Big Story Weather – August 29, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from August 28:
The heat impacted large areas of the Plains again yesterday with temps soaring over 100F and heat index values near 110. Severe weather was limited, however there were reports of hail around 1.75 inches in South Dakota along with wind gusts near 70-80mph in South Dakota, North Dakota, and Utah.
Big Story Weather Discussion for August 29:
Surface Map: High pressure over Eastern Texas will bring extensive heat to the region with temps in the 100’s. This warm air will expand northward into the Northern Plains as well. Many places will see heat index values over 110 so take it easy in these regions. A cold front over the Great Lakes will finally start to push eastward towards the East Coast later today. High pressure over the Rockies will keep the region dry and warm with a high fire hazard as well. Low pressure over the Baja will bring afternoon showers to the regions of Arizona and New Mexico. Tropical Storm Juliette will continue to move up the Western coast of Mexico.
Severe Weather: There will be three areas of concern today. The first will be along the frontal boundary over the Midwest where this region will see large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms over Arizona and New Mexico will provide heavy rainfall and strong winds. A third area over the Southeast Coast will bring heavy rain and strong winds to the region.
Tropical Weather: An easterly wave pushing off the west coast of Africa will have to be watched for possible tropical development over the next few days.
Select City Forecast:
Buffalo NY: Partly cloudy and cool again today with high temps around 74F and lows near 60F.
Mobile AL: Partly cloudy and warm with high temps around 91F and lows near 75F.
Sioux City IA: Partly cloudy with afternoon thunderstorms as high temps rise to around 90F and lows near 64F. Total rainfall will be around 0.25 inches.
Denver CO: Partly cloudy and mild with high temps around 83F and lows near 62F.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy with a high near 82F and lows near 59F.
August 29, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Tropical Storm Juliette will continue a northward track towards the Baja with winds around 45kts and pressure near 999mb. The storm will slowly begin to weaken as it moves over colder waters. Low pressure moving through Alaska will continue to bring more showers to the region. Low pressure moving through Central Canada will bring showers to the region.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving through Eastern Canada will bring showers to the region. Low pressure moving towards Northern Europe will bring showers to the region. Two tropical waves along the coast of Africa will have to be watched for possible tropical development.
Western Pacific: Tropical Storm Kong-Rey continues to move north-westward away from Taiwan with winds around 50kts and pressure near 985mb. The storm is forecasted to maintain tropical storm strength as it pushes towards Japan. Low pressure moving over Western Japan will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. Another tropical wave to the northwest of Wake Island will also need to be watched for possible tropical development.
Indian Ocean: The Southwest monsoon will not be as active today allowing for less rainfall coverage. A strong wave moving over the Indian Ocean will need to be watched for possible tropical development.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving through the basin with impacts being felt over Southern Argentina with showers and snow showers. A second wave moving southeast of South Africa will bring gusty winds to the region. A third area of low pressure moving over Southern Australia will bring showers to the region.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for August 29- September 2:
Buffalo NY: The period will start out impact free. A passing cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region from Aug 31-Sep 2, creating a slight to moderate impact for the region.
Mobile AL: The region will be impact free until Aug 31 when a cold front moves through the region bringing slight to moderate impacts to the region.
Sioux City IA: The region will have slight to moderate impacts today and then again on Sep 2 associated with frontal thunderstorms.
Denver CO: The region will start out impact free. A frontal boundary will bring thunderstorms to the region on Sep 1-2 bringing moderate impacts to the region.
Climate Watch for August 24-28:
Buffalo NY: The period started with temps around 1-2 degrees below normal followed by a warming trend with temps around 1-6 degrees above normal for the remainder of the period.
Mobile AL: The past five days temps have been running around 1-8 degrees below normal.
Sioux City IA: The past five days the region has seen temps around 6-10 degrees above normal.
Denver CO: The past five days have seen temps around 2-8 degrees above normal.
Seattle WA: The period has been dominated by mostly above normal temps around 1-5 degrees above, while Aug 25, the region did fall to around 2 degrees below normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for August 29, 2013:
Day 1-3: High pressure over Eastern Texas will bring warm and dry weather to the region. This will extend into the Southeast and Gulf Coast as well. The heat will be in place over the Plains with many places seeing high temps over 100F and heat index values reaching 110-115. The Northeast will be cool again today, while a frontal boundary over the Midwest will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure over the Rockies will bring warm and dry weather to the West. The period will finish with a frontal boundary from the Northeast to the Gulf Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. A second front will be pushing into the Northern Plains. The southwest monsoonal rains will be on the increase again during this time.
