Big Story Weather – August 9, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from August 8: A third day of heat over the Gulf Coast as temps rose into the 92-96F range along with heat index values near 110F. Severe weather was fairly low yesterday with no tornadoes reported. The largest hail came from a storm in Oklahoma and also Texas at the size of 1.75 inches. The strongest winds also came from Texas with gusts around 70-80mph.
Big Story Weather Discussion for August 9:
Surface Map: The frontal boundary draping across the Central Plains and into the Western Lakes will bring showers and thunderstorms. The cold front extending over the Southern Plains will also bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. The monsoonal rains will be in place over portions of New Mexico and Arizona. High pressure will be in control over the West making for a nice day, while a trough moves through the Northern Gulf of Mexico bringing showers and thunderstorms to MS/LA along with Eastern Texas.
Severe Weather: Today we will be watching three places for potential severe weather. The first is over Arizona and New Mexico. This region will mostly see heavy rainfall, however some damaging winds will be possible. The second area is over the Plains and the Great Lakes. This region will see damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes as well. The third will be along the Gulf Coast where there will be damaging wind and heavy rainfall threats.
Tropical Weather: We are watching an easterly wave push across the Northern Gulf of Mexico today that will bring showers and thunderstorms along with an increase chance of water spouts to the Northern Gulf Coast.
Select City Forecast:
New York NY: Partly cloudy today with a high near 67F and lows around 60F.
Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. High temps around 92F and low temps near 76F. Total rainfall around 0.50 inches.
Sioux Falls SD: Partly cloudy with thunderstorms. High temps around 75F and low temps near 60F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches.
Boise ID: Partly cloudy and warm with a high near 89F and lows around 67F.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy with a high near 86F and lows around 55F.
August 9, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Hurricane Henriette has winds around 65kts and pressure of 992mb. The storm continues to track west-southwestward and is also decreasing in intensity. It should pass south of Hawaii and weaken into a storm later today. There are two more waves to the east of that which are being watched for possible tropical development. Low pressure moving into Alaska will bring another day of showers and stronger winds to the area.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure over the Southern Plains will bring another day of showers and thunderstorms to the region. Low pressure over Central Canada will bring shower to the region. Low pressure moving over Greenland will bring showers to the area as well. Low pressure moving over Central Europe will bring showers to the area. A stronger tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa this morning and will need to be watched for possible tropical development .
Western Pacific: Low pressure moving into Northeast Russia will bring showers to the region. Low pressure moving away from Japan will head towards Midway Island bringing showers to the area. Tropical Depression 11W has formed and is moving towards Southeast China with winds around 25kts an pressure of 1004mb. This storm should strengthen into a Tropical Storm before making landfall. There are also two other areas being watched for possible tropical development at this time.
Indian Ocean: The southwest monsoon will pick up in intensity and coverage again today bringing showers to Northern India and into Sri Lanka spreading eastward towards Singapore.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure are moving through the basin with one storm system bringing showers and snow showers to Southern Argentina and Chile today. A second low pressure system is impacting Southern Africa with stronger winds. A third storm system is pushing over Southeast Australia with showers and breezy conditions.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for August 9-13:
New York NY: The region will start out impact free, however by Aug 12 a frontal boundary will move through bringing thunderstorms to the region and a slight to moderate impact to the area.
Gulfport MS: The next five days the region will have slight to moderate impacts associated with afternoon thunderstorms.
Sioux Falls SD: The region will have slight to moderate impacts today associated with thunderstorms then again on Aug 13 another round of impacts associated with another cold front and thunderstorms moving into the region.
Boise ID: The next five days will be impact free for the area.
Seattle WA: The next five days look to be impact free for the area.
Climate Watch for August 4-8:
New York NY: The past five days the region has seen temps around 2-6 degrees below average.
Gulfport MS: The past five days have brought the region temps around 3-7 degrees above average.
Sioux Falls SD: The area started with temps around 7 degrees below then warmed to around 2-3 degrees above before finishing the period around 3-4 degrees below again.
Boise ID: The past five days the area has seen temps around 2-7 degrees above average.
