Big Story Weather – May 23, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from May 22: Another day of severe weather yesterday. Impacts were seen from Central Mississippi into the Northeast and places in New York dealt with flooding rains. The severity level of the storms was lower, however there were still damaging winds reported in this region as well as flooding rains.
Big Story Weather Discussion for May 23: Low pressure moving across the Northeast will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. These storms will extend along the Mid-Atlantic and into portions of the Southeast. A few wrap-around showers will be found back over the Great Lakes as well. High pressure over Canada will bring partly cloudy skies to the Plains region today. A new low pressure will be developing over the Rockies. Expect to see showers over the Pacific Northwest extending into the Northern Rockies. The Southwest will be dry and warm.
Severe Weather: There will be a marginal area along the East Coast that could see some strong to severe storms. The biggest threat will be damaging winds and flooding rains with some hail being possible. The tornado threat should be very low today.
Here is the weather for a few select cities:
Cleveland OH: Mostly cloudy with periods of rain. high temps will be around 67F and overnight lows will fall to around 54F. Total rainfall will be around 0.40 inches.
Memphis TN: The region will enjoy partly cloudy skies with a high temp near 75F. Overnight lows will fall to around 61F.
Fargo ND: Partly cloudy skies with a high near 63F. Overnight lows will be around 46F.
Boise ID: Mostly cloudy with periods of light rain today as high temps rise to around 61F. Overnight lows will be around 46F. Total rainfall will be near 0.25 inches.
Portland OR: Mostly cloudy with periods of showers. High temps will be around 55F and overnight lows will be near 43F. Total rainfall will be around 0.30 inches.
May 23, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Atlantic Basin: Low pressure moving toward Southern England will bring increased clouds to the region. Another area of low pressure moving along the Eastern United States will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. A tropical wave moving across the Atlantic is being watched for potential development. Low pressure over Northern South America will bring showers to the region.
Eastern Pacific: Low pressure moving over Western Canada will bring showers to the region and these will extend into the Northwest. The remains of Alvin continue to move westward away from land. Another low pressure area is moving into the Gulf of Alaska. Expect to see showers and snow showers in the region.
Western Pacific: Low pressure moving northeast of Japan will bring strong winds and seas to the marine interests. Another area of low pressure moving through Northeast Russia will bring showers to the region. Low pressure moving through Central Russia will bring showers and higher elevation snows to the region. One tropical wave is being watched to the southeast of Guam for potential development.
Indian Ocean: Two areas of low pressure are moving across the basin. One low over to the west of India will bring an increase in monsoonal moisture across the region.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving across the basin will bring impacts to Eastern Australia with showers and also Western South America will begin to see increasing winds and seas along the coast with a few showers.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for May 23-27:
Cleveland OH: The area will have a moderate impact today with showers and thunderstorms in the region. This will give way to a nice weekend with no impacts forecasted for the remainder of the period.
Memphis TN: The next five days will be impact free for the region.
Fargo ND: The area will start impact free. By Ma y25-27 the region will see slight to moderate impacts as showers and thunderstorms move into the region.
Boise ID: The region will have slight impacts today associated with rain showers followed by a nice remainder of the week and weekend.
Portland OR: The region will have slight impacts over the next couple of days associated with rain showers. This will give way to a period that will be impact free. By May 27th the region will be back in a slight impact area as showers move back into the region.
Climate Watch for May 18-22:
Cleveland OH: The region has observed temps above normal for the past five days in the range of 8-16 degrees.
Memphis TN: The region started with temps around 3-5 degrees above normal, followed by temps falling to around 3 degrees below normal.
Fargo ND: The period started with temps around 7-14 degrees above normal, followed by temps around 7-16 degrees below normal, and then finished the period with temps around 2 degrees above normal.
Boise ID: The period started with temps around 3-4 degrees below normal, followed by a short warming trend with temps around 1-2 degrees above normal, and then the period finished with temps around 14 degrees below normal.
Portland OR: The period started with temps around 3-9 degrees below normal, followed by one day with temps around 4 degrees above normal before falling back to 9-19 degrees below normal .
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for May 23, 2013:
Day 1-3: A cold front along the East Coast will bring showers to the region. Expect to see some thunderstorms that reach strong to slightly severe levels for the region. The showers and thunderstorms will extend into Florida as well. Wrap-around moisture will be seen over the Great Lakes in the form of rain showers. High pressure over Central Canada will bring partly cloudy skies to the Plains region. The Gulf Coast will enjoy sunny skies as well. A few showers along a frontal boundary will be possible over the Northwest. The Southwest remains dry and warm. Day two the storm system will remain in the Northeast bringing another day of showers and thunderstorms to the region. A strong upper level feature will move through Western Texas bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. Some severe weather will be possible. Showers will also be on the move over into Western Montana. The period will end with showers over the Northeast. High pressure will be over the Ohio River Valley down to the Gulf Coast. A weak frontal boundary over the Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the entire region.
