Big Story Weather – October 8, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from October 7:
A stormy pattern over the Eastern United States has led to few possible unconfirmed tornado reports in the Northeast. Wind damage was also greatly noted with many places from Maine to Maryland seeing winds gusting in the 60-70mph range along the cold front and thunderstorms. The rest of the country saw tranquil conditions as high pressure dominated a good portion of the country. The Pacific Northwest recorded rainfall in the 0.25-0.55 inch range for some places.
Big Story Weather Discussion for October 8:
Surface Map: Low pressure off the coast of Florida will bring another day of showers and thunderstorms to the region. This will extend along the Southeast coast into Virginia and the Carolinas. High pressure over the Great Lakes and the Southern Plains will dominate most of the country with partly cloudy skies and cool weather. A new storm system over the Pacific Northwest will begin to shift into the Southwest later today bringing showers to the Seattle and Portland areas.
Severe Weather: There will be isolated strong storms over portions of Southern Florida bringing strong winds and heavy rainfall.
Winter Weather: No major impacts across the country today.
Flooding: The potential for flooding still exists over Western North Dakota and Western South Dakota due to the snow melt. There will also be some potential flooding over Florida due to the heavy rainfall.
Tropical Weather: We are now watching a new invest that has pushed off the coast of Africa for potential tropical development. The area has a medium chance at this time.
Winds: No major wind events outside of the thunderstorm winds over the Southeast coast.
Select City Forecast:
Buffalo NY: Partly cloudy with a high near 60F and overnight lows near 45F.
Mobile AL: Partly cloudy with a high near 72F and overnight lows near 64F.
Sioux Falls SD: Partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 55F.
Boise ID: Partly cloudy with high temps near 53F and overnight lows near 45F.
Las Vegas NV: Partly cloudy with a high near 76F and overnight lows near 70F.
October 8, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Latest Image: Typhoon Danas is currently moving in between South Korea and Kyushu Japan with winds around 85kts.
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Tropical Storm Narda has winds around 55kts and pressure of 998mb. The storm is going to gain strength over the next 24 hours, but should remain over water and be no impact to land. Low pressure moving into Alaska and along the Pacific Northwest will bring showers to the region and also snow showers over portions of Alaska.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure over Greenland will bring showers to the region, while another area of low pressure will push towards England. We are also watching a tropical wave that has left Africa for possible tropical development. Winds are around 25kts at this time with a moderate chance of development.
Western Pacific: Typhoon Danas is now moving between the Koreas and Western Japan bringing very strong winds to the region with gusts as high as 85kts to the Kyushu area. There will also be heavy rains and the potential for landslides. We are also watching another area to the east of Manila for possible tropical development. Low pressure moving through Northeast Russia should push across and pick up Danas within the next couple of days.
Indian Ocean: No major impacts in the region as the monsoonal trough has really relaxed.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple lows moving through the basin will impact portions of Southern Argentina with winds and showers. We also watching for impacts to be felt along Southern Africa with strong winds and a few showers. A strong cold front moving through Eastern Australia will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for October 8-12:
Buffalo NY: The next five days will be dominated by high pressure and no major weather impacts for the area.
Mobile AL: The next five days the region will be impact free.
Sioux Falls SD: The period will be mostly impact free. There will be a chance for showers around the 11th that may bring some minor impacts to the region.
Boise ID: The next five days will be impact free across the region.
Las Vegas NV: The period will be mostly impact free, however on the 10th a few showers will move through bringing a slight impact to the area.
Climate Watch Almanac for October 3-7:
Buffalo NY: The past five days have been mild with temps around 3-20 degrees above normal for the area.
Mobile AL: The period started with temps around 3-5 degrees above normal and then fell to around 4-5 degrees below normal to finish the period.
Sioux Falls SD: The majority of the period has seen temps around 2-18 degrees below normal and then finished the period with temps around 9 degrees above.
Boise ID: The period started with temps around 6-14 degrees below normal followed by a warming of 2-7 degrees above normal to finish the period.
Las Vegas NV: The past five days have had temps around 1-10 degrees below normal for the region.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 8, 2013:
Day 1-3: The period will start with low pressure off the coast of Florida bringing showers to the region extending into the Carolinas. High pressure over the Northeast will bring cool weather to the region. A frontal boundary over the Pacific Northwest will bring showers to the region. The Southwest, the Plains and the Gulf Coast will be dry and mild. Day two high pressure will remain over Maine, while an area of moisture pushes into the Mid-Atlantic bringing showers to the region. High pressure will also keep the majority of the country dry and cool. An area of low pressure will take shape over the Southwest bringing showers to the region. The period will end with high pressure along both coasts and a strong low pressure area moving through the Northern Plains bringing rainfall to the region. This could also increase the flooding potential over the region as heavy rains fall over top of the snow pack and also create rapid melting of the snow.
