Big Story Weather – September 16, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from September 13-15:
The big story from this weekend was the continued flooding throughout Colorado and New Mexico with both places seeing an additional 6 plus inches of rainfall. The heat continued over portions of the Plains with temps in the upper 90’s again. Tropical impacts started to move in over Southern Texas with higher seas, flooding rains and gusty winds. Severe weather was limited this past weekend to 1.0-inch hail on Friday in Arizona. Saturday saw 1.75-inch hail in Florida. Sunday there was 1.75-inch hail in Kansas along with wind gust of 70-80mph in Washington and Oregon.
Big Story Weather Discussion for September 16:
Surface Map: High pressure sliding in over the Great Lakes will bring another round of frost and freeze conditions to the region along with partly cloudy skies. Low pressure over the Southwest will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. Partly cloudy skies will be found in the Northwest and Gulf Coast.
Severe Weather: There will be an isolated area of thunderstorms over portions of the Southeast which will bring heavy rainfall to the region. A second area of strong thunderstorms will be over the Southwest again providing for heavy rainfall and gusty winds.
Winter Weather: High pressure pushing into the Great Lakes will lead to areas of frost and freeze conditions. The first will be in Northern Minnesota and the Western Lakes and the second will be over a good portion of the Northeast.
Flooding: The Southwest will be the focus of more severe flooding. This includes the Denver Metro area along with most of New Mexico and parts of Arizona. There will also be another focus area from Idaho to Nevada will flash flooding likely.
Tropical Weather: Hurricane Ingrid is just off the coast of Mexico with winds near 65kts and pressure of 988mb. The storm will continue to move slowly towards the coast bringing flooding rains, gusty winds and storm surge to the region. Heavy rainfall is also pushing into Southern Texas including Brownsville. There are two other areas being watched for possible tropical development.
Select City Forecast:
New York NY: Partly cloudy and cool with a high near 69F and overnight lows near 60F.
Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy and very warm as high temps rise to near 93F and overnight lows near 75F.
Sioux Falls SD: Partly cloudy with a few afternoon thunderstorms. High temps around 76F and overnight lows near 54F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches.
Boise ID: Partly cloudy with a high near 92F and overnight lows near 68F.
Portland OR: Partly cloudy with a high near 86F and overnight lows near 56F.
September 16, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Tropical Depression Manuel will continue moving over Western Mexico bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the region. Winds are currently around 25kts and pressure is near 1002mb. Low pressure moving into the Gulf of Alaska will bring showers to the region. Low pressure over the Baja will bring another day of heavy rainfall to the Southwest US.
Atlantic Ocean: Hurricane Ingrid continues to turn off the east coast of Mexico bringing heavy rainfall, storm surge and gusty winds to the region. The heavy rainfall is also stretching into Southern Texas. Low pressure moving through the Central Atlantic is being watched for possible tropical development. Low pressure along the coast of Africa will also need to be watched for possible tropical development. Multiple areas of low pressure moving through Central and Eastern Europe and Russia will bring showers to the region.
Western Pacific: Tropical Storm Man-yi just passed over Tokyo bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the area. The storm is now moving back over the Pacific and will move towards the Kuril Islands with winds around 60kts and pressure near 978mb. A couple of areas to the west of Guam are being watched for possible tropical development.
Indian Ocean: The Southwest monsoon will be enhanced today providing plenty of rainfall over India and Sri Lanka also extending eastward towards Singapore.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure are moving across the basin with impacts being felt over Southern Argentina with showers and snow showers. A second low moving south of Africa will bring moderate winds to the region. Two lows moving across Southern Australia will bring showers and gusty winds to the region.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for September 16-20:
New York NY: The region will be impact free for the next five days with plenty of sunshine and cooler weather.
Gulfport MS: The area will start out impact free. The period will finish with showers and thunderstorms bringing slight to moderate impacts to the region.
Sioux Falls SD: The area will see slight impacts today with afternoon thunderstorms and then again on the 19th as another frontal boundary moves into the region.
Boise ID: The next five days will be warm but impact free.
Portland OR: The next five days will be impact free for the region.
Climate Watch for September 11-15:
New York NY: The period started with temps around 1-16 degrees above and then finished with temps around 4-7 degrees below normal.
Gulfport MS: The past five days temps have been around 2-4 degrees above normal.
Sioux Falls SD: The period started with temps around 3-11 degrees above normal. During the remainder of the period temps were about 1-7 degrees below normal.
Boise ID: The past five days have been warm with temps around 2-11 degrees above normal.
