Big Story Weather – October 17, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from October 16:
No severe weather was reported yesterday except for heavy rainfall with places along the front seeing 1-3 inches of rain from the Dakotas to Texas. Winter weather hit the Rockies again with a few places getting upwards to 6 inches of snowfall.
Big Story Weather Discussion for October 17:
Surface Map: Low pressure over Southeastern Canada will bring another day of showers and thunderstorms across the Northeast extending into the Gulf Coast. High pressure over the Plains and the West Coast will keep the majority of the region dry and cool. Expect a few snow showers over Southern Wyoming and into Colorado.
Severe Weather: There will be an isolated chance of severe weather over the Gulf Coast. The biggest threat will be heavy rainfall and strong winds.
Winter Weather: A small pocket of snowfall will be possible over the Rockies along with some frost over portions of Western Texas.
Flooding: No real flooding threats over the next 24 hours.
Tropical Weather: No forecasted impacts today.
Winds: No major winds outside of thunderstorms.
Select City Forecast:
Boston MA: Partly cloudy with showers overnight. High temps around 65F and overnight lows near 58F. Total rainfall near 0.25 inches.
Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. High temps around 82F and overnight lows near 70F. Total rainfall around 0.45 inches.
Sioux Falls SD: Mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 54F and overnight lows near 45F. Total rainfall around 0.65 inches.
Denver CO: Partly cloudy with a high near 55F and overnight lows near 47F.
Portland OR: Partly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 57F.
October 17, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Latest Image: Typhoon Francisco has winds around 75kts and is moving west-northwest today.
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving towards Alaska will bring showers and snow showers to the region.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving into Southeast Canada and the associated frontal boundaries will bring impacts to a good portion of the Eastern US. Low pressure moving towards England will bring showers to the region.
Western Pacific: Low pressure over Northeast Russia will bring a few showers and snow showers to the region. Typhoon Francisco currently has winds around 75kts and pressure of 967mb. It will continue to strengthen and move west-northwest with another possible landfall over mainland Japan.
Indian Ocean: There will be an increase in monsoonal moisture across Southern India and Sri Lanka.
Southern Hemisphere: Low pressure moving south of Argentina will bring showers to the region. Low pressure to the south of Southern Africa will bring a few showers and gusty winds to the region. Low pressure over Southern Australia will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for October 17-21:
Boston MA: The area will have impacts today associated with evening showers. The remainder of the period will be impact free.
Gulfport MS: The period will start with impacts associated with thunderstorms. There will be a day impact free on the 20th before another round of thunderstorms move in to finish the period.
Sioux Falls SD: The region will have impacts today and then again on the 20th. The rest of the period will be impact free.
Denver CO: The region will have slight impacts on the 18th associated with showers. The remainder of the period will be impact free.
Portland OR: The area will enjoy the next five days impact free.
Climate Watch Almanac for October 12-16:
Boston MA: The period started with temps around 1-2 degrees below normal and then finished around 1-2 degrees above normal.
Gulfport MS: The past five days have been warm with temps around 2-8 degrees above normal.
Sioux Falls SD: The period started with temps around 1-4 degrees above normal before falling to around 5-9 degrees below normal for the remainder of the period.
Denver CO: The past five days have been cold with temps around 2-23 degrees below normal for the period.
Portland OR: The period started with temps around 2-7 degrees below normal and then finished around 1-5 degrees above normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 17, 2013:
Day 1-3: Low pressure moving through Southeast Canada with the associated frontal boundary extending to the Gulf Coast will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure over the Plains is going to bring some cooler air into the region. High pressure over the West will keep the region dry. Day two the moisture will move into the Northeast near the low. A weak upper level feature will move across Wyoming and Colorado bringing some snowfall to the region. The remainder of the country will be under high pressure and dry. The period will finish with a weak area of low pressure moving through the Northern Plains bringing some rain and snow showers to the region. A weak boundary will be along the Gulf Coast bringing showers to the region as well. High pressure will be pushing into the Rockies with even more cold air.
Day 4-7: The period will start with a few rain and snow showers over the Great Lakes. The rest of the country should remain dry. Day six a frontal boundary will extend along the Gulf Coast bringing showers to the region. The period will finish with low pressure over the Great Lakes bringing rain and snow to the region. The cold front will extend to the Gulf Coast bringing showers to the region.
