Big Story Weather – July 11, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from July 10: The heat hit the Southwest and Southern Plains again yesterday, while the cool weather stayed over the Pacific Northwest. High pressure brought nice weather to the Northern Plains. Severe weather yesterday hit really hard around the Ohio River Valley with well over 400 damaging wind reports coming from this region. The highest wind gusts occurred through most of Ohio in the range of 80-87mph. The largest hail occurred in a super-cell over South Dakota at 2.5 inches. There was also a landspout in Colorado.
Big Story Weather Discussion for July 11: The cold front will be placed along the East Coast and trailing back into the Gulf Coast today. This will set the stage for heavy rains and thunderstorms over. High pressure will slide into the Great Lakes bringing a nice day to the region after all the severe weather yesterday. High pressure will also keep the Northern Plains dry today. An area of low pressure will try to bring a few rain showers to parts of Arizona, however the heat will still be on. This will extend into the Southern Plains as well. The West Coast will be dry and nice today.
Severe Weather: The biggest threat for severe weather today will be from the Northeast back into the Gulf Coast along the frontal boundary. The primary threat will be wind damage and large hail, however an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out, especially in the Northeast. There will also be a few isolated severe storms over the Southwest. The main threat here will be damaging winds and large hail.
Tropical Weather: This morning we are watching two waves. The first is just to the east of Florida and slowly moving over the area today. This area does have the potential for some development when it hits the Gulf. The second is the remains of the tropical as it continues to move towards Cuba today with heavy rains and strong winds.
Here is the weather for a few select cities:
Baltimore MD: Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and a high near 82F. Overnight lows will be around 70F. Total rainfall will be around 0.65 inches.
Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy with afternoon thunderstorms. High temps around 90F and overnight lows near 79F. Total rainfall around 0.50 inches.
Sioux City IA: Partly cloudy and nice with a high near 79F. Overnight lows will be near 70F.
Boise ID: Partly cloudy with a high temp around 85F. Overnight lows will be near 76F.
Portland OR: Partly cloudy with a high near 66F. Overnight lows will be near 57F.
July 11, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving towards Alaska will bring showers to the region. Low pressures moving across the tropical Pacific will continue to weaken and be no threat. An area of low pressure moving off of Central America will have to be watched for potential tropical development.
Atlantic Ocean: The tropical wave near the coast of Florida will have to be watched as it pushes towards the Gulf of Mexico, while the tropical low near Cuba will bring heavy rains to the region before pushing northward. Low pressure moving through Southeast Canada will bring showers and thunderstorms all the way down the East Coast and into the Gulf Coast. Low pressure moving towards Iceland will bring showers to the area.
Western Pacific: Typhoon Soulik has winds around 95kts and pressure near 952mb as it continues to move towards Taiwan and also Eastern China for a potential landfall. Low pressure moving across Northern Japan will bring showers to the region. A tropical low pressure southeast of Chichi-Jima will bring strong winds and heavy rain to the region.
Indian Ocean: The monsoonal trough will be very strong again today providing plenty of rainfall to the region as the flooding potential will be high.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving across the basin. One area of low pressure will bring showers to Argentina. The second area of low pressure will bring increased clouds to South Africa. The third area of low pressure will bring showers to parts of Southern Australia and into New Zealand.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for July 11-15:
Baltimore MD: There will be a chance of impacts over the next four days as thunderstorms move through the region. The period will finish impact free.
Gulfport MS: The area will have slight to moderate impacts over the next five days associated with thunderstorms moving through the region.
Sioux City IA: The region will start impact free followed by slight to moderate impacts from July 13-14 as thunderstorms move through the region. The period then will finish impact free.
Boise ID: The next five days will be impact free for the region.
Portland OR: The next five days will be impact free for the area.
Climate Watch for July 6-10:
Baltimore MD: The region started with temps around 4-6 degrees above and then fell to around 1-5 degrees below normal to finish the period.
Gulfport MS: The area was running about 4-10 degrees below normal and then finally warmed to around 1 degree above to finish the period.
Sioux City IA: The area started with temps around 3-4 degrees above before falling to around 2 degrees below normal and then rose to around 6 degrees above before finishing the period around 4 degrees below normal.
Boise ID: The period has been around 4-10 degrees above normal.
Portland OR: The past five days the region has seen temps around 1-9 degrees above normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for July 11, 2013:
Day 1-3: Showers and thunderstorms along the frontal boundary will impact the weather from the Northeast all the way back into the Gulf Coast. High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring nice weather to the region. This will also expand into the Ohio River Valley and back into the Northern Plains. The monsoonal moisture will be on the increase over the Southwest, while the West Coast will remain dry. The frontal boundary will bring showers and thunderstorms to the Northeast and also into the Mid-Atlantic, while an easterly wave moves across the Northern Gulf Coast bringing heavy rains to Alabama and Mississippi. A cold front will be pushing through parts of the Northern Plains bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. The monsoonal trough over the Southwest will bring another day of isolated thunderstorms to the region. The frontal boundary will bring a few showers to the East Coast, while the tropical wave moves out of Cuba and into Florida bringing heavy rainfall to the region. The second tropical wave will bring another day of heavy rain for the Northern Gulf Coast.
