Big Story Weather – October 15, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from October 14:
Heavy snows fell overnight across portions of Eastern Wyoming and the Black Hills of South Dakota. Showers and thunderstorms fell over the Plains along the boundary with multiple flooding reports from the Dakotas to Texas. Severe weather was fairly limited to 1.25 inch hail in Nebraska along with 60-70mph wind gusts in Nebraska along with Kansas.
Big Story Weather Discussion for October 15:
Surface Map: High pressure over the Northeast will keep the majority of the East Coast nice one more day. A strong storm system pushing into the Great Lakes will bring rain, thunderstorms and some severe weather to parts of the South. Snowfall will also still linger over Wyoming and the Black Hills but should end later in the day. High pressure over the Rockies will build in and bring a shot of cold air to the region. The West will enjoy a tranquil but cool day.
Severe Weather: There will be a limited area of damaging winds and large hail from Missouri back into Texas.
Winter Weather: Snowfall accumulations of 1-4 inches are still possible over portions of Eastern Wyoming and the Black Hills of South Dakota.
Flooding: Today the biggest flooding risk today will be throughout West Texas.
Tropical Weather: Tropical Depression Octave will push across the Baja today. Some of its moisture will get pushed into Western Texas.
Winds: Very strong winds in excess of 50mph are going to be moving along the front from South Dakota to Kansas.
Select City Forecast:
Buffalo NY: Partly cloudy with a high near 67F and overnight lows near 57F.
New Orleans LA: Partly cloudy with a high near 81F and overnight lows near 70F.
Sioux City IA: Partly cloudy with a high near 55F and overnight lows near 40F.
Denver CO: Partly cloudy with a high near 45F and overnight lows near 34F.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy with a high near 59F and overnight lows near 53F.
October 15, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Latest Images (RIGHT): (TOP) Typhon Wipha has winds around 80kts as it continues to track to the east of Tokyo, Japan. The bottom image is Tropical Storm Nari which has wind around 60kts and is making landfall over Vietnam now.
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving into Alaska will bring another day of showers and snow showers to the region. Low pressure moving into the Western Lakes will bring rain, thunderstorms and a few snow showers to the Black Hills. The showers and thunderstorms will extend into Texas as well. Tropical Depression Octave will start to push moisture into West Texas today. Tropical Storm Priscilla continues to weaken and move away from land.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving towards England will bring showers to the region. Low pressure moving through Central Russia will also bring showers to the region.
Western Pacific: Tropical Storm Nari now has winds around 60kts and pressure near 978mb. The storm is impacting Vietnam with very strong winds and flooding rains. Typhoon Wipha will has begun its turn and is now just to the southeast of Tokyo with winds around 80kts and pressure near 963mb.
Indian Ocean: The basin will remain fairly tranquil today.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving through the basin with impacts being felt over Southern Argentina with showers. Impacts are also being felt over Southern Africa with gusty winds. Showers extend over Madagascar and a third area of impact will be over Southwest Australia.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for October 15-19:
Buffalo NY: The region will have slight impacts on both the 16th and again on the 18th as a cold front will push through and bring showers to the area.
New Orleans LA: Today will be impact free. The remainder of the period will have slight impacts as isolated thunderstorms will be over the region.
Sioux City IA: The next five days high pressure will be in control leaving the region impact free.
Denver CO: The next five days high pressure will keep the region impact free.
Seattle WA: The next five days the region will not see any major weather impacts.
Climate Watch Almanac for October 10-14:
Buffalo NY: The region has been warm with temps over the past five days around 4-18 degrees above normal.
New Orleans LA: The past five days have been mild in the region with temps around 1-7 degrees above normal.
Sioux City IA: The period started with temps around 1-17 degrees above normal and then finished the period around 4-5 degrees below normal.
Denver CO: The area saw temps around 1-4 degrees above normal followed by temps around 2-13 degrees below normal.
Seattle WA: The past five days have been cool with temps around 1-4 degrees below normal for the area.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 15, 2013:
Day 1-3: High pressure over the northeast will keep most of the East Coast dry and mild today. The storm system entering into the Great Lakes will bring showers and a few snow showers to the Black Hills and even thunderstorms to Missouri through Texas. High pressure moving into the Northern Rockies will bring some very cold air to the region and the West Coast will remain dry and mild. Day two low pressure will move into Southeast Canada allowing for showers to extend over the Northeast and back over the Ohio River Valley. A few thunderstorms will be possible along the Gulf Coast. High pressure will rapidly move into Texas bringing some cool weather to the region along with frost/freeze warnings to Western Texas. The Rockies to the West Coast will be dry and cool. The period will finish with a few showers over the Mid-Atlantic. Otherwise the rest of the country will be dry and cool.
