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Big Story Weather – October 7, 2013

October 7, 2013

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from October 4-6:

Tropical Storm Karen fizzled out before making landfall near Southern LA allowing for a few locations along the coast to get around 2-3 inches of rainfall with winds of less than 40mph. The system has been absorbed into the cold front. Severe weather was huge this past weekend. There were multiple strong tornados over Nebraska and Iowa with a few on the higher end of the scale on Friday night. Tornadoes were also reported in Nebraska, Iowa and South Dakota. The largest hail was 2.75 inches reported in Iowa and damaging winds of 60-70mph in Kansas. Saturday’s severe weather included 2 tornadoes – one in WI and the other in TN. Large hail was over IL around 1 inch. The strongest winds were 60mph in IL. Sunday had limited severe weather with 60mph in Ohio and Kentucky. Winter weather was a huge impact this past weekend with snowfall totals of 4ft near Lead South Dakota, along with 65-70mph blizzard like conditions across Wyoming and South Dakota. Places in Western South Dakota have seen snow drifts reach 8-10ft.

Big Story Weather Discussion for October 7:

Surface Map: Low pressure moving through Southeast Canada will bring showers to the Northeast US. The cold front will extend along the entire East Coast with showers and thunderstorms over the southern portion. High pressure over the Plains will bring cool and nice weather to the region. A warm front pushing into the Pacific Northwest will bring a few showers to the region.

Severe Weather: There will be isolated strong storms over portions of Southern Florida, but should mostly be strong winds and heavy rainfall.

Winter Weather: No major impacts across the country today.

Flooding: There will be some flash flooding from snow melt over portions of Western North Dakota and also South Dakota due to the heavy snowfall and now the rapidly warming temps.

Tropical Weather: We are now watching a new invest area that has pushed off the coast of Africa for potential tropical development. The area has a low chance at this time.

Winds: No major wind events outside of the 30mph cold front winds across the East Coast.

Select City Forecast:

New York NY: Mostly cloudy with showers and cooler weather. High temps around 73F and overnight lows near 54F. Total rainfall around 0.30 inches.

Gulfport MS; Partly cloudy and cool with a high near 75F and overnight lows near 57F.

Chicago IL: Mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 59F and overnight lows near 53F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches.

Billings MT: Partly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 58F.

Portland OR: Mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 56F and overnight lows near 49F. Total rainfall around  0.35 inches.

October 7, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:

Latest Image: Typhoon Danas is currently working to the north of Okinawa bringing winds around 60-80kts for the region. The max sustained winds with Danas are now around 125kts near the center which is just north of Okinawa. The storm will move towards mainland Japan.

Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving towards Alaska will bring showers to the region. Tropical Storm Narda has winds around 40kts and pressure of 1003mb as it is moving westward away from land.

Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving along the US East Coast will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. Another area of low pressure moving towards Europe will bring showers to the region. Low pressure moving through Central Europe will also bring a few showers to the region. A tropical wave off the coast of Africa is being watched for possible tropical development.

Western Pacific: Typhoon Danas is moving just north of Okinawa now with winds around 125kts near the center. The storm will make a turn and head towards Southern Japan in the next few days with very strong winds. Low pressure moving over Eastern China will bring showers to the region. Low pressure to the east of Japan will bring showers to Tokyo.

Indian Ocean: No major impacts in the region as the monsoonal trough has relaxed.

Southern Hemisphere: Multiple lows moving through the basin will impact portions of Southern Argentina with winds and showers. We also watching impacts for Southern Africa with strong winds and a few showers. A strong cold front moving through Eastern Australia will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.

Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for October 7-11:

New York NY: The region will have impacts today and then again around October 10 as another cold front moves through the region.

Gulfport MS: The area will be impact free for the next five days.

Chicago IL; The region will have slight impacts today with showers. The rest of the week will be impact free.

Billings MT: The period will be mostly impact free, with a chance for slight impacts at the end of the period as a frontal boundary moves through the region with showers.

Portland OR: The area will have moderate impacts over the next couple of days associated with showers. The remainder of the period will be impact free.

Climate Watch Almanac for October 2-6:

New York NY: The past five days the region have seen temps around 1-16 degrees above normal.

Gulfport MS: The past five days have brought temps around 1-5 degrees above normal.

Chicago IL: The period started with temps around 7-13 degrees above normal and then finished the period around 2 degrees below normal.

