Big Story Weather – October 11, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from October 10:
The Mid-Atlantic region continued to deal with moderate rainfall along with coastal flooding yesterday. Heavy rainfall also moved through portions of the Plains along with severe weather reports of 1.5in hail out of Western Nebraska and 80-85mph wind gusts in Kansas. Snowfall was moderate over the Colorado Rockies.
Big Story Weather Discussion for October 11:
Surface Map: The coastal low will bring another day of showers to the Mid-Atlantic region and also New York. Expect moderate rainfall along with coastal flooding. Dense fog will be a huge impact across the entire state of Mississippi along with parts of Louisiana and Arkansas as the warm surging Gulf of Mexico air moves over the cooler lands. This will be in effect until around 11AM. Winter storm impacts still in effect for the Rockies of Colorado on the back side of the strong low that is moving through the Plains today with heavy rainfall over the Plains. The West Coast will enjoy a nice day.
Severe Weather: Limited Potential over portions of the Plains ahead of the cold front.
Winter Weather: The Rockies will see an additional 4-8 inches of snowfall today.
Flooding: Major impacts along the Mid-Atlantic coastal region today.
Tropical Weather: We are now watching a new invest that has pushed off the coast of Africa for potential tropical development. The area has a medium chance at this time. Winds are around 25kts and pressure is near 1008mb.
Winds: Very strong winds in excess of 50mph are going to be moving along the front from North Dakota to Texas. The area has a high wind watch out now.
Dense Fog: There is a dense fog advisory in effect for the entire state of Mississippi and also portions of Louisiana and Arkansas until around 11AM due to a strong surge of warm air moving over top of the cooler land.
Select City Forecast:
New York NY: Mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 64F and overnight lows near 56F. Total rainfall for the area near 0.65 inches.
Biloxi MS: Partly cloudy and mild today with a high near 83 and overnight lows near 75F.
Fargo ND: Mostly cloudy with showers and a high near 62F and overnight lows near 50F. Total rainfall near 1inch.
Boise ID: Partly cloudy with a high near 51F and overnight lows near 47F.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy with a high near 53F and overnight lows near 50F.
October 11, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Latest Images (RIGHT): (TOP) Tropical Cyclone Phailin with winds around 135kts. (BOTTOM) Typhoon Nari winds around 100kts.
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving into Alaska will bring another day of showers and snow showers to the region. Low pressure moving into the Plains will bring showers and mountain snows to the region along with severe weather.
Atlantic Ocean: Still watching an area off the coast of Africa for possible tropical development. Low pressure along the East Coast will bring another day of showers and coastal flooding to the region. Low pressure moving towards England will bring showers and gusty winds to the area.
Western Pacific: Typhoon Nari now has winds around 100kts and pressure near 948mb. The storm is and will be impacting Manila over the next 24-36 hours with very strong winds and flooding rains. Tropical Storm Wipha has developed to the west of Guam and will begin to track west-northwest towards mainland Japan with winds around 50kts and pressure near 985mb. Low pressure moving over Japan will bring showers to Northern Japan.
Indian Ocean: Tropical Cyclone Phailin is moving through the Bay of Bengal with winds around 135kts and pressure near 922mb. The storm will make landfall over Eastern India in the next few days.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving through the basin with impacts being felt over Argentina with showers and also impacts being felt over Southern Africa with gusty winds. A third area of impact is over portions of Southern Australia with strong winds and showers.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for October 11-15:
New York NY: The area will be impacted with showers over the next three days – some periods of heavy rainfall will be possible. The period will then finish impact free with partly cloudy skies.
Biloxi MS: The next five days the region will enjoy high pressure and impact free weather outside of the morning fog.
Fargo ND: The region will have moderate impacts the next two days associated with showers and then again the last two days of the period.
Boise ID: The region will enjoy impact free weather over the next five days.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy skies will keep the region impact free over the next five days.
Climate Watch Almanac for October 6-10:
New York NY: The period started with temps around 1-9 degrees above normal and then finished around 1-5 degrees below normal.
Biloxi MS: The period started around 1 degree above, then fell to around 2-4 degrees below normal before finishing around 2 degrees above.
Fargo ND: The past five days have been warm with temps around 2-15 degrees above normal.
Boise ID: The period started with temps around 2-7 degrees above normal and then finished around 8 degrees below normal.