Day 4-7: The period will start with showers over Maine, while high pressure builds into the East Coast and back towards the Ohio River Valley and into the Gulf Coast. The low pressure over the Northern Pains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region, some which may move into the Great Lakes as well. Day five will have a few showers over Maine, while gradient-induced winds will be over the Northeast which could be strong at times. High pressure will slide into the Mid-Atlantic and bring nice weather to the region and this will extend into the Gulf Coast as well. Low pressure over the Plains will bring strong to severe storms over the Dakotas and into Nebraska. The period will finish with a small area of convection over the Mid-Atlantic. There could be damaging winds in this region along with heavy rains. Low pressure over the Northern Plains will bring another day of showers and thunderstorms to the region, while a new low pressure begins to impact the Northwest as well.
Day 8-12: The period will start with high pressure over the East Coast back into the Gulf Coast. The storm system over the Northern Plains will merge with another piece of energy from the West creating another day of showers and thunderstorms for the region. Day nine a strong blocking high will be over the East. This will bring with it the threat of a strong storm system over the Plains which will bring severe weather and flooding rains to the Northern Plains. Day ten the storm system will move into the Northern Great Lakes bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region, while we will be watching for the development of a tropical wave over the Southeast Gulf. The period will finish with a MCS going through Iowa and Illinois. This will bring strong winds and heavy rain to the region. The tropical wave will be over the Southeast Gulf at this time.
Long Range Outlook: This period will begin with a pulse moving through the Mid-Atlantic which will bring showers to the region along with a few thunderstorms. A second pulse will be moving through the Central Plains bringing showers and thunderstorms to that region as well. A cold front will be moving through the Pacific Northwest with showers as well. The tropical feature may be pushing towards Cuba during this time. During the middle of the period a frontal boundary moving through the Northern Plains and Great Lakes and will bring showers to the region. The tropical wave will bring heavy rains and strong winds to Southern Florida.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Bermuda:
Thursday: Partly cloudy and cool with a high near 75F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 67F.
Friday: Partly cloudy and cool with a high near 76F. Winds from the southeast 7-12mph as overnight lows fall to around 68F.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a few showers/thunderstorms. High temps will be around 75F. Overnight lows will be near 67F. Winds will be from the southeast 7-12mph and total rainfall will be around 0.15 inches.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a few showers and thunderstorms as high temps rise to around 72F. Winds will be from the southeast 7-12mph as overnight lows fall to around 64F. total rainfall will be around 0.15 inches.
Monday: Partly cloudy and cool with a high near 71F. Winds will be from the northwest 9-14mph as overnight lows fall to around 63F.
Ask The Weatherman for May 23, 2013:
Question: What are the chances of seeing EL-Nino this year?
Answer: Impressive question today. This is a very broad region of science that is still new to our field, but we are now getting a better understanding of how it works. Based on what I am seeing as well as past climate trends, I would say that this will be a non-EL-Nino year meaning that the tropics will be active.
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Green Energy Weather Report for May 23, 2013:
Wave Energy: The Northeast to the Mid-Atlantic and also the Southeast will see moderate amounts of wave energy associated with a cold front that is moving through the region today. The Northern Gulf Coast will see low amounts of wave energy, while the Southwest will also have low amounts of energy. The Northwest will see moderate to excellent amounts of wave energy.
Solar Energy: The best places for solar energy today include the Gulf Coast and back into the Plains where high pressure will be in control and also back into the Southwest.
Wind Energy: The best place for wind energy today will be found from the Mississippi River Valley eastward into the Ohio River Valley behind the cold front.
Hydro-Energy: There will be large amounts of hydro energy from the Northeast back into the Mid-Atlantic and down the Southeast coast right ahead of the cold front. The second spot will be over the Great Lakes as wrap-around moisture will be in this region. A third place for some hydro energy today will be over the Pacific Northwest along the frontal boundary out there as well.
May 23 Weather and Your Wallet (Biloxi MS):
Today will be warm with plenty of sunshine.
Dining: Today will be a great day to get out and enjoy lunch at the beach or on the boardwalk.
Transportation: The weather will have no impact on travel today.
Shopping: Anyone wanting to get out and do some summer clothes shopping today will find perfect weather for that.
Electricity: There will be a light to moderate demand for cooling today as high temps rise to near 87F. This will bring the region around 13.5CDD´s for the day.
Yard Work: The gardens and flowers will get plenty of sunshine today. You might want to give them a little drink later this evening or this morning before it gets too warm as we are looking at around 28.5GDD´s.
Construction: No issues with outdoor projects today.
Outdoor Venues: A marvelous day to enjoy time on the beach, the boardwalk or just sitting in the back yard in the sun.