November 14, 2012
Big Story Weather – November 14, 2012
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Weather Outlook for November 14: High pressure centered over the Northeast will lead to nice conditions from the Northeast into the Southeast and back towards the Gulf Coast. Northward into the Ohio River Valley and westward into the Northern Plains will all enjoy a nice day from the influence of high pressure. A few afternoon showers will develop over Southern Florida. High pressure over the Rockies will bring nice conditions to the Rockies and southward into the Southwest. The area of high pressure will also influence the weather over the West Coast leading to a nice day up and down the coast. Overall the entire United States will enjoy a very tranquil day with only a few showers scattered in Southern Florida. Below is the weather for a few select cities.
New York: (Partly Cloudy: 44F) | Orlando FL: (Partly cloudy: 76F) | Kansas City MO: (Partly Cloudy: 52F) | Boise ID: (Partly Cloudy: 48F) | Los Angeles CA: (Partly Cloudy: 77F)
International Weather Outlook for November 14: High pressure over Northeast China will begin to ridge into the Koreas and Western Japan leading to partly cloudy skies throughout the region. Weak flow in the monsoonal trough over Southeast Asia will lead to showers and isolated thunderstorms in the region. High pressure over Central Europe will bring partly to mostly cloudy skies from Eastern Europe all the way back to the western portion of Europe. A frontal boundary will scrape through the southern tip of South America bringing a few showers to the region. The majority of Australia will enjoy partly cloudy skies with the influence of a weak area of high pressure. Here is the forecast for a few select international cities.
Seoul Korea: Partly Cloudy with a low near 7C.
Hong Kong China: Partly Cloudy with a low near 16C.
New Delhi India: Mostly Cloudy with a low near 25C.
Athens Greece: Partly Cloudy with a low near 4C.
Perth Australia: Partly Cloudy and warm with a low near 12C.
November 14, 2012 Storm Tracker Update:
Atlantic Basin: Low pressure moving across near the Azores will bring scattered showers and moderate winds to the region. An area of low pressure that moved off the East Coast of the US yesterday will continue to track towards Iceland.
Europe: A strong area of low pressure is moving through Eastern Europe this morning and will continue to impact the region with rain and some snow for the northern region. This low will move towards China and Russia over the next 24hrs.
Eastern Pacific: Low pressure moving out of the Gulf of Alaska will over the next 36hrs begin to impact the Pacific Northwest with moderate winds and seas along with showers.
Gulf of Alaska: A region of low pressure is moving into the Southwest Gulf of Alaska and will begin to start impacting coastal Alaska with increased winds/seas along with showers for the coastal region within the next 24-36hrs.
Central Pacific: All is quiet in this region this morning.
Western Pacific: Area of low pressure is northeast of Japan and will continue to move eastward away from the region. Tropical Depression to the southeast of Vietnam will continue to drift westward impacting the region with stronger winds and rainfall as pressure this morning is estimated near 1004mb with winds around 30kts. This feature will intensify some over the next 24hrs and could become another Tropical Storm in the Western Pacific before making landfall.
South Indian Ocean: One area of strong convection is located to the South of India but should remain in this region as the strong high pressure to the north is keeping this wave south and should be no impacts to land over the next 24hrs.
Southern Hemisphere: No major weather features in this region this morning.
Five Day Storm Index Outlook for November 14-18:
New York NY: High pressure will keep the next few days impact free, however, a developing coastal storm may have some slight impacts by the 18th.
Orlando FL: High pressure and moderate easterly winds will keep this region impact free over the next five days.
Kansas City MO: High pressure will keep the impacts to none during this forecast period.
Boise ID: The first part of the forecast will be impact free, however by the 17th and 18th we could be seeing some slight impacts as a frontal boundary begins to influence the weather over the region.
Los Angeles CA: The week will be impact free for the region with no major weather systems forecasted.
Climate Watch for November 9-13:
New York NY: Temps started about 2-3 degrees below normal followed by a warm frontal boundary that pushed the temps up to around 3-9 degrees above average for the past few days.
Orlando FL: Temps started the period about 3-6 degrees below average followed by a warming trend of temps rising to around 3 degrees above average.
Kansas City MO: Temps started the period around 7-19 degrees above average and then as a cold front passed through the region the temps fell to around 10 degrees below average. The period finished with temps back to around 2 degrees above average.
Boise ID: Temps have been running about 3-12 degrees below average over the past five days.
Los Angeles CA: Temps started the period running around 3-8 degrees below average followed by a warming trend with temps rising to around 3-10 degrees above average.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for November 14, 2012:
Day 1-3: The period will start with high pressure along the East Coast that will spread back to the Central Plains leaving the entire 2/3 of the Eastern US under nice weather conditions. The exception will be along the Southern tip of Florida where a few showers will be found as high pressure will also bring very nice conditions to the Western United States from the Rockies to the coast. The period will end with a frontal boundary approaching the West Coast from California northward into the Northwest.
