Big Story Weather – May 15, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from May 14: The biggest news of the day was the heat wave that hit the middle of the United States. Places from Texas to South Dakota and Minnesota soared into the 100´s. Another big story was the strong thunderstorms that moved through the Northern Rockies.
Big Story Weather Discussion for May 15: High pressure over the Southeast United States will bring nice weather to the region. This will extend back into the Gulf Coast. A frontal system moving through the Northeast will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. Another storm system moving into the Southern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region from Texas into Kansas. Another hot day will be in place over the Southwest with temps going over the 100F mark. High pressure over the Northern Rockies will keep the region dry.
Severe Weather: There is a chance for severe weather over the Northeast ahead of the cold front. Another area will be over the Southern Plains from Texas to Kansas.
Tropical Weather: No tropical weather forecasted for the United States over the next 24 hours.
Here is the weather for a few select cities:
New York NY: Partly cloudy with afternoon thunderstorms. High temps around 66F and overnight lows will fall to near 59F. Total rainfall for today will be around 0.30 inches.
Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy with a high near 81F. Overnight lows will be around 70F.
Dallas TX: Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms. High temps around 75F and overnight lows will fall to around 68F. Total rainfall for the day will be around 0.25 inches.
Billings MT: Partly cloudy with afternoon showers and a high near 70F. Overnight lows will be around 63F. Total rainfall for the day will be around 0.40 inches.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy with a high near 60F. Overnight lows will drop to around 50F.
May 15, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Atlantic Basin: Low pressure moving across Western Europe will bring showers to the region. Another low will be moving into England bringing showers and cooler weather. A third area of low pressure is moving along Eastern Canada. Expect showers along the coast.
Eastern Pacific: Low pressure moving across the Southern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region; some severe weather is likely. Low pressure moving into Western Canada will bring showers to the region. Another area of low pressure is moving into the Gulf of Alaska which will bring showers and a few snow showers to Alaska. A tropical wave pushing into the Eastern Pacific is being watched for possible tropical development over the next 24 hours. Winds are around 30kts and pressure near 1005mb.
Western Pacific: Low pressure moving into the Northeast part of Russia will bring cool rain showers to the region. Another area of low pressure is moving out over the open Pacific. A third area of low pressure is moving across Eastern China and will bring showers and thunderstorms over the region. An area of low pressure is moving southeast of Guam.
Indian Ocean: A strong area of low pressure associated with the monsoonal trough is slowly moving westward towards Africa. Tropical Cyclone Mahasen is still moving into the Bay of Bengal this morning with winds around 45kts and a pressure of 989mb. This storm will move northeastward towards landfall.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure are moving through the region. One area of low pressure will be impacting Argentina with showers. A second low pressure area will be impacting Southeast Australia with showers.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for May 15-19:
New York NY: There will be a slight chance of impacts today associated with thunderstorms. On May 19th another round of impacts will be possible as showers move into the region.
Gulfport MS: The next five days will be impact free for the region.
Dallas TX: The region will have moderate impacts today associated with thunderstorms. Slight impacts with thunderstorms on May 16th. The remainder of the period will be impact free.
Billings MT: The next five days will be impacted with on and off showers which will create a slight impact for the area.
Seattle WA: The next five days will be impact free for the region.
Climate Watch for May 10-14:
New York NY: The period started with temps around 11 degrees above normal followed by a cool down for the remainder of the period with temps about 1-13 degrees below normal.
Gulfport MS: The past five days have been running around 1-9 degrees below normal.
Dallas TX: The period started with temps about 1-3 degrees above and then cooled down to around 2 degrees below normal before warming back up to around 6-7 degrees above normal.
Billings MT: The past five days the temps have been around 5-27 degrees above normal.
Seattle WA: The past five days the region has seen temps around 1-17 degrees above normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for May 15, 2013:
Day 1-3: A cold front approaching the Northeast will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure will bring nice weather to the Southeast and Gulf Coast. Another storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the Southern Plains. High pressure will bring nice weather to the Northern Plains and also the Great Lakes, while a warm and dry day is in store for the Southwest. By day two the storm system will move slightly north over the Plains setting the stage for another day of showers and thunderstorms over the Plains. Showers will also extend over the Pacific Northwest and another round of showers along the warm front will extend into the Mid-Atlantic region. The period will finish with showers and thunderstorms over the Mid-Atlantic region and another round of showers and thunderstorms for the Northern Plains.
