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Big Story Weather – November 11, 2013

November 11, 2013

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from November 8-10:

A storm swept through Montana this past weekend bringing accumulating snowfall to the area. Arctic air plunged into the country as well bringing some of the coldest weather so far to the US. Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) was recorded as one of the earth’s strongest storms this past weekend bringing massive flooding, mudslides, and destruction to the Northern Philippines. Our thoughts go out to all of those that were impacted by this massive storm.

Big Story Weather Discussion for November 11:

Surface Map 11AM: A storm system moving through Montana will bring snow showers to the region. The big story will be the arrival of the Arctic high pressure center over the Northern Plains. This will bring the coldest air of the season to many places across the Eastern US.

Surface Map 11PM: Low pressure will slide through the Great Lakes and Northeast this evening bringing light snowfall to the area. High pressure will continue to slide into the Plains. This will bring the cold air all the way into Texas, Oklahoma, Northern Louisiana and Mississippi. It will plunge further south by tomorrow.

Severe Weather: None forecasted.

Winter Weather: Montana will see 2-4 inches of snowfall this afternoon. The Great Lakes to the Northeast will have less than 2 inches overnight. Frost and freeze watches/warnings will slide into Texas, Oklahoma, Northern Louisiana and Mississippi as temps fall into the lower 30’s.

Flooding: None forecasted.

Winds: There will be winds in the 30-40mph range over the Western Great Lakes behind the cold front. We are also watching for strong winds to develop once the cold air arrives to the Gulf of Mexico. Winds in this region will be in the 25-35mph range.

72hr Westward Storm Watch: Storm 1 will push into Gulf of Alaska bringing showers and snow showers to the area. Forecast tracks send it into the Pacific Northwest within the next few days. Storm 2 located north of Japan will push eastward towards the Aleutian Islands within a 72 hour period.

Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:

New York NY: This evening a few snow showers will move through the region. High temps around 48F and overnight lows near 32F. Slight impacts for the region include 1 inch of snowfall. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 39F and overnight lows near 30F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 39F and overnight lows near 30F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 43F and overnight lows near 28F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 48F and overnight lows near 34F.

Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy with a high near 72F and overnight lows near 59F. Tuesday partly cloudy breezy and very cold. High temps around 66F and overnight lows near 29F. This will create a light frost/freeze for the area creating a moderate impact. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 55F and overnight lows near 38F. Thursday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 70F and overnight lows near 60F. There will be slight impacts with rainfall totals around 0.15 inches. Friday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 72F and overnight lows near 66F. There will be slight impacts with total rainfall around 0.15 inches.

Sioux Falls SD: Partly cloudy with a high near 27F and overnight lows near 16F. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 32F and overnight lows near 26F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 48F and overnight lows near 30F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 46F and overnight lows near 37F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 45F and overnight lows near 39F.

Denver CO: Partly cloudy with a high near 57F and overnight lows near 37F. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 57F and overnight lows near 46F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 49F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 50F and overnight lows near 39F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 45F and overnight lows near 34F.

Portland OR: Partly cloudy with a high near 59F and overnight lows near 46F. Tuesday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 55F and overnight lows near 50F. There will be slight impacts due to showers. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 55F and overnight lows near 46F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 50F and overnight lows near 45F. Friday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 50F and overnight lows near 44F. There will be slight impacts as total rainfall will be around 0.25 inches.

Ask The Weatherman for November 11, 2013:

Question: Where do you find the southwest monsoons?

Answer: The southwest monsoonal seasonal winds and rains are found mostly in two locations. The first is over India and Southeast Asia. The second is over the Southwest US. These two locations will experience an increase in southwest flow. This warm, moist air flows over the regions bringing heavy rainfall. The mountains also create a buffer forcing the region to see enhanced rainfall as the rain can’t make it over the mountains so it adds to rainfall totals over the valleys in both regions.

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November 11, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:

Right Image: We are watching another tropical invest which is currently just east of the Philippines. This area is currently moving westward.

Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving into the Gulf of Alaska will bring rain and snow to Southern Alaska and also push showers into Western Canada.

Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving through the Great Lakes will bring rain and snow to the lakes and also the Northeast along with Southeast Canada. Low pressure moving towards England will bring showers and snow showers to the area as well. Low pressure moving through Eastern Europe will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area.

Western Pacific: Low pressure moving towards Northern Japan is bringing showers and snow showers to portions of Northern Japan. Low pressure over Hong Kong will bring gusty winds and heavy rainfall to the region. Low pressure to the east of the Philippines is being watched for possible tropical development.