Day 4-7: The period will start with a boundary along the Southeast and Gulf Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. Another frontal boundary will be over the Plains and the Great Lakes bringing showers to the region. Day five a storm system will be moving through the Great Lakes and the Gulf Coast bringing heavy rainfall and thunderstorms to the region. The West will mostly be dry along with a very powerful storm hitting Southern Alaska. The period will finish with a frontal boundary extending from the Mid-Atlantic to the Gulf Coast. Expect to see showers and thunderstorms along this boundary. High pressure will build in over the Great Lakes and the Ohio River Valley bringing cooler air to the region.
Day 8-12: The period will start with a storm system moving through the Eastern Lakes and the Northeast. High pressure will dominate the weather over the Northern Plains and also into the West Coast. Day ten a strong storm system will push into the Northern Plains and bring heavy rainfall along with severe weather. Day eleven the storm system will move into the Great Lakes, while return flow sets up over the Gulf Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. The West will be dry and warm again. The period will finish with showers and thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast and Southeast, while the majority of the country will be dry and warm in the West and cool in the East.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with a very strong storm system moving into Southern Alaska bringing showers and snow showers to the region. Return flow will be over the Gulf Coast and Southeast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. The middle of the period will have high pressure over the Northeast, return flow and showers over the Southeast and Gulf Coast, and another strong storm system moving out of Montana and the Northern Plains bringing severe weather along with very cold rain on the back side. Southern Alaska will have another powerful low pressure moving into the region which will lead to more heavy rainfall and possible higher elevation snows. The period will end with the potential of seeing a large severe weather outbreak over the Plains from North Dakota to Oklahoma along a very strong frontal boundary.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Dallas TX:
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a high near 101F. Winds from the southwest 2-7mph. Overnight lows near 79F. Heat index values near 110.
Friday: Partly cloudy and hot with high temps around 100F. Winds from the southeast 2-7mph. Overnight lows near 78F. Heat index values near 110.
Saturday: Partly cloudy and hot with high temps near 101F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph. Overnight lows near 78F. Heat index values near 110.
Sunday: Partly cloudy and hot with high temps around 100F. Winds from the southwest 9-14mph. Overnight lows near 77F. Heat index values near 110.
Monday: Partly cloudy with a high near 100F. Winds from the southwest 2-7mph. Overnight lows near 77F. Heat index values near 110F.
Ask The Weatherman for August 29, 2013:
Question: What is defined as the cold cycle of the climate?
Answer: During the cold cycle of the climate, we start to see the ice sheets over the poles expand in coverage. We also start to notice sea temperatures beginning to drop. Then air temperatures will follow behind that. This will then in return alter weather patterns supporting more strong winter storms.
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Green Energy Weather Report for August 29, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be light to moderate amounts of wave energy along the Northeast and also into the Mid-Atlantic. The Southeast and Northern Gulf Coast will have light amounts of wave energy. The Southwest will see moderate to extreme amounts of wave energy. The Northwest will have moderate amounts of energy.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy across the Plains and the Gulf Coast. There will also be ample amounts of energy over the majority of the West from the Rockies to the West Coast.
Wind Energy: The best place for wind energy today will be over the Northern Rockies behind the cold front.
Hydro-Energy: The best places for hydro energy today will be over the Midwest extending back into portions of the Plains.
August 29 Weather and Your Wallet (Fargo ND):
Today will be a very warm day with the potential for some strong thunderstorms this afternoon as well during maximum heating of the day.
Dining: This morning will be fine to get out and enjoy breakfast in the park. Lunch time will be very hot so you might want to stay indoors. This evening a few thunderstorms will be moving through the region.
Transportation: There should be no impacts this morning at the airport or on the major roads. However, this afternoon there may be a few slowdowns.
Shopping: This morning will be the best time to get out and do your shopping before it gets too hot.
Electricity: There will be a moderate demand for cooling today especially during the time frame of 12PM-9PM with the forecasted high temps around 100F. The region will see around 19CDD’s on the day.
Yard Work: This morning will be the best time to get the yard cut, water the flowers, or get the outdoor work done. This afternoon is going to be hot and could lead to excessive heat problems.
Construction: This afternoon there will be some impacts between the thunderstorms and the heat that will be in place with temps rising to around 100F and the heat index well over 105F. This will increase the chance for heat-related injuries, so if you’re working outside today make sure to take plenty of breaks and hydrate well.
Outdoor Venues: This morning will be the best time to take the dog for a walk or ride your bike along the bike paths. This afternoon you are going to want to stay in the air conditioning and this evening thunderstorms will have impacts as well.