Big Story Weather – May 16, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from May 15: Severe weather hit Northeast Texas very hard overnight with tornadoes reported in various locations. There were multiple injuries and a few fatalities with this extreme weather. Hail was very large with softball size hail and damaging winds. The second big story was the extreme heat over the Southwest with places soaring over the 100F mark.
Big Story Weather Discussion for May 16: High pressure off the coast of the Southeast will bring nice weather to the region. A second area of high pressure over the Great Lakes will bring partly cloudy skies to the region. This will extend into the Northeast as well. The storm system over the Southern Plains will bring another day of severe weather to the region from Texas to Kansas and even further northward today.
Severe Weather: There will be a moderate chance of severe weather from Texas to Southern South Dakota. This region could see tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds today. A second area will exist from Tennessee to the Mid-Atlantic region where they will be dealing more with damaging winds.
Tropical Weather: No tropical weather forecasted for the United States over the next 24 hours.
Here is the weather for a few select cities:
Buffalo NY: Partly cloudy with a high near 68F. Overnight lows will be around 59F.
Mobile AL: Partly cloudy skies with a high near 80F. Overnight lows will be around 70F.
Sioux Falls SD: Partly cloudy with late afternoon and evening thunderstorms. High temps will be around 75F and overnight lows will be around 68F. Total rainfall today will be around 0.50 inches.
Boise ID: Partly cloudy with a high near 66F. Overnight lows will be around 63F.
Portland OR: Partly cloudy today becoming mostly cloudy with showers developing late. High temps will be around 63F and overnight lows will hit 50F. Total rainfall will be around 0.25 inches.
May 16, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Atlantic Basin: Low pressure moving through Central Europe will bring showers and thunderstorms to Italy and Germany. A second area of low pressure will bring showers and cooler weather to England. Low pressure moving away from Eastern Canada will be pushing towards Greenland and Iceland.
Eastern Pacific: Low pressure moving through the Southern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms along with severe weather to the Plains. Low pressure moving across Western Canada will bring showers to the West Coast of Canada and parts of the United States West Coast. Another area of low pressure is moving slowly across the Pacific and will have no impacts on land today. Tropical Storm Alvin formed yesterday and has winds around 45kts with a pressure of 1003mb. The storm is expected to intensify over the next 24 hours.
Western Pacific: Low pressure moving out of Eastern China will bring showers to Okinawa and also parts of Southern Japan. A second area of low pressure moving over Northeast China will bring showers to the region. This will extend into parts of Russia and the Koreas.
Indian Ocean: An area of low pressure along the monsoonal trough continues to work slowly westward towards Africa. Tropical Cyclone Mahasen has winds around 45kts with a pressure of 989mb and is currently making landfall into Southeast Asia.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving through the region. One is impacting Argentina with rain and even some snow over the region. A second low is impacting South Africa with clouds and a few showers. A third area of low pressure is bringing showers and thunderstorms to Western Australia, while another area of low pressure is bringing showers and colder weather to New Zealand and Southeast Australia.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for May 16-20:
Buffalo NY: The area will start impact free. On the 19th there will be a chance of showers moving into the region bringing a slight impact to the area.
Mobile AL: The next five days will be impact free.
Sioux Falls SD: The next five days there will be slight to moderate impacts as thunderstorms are forecasted every afternoon.
Boise ID: The region will start impact free. By the 18th and 19th the area will have slight impacts as thunderstorms move into the region.
Portland OR: The next five days will be impact free.
Climate Watch for May 11-15:
Buffalo NY: The region started with temps around 4-20 degrees below normal before warming to around 10 degrees above to finish the period.
Mobile AL: The period started with temps around 5-10 degrees below normal before warming to around 1-2 degrees above normal.
Sioux Falls SD: The region started with temps around 6-13 degrees below normal before warming to around 10-26 degrees above normal.
Boise ID: The past five days the area has seen temps around 8-24 degrees above normal.
Portland OR: The period started with temps about 2-18 degrees above normal before cooling to around 1-9 degrees below normal to finish the period.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for May 16, 2013:
Day 1-3: High pressure over the Atlantic will bring partly cloudy skies to the Southeast and Gulf Coast. A second area of high pressure over the Northern Great Lakes will bring partly cloudy skies to the region and this will extend into the Northeast. A storm system moving through the Plains will bring plenty of showers, thunderstorms and severe weather to the region. There will also be showers over the West Coast associated with a frontal boundary. By day two the Plains will again be dealing with severe weather from the Dakotas to Texas. Isolated severe reports will be possible with plenty of showers and thunderstorms throughout the region. The period will finish with a storm system over the Mid-Atlantic and the low pressure over the Northern Plains bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region and this will extend back into Montana.
