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November 6, 2012

Big Story Weather – November 6, 2012

Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from November 5: Yesterday the Pacific Northwest saw a cold front move on shore, providing for light rain west of the Cascades. The Southwest through the Southern Plains saw high pressure and mild temperatures, with light rain and a dusting of snow in the Northern Plains and Northern Rockies. The Central Plains experienced high pressure building in the wake of a low-pressure system which is moving to the east and southeast. This system extended into the southeastern portion of Texas and through the Gulf South. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system brought damaging winds, heavy rain and pea size hail to the Gulf South. Light to moderate frost made its way down to the Upper Tennessee Valley area. The Southeast remained fairly dry with the exception of Central Florida which also saw moderate rainfall. The Midwest saw high pressure with mostly sunny skies and mild temperatures which extended through the northeast.

Weather Outlook for November 6: High pressure will be in control over the northeast making for partly cloudy skies and cool temps. Low pressure is beginning to push off the southeast coast and will make its way north-northeastward over the next couple of days. Another low pressure system is moving through the Great Lakes and will bring showers and cooler air to the region. High pressure will bring warm and dry conditions to the West and West Coast. Below is the weather for a few select cities.

New York NY: (Partly Cloudy: 45F) | Gulfport MS: (Partly Cloudy: 68F) | Kansas City MO: (Partly Cloudy: 56F) | Billings MT: (Partly Cloudy: 64F) | San Diego CA: (Partly Cloudy: 79F)

International Weather Outlook for November 6:
Low pressure moving through Japan will bring cloudy skies and scattered showers to the region. Another area of low pressure will begin moving into Eastern China bringing cloudy skies to the region. Low pressure sitting over India will increase showers and thunderstorms. A very deep low pressure system moving through the majority of Europe is bringing a wide range of rain and also in the north snowfall will occur. A frontal boundary is bringing showers to the southern tip of South America. High pressure will begin to ridge in to the Western part of Australia bringing partly cloudy skies. Eastern Australia will also enjoy high pressure from the north which will bring partly cloudy skies to the region.  Here is the forecast for a few select international cities.

Seoul South Korea: Partly Cloudy with a low near 6C.

Hong Kong China: Partly Cloudy with a low near 16C.

New Delhi India: Mostly Cloudy with Thunderstorms and a low near 21C.

Sydney Australia: Partly Cloudy with a low near 15C.

November 6, 2012 Storm Tracker Update:

Special Low Coverage: The low pressure that moved through the Gulf Coast region yesterday is now pushing off shore near the Carolina´s and will slowly make its way north-northeastward and might stay far enough away from the Northeast allowing them to not take a direct hit from this storm.

Atlantic Basin: A tranquil day in the Atlantic as nothing is forecasted over the next 24hrs.

Eastern Pacific: All is quiet in this region.

Gulf of Alaska: The first low pressure system is now moving on shore over Western Canada. The associated frontal boundary will begin to push into the Pacific Northwest over the next few days. A second low pressure system is beginning to enter the Western Gulf of Alaska and will make its way towards Alaska over the next few days.

Central Pacific: All is quiet in this region this morning.

Western Pacific: There is one strong low pressure system moving across Japan today which will bring showers and stronger winds to the region.

South Indian Ocean: One area to the southwest of India is beginning to get a little better organized today as it has winds around 15kts and a pressure of 1010mb.

Southern Hemisphere: We are watching a wave off the coast of Madagascar for possible development. As of this morning it has winds around 10kts and a pressure of 1010mb.

ENSO Watch (Neutral Phase): We still remain in a neutral phase which is a surprise as it was much anticipated to already be in a weak El-Nino. There are still signs in the farther western boxes that we could possibly still have El-Nino setup. This condition will have to continue to be watched.

Five Day Storm Index Outlook for November 6-10:

New York NY: There will be slight impacts to the region on the 7th and 8th as a storm system passes near the area bringing showers into the region.

Gulfport MS: High pressure is setting up in the region and should provide great weather for the next few days with little to no impacts forecasted.

Kansas City MO: High pressure moving in will also keep this area quiet over the next few days.

Billings MT: A quiet start to the first few days followed by a significant winter storm moving into the region. Expect to see some heavy snowfall along with blowing and drifting conditions to start on the 8th and carry through the 10th.

San Diego CA: A nice week in store with a few showers bringing a slight impact to the region on the 9th.

Climate Watch for November 1-5:

New York NY: The past five days have been very cold as continued cleanup efforts continue. Temps have been running about 7-12 degrees below average for this time period.

Gulfport MS: Temps started about 2 degrees below average and then rose to 5-8 degrees above average and then on the 5th fell to around 5 degrees below average again.

Kansas City MO: Temps started the period about 7 degrees below average and then rose to around 2 degrees above average and by the 5th temps had returned to around 10 degrees below average.

Billings MT: Temps started the period near average and then rapidly rose through the rest of the period to temps about 5-18 degrees above average.

San Diego CA: Temps started about 1-3 degrees below average and then warmed to around 15-16 degrees above average to finish the period out.

