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Big Story Weather – October 18, 2013

October 18, 2013

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from October 17:

No severe weather was reported over the past 24 hours. There was, however, some sharp cold air marching into the Plains and extending southward towards Western Texas behind the frontal boundary.

Big Story Weather Discussion for October 18:

Surface Map: A weak upper level disturbance and the cold air associated with the high pressure will bring a line of showers and thunderstorms from the Northeast to the Gulf Coast. High pressure will slide into the Southern Plains bringing the first freeze of the season. High pressure will also keep the West dry and cool, especially across the Pacific Northwest.

Severe Weather: There is a slight chance of severe weather along the Gulf Coast. The biggest threat would be heavy rainfall and some isolated wind gusts.

Winter Weather: A strong area of high pressure area is going to bring the first freeze to Western Texas, Oklahoma and parts of New Mexico.

Flooding: No real flooding threats over the next 24 hours.

Tropical Weather: No forecasted impacts today.

Winds: No major winds outside of thunderstorms.

Select City Forecast:

Buffalo NY: Partly cloudy with a high near 55F and overnight lows near 44F.

Dallas TX: Partly cloudy with a chance for evening thunderstorms. High temps around 64F and overnight lows near 52F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches.

Rapid City SD: Partly cloudy and cool with a high near 44F and overnight lows near 38F.

Billings MT: Partly cloudy and cool with a high near 47F and overnight lows near 43F.

Seattle WA: Partly cloudy with a high near 63F and overnight lows near 57F.

October 18, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:

Latest Image: Typhoon Francisco has winds around 110kts and is moving west-northwest today.

Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving towards Alaska will bring showers and snow showers to the region. We are also watching a wave near Central America for possible tropical development.

Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving into Southeast Canada and the associated frontal boundaries will bring impacts to a good portion of the Eastern US. Low pressure moving towards England will bring showers over the region. Low pressure moving across Central Europe will bring higher elevation snows along with showers and thunderstorms to the region.

Western Pacific: Low pressure over Northeast Russia will bring a few showers and snow showers to the region. Typhoon Francisco currently has winds around 110kts and pressure of 941mb. It will continue to strengthen and move west-northwest with another possible landfall over mainland Japan.

Indian Ocean: An area is now being watched for possible tropical development along the monsoonal trough.

Southern Hemisphere: Low pressure moving south of Argentina will bring showers to the region. Low pressure to the south of Southern Africa will bring a few showers and gusty winds to the region. Low pressure over Southern Australia will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.

Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for October 18-22:

Buffalo NY: The region will start out impact free. There will be a chance for showers both on the 19th and again on the 22nd which could lead to minor impacts in the region.

Dallas TX: The area will have slight impacts today as a few evening thunderstorms move through the region. The remainder of the period will be impact free.

Rapid City SD: The area will be impact free until the 20th when an area of showers will move through and bring a slight impact to the region. The rest of the period will be impact free.

Billings MT: The region will enjoy high pressure and impact free weather for the next five days.

Seattle WA: The area will be impact free over the next five days.

Climate Watch Almanac for October 13-17:

Buffalo NY: The past five days have been warm with temps around 1-10 degrees above normal.

Dallas TX: The period started with temps around 1 degree above normal. It then cooled to around 1 degree below before warming back to around 3 degrees above normal. The period finished around 3-10 degrees below normal.

Rapid City SD: The area has seen temps around 5-19 degrees below normal for the past five days.

Billings MT: The past five days temps have been around 6-19 degrees below normal.

Seattle WA: The past five days temps have been around 1-5 degrees below normal.

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 18, 2013:

Day 1-3: A few showers over the Northeast along with a few showers and thunderstorms over the Gulf Coast and Eastern Texas associated with the cold air moving over the warmer surfaces. High pressure over the Plains and also into the Rockies will keep the region cool and dry. This will extend into the Pacific Northwest as well. A weak area of low pressure will clip through the Great Lakes bringing rain and snow showers to the region. There will also be a few showers and thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast. High pressure will dominate the West. The period will end with high pressure along both coasts. A weak system will move through the Great Lakes and Northern Plains bringing a few showers and snow showers to the region.

