Big Story Weather – July 1, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from June 28-30: The biggest stories from this past weekend were associated with the frontal boundary. Flooding rains hit the Northeast creating widespread damage. The second impact was the winds associated with the frontal boundary as many places from Mississippi to the Northeast had winds in excess of 70mph. The third big story of the past weekend has been the scorching heat. Temps have been reported over 120F in some places, but most of the Southwest and into Texas saw temps well over 100F.
Big Story Weather Discussion for July 1: High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring nice weather to the region. A chance to dry out as it pushes towards the Northeast, but this will be short lived. Low pressure over the Southeast will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region along with flooding rains and some severe weather. An upper level trough moving through the Northern Plains will bring a few thunderstorms to the region. High pressure over the Southwest will bring another hot day to the region with temps soaring back over 100F.
Severe Weather: There will be a slight chance of severe weather from Eastern Texas to Florida and northward into the Carolinas. This region will mostly likely see wind damage with storms. The second isolated area is over the Northern Plains. This will also be mostly a wind damage threat along with some hail. Tornadoes should be very isolated in these regions today.
Here is the weather for a few select cities:
New York NY: Partly cloudy with a high near 78F. Overnight lows will be around 64F.
Atlanta GA: Partly cloudy with an isolated thunderstorm. High temps will be around 85F and overnight lows will be around 73F. Total rainfall will be near 0.10 inches.
Kansas City MO: Partly cloudy with a thunderstorm during the afternoon. High temps will be around 88F and overnight lows will fall to near 74F.
Denver CO: Partly cloudy with a high near 83F and overnight lows around 67F.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows around 65F.
July 1, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving through the Gulf of Alaska will bring showers to the region. A second area of low pressure moving across Central Canada will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area. Low pressure moving over the open Pacific will continue to move away from land. Tropical Storm Dalila has winds this morning around 40kts and pressure of 1001mb. This storm is going to strengthen slowly over the next 24 hours as it moves just of the coast of Mexico. There is another tropical wave over Central America that will need to be watched for tropical development.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure over South America will have to be watched for slow tropical development as it pushes over the Gulf of Mexico later this week. Low pressure near Arkansas will also bring showers and thunderstorms to the Gulf Coast and Southeast spreading into the Mid-Atlantic by evening. Low pressure moving towards England will bring showers to the area and this will also push into Northeast Europe.
Western Pacific: Low pressure moving across Northeast Russia will bring a few showers to the region. Low pressure just to the south of Tokyo will bring a few thunderstorms to the capital. Tropical Storm Rumbia continues to gain strength and should approach Typhoon status later today as winds are currently around 65kts and pressure of 974mb. The storm will continue to track towards Southeast China making landfall very near Hong Kong.
Indian Ocean: The monsoonal trough will be very active again today with thunderstorms over most of India and enhanced convection across most of Southeast Asia.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving through the basin. One area of low pressure will be bringing strong winds and heavy rains along with higher elevation snows to parts of Chile and also Southern Argentina. A second area of low pressure will bring cold showers to parts of New Zealand.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for July 1-5:
New York NY: The area will have slight impacts on July 2. The rest of the week should be impact free, however flooding will still be a concern from all the rainfall that has occurred in the region.
Atlanta GA: The area will have slight to moderate impacts over the next four days associated with a frontal boundary and thunderstorms. The period will finish impact free.
Kansas City MO: There will be slight impacts today. The remainder of the period will be impact free.
Denver CO: The region should enjoy five days of impact free weather.
Seattle WA: There will be slight impacts on both July 2 and 3 as a frontal boundary moves through the region bringing showers to the area. The period will finish impact free.
Climate Watch for June 26-30:
New York NY: The region has seen temps around 1-6 degrees above average over the past five days.
Atlanta GA: The area started with temps around 1-4 degrees above average and then finished the period with temps around 4 degrees below normal.
Kansas City MO: The region started with temps around 10 degrees above normal followed by a sharp cool down with temps around 1-8 degrees below normal for the remainder of the period.
Denver CO: The region started with temps around 2-11 degrees above normal followed by a drop to around 5 degrees below normal to finish the period.
Seattle WA: The region started with temps around 1-2 degrees above normal and then fell around 1-2 degrees below normal before finishing the period around 13-20 degrees above normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for July 1, 2013:
Day 1-3: Low pressure moving out of the Southeast will bring showers and thunderstorms to the Gulf Coast all the way over to Florida and northward into parts of the Mid-Atlantic. High pressure to the north of the Great Lakes will keep the region dry. An upper level trough will bring a few thunderstorms to the Northern Plains. High pressure will keep the Rockies and Southwest dry and hot with temps soaring above 100F again and some places could see 120F. The West Coast will also remain dry and warm today. The period will finish with low pressure moving into the Ohio River Valley bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. These will spread into the Mid-Atlantic and also the Northeast bringing flooding rains to the region. A few thunderstorms will be possible over Eastern New Mexico. The Northern Plains and most of the West will be dry and the Southwest will remain hot.