Indian Ocean: Two areas of concern over the region and are watched for possible tropical development over the next few days. The first area is in the Northern Indian Ocean, while the second is off the coast of Indonesia.

Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving through the basin will have impacts over Argentina with showers and strong winds. There will also be impacts over Southern Africa with showers and strong winds and a third area of low pressure moving towards Southwest Australia over the next 24 hours.

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for November 11, 2013:

Day 1-3: A cold front moving through Montana will bring a few snow showers to the area today with accumulations likely as winter storm watches and warnings are in effect. This evening a cold front will also push through the Great Lakes and Northeast creating some light snowfall over the area. High pressure will be the biggest news as it pushes southward into the Plains and brings very frigid air all the way south into Texas tonight. Day two the majority of the United States will be dealing with one of the coldest high pressures of the fall. Temps are going to fall into the upper 20’s as for south as the Central Gulf Coast. We are also going to see frost/freezing conditions all the way to the Gulf Coast. This could impact the growing season of the southern states. The cold air will encompass all places from the Dakotas to Texas eastward into Northern Florida and northward into the Northeast. A new storm system will bring showers along the Pacific Northwest. The period will end with high pressure still dominating the majority of the United States.

Day 4-7: The period will start with high pressures over both coasts and a weak trough over the middle of the United States that will be fairly dry. Day six an area of disturbed weather will begin to develop just off the coast of Texas. This will have to be watched for a possible winter gulf low development. The period will end with another round of showers along the East Coast and some snow showers possible. High pressure will dominate a good portion of the weather again.

Day 8-12: The period will start with possible lake effect snows, while another strong push of Arctic air plunges southward with an area of high pressure. A new low pressure area will be pushing into Western Canada bringing rain and snow to the area. Day nine high pressure will dominate the weather from the Plains to the East Coast with cold weather slowly moderating. A new storm system will push into the Pacific Northwest bringing showers and snow showers to the region. Day ten will have high pressure along the East Coast. The storm system will push out of the Pacific Northwest and into the Northern Rockies and also the Northern Plains bringing rain and snow to the area. Day eleven there will be a significant storm system over the Plains bringing plenty of cold air rain and snow to the region. The period will finish with low pressure moving through the Great Lakes and extending into the Gulf Coast with rain showers and a few snow showers over the Great Lakes.

Long Range Outlook: The period will start with the low pressure area over the Eastern US, while high pressure dominates the weather from the Ohio River Valley to the West Coast. There will be large pockets of cold air again for many. The middle of the period will have cold high pressure dominating most of the United States again, while a low pressure area may start to develop over the Gulf of Mexico again due to all the cold air pushing into the region. The period will finish with the Gulf low pushing off the east coast of Florida, while high pressure dominates most of the US again. There will be a new storm system entering the Pacific Northwest during this time bringing showers and higher elevation snows to the region.

Green Energy Report for November 11, 2013:

Wave Energy: There will be ample amounts of wave energy over the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast ahead of the cold front. There will be slight amounts of energy over the Southeast US, however the Gulf Coast will be looking at moderate amounts of energy as the strong off shore flow pushes into the region. The entire West Coast will have moderate amounts of energy again today as well.

Hydro Energy: There will be light amounts of short term energy overnight in the Pacific Northwest. The Northern Rockies will have moderate amounts of long term energy today. The Great Lakes and Northeast will see light amounts of snowfall adding to the energy base.

Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy across the Southeast back into the Gulf Coast. There will also be good amounts of energy over the Plains from North Dakota to Texas. The Southwest will have a good day for solar energy as well.

Wind Energy: There will be strong amounts of wind energy over the Plains behind the cold front and ahead of the strong cold air mass that is moving into the region.

Weather and Your Wallet for Austin TX:

High pressure will be sliding in from the north and set the stage for the arrival of some very cold air over the region.

Dining: Today will be a nice afternoon to enjoy lunch in the park. This evening you will want a jacket.

Transportation: There will be no issues on the major roadways or at the airport related to the weather today.

Shopping: Today will be a nice day to get out and start doing some of your holiday shopping or even your winter clothes shopping. There will be plenty of sunshine but a chill in the air.

Electricity: The arrival of the colder air will create a window overnight of time that you will need to run your heaters possibly. The forecast is for a low of 49F which will create around 6HDD’s for the area.

Yard Work: Today should be a nice day to get out and cut the grass or clean the leaves out of the yard.

Construction: There will be no issues today for the outdoor working projects as there will be plenty of sunshine and light winds.

Outdoor Venues: Today will be a nice day to get out and take a walk at the park or even head out for a nighttime walk. Just make sure to take a coat with you this evening as it will be cool.


Source: redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

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