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February 8, 2013

Big Story Weather – February 8, 2013

Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from February 7: Low pressure over the Gulf was responsible for some severe weather over the Panhandle of Florida, while the second and further northern low created some significant snows around the Great Lakes Region. High pressure brought nice weather to the majority of the west.

Weather Outlook for February 8: Blizzard 1 of 2013 is about to begin unleashing on the Northeast today as the surface map above highlights the region in yellow that will be greatly impacted by the heavy snow and winds from New York to Boston. Showers and a mix of rain and snow will be found in the Mid-Atlantic Region. High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring an end to the snow for the Western Lakes. A new powerful low pressure area is beginning to take shape over the Southwest and this will bring some snow to the Colorado Rockies today. Another dry day expected along the West Coast and also the Gulf Coast. Below is the weather for a few select cities this afternoon.

New York NY: Cloudy with Rain/Snow changing to Heavy Snow: 37F
Houston TX: Partly Cloudy: 60F
Watertown SD: Partly Cloudy: 31F
Boise ID: Partly Cloudy: 31F
Portland OR: Partly Cloudy: 41F

International Weather Outlook for February 8: Low pressure over Northern Japan will bring snow showers to the region. High pressure over Eastern China will bring partly cloudy skies to the region this will expand into the Koreas. High pressure over the Tibetan Plateau will keep the majority of Southeast Asia dry today. Low pressure moving through Central Europe will bring rain and snow to the region. A frontal boundary will begin to approach the tip of South America and will bring a band of showers to the region. Multiple areas of low pressure will move through Australia today bringing extensive cloud cover and showers to a good portion of the country. Here is the forecast for a few select international cities.

Seoul South Korea: Partly Cloudy with a low near -3C
Guam USA: Partly Cloudy with a low near 25C
Bangkok Thailand: Partly Cloudy with a low near 25C
Brussels Germany: Partly Cloudy with snow and a low near 0C
Brisbane Australia: Cloudy with Showers and a low near 24C

February 8, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:

Atlantic Basin: Low pressure moving through Central Europe will bring showers and snow to the region. Another area of low pressure is moving away from Iceland and towards England. Two major low pressure systems are merging together along the East Coast of the United States creating a potent winter storm over the region.

Eastern Pacific: Low pressure will be moving out of the Southwest today and towards the Northern Plains; this will begin the process of another major winter storm. A low pressure systems is pushing towards the West Coast of Canada. Another powerful low pressure over the Central Gulf of Alaska will bring heavy snow to the Southern coast of Alaska.

Western Pacific: Low pressure moving over Northern Japan will bring snow to the region. Another low pressure area is moving through Northeast China and will move over the Koreas this weekend.

Indian Ocean: One area of low pressure associated with the monsoonal trough will continue to push westward but should remain over open water.

Southern Hemisphere: An area of low pressure is well to the Northeast of Australia. Another area of low pressure moving south of Australia will bring a few thunderstorms to the southeast. Another area of low pressure is moving south towards the West Coast of Australia. A storm system that left the Fiji Islands is now moving through the Southern Pacific towards South America.

Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for February 8-12:

New York NY: Today a major winter storm will be moving through the area which will have severe impacts on the area. Expect to see slight impacts tomorrow and then another chance of rain/snow on the 11th which will create a slight impact on the region.

Houston TX: On the 10th and 11th thunderstorms will move through the region creating a slight impact on the area.

Watertown SD: On the 9th snow will begin to develop creating a slight impact, however the 10th blizzard conditions will develop creating a severe impact on the region. On the 11th conditions will remain in the slight impact area.

Boise ID: Slight impacts expected over the next three days due to light snow moving through the region.

Portland OR: No impacts forecasted for the next five days.

Climate Watch for February 3-February 7:

New York NY: The period was dominated with below temps over the past five days with temps around 1-9 degrees below normal.

Houston TX: The past five days temps have been around 1-14 degrees above average.

Watertown SD: The period started with temps around 3 below normal, followed by two days of temps 5-10 degrees above normal, and then the 7th temps fell to around 1 below normal.

Boise ID: The first half of the period had temps around 6-9 degrees below normal followed by temps warming to 3-4 degrees above normal.

Portland OR: The 3rd saw temps about 3 below normal followed by three days of temps around 2 degrees above normal and then on the 7th temps fell to around 1 below normal again.

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for February 8, 2013:

Day 1-3: The fun begins today as the entire Northeast and parts of the Mid-Atlantic will be dealing with their first significant snow storm in some time. Many places in the region will be  measuring the snow by feet instead of inches. The heart of the heaviest snowfall looks to be the Boston Metro area where snowfall amounts could reach three feet. The Southeast and Southern Plains along with the Western Great Lakes will enjoy high pressure today, while the Southern Rockies will see another powerful storm system begin to take shape and create heavy snow across the Colorado Rockies. The West Coast will enjoy partly cloudy skies today. The middle of the period will have a strong low pressure moving into the Northern Plains creating another area with blizzard conditions for the Dakotas where places here could also be dealing with snowfall amounts around one foot. The period will end with the heavy snow moving into the Western Great Lakes. Along with that expect to see an area of severe weather develop along the Gulf Coast.