Day 4-7: The period will start with a storm system extending from Tennessee to the Mid-Atlantic The low pressure over the Northern Plains will bring another day of severe weather to the region. By day five we could see a very large severe weather outbreak extending from the Dakotas all the way down into Texas and along the Mississippi River Valley as this powerful storm system continues to impact the region. By day six the storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms from the Dakotas into the Western Lakes. This region will probably see severe weather as well. A second low will begin to develop over Oklahoma and this will be another region with showers and thunderstorms. A third region will exist along the Mid-Atlantic again. A new storm system will be approaching the Pacific Northwest. The period will finish with showers and thunderstorms extending from the Northern Plains into the Great Lakes and over to the Northeast. This region will see the potential of some severe weather as well. A strong squall line will extend from Illinois back into Oklahoma. This region will see severe weather with it as well. Low pressure will bring showers to the Pacific Northwest.
Day 8-12: The period will start with low pressure in the Northeast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. This will extend into the Mid-Atlantic region. A second low pressure area will be over Oklahoma bringing thunderstorms to the region. A third low pressure will be over the Pacific Northwest. By day nine a good portion of the Eastern United States will be dealing with showers and thunderstorms. By day ten a storm system will be along the East Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring nice weather to the region. Another storms system will enter the Pacific Northwest. The period will finish with a large area of showers along the East Coast, while another storm system moves through Canada, with the frontal boundary extending into the Northern Plains.
Long Range Outlook: The long range will start with high pressure over the Ohio River Valley bringing tranquil conditions to the Great Lakes all the way into the Ohio River Valley and southward into the Southeast. A strong storm system will be moving through the Northern Plains. Expect to see showers and thunderstorms along that boundary as well. The middle of the period will have another storm system over the Northern Plains with more storms. The period will end with the storm system still bringing showers and thunderstorms to the Northern Plains.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Rapid City SD:
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a few afternoon thunderstorms. High temps will be around 79F. Look for overnight lows near 59F. Winds will be out of the southeast 15-20mph as total rainfall amounts will be around 0.04 inches.
Friday: Partly cloudy with a high near 76F. Winds from the southeast 7-12mph as overnight lows fall to around 60F.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with a high near 87F. Winds will be from the southwest 15-20mph as overnight lows fall to around 65F.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms as high temps rise to around 71F. Winds from the northwest 20-25mph as overnight lows fall to around 50F. Total rainfall will be around 0.05 inches.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a few thunderstorms. High temps will be around 69F. Winds will be from the northwest 28-33mph as overnight lows fall to around 53F. Total rainfall will be around 0.20 inches.
Ask The Weatherman for May 16, 2013:
Question: What is the difference between a Tropical Cyclone and a Hurricane?
Answer: A tropical cyclone is a system that is located in the Indian Ocean or the Southern Hemisphere around Australia. They have the same wind criteria as a hurricane. A hurricane forms in the Eastern Pacific and the Atlantic Ocean.
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Green Energy Weather Report for May 16, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be moderate wave energy from the Northeast down to the Mid-Atlantic. There will be low energy levels over the Southeast and Northern Gulf of Mexico. The Southwest and Northwest will see moderate to high energy levels associated with a frontal boundary.
Solar Energy: The best solar energy outputs will be over the Northeast. We are also looking at great amounts of solar energy over the Southeast and back into the Gulf Coast. There will also be a good share of solar energy over the Northern Rockies.
Wind Energy: The strongest places for wind energy today will be coming off the Rockies into the Northern and Southern Plains.
Hydro-Energy: The Mid-Atlantic back into Tennessee will see a good share amount of hydro energy associated with a frontal boundary. The second area will be from the Southern Plains to the Northern Plains where they will see moderate amounts of hydro energy. The third place will be over the West Coast as they will have slight to moderate hydro energy levels.
May 16 Weather and Your Wallet (Las Vegas NV):
A windy and very warm day in store with a chance of seeing dust storms in the area due to the strong winds.
Dining: A nice day to enjoy lunch outside today, however if you wait until the afternoon it may get hot.
Transportation; There will be some impacts all day long especially with the strong winds that could impact high profile vehicles. There is also the potential for dust storms to reduce visibility in some places.
Shopping: No problems with shopping today, just make sure to drink plenty of water as it will be warm.
Electricity: There will be a moderate need for cooling today as we are forecasting a high of 93F which will lead today to around 15.5CDD´s on the day.
Yard Work: Today will be a very warm day with high GDD´s around 29.5.
Construction: There will be some impacts on any high profile jobs that require crane operations.
Outdoor Venues: This morning would be the best time to get out and take the dog for a walk before it gets really warm this afternoon.