Portland OR: The period started with temps around 6-18 degrees above normal and then cooled to around 3-8 degrees below normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for September 16, 2013:
Day 1-3: High pressure moving in over the Great Lakes will bring another round of frost/freeze warnings from Minnesota to Maine. Partly cloudy skies will also dominate the weather from the Mid-Atlantic into the Gulf Coast. Hurricane Ingrid will bring heavy rainfall to portions of Southern Texas. The Southwest monsoon will bring another day of heavy rainfall to the Southwest. The West will be dry and warm. Day two high pressure will slide into the Northeast. The tropical will push across Mexico and a possible new area of development will be near the Yucatan Peninsula. A frontal boundary moving through the Northern Plains will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area. This will extend into the Northern Rockies as well. The period will finish with high pressure along the East Coast, an increase in tropical moisture over Florida, and a strong cold front pushes through the Northern Plains. Another powerful low pressure area will be moving towards the Pacific Northwest and Western Canada.
Day 4-7: The period will start with low pressure moving out of the Plains and into the Western Lakes. This will bring moderate rainfall along with thunderstorms to the region. Day five the storm system will be over the Great Lakes extending into the Gulf Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms along the boundary. A frontal boundary will be pushing into the Pacific Northwest. Day six the frontal boundary will extend from the Northeast all the way into the Gulf Coast with very heavy rainfall possible along the Gulf Coast. High pressure will slide into the Northern Plains bringing another cool evening to the region. The period will end with high pressure over the Northeast and another storm system moving into the Northern Plains. Tropical moisture will be on the increase over the Gulf of Mexico as well. A new storm system will be entering the Pacific Northwest.
Day 8-12: The period will start with high pressure over the Northeast, while a tropical feature will be taking shape over the Gulf of Mexico. Another strong storm system will be moving into the Pacific Northwest. Day ten high pressure will be over the Northeast, while a strong low pressure will be moving into the Plains. The period will finish with high pressure along the East Coast and a powerful storm system moving through the Plains bringing a chance for severe weather from the Northern Plains to the Southern Plains.
Long Range Outlook: A very powerful storm system will be hitting the Northwest with very heavy rainfall. The period will end with a strong storm over the Plains and another storm entering the Pacific Northwest.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Chicago IL:
Monday: Partly cloudy and cool with a high near 63F. Winds from the northeast 9-14mph. Overnight lows near 47F.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a high near 68F. Winds from the southeast 9-14mph. Overnight lows near 54F.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with afternoon thunderstorms and a high near 78F. Winds from the southwest 9-14mph. Overnight near 61F. Total rainfall around 0.15 inches.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with afternoon thunderstorms and a high near 85F. Winds from the southwest 9-14mph. Overnight lows near 67F. Total rainfall around 0.15 inches.
Friday: Partly cloudy and mild with a high near 76F. Winds from the northwest 9-14mph. Overnight lows near 50F.
Ask The Weatherman for September 16, 2013:
Question: What is the Southwest monsoon?
Answer: Southwest monsoon is a seasonal wind pattern that sets up over the Southwest US and also over India. This wind shift is crucial as it provides these locations their annual rainfall for the year. Sometimes these winds can be strong and bring a lot of moisture in a short period of time which leads to drastic flooding like what we are seeing in Colorado.
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Green Energy Weather Report for September 16, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be slight to moderate amounts of energy over the Northeast and also the Mid-Atlantic, while the Southeast will see slight amounts. The Gulf of Mexico will see slight to moderate over the north increasing to extreme over the Southwest Gulf. The Southwest will have moderate to extreme, while the Pacific Northwest will have moderate.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy over the Mid-Atlantic into the Gulf Coast and back over portions of the Plains along with the West Coast.
Wind Energy: The best wind energy today will be over the Great Lakes and also over Southern Texas.
Hydro-Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy from the Great Lakes back into the Plains and south over Southern Texas along with the Southwest US.
September 16 Weather and Your Wallet (Orlando FL):
Afternoon sea-breeze will bring thunderstorms to the region.
Dining: There will be some impacts this afternoon as the sea-breeze kicks in.
Transportation: There will be moderate impacts at both the airport and also along the major roadways as the heavier rainfall moves into the region.
Shopping; This afternoon you may need the umbrella as the downpours move through.
Electricity: There will be a moderate demand all day as high temps rise to around 90F. The forecast is for 18CDD’s on the day.
Yard Work: This morning will be the best time to get out and get that yard work done.
Construction: There will be some slowdowns this afternoon in between thunderstorms.
Outdoor Venues: Thunderstorms may slow the outdoor activities down a tad this afternoon.