Day 8-12: The period will start with wrap-around moisture over the lakes that will be mostly snow showers. High pressure will slide into the Plains and the Southeast bringing some cooler air all the way to the Gulf Coast. A few showers will also extend from Texas to Florida along the Gulf Coast. A strong area of high pressure will dominate most of the West with cooler weather. Day ten snow showers will still wrap around the Great Lakes as high pressure slides all the way from the Plains to the Southeast bringing another round of cool weather. A new powerful storm system will push into the Rockies. Expect to see heavy snowfall with this. Day eleven a blocking high will be over the East Coast and heavy rain and snow over the Plains and Great Lakes. Blizzard like conditions will be possible over the Plains. Severe weather will be possible across the Southern Plains and into the Gulf Coast. Showers will extend all the way back into the Pacific Northwest. The period will end with high pressure over the East Coast. The powerful storm system will bring heavy rains, snows and blizzard like conditions to the Great Lakes, Northern Plains and the Rockies. Severe weather will again be along the Gulf Coast.
Long Range Outlook: The period starts with the storm center moving into the Great Lakes bringing heavy rains to the East Coast, severe weather to the Gulf Coast and heavy rains and snows to the Great Lakes along with blizzard like conditions to the Plains. The middle of the period will have rain and snow over the Eastern Lakes with rain and snow mixing into the Northeast and possibly the Mid-Atlantic during the evening hours. Heavy rain will be over the Southeast, while another round of severe weather will be possible over the Gulf Coast. The Arctic High will slide into the Northern Plains bringing the coldest air of the season to the region. A new powerful storm system will enter the Pacific Northwest. The period will end with the low pressure finally pushing off the coast, while high pressure dominates the weather for many with very cold air. A new storm system will also move into the Pacific Northwest during this time.
Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:
Chicago IL: Mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 54F and overnight lows near 40F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 52F and overnight lows near 37F. Saturday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 50F and overnight lows near 30. Total rainfall near 0.25 inches. Sunday partly cloudy and cool with a high near 48F and overnight lows near 35F. Monday cloudy with showers high temps around 49F and overnight lows near 32F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches.
Bismarck ND: Mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 45F and overnight lows near 36F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches. Friday mostly cloudy with rain and snow. High temps around 43F and overnight lows near 33F. Total rainfall around 0.15 inches. Total snowfall around 0.05 inches. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 42F and overnight lows near 30F. Sunday mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers. High temps around 40F and overnight lows near 36F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches. Total snowfall around 0.10 inches. Monday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 47F and overnight lows near 38F. Total rainfall around 0.15 inches.
Austin TX: Partly cloudy with a high near 67F and overnight lows near 52F. Friday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 64F and overnight lows near 59F. Total rainfall around 0.35 inches. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 65F and overnight lows near 50F. Sunday partly cloudy and mild with a high near 71F and overnight lows near 56F. Monday mostly cloudy with showers with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 64F. Total rainfall around 0.15 inches.
Ask The Weatherman for October 17, 2013:
Question: What is a current?
Answer: Today we will look at an ocean current. Ocean currents are crucial when talking about weather as they help dictate a lot of weather patterns and can also set the stage for certain climate types. There are three types of ocean currents – the warm ocean current such as the Gulf Stream along the Eastern US; the Peru current which is the cold current along the west coast of Peru; and then there are the neutral currents such as the Equatorial current which travels along the equator with neither warm nor colder water than the surrounding waters.
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Green Energy Weather Report for October 17, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be moderate amounts of energy over the Northeast ahead of the front. The Southeast and Gulf Coast will have slight amounts of energy. There will be moderate amounts of energy over the entire West again today.
Hydro Energy: There will be ample moisture over portions of the Eastern Lakes into the Northeast and also extending through the Ohio River Valley southward to the Gulf Coast.
Solar Energy: The best place today will be from the Western Lakes back to the Plains and the Southwest. The West Coast will also enjoy plenty of energy along with Southern Florida.
Wind Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy around the Great Lakes.
Weather and Your Wallet (Memphis TN):
The cold front has passed through the region which will lead to partly cloudy skies and cooler weather.
Dining: Today will be a nice day to enjoy lunch at the park. There will be a light breeze and plenty of sunshine.
Transportation: There will be no weather delays at the airport or on the major roadways.
Shopping: Today will be a nice day to enjoy shopping for those winter clothes.
Electricity: There will be a small demand tonight and through the overnight hours for some heating with the forecast to be around 9 HDD’s on the day.
Yard Work: A slow growing day with only 7 GDD’s forecasted for the region.
Construction: There will be no issues with working on outdoor projects today.
Outdoor Venues: A great day to take a walk along the river or in the park.