Big Story Weather – September 3, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from September 2:
The heat continued yesterday over parts of Texas and the Northern Rockies where temps soared into the upper 90’s. Severe weather was limited with no tornadoes reported. The largest hail came from New York at the size of 2 inches and the strongest wind gusts also came from New York at 60-70mph.
Big Story Weather Discussion for September 3:
Surface Map: High pressure over the Ohio River Valley will bring partly cloudy skies to the region today. A new frontal boundary will begin to develop over the Northern Plains and will be the focus of showers and thunderstorms. A few lingering showers will be over the Northeast as well. Low pressure over the Baja will bring another day of showers and thunderstorms to the Southwest. The West will have high pressure and another warm and dry day with an elevated fire danger.
Severe Weather: The Plains region will see isolated strong winds and heavy rainfall. The Gulf Coast will see heavy rainfall and strong winds. The Southwest will see heavy rainfall.
Tropical Weather: There are three spots that we are watching now this morning. The first is near the Yucatan Peninsula with winds around 15kts and is moving slowly towards the west. There is a slight chance for development with this area. The second area is now pushing towards the islands. This region has winds around 25kts and pressure of 1007mb. There is an elevated chance that this area will develop. The third area is now pushing off the African Coast with winds around 20kts and pressure of 1009mb. This area does have a chance for further development as well.
Select City Forecast:
New York NY: Partly cloudy and cool today with high temps around 68F and lows near 63F.
Memphis TN: Partly cloudy skies with a high near 83F and lows near 66F.
Omaha NE: Partly cloudy with isolated afternoon thunderstorms. High temps near 76F and lows near 64F. Total rainfall near 0.15 inches.
Boise ID: Partly cloudy and hot with high temps around 96F and lows near 78F.
Portland OR: Partly cloudy with a high near 88F and lows near 55F.
September 3, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving over Southern Alaska will bring another day of showers and cool weather to the region. Tropical Depression Kiko has winds around 30kts and pressure of 1005mb as it continues to weaken and move away from land. Another wave has pushed off the coast of Mexico and is being watched for possible tropical development. Winds are now at 25kts and pressure is near 1008mb.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving through the Northeast will bring a few showers to the region again today. These showers and thunderstorms will extend to the Gulf Coast. A tropical wave over the Yucatan Peninsula is being watched for possible tropical development. Winds are now around 15kts. A second wave over the windward islands is also being watched for possible tropical development with winds around 25kts and pressure near 1007mb. The third area is just moving off the coast of Africa now with winds around 20kts and pressure of 1009mb. Low pressure moving north of England will bring showers to Northern Europe and Western Russia.
Western Pacific: Tropical Storm Toraji has winds around 45kts and pressure of 989mb as it continues to move towards Southern Japan. It is expected to make landfall over Japan within the next couple of days. Another wave over the Central Pacific is being watched for possible development as well. Low pressure moving over Northern Japan will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.
Indian Ocean: The southwest monsoon will bring moderate rainfall to the region. A tropical wave is also being watched for possible tropical development.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure are moving through the basin with impacts being felt over Southern Argentina and Chile with rain and snow showers. A second low pressure is bringing strong winds to Southern Africa. A third low pressure will bring showers and breezy conditions to Southwest Australia.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for September 3-7:
New York NY: The region will be impact free all the way up to September 6 when an area of thunderstorms will move through bringing a slight to moderate impact to the region.
Memphis TN: The region will see slight to moderate impacts on September 4-5 and again on the 7th as thunderstorms move through the region.
Omaha NE: There will be slight to moderate impacts today and then again on September 7 as thunderstorms move through the region.
Boise ID: The region will enjoy five days of impact free weather outside of the heat.
Portland OR: The area will be warm but will remain impact free over the next five days.
Climate Watch for August 29- September 2:
New York NY: The period started with temps around 2 degrees below normal and then warmed to around 1-5 degrees above for the remainder of the period.
Memphis TN: The past five days have been warm with temps around 2-7 degrees above normal.
Omaha NE: The majority of the period temps were around 2-16 degrees above normal, however the period finished around 2 degrees below normal.
Boise ID: The past five days have been warm with temps around 4-10 degrees above normal.
Portland OR: The past five days the region has seen temps around 1-10 degrees above normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for September 3, 2013:
Day 1-3: There will be showers and a few thunderstorms over the Northeast. This afternoon a few showers and thunderstorms will be found along the Gulf Coast. High pressure will keep most of the Ohio River Valley nice. A few afternoon thunderstorms will be possible from the Plains into the Western Lakes. An area of low pressure moving towards the West Coast will bring a few showers to Seattle. Day two a few showers will linger over the Mid-Atlantic, while high pressure builds in over the Lower Mississippi River Valley and a secondary high pressure builds in over the Northern Plains giving both regions nice weather. The Southwest monsoon will provide afternoon showers to the Southwest. The period will end with a few showers over the Northeast and also over the Rockies, while the rest of the country enjoys high pressure.