Seattle WA: The period started with temps around 10 degrees above and then cooled to around 2-6 degrees below normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 11, 2013:
Day 1-3: The coastal low moving up the Eastern US will bring another day of showers and coastal flooding from Maryland to New York. High pressure over Southeast Canada will extend all the way to the Gulf Coast and make for a nice day with partly cloudy skies and mild temps. Low pressure moving into the Northern Plains today will bring impacts from heavy rain, severe weather and winter weather. This will extend into the Colorado Rockies as well. High pressure will bring a nice day to most of the West Coast. Day two the coastal low will push into the Northeast off the shores bringing another day of heavy rainfall and coastal flooding to the region. An area of low pressure will begin to develop over Texas, while high pressure slides into the Northern Plains. The West will remain dry. The period will finish with high pressure over the Great Lakes. Low pressure moving into the Plains bringing another day of showers and thunderstorms to the region.
Day 4-7: The period will begin with a strong low pressure area pushing into the Plains bringing rain and some severe weather to the region. High pressure will impact both of coasts. Day five the low pressure will extend from the Great Lakes to Southeast Texas bringing showers, thunderstorms and severe weather to the area. High pressure will keep the West Coast nice. The period will end with high pressure building in over a good portion of the country. A stationary boundary will be along the Gulf Coast bringing some showers to the coastal regions.
Day 8-12: The period will start with a massive high pressure area over most of the country and a few showers along the Gulf Coast. The middle of the period will have high pressure along the East Coast. An upper level trough moving through the Gulf Coast will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. A strong cold front moving through the Northern Plains will bring rain and snow to the Montana Rockies. The period will end with a strong low pressure area moving into the Plains and extending to the Gulf Coast. Expect to see showers and thunderstorms over the Gulf Coast, rain showers extending northward and moderate snowfall over the Northern Plains.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with a significant storm system over the Great Lakes bringing rain and snow to the region. Thunderstorms will extend along the cold front all the way into the Gulf Coast – some severe weather will be possible. A new storm system will be pushing into the Northwest with rain and higher elevation snows. The period will end with a significant change of seasons across a good portion of the country.
Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:
Chicago IL: Partly cloudy with a high near 71F and overnight lows near 57F. Saturday partly cloudy with thunderstorms. High temps around 70F and overnight lows near 47F. Total rainfall around 0.50 inches. Sunday partly cloudy and cool with a high near 60F and overnight lows near 47F. Monday partly cloudy with a high near 60F and overnight lows near 53F. Tuesday mostly cloudy with showers with a high near 62F and overnight lows near 46F, Total rainfall near 0.45 inches.
Sioux City IA: Partly cloudy with a high near 76F and overnight lows near 47F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 40F. Sunday partly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 46F. Monday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 50F and overnight lows near 44F. Total rainfall near 0.45 inches. Tuesday cloudy and rainy with a high near 46F and overnight lows near 39F. Total rainfall near 0.25 inches.
Phoenix AZ: Partly cloudy with a high near 74F and overnight lows near 59F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 80F and overnight lows near 60F. Sunday partly cloudy with a high near 83F and overnight lows near 62F. Monday partly cloudy with a high near 82F and overnight lows near 60F. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 80F and overnight lows near 58F.
Ask The Weatherman for October 11, 2013:
Question: Where do Tropical Cyclones form?
Answer: Tropical cyclones are the same as hurricanes except they form in different parts of the globe. The first place is in the Indian Ocean along with the Bay of Bengal where we currently have a very strong one right now. The second place is the Southern Hemisphere where it is very common to find cyclones around Australia.
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Green Energy Weather Report for October 11, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be extreme amounts of energy from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast. There will be moderate amounts along the Southeast coast. The Gulf Coast will see little amounts of energy. The entire West Coast will have moderate amounts of energy.
Hydro Energy: There will be moderate amounts of both short term and long term energy over the Rockies and also into the Northern Plains. There will be short term energy over the Mid-Atlantic region.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy from the Southeast to the Plains across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast. There will also be ample amounts of energy over the Pacific Northwest.
Wind Energy: The strongest wind energy today will be found over the Plains along the cold front and also over the Mid-Atlantic near the coastal low. The winds over the Northern Plains may reach levels that are too high for productivity.
October 11 Weather and Your Wallet (Dallas TX):
A cold front moving through the area later this afternoon and evening will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region along with some impacts.
Dining: This morning and around lunch should be the best times to get out and enjoy a meal at your favorite outdoor restaurant or cafe.
Transportation: There will be some impacts for the evening rush hour and some delays at the airports later in the day as well.
Shopping: This afternoon and evening you will want to take your umbrella if you have to go out and get your shopping done.
Electricity: This afternoon the region will see around 11CDD’s for the day between 1PM-6PM.
Yard Work: This morning will be the best time to get out and get the yard work done.
Construction: This morning and afternoon there will be minimal impacts, however the overnight projects will run into delays due to thunderstorms and showers.
Outdoor Venues: This evening you will want to reschedule any plans you may have. Best to get out early in the day.