Day 4-7: The period will start with showers and snow showers over the Great Lakes. Showers and thunderstorms will be along the Gulf Coast. The rest of the country will enjoy high pressure. Day five low pressure will extend from Southeast Canada to the Eastern US back to the Gulf Coast. This will bring snow and rain showers to the Great Lakes, showers to the Eastern US and showers and thunderstorms to the Gulf Coast. The period will end with a large cold area of high pressure extending from the Plains to the Southeast and over the Northeast.

Day 8-12: The period will start with high pressure over most of the country bringing cooler and dry weather to many places. Day ten high pressure will be along the East Coast. A storm system will push into the Plains and the Great Lakes bringing showers and snow showers to the region. Another low pressure area will be developing over the Southwest US bringing showers to the region. The period will end with a strong storm system pushing through the Great Lakes bringing showers and snow showers to the region. This will extend back into the Northern Plains. Showers and thunderstorms will extend into the Gulf Coast. The period will end with the strong low pressure over the Great Lakes bringing heavy snowfall to the region. Showers and thunderstorms will extend to the Gulf Coast.

Long Range Outlook: The period will start with the strong low over the Northeast bringing showers and snow showers to the region. High pressure will be over the Ohio River Valley. A new low pressure will extend from the Northern Plains to the Southern Plains bringing rain and snow to the Northern Plains and showers and thunderstorms to the Southern Plains. The period will finish with a significant storm system pushing out of the Gulf of Mexico bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. This will extend up the East Coast. There will also be more snow showers over the Great Lakes. High pressure will dominate the Western US.

Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:

Detroit MI: Partly cloudy with a high near 60F and overnight lows near 44F. Saturday partly cloudy with a few showers. High temps around 51F and overnight lows near 37F. Total rainfall near 0.25 inches. Sunday partly cloudy with a high near 53F and overnight lows near 47F. Monday partly cloudy with showers. High temps around 52F and overnight lows near 33F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 46F and overnight lows near 34F.

Little Rock AR: Partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 49F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 41F. Sunday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 43F. Monday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 46F. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 62F and overnight lows near 41F.

San Diego CA: Partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 66F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 74F and overnight lows near 64F. Sunday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 61F. Monday partly cloudy with a high near 68F and overnight lows near 63F. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 71F and overnight lows near 64F.

Ask The Weatherman for October 18, 2013:

Question: What is a gyro?

Answer: A gyro is made up of a surface high pressure center over the oceans. This in return drives the ocean currents around the globe. Looking at the Pacific Ocean we have the California Cold Current along the West Coast of the US which turns westward into the Equatorial Current before turning north in the Kuroshio Current which is a warm current. It then returns to the east in the Polar Current.

*** To have your question of the day answered or have your city spotlighted for the day make sure to visit redOrbit on Facebook. ***

Green Energy Weather Report for October 18, 2013:

Wave Energy: There will be moderate amounts of energy over the Northeast ahead of the front. The Southeast will have slight amounts of energy. The Gulf Coast will be looking at none. The entire West Coast will have moderate amounts of energy.

Hydro Energy: There will be ample moisture over portions of the Eastern Lakes into the Northeast and also extending through the Ohio River Valley southward to the Gulf Coast.

Solar Energy: The best place today will be from the Western Lakes back to the Plains and the Southwest. The West Coast will also enjoy plenty of energy along with Southern Florida.

Wind Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy around the Eastern Great Lakes.

Weather and Your Wallet (Mobile AL):

A weak frontal boundary will move into the region bringing a chance for showers and thunderstorms overnight into Saturday.

Dining: There will be no issues with enjoying lunch at the park or the boardwalk today.

Transportation: There will be no weather impacts during the day, however, overnight the bridges may get slick so take it easy.

Shopping: There are no forecasted impacts through the day.

Electricity; There will be a small window of cooling needed this afternoon with the forecast for 1CDD.

Yard Work: No impacts today for any yard work. A good day to get fall cleaning done.

Construction: There will be no impacts through the day, however, overnight work may run into showers and thunderstorms.

Outdoor Venues: There will be no impacts this evening to head out to the board walk or to Battleship Park.


Source: redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

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