Day 4-7: The period will start with the showers and thunderstorms over the Mid-Atlantic, while the Northern Plains will also be dealing with showers and thunderstorms. By day five the showers and thunderstorms will push out of the Mid-Atlantic and into the Southeast, while the storm system over the Northern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms from the Dakotas into the Southern Plains. By day six the storm system will continue to impact the Northern Plains, while a new low begins to develop along the southern part of the boundary over the Southern Plains. The period will finish with the low over the Northern Plains, while the cold front will extend into the Southern Plains. Expect to see severe weather along the front. The warm front will extend through the Ohio River Valley.
Day 8-12: The period will start with a low pressure area in the Great Lakes bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. A second low pressure will be over the Southern Plains with more showers and thunderstorms. A third area of low pressure will be over the Pacific Northwest bringing showers to the region. By day nine a storm system will be over both coasts creating showers and thunderstorms for the East and showers for the West. By day ten low pressure will be along the East Coast, high pressure will be over the Great Lakes, and another storm system will be moving into the Rockies. By day eleven there will be showers along the East Coast, high pressure will be over the Great Lakes, and the area of low pressure over the West will bring showers to the region.
Long Range Outlook: The long range will start with high pressure over the East Coast, while a storm system will be moving through Canada with a cold front extending over the Northern Plains. The period will finish with another storm system over the Northern Plains.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Memphis TN:
Wednesday: Partly cloudy and mild with a high near 81F. Winds from the southwest 7-12mph as overnight lows fall to around 63F.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a high near 80F. Winds from the southeast 7-12mph as overnight lows fall to around 63F.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and a high near 80F. Winds will be from the southwest 10-15mph as overnight lows fall to around 67F. Total rainfall will be around 0.20 inches.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and a high near 83F. Winds will be from the southwest 7-12mph as overnight lows fall to around 70F. Total rainfall will be around 0.25 inches.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with a high near 87F. Winds will be from the southwest 8-13mph as overnight lows fall to around 69F.
Ask The Weatherman for May 15, 2013:
Question: Why do hurricanes need to usually form at about 5N or 5S latitude?
Answer: The reason for this is that a hurricane or tropical feature needs to have a spin to it. Below 5 degrees that spin becomes too weak to typically support a storm.
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Green Energy Weather Report for May 15, 2013:
Wave Energy: The Northeast will see moderate wave energy today as a frontal boundary approaches the region. The Mid-Atlantic will have moderate energy. The Southeast will see low amounts of energy. The Northern Gulf of Mexico will be in the low category as well. The Southwest will be low to moderate. The Northwest will be moderate to strong as a frontal boundary sits right off the coast.
Solar Energy: The Great Lakes back into the Northern Plains will enjoy plenty of solar energy today. The second place will be the Gulf Coast into the Southeast. A third place that will be seeing good energy will be the Southwest and most of the West except for Texas.
Wind Energy: The strongest places for wind energy today will be coming off the Rockies into the Northern and Southern Plains.
Hydro-Energy: There will be a pocket of hydro energy over the Northeast ahead of a cold front and also over the Southern Plains right along the next frontal system.
May 15 Weather and Your Wallet (Baltimore MD):
A cold front approaching the area will bring showers and thunderstorms into the region today.
Dining: The interaction with showers and thunderstorms will make today a good day to enjoy lunch indoors.
Transportation: There will be some delays related to the weather as the rain begins to move in to the region, so expect delays during both rush hours.
Shopping: Today would be a good day to enjoy the indoor shopping as the rain and thunderstorms will make it difficult. Remember to take your umbrella.
Electricity: High temps of 79F and the low temps around 60F will lead today to a small window of cooling needed for the region around 4.5 CDD´s expected especially around 2-4pm today.
Yard Work: This afternoon the region will enjoy about 19.5 GDD´s for the region.
Construction: There will be delays to any outdoor projects today due to showers and thunderstorms. Indoor projects would be more successful today.
Outdoor Venues: If you have any outdoor plans today, make sure to take an umbrella.