Day 4-7: The period will start with the low pressure moving off the East Coast as the stationary boundary will setup over the Gulf Coast. High pressure will be over the West. By day five another low pressure will develop over Southern Texas bringing rain showers to the Gulf Coast, while high pressure will be over the West. The middle of the period will have another storm system moving through the Northern Plains. The period will end with high pressure over the West.

Day 8-12: The period will start with high pressure over the majority of the United States with a few upper level troughs bringing some snow to the Northern Plains and also over Arkansas and Eastern Texas possibly. Day ten there will be a weak low moving up the East Coast, while high pressure will be over a good portion of the US. The middle of the period will have high pressure over the Southeast, while a clipper system moves through the Great Lakes. The period will end with a very strong area of high pressure moving over the Northern Plains, while another storm system develops over Mexico.

Day 13-15: The period will start with a strong high pressure center over the Northern Plains and a storm system developing over Texas which will push showers and thunderstorms into the Gulf Coast region. During the middle of the period the high will shift into the Great Lakes, while the storm system pushes further into the Gulf of Mexico creating an intense area of showers and maybe some mixed precipitation in the Southeast and Gulf Coast region. The period will end with a clipper system moving through the Northern Plains along with strong high pressure over the Eastern US and Southeast. Look for another low pressure system to begin impacting the Pacific Northwest.

Today's Spotlight Forecast is for Milbank SD:

Friday: Partly Cloudy and cool with a high near 25F, winds from the Southeast 12-17mph as overnight lows fall to around 12F.

Saturday: Mostly Cloudy with light snow by evening, winds from the Southeast 10-15mph. High temps will be around 32F, with overnight lows around 25F. Total snowfall accumulations around 2-4in.

Sunday: Blizzard conditions likely with heavy snow and winds around 25-30mph with higher gust. High temps will be around 33F, with overnight lows around 20F. Total snowfall accumulations around 7-9in.

Monday: Snow and blowing snow during the morning becoming Mostly Cloudy by late afternoon, with high temps around 22F. Winds will be from the Northwest 25-30mph as overnight lows fall to around 4F. Total snowfall accumulations of 1-2in likely.

Tuesday: Partly Cloudy and cold with a high near 23F, winds from the Northwest 7-12mph as overnight lows fall to around 18F.

Ask The Weatherman for February 8, 2013:

Question: What drives the movement of surface pressure systems?

Answer: Interesting question today. The movement of a low pressure depends on quite a few things. The first thing is the wind-flow pattern at 30,000ft above the ground; this is the jet-stream winds that push pressure systems across the country. However, the second feature is the air temperatures and what is meant by this is that low pressures move towards the warmest air, while high pressure centers want to move towards the colder air. This only applies to mid-latitude storm systems though. Sub-tropical systems and tropical systems do not follow that rule; they follow an east to west flow pattern. The third impact to all surface features is known as the earth´s spin, which in the Northern Hemisphere causes systems to turn towards the Northeast.

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Green Energy Weather Report for February 8, 2013:

Wave Energy: The Pacific Northwest will be a good source of wind energy today, while the Northeast will be early this morning before the storm arrives.

Solar Energy: The Southern Plains along the with Southeast will be excellent places for solar energy today along with the West Coast.

Wind Energy: The Northern Plains will be the best place for wind energy today. The Northeast will not be a good place for wind energy today due to winds reaching 45-55mph for many places which will actually shut down any wind power systems.

Hydro-Energy: The entire Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region will be the best places of finding long term hydro energy in the form of very heavy snowfall. Another area of hydro energy will develop over the Rockies later this afternoon.

February 8 Weather and Your Wallet (Boston MA):

***Blizzard Warning*** You should be finishing all your plans this morning and returning to your homes before 12PM EDT as that is when the weather is going to go downhill fast and become a very dangerous situation for the Metro area and surrounding suburbs.

Dining: This morning should be a good chance to get out and get that fast food to fill your daily needs before lunch time as the weather will rapidly go downhill this afternoon.

Transportation: This morning between 6-11AM the roads should be fine, however after 12PM expect to see the roads slowly become snow packed with road conditions becoming impassible by later this evening and roads will probably become closed this evening.

Shopping: This morning is your best chance to get out and get those needed supplies as it could become very hard to get out and about for a few days after this storm moves through the region.

Electricity: There will be a high demand for electricity over the next 24hrs. There will also be the high chance of seeing power outages as the heavy wet snow accumulates fast creating pressure on the power lines. Now would be the time to make sure the generators are ready to go.

Yard Work: If you have plans to do some yard work to prepare for the storm you will want to have that done by noon today. Also if you start clearing snow off your driveways and sidewalks make sure to take plenty of breaks as this will be heavy wet snow which could lead to health problems.

Construction: Today is not a good day for construction of any sort as the winds are going to reach very strong speeds which will create a dangerous working conditions for any elevated projects and also the heavy snow will fill the roads up quickly.

Outdoor Venues: Get the dog out for a walk this morning and then be ready to shelter together for the day.