Big Story Weather – June 21, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from June 20: Severe weather over the Northern Plains last night produced one tornado in North Dakota, along with a lot of damaging winds and hail reports in this region. There were also hail and wind damage reports along the frontal boundary over the Southeast. The other big story was the heavy rainfall that fell in the Northern Plains with some places getting 3-5 inches in less than 3 hours.
Big Story Weather Discussion for June 21: High pressure along the East Coast will bring partly cloudy skies to the region. The stationary boundary over the Southeast and Gulf Coast will bring another day of isolated thunderstorms to the region. Low pressure moving through the Northern Plains will bring another day of severe weather along with heavy rain. High pressure over the Southwest will keep the region dry and warm, while a tranquil pattern will be over the West Coast.
Severe Weather: There will be a slight chance for thunderstorms along the stationary boundary over the Southeast and Gulf Coast, with a better chance of seeing severe weather from the Great Lakes back into the Plains. This area will see heavy rains, damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes.
Tropical Weather: Tropical Depression Barry is slowly pushing across Mexico today with winds around 25kts and pressure around 1009mb. The storm should continue to weaken today as it interacts with the mountains. There is a potential that it could re-emerge in the Eastern Pacific.
Here is the weather for a few select cities:
Buffalo NY: Partly cloudy with a high near 77F. Overnight lows will be near 70F.
Memphis TN: Partly cloudy and warm a high near 89F. Overnight lows will be around 79F.
Omaha NE: Partly cloudy with a chance for thunderstorms as high temps rise to around 89F. Overnight lows will be near 79F. Total rainfall will be around 0.50 inches.
Denver CO: The region will see partly cloudy skies with a high near 82F. Overnight lows will fall to around 69F.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy skies and cool with a high near 65F. Overnight lows will fall to around 60F.
June 21, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving towards Alaska will bring showers to the region and a brief cool down. Low pressure to the southwest of Hawaii will continue to move away from the area. Low pressure pushing off Central America has to be watched for potential tropical development as it currently has winds around 20kts and pressure of 1007mb. The remains of Barry will also have to be watched for possible redevelopment when it enters back over open water.
Atlantic Ocean: Tropical Depression Barry is moving over Mexico with winds around 25kts and pressure of 1009mb. The storm should continue to weaken. A weak area of low pressure continues to move across near Puerto Rico. Low pressure moving through the Northern Plains is bringing with is a large Meso-scale convective storm system which has strong winds and heavy rains over the region. Low pressure moving towards Iceland will bring showers to the area. A second area of low pressure will bring showers and thunderstorms to Central Europe, while another storm system moving over Eastern Europe will bring showers to the region.
Western Pacific: Tropical Storm Bebinca has winds around 35kts and pressure near 996mb and will continue to move towards Vietnam. Tropical Depression Leepi is moving over Japan this morning bringing heavy rain and strong winds to the region. Two other regions need to be watched over the Pacific for possible tropical development. Low pressure moving away from Northeast Japan will bring increased seas to the region.
Indian Ocean: The monsoonal trough is in full gear again today with a large area of convection already over the Bay of Bengal. There is also another pulse near Sri Lanka. Both regions will see heavy rainfall today.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving through the basin will have impacts over Argentina with showers and snow showers. A second area of low pressure is bringing very strong winds to the Cape of Africa. A third low will begin to bring showers to Perth, while another area of low pressure will bring showers to Auckland.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for June 21-25:
Buffalo NY: The region will start impact free. On the 22-23 and again the 25th the region will have slight to moderate impacts associated with thunderstorms.
Memphis TN: The region will have an impact free day today, followed by the rest of the period seeing thunderstorms which will bring slight to moderate impacts to the area.
Omaha NE: There will be moderate impacts today associated with thunderstorms. On June 24 the region will see slight to moderate impacts.
Denver CO: The next five days will be impact free.
Seattle WA: The region will enjoy an impact free weekend, but early next week showers will move into the region creating a slight impact for the area.
Climate Watch for June 16-20:
Buffalo NY: The region has seen temps around 1-8 degrees below normal. The period finished with temps around 1-2 degrees above normal.
Memphis TN: The area started about 2 degrees above normal and then fell to around 1-8 degrees below normal before warming back to around 1-2 degrees above normal.
Omaha NE: The period has been above normal for the entire period with temps ranging from around 1-6 degrees above normal.
Denver CO: The past five days have been averaging around 1-10 degrees above normal.
