June 17, 2013
Big Story Weather – June 17, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from June 14-16: Severe weather for this past weekend consisted of a tornado in Texas and one in Nebraska. There were multiple hail and wind damage reports across a good portion of the Plains. The heat continued into the weekend over the Southwest and also the Southern Plains and the Gulf Coast with many places in the upper 90´s to the 110F range. The heat and humidity was also very high over the Gulf Coast region leading to afternoon thunderstorms.
Big Story Weather Discussion for June 17: High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring tranquil weather to the region. A trailing cold front will move through the Northern Plains bringing a few showers and thunderstorms to the region. A newly developing low pressure area over the Southern Plains will be the sight of some significant weather today to include severe weather. There will be isolated thunderstorms along a good portion of the Gulf Coast and Southeast. The high pressure out West will bring another warm day over the Southwest, while the Pacific Northwest will warm up this week as well.
Severe Weather: There are two regions that need to be watched today. The first is over the Northern Plains along the cold front. The second is along the warm front and low pressure over the Southern Plains. This will extend into the Gulf Coast and Southeast. There will be the chance of seeing some tornadoes especially over the Southern Plains along with a moderate wind damage threat.
Tropical Weather: There is an area of interest located to the southeast of Mexico that needs to be watched as it pushes slowly to the northwest. It is expected to bring heavy rainfall to parts of Mexico. Winds are around 20-25mph along with pressure near 1009mb.
Here is the weather for a few select cities:
New York NY: Partly cloudy with a high near 83F. Overnight lows will be around 70F.
Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy with a few afternoon thunderstorms. High temps will be around 89 and overnight lows will fall to near 77F. Total rainfall today will be around 0.15 inches.
Fargo ND: Partly cloudy with a few thunderstorms. High temps will be around 68F and overnight lows will fall to around 58F. Total rainfall will be near 0.25 inches.
Boise ID: Partly cloudy with a high near 80F. Overnight lows will be near 75F.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy with a high near 68F. Overnight lows will be near 61F.
June 17, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving towards Southern Alaska will bring showers to the region. Low pressure moving through Central Canada will bring showers and thunderstorms to the Northern Plains. A second area of low pressure over the Southern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving towards Greenland will bring showers to the region. Low pressure moving over England will bring showers to most of Western Europe. Low pressure moving towards Moscow will bring showers to the region.
Western Pacific: Low pressure moving through Central Russia will bring showers to the region. A second area of low pressure moving over Japan will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. A third area of low pressure moving away from Japan will bring increased winds and seas to the region. There are also three areas in the tropics being watched for possible tropical development.
Indian Ocean: The monsoonal trough will be kicking strong today. Expect to see heavy rain along the boundary from India back towards Singapore and also into Southeast Asia.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure are transiting through the region. One area of low pressure will bring showers and snow showers to Southern Argentina. The other low pressures will remain south of land masses.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for June 17-21:
New York NY: The area will see slight impacts on June 18 as an area of thunderstorms moves through the region. The remainder of the period will be impact free.
Gulfport MS: The area will see slight impacts for the next four days with isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Friday looks to be impact free.
Fargo ND: The area will see slight impacts today and then again on June 19-20 as a second cold front moves through bringing thunderstorms to the area.
Boise ID: The region will see a slight impact on June 19 as an area of thunderstorms moves through the region.
Seattle WA: The area will see slight to moderate impacts from June 18-21 as showers move into the region which may become heavy at times.
Climate Watch for June 12-16:
New York NY: The region started with temps around 4-8 degrees below normal before warming to around 1-5 degrees above normal for the remainder of the period.
Gulfport MS: The area has seen temps around 2-7 degrees above normal for the entire period.
Fargo ND: The past five days the region has seen temps around 1-10 degrees above normal.
Boise ID: Temps started about 1-2 degrees above normal and then briefly fell to around 8-10 degrees below normal and finished the period with temps around 4-11 degrees above normal.
