a break during lunch time today? Why not head out to the park or enjoy a quiet afternoon walking on the boardwalk having your lunch. A jacket will be needed tonight if you plan on heading out.

Transportation: A nice day in the region will lead to no problems for your commute today.

Shopping: A great day to get out and start your early holiday shopping.

Electricity: This morning will be good. However, once the sun goes down look for some use of the heaters and then overnight a moderate use of the heaters as temps fall into the 30´s and the HDD for the day rise to around 18.

Agriculture: A nice day for the farmers and ranchers to get some of that work done.

Construction: A nice day will help any company that needs to get those last minute fall projects done.

Outdoor Venues: This afternoon would be a nice day to enjoy the outdoors no matter if its riding a bike or taking a walk along a nature trail. Tonight you will need a jacket as temps will cool off rapidly after sunset.

Weather Changer for November 2:

Area #1: The frontal boundary along the Pacific Northwest will bring another day of showers and cloudy skies to the region.

Area #2: High pressure will build in over Florida and with that bring some of the coolest weather for that region this evening and overnight tonight.

Area #3: A weak frontal boundary passing through North Dakota and Northern Minnesota will be responsible for bringing some light rain and snow to the region today and tomorrow.

Area #4: Early next week we are looking at an area of low pressure that will push off the Carolina Coast and make its way up the Eastern Seaboard which will again bring showers to the Northeast and dampen recovery efforts in that region.

Area #5: Looking like around November 10 a strong pacific system will take a nose dive into the Southwest and with that we could be looking at the development of a strong storm system to the region.

Area #6: The low pressure system will exit the Rockies and move into the Northern Plains bringing with it showers on the warm side of the front and some potentially heavy snow to the north and western side of the low.

Area #7: The frontal boundary will sweep through the Gulf Coast and Southeast increasing the chances around November 12-14 of seeing severe weather in this region.