Seattle WA: The period started with temps around 4-8 degrees above normal and then finished with temps around 2-8 degrees below normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for June 21, 2013:
Day 1-3: High pressure off the East Coast will bring another nice day to the region from New York to Baltimore and up towards Boston. A stationary boundary sitting along the Southeast and Gulf Coast will bring showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. A strong frontal system moving through the Northern Plains and the Great Lakes will be the region of concern for severe weather along with large hail, damaging winds, isolated tornadoes and flooding rains. High pressure over the Southwest will bring sunny skies and warm weather to the area. The West Coast will enjoy a tranquil day with cooler weather over the Northwest. The middle of the period will have another day of return flow over the Gulf Coast and Southeast. Severe weather will be over the Northern Plains, especially the Dakotas – a moderate severe weather outbreak will be possible. A new storm system will develop over the Rockies during this time. The period will end with the new storm system pushing into the Plains with another round of showers and thunderstorms and a new storm system will be approaching the Northwest.
Day 4-7: The period will start with return flow over the Southeast and Gulf Coast bringing a few showers and thunderstorms to the area. Another round of severe weather will be possible over the Northern Plains and the Great Lakes. Yet another storm system will bring showers to the Northwest. Day five will provide more rainfall over the Southeast and Gulf Coast. The storm system over the Northern Plains will bring more rain to the region. The rains over the West will also be on an increase extending towards San Francisco. The period will finish with a strong storm system over the Great Lakes. A storm system over the Northwest will bring another round of showers in the region. A tropical system will also be over the Eastern Pacific.
Day 8-12: The period will start with a moderate area of severe weather possible from the Northeast back towards the Ohio River Valley. Most of the West will be dry and warm. The tropical feature over the Eastern Pacific will push westward. Day ten a strong frontal boundary will be over the Mid-Atlantic to the Southeast and back into the Gulf Coast. This region will see showers and thunderstorms. A new tropical wave will be developing in the Gulf of Mexico. The period will end with a tropical feature making landfall in Mexico.
Long Range Outlook: The long rang will start with a storm system over the East Coast, while the majority of the country will enjoy high pressure and drier weather. The middle of the period a storm system will extend from the Northeast back into the Gulf Coast. There will be showers and thunderstorms along the boundary. The period will end very moist over the Gulf Coast and Southeast with a tropical air mass in place providing plenty of moisture during the day.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Fairbanks Alaska:
Friday: Partly cloudy with thunderstorms. High temps will be around 76F. Winds from the southwest 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to near 55F. Total rainfall will be around 0.10 inches.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with a high near 75F. Winds from the southwest 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to near 61F.
Sunday: Partly cloudy and warmer with a high near 79F. Winds from the southwest 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to near 70F.
Monday: Partly cloudy and warm with a high near 85F. Winds will be from the southwest 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to near 66F.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy and hot with a high near 89F. Winds from the southwest 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 70F.
Ask The Weatherman for June 21, 2013:
Question: What is a TUTT?
Answer: TUTT is a tropical term used to identify a Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough that forms usually just ahead of a potential tropical system. These features are very common in the Atlantic Ocean basin.
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Green Energy Weather Report for June 21, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be slight amounts of energy available off the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. There will be moderate amounts of energy available over the Southeast and Gulf Coast ahead of the stationary boundary. There will be moderate amounts of energy over both the southwest and northwest Pacific Ocean basin.
Solar Energy: The best place for solar power today will be over the Rockies and the West Coast and along parts of the Northeast near the high pressure center.
Wind Energy: Two places for good wind energy today will be over Eastern New Mexico and a second place will be ahead of the warm front over the Northern Great Lakes.
Hydro-Energy: There will be smaller amounts of energy from the Southern Plains across the Gulf Coast and over to the Southeast, however large amounts of hydro energy will be possible over the Northern Plains and into the Great Lakes where heavy rainfall is forecasted.
June 21 Weather and Your Wallet (Sioux Falls SD):
An area of low pressure will be moving just south of the region. This will provide the area with showers and thunderstorms this morning and another round later this afternoon.
Dining: There will be some impacts this morning, and also some slight impacts this afternoon if you plan on dining outside.
Transportation: This morning, in between the heavier showers, expect to see some traffic delays.
Shopping: This afternoon will be the best time to get out and enjoy some shopping, however it will be warm.
Electricity: There will be a moderate need for cooling this afternoon, and a need all day for cooling as high temps soar to around 88F, while the low temps only fall to around 75F, this will bring the region about 17CDD’s for the day.
Yard Work: A nice afternoon to get out and do some yard work. The garden and flowers will also enjoy today with the total of 32GDD’s forecasted.
Construction: There will be some minor delays this morning with the showers moving through and a slight delay possible again this afternoon.
Outdoor Venues: Tonight should be good to enjoy a walk at the falls park or a jog as the temps will fall down into the 70’s by this evening, although it may still be a tad bit muggy.