Day 4-7: Showers and thunderstorms will setup around the return flow of the Sub-tropical high bringing moderate to heavy rains from the Northeast back into the Gulf Coast. A few thunderstorms will be possible over Eastern New Mexico. The remainder of the country will be dry and very warm over the Southwest again. Day five will have another round of return flow moisture bringing heavy rains from the Gulf Coast to the Northeast. Gradient-induced winds will be over the Northwest creating stronger winds for the area. This could bring an increase to fire danger for the area. Day six very heavy rains will be over the Gulf Coast. This will extend into the Southeast and parts of the Northeast. A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible over the Northern and Southern Plains. The Southwest will continue to be hot and dry. The West Coast will also remain dry. The period will end with heavy rains along the Gulf Coast pushing into the Northeast leading to more flooding conditions. A low pressure will be pushing into the Northern Plains bringing some isolated thunderstorms to the region.
Day 8-12: The period will begin with a few showers and thunderstorms over the Mid-Atlantic region. Otherwise the sub-tropical high will push further westward bringing warm and dry weather to the Gulf Coast and most of the East Coast. A weak frontal boundary will bring a few showers to the Northern Plains. The West Coast will be dry, however a few thunderstorms will be possible over parts of the Southwest. Day nine a stronger low pressure area will move through the Northern Plains and will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. Day eleven the southwest monsoonal moisture will begin to increase over the Southwest providing some much needed rain to the region. The period will finish with a weak frontal boundary pushing through the Mid-Atlantic which will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with a frontal boundary bringing showers and thunderstorms to parts of Minnesota, while the monsoonal rains will impact the Southwest again with some much needed rains. The period will finish with return flow over the Southeast and Gulf Coast again, while another frontal boundary will push into the Northern Plains bringing moderate rainfall to the region.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Guam USA:
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with an isolated thunderstorm. High temps will be around 87F and overnight lows will fall to around 80F. Winds will be east 12-17mph and total rainfall will be around 0.10 inches.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with an isolated thunderstorm. High temps will be around 86F and overnight lows will fall to around 82F. Winds from the east 9-14mph and total rainfall will be around 0.15 inches.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a chance for thunderstorms. High temps will be around 85F. Winds from the east 10-15mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 83F. Total rainfall will be around 0.10 inches.
Friday: Partly cloudy with a chance for thunderstorms. High temps will be around 85F. Winds from the northeast 7-12mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 83F. Total rainfall will be around 0.20 inches.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with a chance for thunderstorms. High temps will be around 85F. Winds will be from the southeast 9-14mph. Overnight lows will fall to around 82F. Total rainfall will be near 0.20 inches.
Ask The Weatherman for July 1, 2013:
Question: What is horizontal wind shear?
Answer: Have you ever been flying and then all the sudden the airplane starts to bump up and down? You are more than likely being hit by wind shear. This wind shear can create rough conditions in the air. Horizontal wind shear is defined as a large change in wind speeds or direction within a given height.
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Green Energy Weather Report for July 1, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be slight to moderate amounts of wave energy along the Northeast and also the Mid-Atlantic. Look for moderate amounts of wave energy over the Southeast. There will be slight amounts of energy over the Northern Gulf. The Southwest will have moderate to high amounts of wave energy. The Pacific Northwest will have slight to moderate amounts of energy.
Solar Energy: There will be a good amount of solar energy over the Northeast to include most of Maine and the Boston area. A second area of solar energy will be over the Rockies into the Southwest and most of the West Coast.
Wind Energy: The best place for this will be over Western Texas and also over the Northern Plains. These two areas should have a good amount of energy available.
Hydro-Energy: There will be large amounts of hydro energy available over portions of the Southeast and also the Mid-Atlantic. There will be lesser amounts from the Gulf Coast to Eastern Texas and also over parts of the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi River Valley.
July 1 Weather and Your Wallet (Biloxi MS):
Return flow over the region associated with a weak frontal boundary will bring a few afternoon thunderstorms to the region.
Dining: Today will be a warm and sunny. Definitely a nice day to enjoy lunch outdoors.
Transportation: There will be a few pockets of heavier rain possible this afternoon that could slow traffic along the interstates.
Shopping: The day should be nice overall but a bit warm for any outdoor shopping.
Electricity: With a high near 91F today the region can expect to see around 17CDD´s for the area.
Yard Work: Today will be hot so make sure to water the gardens early as the region will see around 32GDD´s for the day.
Construction: There will be some minor delays this afternoon as thunderstorms quickly move through the region.
Outdoor Venues: Today should be a great day to hit the beach and also enjoy a walk along the boardwalk.