Billings MT: The period started with temps around 8-21 degrees below normal followed by a period with temps around 1-2 degrees above normal.

Portland OR: The period started with temps around 4-16 degrees below normal and then finished with temps around 4-6 degrees above normal.

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 7, 2013:

Day 1-3: The period will begin with low pressure and the cold front along the East Coast bringing showers to the region with a few thunderstorms near Florida. High pressure over the Plains will bring cool weather to the region. This will extend into the Ohio River Valley and the Gulf Coast as well. A new storm system will begin to push into the Pacific Northwest. Day two low pressure will push into the Southwest bringing a few showers to the region along with strong winds. The period will finish with a few showers over the Mid-Atlantic along with a few showers over the Southwest.

Day 4-7: The period will start with high pressure along each coast. A new storm system will move into the Plains with showers for the region. Day five low pressure will bring showers to the Northern Plains and Western Lakes. The period will finish with a weak frontal boundary over most of the Plains from the north to south.

Day 8-12: The period will start with a weak low pressure moving up the East Coast with a few showers, while a strong upper level trough pushes through the Plains bringing rain and some snow showers to the region. Another strong cold air mass will be pushing into the Northern Plains. Day nine the storm system will push into the Central Plains, while the strong high pressure keeps pushing southward bringing some cold air. Day eleven will bring a strong cold front to the Gulf Coast with showers and thunderstorms. High pressure will settle into the Rockies during this time. The period will finish with a strong low pressure over the East Coast with the potential of some significant snows near the lakes.

Long Range Outlook: The period will start with showers and snow showers over Maine. The rest of the country will see tranquil weather with high pressure dominating most of the country. The period will finish with high pressure dominating most of the country and no major weather systems moving through the area.

Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:

Cleveland OH: Mostly cloudy with showers with a high near 57F and overnight lows near 47F. Total rainfall near 0.15 inches. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 65F and overnight lows near 45F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 66F and overnight lows near 46F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 50F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 65F and overnight lows near 50F.

Dallas TX: Partly cloudy with a high near 78F and overnight lows near 54F. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 78F and overnight lows near 56F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 80F and overnight lows near 56. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 80F and overnight lows near 56F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 77F and overnight lows near 67F.

Fargo ND: Partly cloudy with a high near 60F and overnight lows near 47F. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 47F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 65F and overnight lows near 50F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 71F and overnight lows near 56F. Friday mostly cloudy with a few showers. High temps around 66F and overnight lows near 50F. Total rainfall around 0.15 inches.

Ask The Weatherman for October 7, 2013:

Question: What are the conditions behind a cold front?

Answer: Typically, once a cold front passes your area in the Northern Hemisphere, you will see the winds shift to the Northwest. Along with that the skies will slowly begin to clear out, leaving colder air to filter in to the region. The United States is seeing this occur today as the strong cold front is now over the East Coast.

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Green Energy Weather Report for October 7, 2013:

Wave Energy: The Northeast will have moderate amounts of wave energy. The Southeast will have moderate to extreme. The Gulf Coast will have slight to moderate amounts of energy. The entire West Coast will still have moderate amounts of energy.

Hydro Energy: The entire East Coast will have moderate amounts of short term energy.

Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains northward across the Northern Plains and then back into the Rockies along with the Southwest.

Wind Energy: The best wind energy today will be over Florida behind the cold front and then also over the Western Lakes behind the front. The third location will be over the Northwest ahead of the warm front.

October 7 Weather and Your Wallet (New Orleans LA):

High pressure settling into the region will bring the season’s first shot of cooler air to the region with high temps not even in the 80’s.

Dining: Today will be a nice day to have lunch by the waterfront, however the winds will be a tad strong out of the Northwest.

Transportation: There will be no major issues for the area. You may see a few stronger wind gusts over the higher elevated bridges that could impact high profile vehicles.

Shopping: Today will be a nice day to get out and enjoy some fall shopping as it will feel like fall for the first time.

Electricity: There will be a small window this afternoon for some cooling, but for the most part a very nice day in store with minimal heating and cooling impacts. Tonight would be a nice night to leave the windows open for some fresh air.

Yard Work: Today will be a good day to get out and clean the yard up and make preps for fall.

Construction: There will be no major impacts to the area, however crane operations may have to be cautious due to the stronger winds.

Outdoor Venues: Today will be a nice day to get out and enjoy the boardwalk, the downtown area and also the French Quarter.


Source: redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

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