Day 4-7: The period will start with high pressure on both coasts. There will also be a clipper system moving through the Plains that will bring a few snow showers to the region. Interaction between the cold high pressure and the warm Gulf of Mexico will lead to the development of a few showers over portions of the Northern Gulf. Day six most of the United States will be under high pressure and tranquil weather. The period will end with a weak storm system over the Great Lakes bringing rain and snow showers along with a clipper system moving through the Northern Plains with a few rain and snow showers.
Day 8-12: The period will start with a few rain and snow showers over the Great Lakes, however the big story will be the 949mb low moving into Alaska. This will lead to significant storm surge in Southern Alaska with heavy rainfall, heavy snowfall and minor coastal flooding for the region. Day eleven high pressure will be over the Great Lakes, while another clipper system moves into the Northern Plains bringing a few rain and snow showers to the region. The period will end with a blocking high over the East Coast and a digging low pressure over the Plains bringing rain and snowfall to the region. A very strong and cold high pressure area will be pushing into Montana bringing temps in the teens to the region.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with high pressure over the East Coast and a major storm system in the Great Lakes extending all the way to the Gulf Coast. There will be heavy snows with this over the Great Lakes. Showers will extend into the Ohio River Valley and there will be severe weather over the Gulf Coast. High pressure will bring some of the coldest air of the season to the Plains and also back into Southern Texas. During the middle of the period a massive storm system will be moving up the Eastern US bringing flooding rains, severe weather and heavy snowfall over the Great Lakes. High pressure will be centered over Texas. The period will end with high pressure over the East coast and cold weather. Another storm system will push into the West Coast bringing rain and higher elevation snows during this time as well.
Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:
Baltimore MD: Partly cloudy with a high near 68F and overnight lows near 55F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 56F. Thursday mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and a high around 70F and overnight lows near 50F. Total rainfall near 0.25 inches. Friday partly cloudy with a few showers high temps around 64F and overnight lows near 48F. Total rainfall near 0.15 inches. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 46F.
Mobile AL: Partly cloudy with a high near 83F and overnight lows near 66F. Wednesday partly cloudy and warm with a high near 85F and overnight lows near 70F. Thursday partly cloudy with a few isolated thunderstorms. High temps around 82F and overnight lows near 62F. Total rainfall near 0.05 inches. Friday mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely. High temps around 81F and overnight lows near 60F. Total rainfall near 0.50 inches. Saturday mostly cloudy with thunderstorms. High temps around 68F and overnight lows near 60F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches.
Salt Lake City UT: Partly cloudy with a high around 47F and overnight lows near 27F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 50F and overnight lows near 29F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 52F and overnight lows near 30F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 54F and overnight lows near 34F. Saturday partly cloudy skies will persist with a high near 56F and overnight lows near 33F.
Ask The Weatherman for October 15, 2013:
Question: What is the high pressure area over the Atlantic Ocean?
Answer: This high pressure area is called the Bermuda-Azores High. It is a semi-permanent high pressure center meaning that it moves seasonally. During the summer months it’s closer to Bermuda, while in the winter months it heads towards the Azores. This high pressure also controls the tropical systems in the Atlantic along with the weather over portions of the Southeast US and England and parts of Europe.
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Green Energy Weather Report for October 15, 2013:
Wave Energy: The Northeast to the Mid-Atlantic and over down to the Southeast will see slight to moderate amounts of energy today. The Gulf Coast will see little amounts of energy today as the winds will be fairly light over the region. The arrival of Tropical Storm Octave will bring extreme amounts of wave energy over SOCAL. There will be moderate amounts of energy over the Pacific Northwest as well.
Hydro Energy: There will be ample amounts of short term energy from the Western Great Lakes into Texas. There will also be some long term energy over the Black Hills of South Dakota.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy over the Northeast. This will extend into the Southeast. There will also be ample amounts of solar energy over most of the Rockies into portions of the Southwest and over the West Coast.
Wind Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy over the Plains region today ahead of the cold front.
October 15 Weather and Your Wallet (Sioux Falls SD):
Cloudy skies with showers in the area associated with a cold front moving through. This will keep conditions wet and cool.
Dining: Today would be a good day to take a rain check on any outdoor dining plans. You may want to just get your lunch and eat it at work.
Transportation: The major roads are going to have an increase in standing water on them so take it easy. The airports may see minor delays due to the lower ceilings.
Shopping: Today will be a wet one so make sure to use your umbrella if you need to shop.
Electricity: There will be a large demand today for heating as the temps remain very cool. The total forecast is for around 25HDD’s.
Yard Work: Today will not be a good day for yard work.
Construction: Today will be the indoor project kind of day.
Outdoor Venues: The best thing for today is to reschedule any outdoor activities as the rain will make for a damp day.