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for November 5, 2012:

Day 1-3: High pressure over the Northeast will keep this region nice today, while the frontal boundary pushes off the coast of South Carolina and will start making its way northward. Another frontal boundary moving through the Great Lakes will bring showers and colder air to the region. High pressure over the West will bring warm and dry conditions to this region. The middle of this period we will see the low pressure move up the East Coast and may very well bring heavy rain, strong winds and also snowfall to the Northeast during this time period. The period will finish with high pressure along the East Coast and another strong potent storm system moving into the Pacific Northwest .

Day 4-7: This period we will see high pressure along the East Coast and a very strong 996mb low developing in the Northern Rockies which will setup a large area of precipitation from rain in the warm sector to snowfall in the colder region behind. The low pressure will move into Northern Minnesota during this time period bringing with it snow to the back side of the front and also thunderstorms along the southern portion extending into the Gulf Coast region. The end of this period will have a low pressure well up into Canada, however the frontal boundary will extend all the way to the Gulf Coast and this will be the region for possible severe weather.

Day 8-12: Showers will move up into the Northeast to start this period, while a very strong area of high pressure will move into the Plains section with readings falling into the 20´s for many places for the first time this fall/winter. The middle of this period will have a low pressure system moving in from the Southwest which will head into the Rockies and deepen rapidly in the region.

Day 13-15: This period will start with a blocking high along the East Coast. Along with that expect to see a strong low pressure system moving into the Southern Plains which will be the region for the chance of seeing more severe weather and also the northern part of this system will have snowfall with it again over the Northern Plains. A potent storm system will also begin to enter the Pacific Northwest during this time. The end of this period we could be looking at a Cut-off low forming off the coast of CA and slowly making its way eastward.

Today's Spotlight Forecast is for Austin Texas:

Tuesday: Partly Cloudy and mild as temps will rise to near 78F. Winds will be light from the Southwest around 2-7mph. Overnight lows fall to around 55F.

Wednesday: Partly Cloudy and mild as high temps rise to around 78F. Winds will shift to the Southeast around 5-10mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 60F.

Thursday: Mostly Cloudy and mild as high temps rise to around 79F. Winds will increase from the Southeast around 10-15mph. Overnight lows fall to around 63F.

Friday: Mostly Cloudy with periods of thunderstorms and high temps near 78F, winds will be from the Southeast around 12-17mph as overnight lows fall to around 60F.

Saturday: Mostly Cloudy with periods of thunderstorms some which may be strong. Winds will be from the Southeast around 12-17mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 65F.

Ask The Weatherman for November 6:

Question: Are there different types of high pressures?

Answer: Today´s question is a pretty good question and the answer is yes. There are indeed different types of Blue H´s on the weather map. The first is the Canadian High that comes in from Canada which is called a cold high pressure system. The high pressure that is over the Atlantic known as the Bermuda high is a warm high.

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Green Energy Weather Report for November 6:

Wave Energy: The low pressure moving off shore in the Carolina´s this morning will be the site for some great wave energy.

Solar Energy: The Northeast will see high pressure which will provide a great amount of solar energy. The Western United States will also be another region for solar power.

Wind Energy:  The Northern Plains will see some great wind energy today behind the cold front that just passed through and also along the Gulf Coast today behind the front will see some great wind energy today.

Hydro-Energy:  The area of low pressure moving through the Great Lakes will provide this region with some great hydro-energy to the region.

November 6 Weather and Your Wallet (Fargo ND):

Dining: A very cold day in store will make dining outside a very big challenge.

Transportation: This morning there may be scattered slick spots due to last night´s light rain and snow so take your commute with caution.

Shopping: Dress warm as it will be cold if you have plans to go shopping today.

Electricity: A very cold day in the region will lead to a high use of HDD´s around 30. These heating degrees will be used throughout the day as temps struggle to make it above 40F. The clearing skies make it even colder tonight.

Agriculture: A good day to get that outdoor work done through the early afternoon time frame.

Construction: Should be a fairly good day to work construction except that it will be cold. If you have any elevated jobs to do, the high winds may cause problems with gusts reaching well over 17mph.

Outdoor Venues: If you are heading out to take a walk in the park or going fishing you will want to bundle up as the temps will make it feel very cold outside for long periods of time.

Weather Changer for November 6:

Area #1: The low pressure moving off the southeast coast this morning will begin to make its way north-northeastward towards the northeast and could bring some significant impacts to the region.

Area #2: The low pressure may begin to start impacting this region within the next 24-48hrs with high seas, coastal erosion, flooding and heavy rains, snows and strong winds.

Area #3: Low pressure moving through the Great Lakes will create an intense area of winds across the lakes and also some moderate rainfall.

Area #4: The development of a new strong low pressure system around the 10th of November will begin to move into the Southwest and then advance into the Rockies.

Area #5: The Northern low will move across this region bringing rain to the warm sector side and a the potential of a significant winter storm to the western side of the system.

Area #6: The secondary low will develop and push across the Southern Plains and into the Gulf Coast region bringing with it a significant chance of seeing some severe weather.