Seattle WA: The last five days have brought temps around 6-11 degrees above average.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for August 9, 2013:
Day 1-3: The frontal boundary over the Northern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area. This will extend into the Western Lakes as well. A second area of convection will be over the Southern Plains near the low pressure area. A tropical wave moving through the Northern Gulf of Mexico will bring showers, thunderstorms and waterspouts to the LA/MS Coastline and spreading into Eastern Texas. A few lingering showers will be found throughout the Northeast, while the Southwest will see more afternoon showers and thunderstorms from Arizona to New Mexico. The remainder of the West and West Coast will be dry and mild to hot. Day two the frontal boundary will extend from the Mid-Atlantic to the Gulf Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the area. The easterly wave will push into Texas bringing showers and thunderstorms to the area. A new low will be developing over Southwest Colorado bringing showers and thunderstorms to the Central Plains. The period will finish with showers along the Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Day 4-7: The period will start with a frontal boundary extending form the Northeast all the way back into the Southern Plains and Gulf Coast. This will be the focal point for showers and thunderstorms. A strong area of high pressure will build in over the Northern Plains and also the Great Lakes. A new low will begin to develop over Oklahoma. Day six high pressure will extend from the Great Lakes to the Northeast. A frontal boundary will be over the Southeast and Gulf Coast providing rain and thunderstorms to the area. A cold front will be moving across Montana and the Dakotas setting the stage for a few strong to severe thunderstorms. A tropical will be moving towards Hawaii. Tropical moisture will be on the increase in the Southeast Gulf of Mexico as well. The period will finish with a tropical feature heading towards Hawaii, while a tropical feature will also be in the Gulf of Mexico during this time moving westward towards Mexico. High pressure will be over the Eastern Lakes and Northeast, while a frontal boundary drapes from the Mid-Atlantic to the Gulf Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region and another frontal boundary will be over the Northern Plains.
Day 8-12: The period will start with high pressure over the Northeast. A frontal boundary will bring plenty of moisture to the Mid-Atlantic and the Gulf Coast. A tropical feature will be in the Southwest Gulf bringing heavy rainfall to the region from MS-TX Gulf Coast. Another cold front will be moving across the Northern Plains, while a strong high pressure area builds in behind. The West will remain dry. Day nine the tropical feature near Mexico will be sending moisture northward along the Northern Gulf Coast into a frontal boundary that will be extending over Ohio and the Great Lakes. A storm system will bring a few showers to the Pacific Northwest. The period will finish with a strong storm system moving through the Ohio River Valley.
Long Range Outlook: The long range will start with a very active and wet pattern along the Eastern US, while the majority of the West will be dry, except for the Northwest where a few showers will be possible. The middle of the period there will be a frontal boundary over the Northeast bringing large amounts of rainfall to the region. There will be another frontal boundary over the Northern Plains bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. There will be a third area of moisture moving across the Northwest, while another tropical feature will bring increased moisture to the Gulf .
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Fargo ND:
Friday: Partly cloudy and mild with high temps around 73F and lows near 48F along with northwest winds 5-10mph.
Saturday: Partly cloudy and mild with a high near 81F. Winds from the east 2-7mph as overnight lows fall to around 55F.
Sunday: Partly cloudy and nice with a high near 80F. Winds from the northeast 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 55F.
Monday: Partly cloudy and nice with a high near 80F. Winds from the northeast 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 53F.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy and a tad warmer with a high near 83F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph and overnight lows around 57F.
Ask The Weatherman for August 9, 2013:
Question: What are the different types of weather satellite images?
Answer: When we work with weather, we are always watching the satellite images as these provide real time weather information. We have various images. The major images are the Infra-red and also the Visible and lastly the Water Vapor. Each image serves a different need and we will discuss that in another episode.
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Green Energy Weather Report for August 9, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be slight to moderate amounts of wave energy along the Northeast down into the Mid-Atlantic. The Southeast will see slight amounts. The Northern Gulf will also see slight to moderate amounts of energy due to the easterly wave moving through the region. There will be moderate amounts of energy along the Southwest and Northwest coast.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy over the majority of the West. There will also be good amounts of solar energy over the Southern Plains and Gulf Coast ahead of the afternoon convection. Solar energy will be limited over the Northeast but should still see some throughout the day.
Wind Energy: The best places for wind energy today will be over the Northern Rockies and also over portions of the Eastern Great Lakes.
Hydro-Energy: The best places for hydro energy will be from the Northern Plains into the Great Lakes. A second place will be over the Southern Plains into the Gulf Coast. There will also be increased amounts of hydro energy for both the Southwest US and also portions of the Northeast were showers will become heavy at times.
August 9 Weather and Your Wallet (Rapid City SD):
A frontal boundary will provide the area with another day of enhanced lift bringing showers and thunderstorms to the area.
Dining: There will be small window around lunch time to enjoy an outdoor meal.
Transportation: Expect to see some delays on both the roads and at the airport today.
Shopping: If you’re heading out and about to do some shopping today you may want your umbrella.
Electricity: There will be a small window this afternoon for cooling as the forecast is for high temps around 80F which will create about 5 CDD’s on the day.
Yard Work: The best time will be a window this afternoon probably between 1-3pm to get your yard work done before the evening round of thunderstorms moves in.
Construction: Expect to see some impacts to outdoor projects today during thunderstorms.
Outdoor Venues: This afternoon would be a good chance to get out and enjoy some sightseeing around Mt. Rushmore or the Gold Mines.