Day 4-7: The period will start with high pressure over the Northeast and a weak frontal boundary extending from the Southeast to the Gulf Coast bringing a few showers and thunderstorms to the region. A storm system will be moving into the Pacific Northwest bringing a few showers to the region. The Southwest monsoon will bring more rainfall to Arizona, while a tropical feature begins to approach Puerto Rico. Day six high pressure will slide into the Mid-Atlantic, while a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible over the Southeast and Gulf Coast. A storm system will move out of the Rockies and into the Northern Plains. The period will end with high pressure over the Northeast and a tropical feature east of Florida. Low pressure moving through the Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure will keep the West dry.
Day 8-12: The period will start with high pressure over the Northeast. A tropical feature will be moving up the Eastern US and should remain offshore. A strong low pressure system will be moving through the Plains bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. The Southwest will see more showers and afternoon thunderstorms, while the remainder of the West is dry and warm. Day ten there will be a frontal boundary along the East Coast which will bring showers to the area. The tropical feature will begin to merge into the frontal boundary. High pressure will dominate the West. Another frontal boundary will move through the Plains. Tropical moisture will also be on the increase over the Northern Gulf. The period will end with a frontal boundary along the East Coast bringing showers to the region. The frontal boundary will extend across the Southeast and Gulf Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. Another tropical feature will begin approaching Puerto Rico. A strong cold front will be moving through the Northern Rockies and Plains bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. Another tropical feature will be moving towards the Baja.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with high pressure over the Great Lakes and Northeast. Another boundary along the Southeast and Gulf Coast will bring showers to the region. A tropical feature will also move west of the Baja. Another strong storm system will begin to push into the Pacific Northwest. The middle of the period high pressure will remain along the East Coast. A frontal boundary along the Gulf Coast will bring more showers and thunderstorms to the region. A storm system moving over the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies will bring showers along with gusty winds. The period will finish with a huge surge of tropical moisture over the Northern Gulf Coast and another low moving towards the Pacific Northwest.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Houston TX:
Tuesday: Partly cloudy hot with an isolated afternoon thunderstorm. High temps around 100F. Winds from the southwest 2-7mph. Overnight near 76F. Total rainfall around 0.05 inches.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy and warm with a high near 98F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph. Overnight lows near 76F.
Thursday: Partly cloudy and warm with a high near 97F. Winds from the southeast 7-12mph. Overnight lows near 74F.
Friday: Partly cloudy hot with a few afternoon thunderstorms. High temps around 96F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph. Overnight lows near 70F. Total rainfall around 0.10 inches.
Saturday: Partly cloudy and hot with afternoon thunderstorms. High temps around 95F and low temps near 70F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph. Total rainfall around 0.20 inches.
Ask The Weatherman for September 3, 2013:
Question: What makes tornadoes happen in Japan?
Answer: While the United States leads the way in tornadoes each year, other countries can experience tornadoes as well. Just this past weekend Japan was hit with a tornado just north of Tokyo. This tornado formed when the warm air came in off the Pacific Ocean and hit the colder sinking air from the Japanese Alps.
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Green Energy Weather Report for September 3, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be moderate amounts of wave energy along the Northeast and lighter amounts over the Mid-Atlantic. The southeast will start to see increasing amounts of energy as the day goes on. The Northern Gulf will have light amounts of energy. The Southwest and Northwest will both have moderate amounts of wave energy.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy along the Gulf Coast and the Southeast. The Southern Plains will also see moderate amounts of energy. The Northern Plains and the Western Lakes will see moderate amounts of energy. The West and the Rockies will have plentiful amounts of solar energy today.
Wind Energy: The best wind energy today will be over the Western Lakes and also over the Northern Rockies as both places will see a fair amount of winds.
Hydro-Energy: There will be light amounts of energy over the Northeast, into the Mid-Atlantic and along the Gulf Coast. There will also be light amounts of energy over portions of the Great Lakes and back into the Southern Plains. There will be light amounts of afternoon energy over the Southwest.
September 3 Weather and Your Wallet (Minneapolis MN):
A few afternoon thunderstorms may be possible over the region.
Dining: This morning would be a great time to enjoy breakfast at the park.
Transportation: There may be some minor delays this afternoon both on the roads and also at the airport in between thunderstorms.
Shopping: There will be some thunderstorms this afternoon so make sure to take the umbrella.
Electricity: There will be a small window this afternoon of cooling needed. The forecast is for around 2CDD’s on the day.
Yard Work: Today will be a nice day to get out and get some yard work done before the storms roll in.
Construction: There will be some minor delays this afternoon due to the thunderstorms.
Outdoor Venues: There may be some impacts this afternoon during periods of thunderstorms. Otherwise the rest of the day looks nice.