Seattle WA: The period started with temps around 1-3 degrees above normal, then a brief fall to around 2 degrees below normal. The period finished with temps about 5-8 degrees above normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for June 17, 2013:
Day 1-3: High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring nice weather to the region. A frontal boundary moving through the Northern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. A second area of low pressure over the Southern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region along with some severe weather. The Gulf Coast and Southeast will see isolated afternoon thunderstorms. The southwest will be warm and dry again today. The West Coast will see a slight increase in moisture ahead of the next frontal boundary. Day two the storm system will move into the Mid-Atlantic bringing moderate showers and thunderstorms to the region. high pressure will remain over the Great Lakes. A second storm system will be developing over the Northwest bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. The period will end with a potent storm system moving out of the Northern Rockies into the Northern Plains with some severe weather possible.
Day 4-7: The period will begin with a weak high pressure area along the East Coast. A storm system will be moving through the Plains bringing showers and thunderstorms along with some severe weather to the region. A tropical feature will be moving into Southern Mexico. Day six will have a weak high pressure still along the East Coast, while return flow will bring showers and thunderstorms to the Southeast and Gulf Coast. A storm system moving into the Great Lakes will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure will be in control of the West. The period will end with the frontal boundary pushing out of the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley.
Day 8-12: The period will begin with a storm system finally pushing into the Northeast bringing rain and thunderstorms to the area. Return flow will bring another day of showers and thunderstorms to the Southeast and Gulf Coast. High pressure will continue to bring nice weather to the West. The southwest will be hot and dry. Day nine a moderate amount of rainfall will be possible over a good portion of the East Coast and Gulf Coast. The period will finish with low pressure over the East Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region.
Long Range Outlook: The period will begin with showers and thunderstorms over the East Coast, while return flow sets back up over the Gulf Coast and the Southeast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure over the Plains will keep the region dry and cool. The middle of this period we could be looking at the third tropical system of the season developing near Mexico in the southwest Gulf. The period will end with a major amount of rainfall along the Gulf Coast states with flooding conditions possibly developing.
Today's Spotlight Forecast is for Omaha NE:
Monday: Partly cloudy with a high near 85F. Winds will be from the northeast 2-7mph as overnight lows fall to around 60F.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a high near 84F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 63F.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a thunderstorms and heavy rainfall likely. High temps will be around 81F and overnight lows will fall to near 65F. Winds will be from the southeast 7-12 along with 1.15 inches of rainfall.
Thursday: Thunderstorms early giving way to partly cloudy skies. High temps will be around 79F and overnight lows will fall to near 69F. Winds will be from the southeast 7-12mph as total rainfall will be around 0.25 inches.
Friday: Partly cloudy and hot with high temps around 89F. Winds will be from the southeast 7-12mph as overnight lows fall to around 70F.
Ask The Weatherman for June 17, 2013:
Question: What is an upper level trough?
Answer: An upper level trough is a very important weather feature that is usually found about 5,000-25,000ft above the ground. This trough can make a sunny day turn into a rainy or snowy day with little notice. These features are found on our upper level charts, but sometimes can sneak into an area without even being noticed.
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Wave Energy: There will be moderate amounts of wave energy across the Northeast and also the Mid-Atlantic. The Southeast and Northern Gulf of Mexico will see slight wave energy. The Northwest US will have moderate amounts of wave energy and the southwest will see slight amounts of wave energy.
Solar Energy: There will be high amounts of solar energy over the Southwest and also the Great Lakes region.
Wind Energy: The strongest wind energy today will be found over the Northern Rockies behind a cold front and also over the Southwest behind another cold front.
Hydro-Energy: There will be moderate amounts of hydro energy from the Plains into the Mid-Mississippi Valley and then eastward into the Mid-Atlantic region. There will also be lighter amounts of hydro energy over the Gulf Coast and Southeast, with isolated thunderstorms possible.
June 17 Weather and Your Wallet (Boston MA):
A storm system will move bringing a few thunderstorms to the region.
Dining: This morning will be a good chance to enjoy breakfast outside at your favorite diner.
Transportation: There will be some delays this afternoon along the major road ways and also at the airport.
Shopping: This afternoon you will want to take an umbrella with you to dodge the showers.
Electricity: There will be a moderate amount of cooling needed today with the forecast for 15CDD´s.
Yard Work: Today would be a great day to get out and weed the garden or flowers. A forecast of 25GDD´s for the area.
Construction: There will be some minor impacts this afternoon to the region with some slight delays.
Outdoor Venues: This afternoon you may want the umbrella when you take the dog for a walk in the park.