Day 4-7: High pressure will bring nice weather to the Northeast, while the remains of the tropical wave will push through the Mid-Atlantic region. Low pressure moving through the Northern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. The monsoonal trough will bring isolated showers and thunderstorms to the Southwest. The West Coast will remain dry and mild again. The period will finish with a surge of moisture over the Northern Gulf Coast again, while another frontal boundary will be pushing through the Northern Rockies and into the Northern Plains with thunderstorms – some which may be strong to severe.
Day 8-12: The period will start with showers and thunderstorms over the Northern Gulf Coast. A second area of low pressure will be pushing across the Northern Plains. High pressure will bring warm and dry weather to the West. Day nine there will be an increase in tropical moisture from the Gulf Coast into the East Coast. A storm system moving through the Northern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. Day ten a large surge of moisture from the Gulf Coast all the way into the Great Lakes and over to the East Coast will bring thunderstorms to the region. Day eleven will bring a large sure of monsoonal rains over parts of the Southwest, while the Gulf Coast and East Coast will see a surge of moisture over the area. The period will end with a frontal boundary along the East Coast extending into the Gulf Coast with plenty of rainfall along the boundary. High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring nice weather to the region. The monsoonal moisture will be on the increase again over the Southwest.
Long Range Outlook: The long range will start with showers and thunderstorms over the Gulf Coast, while the Northern Plains and the West will be mostly dry. A few showers and thunderstorms will be over the Southwest along the monsoonal trough. The period will finish with more heavy rainfall along the Gulf Coast and into the Southeast.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Phoenix AZ:
* The fire danger will be very high all week long. If a low precipitation thunderstorm develops, the lightning could spark a fire.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a very isolated thunderstorm. High temps around 100F. Winds from the southwest 7-12mph. Overnight lows will fall to near 84F. Total rainfall will be near 0.03 inches.
Friday: Partly cloudy and warmer with a high near 103F. Winds from the southwest 7-12mph as overnight lows fall to near 80F.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with a chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. High temps around 107F. Winds from the southwest 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to near 85F. Total rainfall will be near 0.15 inches.
Sunday: Partly cloudy and hot with a high near 111F. Winds from the southwest 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to near 88F.
Monday: Partly cloudy and very hot. High temps around 113F. Winds from the southwest 10-15mph as overnight lows fall to near 88F.
Ask The Weatherman for July 11, 2013:
Question: What are the types of lightning?
Answer: The first type is called (C-C) cloud to cloud, meaning the electric charge travels from one cloud to the other. The second is (C-G) cloud to ground, meaning the charge hits the ground somewhere. Thirdly is the (C-A) cloud to air, meaning that it will leave a cloud and transfer to the clear air. Lastly is the (IC) as in cloud, meaning that you will see the lightning bolt travel through the cloud but stay in the same cloud.
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Green Energy Weather Report for July 11, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be slight to moderate amounts of wave energy along the Northeast. This will also be true for the Mid-Atlantic region. There will be moderate amounts of wave energy across the Southeast. The Northern Gulf will see slight to moderate amounts of energy. The Southwest and Northwest will have slight amounts of energy.
Solar Energy: There will be large amounts of solar energy present from the Pacific Northwest to the Southwest and into the Plains along with the Great Lakes and the Ohio River Valley.
Wind Energy: The strongest winds will be over the Great Lakes and behind the cold front over the Mississippi River basin.
Hydro-Energy: There will be large amounts of hydro energy over the Northeast. Decreasing to slight to moderate amounts over the Southeast and into the Gulf Coast.
July 11 Weather and Your Wallet (Sioux Falls SD):
High pressure over the area will bring partly cloudy skies and warm weather to the region.
Dining: There will be no issues with enjoying lunch at the park today.
Transportation: There will be no weather delays on the roads or at the airport today.
Shopping: Today will be a nice day to get out and enjoy some summer shopping.
Electricity: There will be a small demand for cooling this afternoon between 12-5pm, however the total CDDâ€™s for today will be low at around 9.
Yard Work: This morning would be a good time to get out and water the yard or the garden. This evening would be a good chance to get out and cut the grass if you need to, or to just sit on the deck in the backyard and enjoy the evening.
Construction: There will be no weather impacts on construction today, however make sure to hydrate this afternoon as it will be warm.
Outdoor Venues: This morning would be a great chance to get out and enjoy a walk along the Falls Park. This evening would be another great time to get out and enjoy going for a bike ride along the cities bike path.