Day 4-7: The period will start with high pressure along the East Coast and a trailing frontal boundary over the Southern Plains bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure will dominate the West Coast. Day six high pressure will be along both coasts again, while another new low begins to develop over the Southern Plains bringing showers to the region. The period will end with low pressure moving into the Great Lakes and the cold front extending into the Gulf Coast. This will be the focus of showers and thunderstorms. High pressure will build into the Northern Plains.
Day 8-12: The period will start with low pressure along the East Coast bringing showers to the region. High pressure will be in the Ohio River Valley extending into the Gulf Coast and Plains. A new low pressure area will push into the Northwest bringing showers and also some higher elevation snows. Day ten high pressure over the East Coast will keep the region dry and cool. Low pressure will move through the Great Lakes. A cold front extending into the Gulf Coast region will bring more showers and thunderstorms to the area. Low pressure will slide into Northern California bringing rain and mountain snows to the region. The period will finish with a frontal boundary extending from the Southern Plains into the Mid-Atlantic region and will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms. Low pressure over the Rockies will bring rain and snow to the area. A new tropical will be pushing to the south of Puerto Rico.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with high pressure along the East Coast and a strong frontal boundary moving through the Plains bringing showers and thunderstorms to the area. Another strong frontal boundary will be approaching the West Coast during this time. The middle of the period will become very active for the United States with multiple storm systems moving in. The period will finish with storms along the Gulf Coast, winter weather over a good portion of the Northern US, and multiple storm systems moving through.
Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:
Baltimore MD: Partly cloudy with a high near 65F and overnight lows near 50F. Wednesday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 60F and overnight lows near 50F. Total rainfall around 0.45 inches. Thursday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 55F and overnight lows near 49F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 66F and overnight lows near 52F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 54F.
Honolulu HI: Partly cloudy with afternoon showers. High temps near 81F and overnight lows near 77F. Total rainfall near 0.05 inches. Wednesday partly cloudy with a few afternoon showers. High temps near 80F and overnight lows near 76F. Total rainfall near 0.15 inches. Thursday partly cloudy with afternoon showers. High temps around 80F and overnight lows near 76F. Total rainfall around 0.15 inches. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 83F and overnight lows near 75F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 83F and overnight lows near 76F.
Seattle WA: Mostly cloudy with showers high temps around 55F and overnight lows near 38F. Total rainfall around 0.35 inches. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 62F and overnight lows near 46F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 55F and overnight lows near 45F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 58F and overnight lows near 40F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 58F and overnight lows near 36F.
Ask The Weatherman for October 8, 2013:
Question: What kind of air rises?
Answer: As you know, we have warm air and cold air, so which one of those air parcels rises into the atmosphere? The best way to understand this is to know that warm air is actually lighter than cold air, so that is why warm air parcels will rise and cold parcels will sink.
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Green Energy Weather Report for October 8, 2013:
Wave Energy: The Northeast will have moderate amounts of wave energy. The Southeast will have moderate amounts as well. The Gulf Coast will have slight to moderate amounts of energy. The entire West Coast will have moderate amounts of energy.
Hydro Energy: The rainfall will stick around the Southeast and over portions of Florida bringing short term energy to the region.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and northward across the Northern Plains. There will also be ample amounts in the Rockies, the Southwest and most of the Northeast right behind the cold front.
Wind Energy: The best wind energy today will be over Florida behind the cold front, over the Eastern Lakes behind the cold front, and also the Pacific Northwest near the warm front.
October 8 Weather and Your Wallet (Sioux City IA):
High pressure over the area will bring plenty of sunshine and cooler weather overnight.
Dining: Today will be a nice day to go out to the park and enjoy lunch.
Transportation: There will be no weather impacts on the roads or at the airport today.
Shopping: Today will be a good day to get out and start doing that winter shopping to prepare.
Electricity: There will be a small demand for heating overnight before sunrise tomorrow as temps fall to around 50F.
Yard Work: Today will provide a nice day to get out and get the yard work done.
Construction: No issues today with the outdoor projects.
Outdoor Venues: Today will be a nice day with cool temps. Perfect for any outdoor activities you may have planned.