Day 4-7: The period will start with moderate rains along the Pacific Northwest and also an onshore flow of moisture over the Mid-Atlantic Region will bring showers to the region. The middle of this period will still have weak onshore flow around the high over the Northeast bringing a few showers to the region and also back west along the Pacific Northwest a few showers will still be around. The end of this period will have a developing low pressure system over the Southern Plains along with more frontal moisture moving on shore over the Pacific Northwest.
Day 8-12: The period will begin with high pressure along the East Coast and also extending back westward into the Plains. More moisture will be moving on shore in the Pacific Northwest with another frontal boundary. The middle of this period will have some light snow over Maine along with some very strong winds over the Northeast due to the gradient between the low east and the high pressure over the Plains which will bring nice weather to the Plains region and the Southeast. The frontal boundary over the Pacific Northwest will continue to bring moderate winds and rainfall. The end of this period will have strong winds over the Northeast along with high pressure over the eastern US. A strong low pressure system will begin to take shape over the Northern Plains bringing moisture back to this region. A weak area of high pressure will ridge in over the Southwest along with more onshore flow over the Pacific Northwest.
Day 13-15: The period will start with a strong low pressure system moving into the Great Lakes bringing moderate rains. Look for some light snow on the northwest side of this frontal system and also some strong storms along the Gulf Coast. High pressure will be over the East Coast again during this period. High pressure will be over the Rockies bringing nice conditions and another frontal boundary will begin to enter the Pacific Northwest. The middle of this period will have some left over showers and light snow in the Northeast along with high pressure building in over the Plains and Gulf Coast bringing nice weather to the region. A very potent low pressure with a pressure of 968mb will approach the West Coast of the US which will bring very heavy rain and mountain snows. By the end of this period most of the US will enjoy partly cloudy skies, however, the West Coast will be dealing with very strong storms and heavy mountain snows that we may be looking at a wide array of winter storm warnings from the Cascades all the way down into Northern California. There may also be some area of low pressure to the southeast of Cuba during this time.
Today's Spotlight Forecast is for Memphis TN:
Wednesday: Partly Cloudy and cool with a high near 50F. Winds will be from the Northeast around 5-10mph as low temps fall to around 33F.
Thursday: Partly Cloudy and warmer as high temps rise to around 55F. Winds will be from the Northeast around 5-10mph as low temps fall to around 36F.
Friday: Partly Cloudy and mild with a high near 57F. Winds will be from the Northeast around 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 37F.
Saturday: Partly Cloudy and nice as temps rise to around 60F. Winds will shift to the Southeast around 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 41F.
Sunday: Partly Cloudy again and warmer as high temps rise to around 63F. Winds will be from the Southeast around 5-10mph as overnight lows hit the 45F range.
Ask The Weatherman for November 14:
Question: Why does it look like it´s going to rain but it never hits the ground?
Answer: This is best described by knowing the term Virga and what it means. Virga is the falling of precipitation that does not reach the ground. It evaporates in the air instead. Usually what occurs is that the precipitation will fall from a higher cloud and as it falls it goes through a region of drier air which forces the precipitation to evaporate before hitting the ground. However, as you watch the sky you will still see it falling from the cloud. This event is fairly common and occurs most often during the summer time but can occur in the winter with snow falling from the sky as well.
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Green Energy Weather Report for November 14:
Wave Energy: The Northeast coast will still have some nice off shore waves to generate energy from the storm system that moved through the region yesterday. Also look for the Pacific Northwest to be another wave source for energy today.
Solar Energy: High pressure will bring solar conditions to the Southwest part of the United States along with the Gulf Coast and Southeast and back into the Central Plains region.
Wind Energy: The best wind energy will be found off the coast of the Mid-Atlantic region and also off the coast of the Northeast behind that cold front that pushed through.
Hydro-Energy: One small location in Southern Florida will be the best location for hydro energy today as the moderate rains fall through Southern Florida.
November 14 Weather and Your Wallet (Sioux Falls SD):
Dining: This morning will be a tad bit cold so make sure to bundle up before heading out to get a bite to eat. This evening the cold air will be back in place.
Transportation: A nice day to walk to work or take the local bus routes and enjoy a cool but dry day.
Shopping: This morning and evening the temps will be fairly cold so make sure to bundle up before heading out to enjoy some shopping.
Electricity: Looking for a significant heating day across the area with HDD´s values to be around 24 with moderate use of electricity heaters during the overnight hours.
Agriculture: A cool morning, however, no major impacts throughout the day. There may be some areas of frost during the overnight hours, however the area has already had its winter kill for the year.
Construction: A nice day to work outside with no major weather issues expected. Just make sure to bundle up if working on the roadways as temps will be cool throughout the day.
Outdoor Venues: If you are heading out the door this morning and into the evening hours make sure to bundle up as the winds are going to be stronger and also the temps will be down to near freezing.