Big Story Weather – November 18, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from November 15-17:
The biggest story of the weekend occurred on Sunday was a significant severe weather outbreak across a good portion of the Midwest. Here are just some of the reports from Sunday. First, the largest tornado that has been noted so far occurred in Washington IL. The initial reports are of an EF-4 rating on that storm. If you look at images coming out of the region, you will see complete devastation with no buildings left for blocks upon blocks. There have been noted unofficially 40-68 tornadoes on the day so far. Later reports will firm that number up. The tornadoes spread across Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky and Southeast Missouri. Damaging winds were also a huge issue yesterday with winds in the 70-80mph range across Illinois and in the 80-85mph range for both Indiana and Ohio.
Big Story Weather Discussion for November 18:
Surface Map 11AM: The low pressure that brought all the severe weather is now pushing into Southeast Canada. Look for a few showers along the cold front from Maine back into the Gulf Coast. Most of that should push out by mid-day. High pressure over the Plains will bring dry weather to the Midwest and the Plains. This will extend back into the Rockies as well. A new low pressure area pushing into the Pacific Northwest will bring rain and snow to the region.
Surface Map 11PM: High pressure over the Midwest will dominate the majority of the region with partly cloudy skies from the Northeast to the Gulf Coast and back over the Plains. Low pressure will move out into the Rockies and will bring heavy snow to the Rockies and also valley rains extending back into Northern California.
Severe Weather: None forecasted.
Winter Weather: A storm system moving through the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies will bring accumulating snowfall to the region.
Tropical Weather: We are watching an area over the open Atlantic that has a moderate chance for tropical development over the next 24 hours. It should remain over the open waters and have no impact to land.
Flooding: None forecasted.
Winds: There will be 30-40mph winds behind the cold front over a good portion of the Great Lakes and into the Northeast.
72hr Westward Storm Watch: Storm 1 is pushing into the Pacific Northwest bringing with it rain and snow to the region. This storm system will push into the Northern Rockies through the forecast period. Storm 2 is now pushing into the Southwest portion of Alaska into the island chain. This storm will push northeastward into Southern Alaska during the forecast period bringing more heavy snowfall to the region and strong winds.
Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:
Baltimore MD: Partly cloudy with a high near 57F and overnight lows near 34F. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 45F and overnight lows near 30F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 41F and overnight lows near 37F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 52F and overnight lows near 46F. Friday cloudy with showers. High temps around 59F and overnight lows near 46F. Total rainfall near 0.25 inches which will create slight impacts in the area.
Gulfport MS: Mostly cloudy with morning showers. High temps around 77F and overnight lows near 48F. Total rainfall around 0.45 inches which will create slight impacts in the area. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 61F and overnight lows near 50F. Wednesday mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. High temps around 72F and overnight lows near 68F. Total rainfall around 0.30 inches which will create slight impacts along with 20-30mph winds. Thursday mostly cloudy with thunderstorms. High temps around 74F and overnight lows near 68F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches which will create slight impacts along with the winds around 20-30mph. Friday mostly cloudy with thunderstorms. High temps around 74F and overnight lows near 67F. Total rainfall near 0.25 inches which will create a slight impact along with winds gusting to near 30mph.
Fargo ND: Partly cloudy with high temps around 36F and overnight lows near 30F. Tuesday partly cloudy with high temps around 42F and overnight lows near 36F. Wednesday partly cloudy with high temps around 39F and overnight lows near 19F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 23F and overnight lows near 17F. Friday partly cloudy and cold with high temps around 34F and overnight lows near 7F. This will create a slight impact due to the cold low temps and also the below zero wind-chills.
Billings MT: Partly cloudy with high temps around 48F and overnight lows near 40F. Tuesday partly cloudy with high temps around 54F and overnight lows near 36F. Wednesday cloudy with periods of heavy snow. High temps around 39F and overnight lows near 20F. There will be moderate impacts due to snowfall around 4-6 inches. Thursday partly cloudy with high temps around 30F and overnight lows near 26F. Friday partly cloudy with high temps around 27F and overnight lows near 18C.
Seattle WA: Mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 50F and overnight lows near 46F. There will be slight impacts due to the rainfall around 0.35 inches. Tuesday partly cloudy with high temps near 48F and overnight lows near 37F. Wednesday partly cloudy with high temps around 39F and overnight lows near 35F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 44F and overnight lows near 39F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 45F and overnight lows near 40F.
Ask The Weatherman for November 18, 2013:
Question: What is an inversion?
Answer: Inversions occur when the temperatures begin to warm with height. This creates a stable layer in the atmosphere. Because the warm air will continue to rise, the cold air near the surface will remain there. This is called a stable atmosphere.
*** To have your question of the day answered or have your city spotlighted for the day make sure to visit redOrbit on Facebook. ***
November 18, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
SST Analysis: Temps in the Pacific Ocean are leaning towards a western-based El-Nino due to the increase in temperatures from the past week. We still remain in a Neutral ENSO Phase, but it will be something we have to keep an eye on as the winter progresses.
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving into the Pacific Northwest US will bring showers and snow showers to the region.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure pushing off the Eastern US will bring a few lingering showers to portions of the Eastern US extending back into the Gulf Coast during the early morning hours. Low pressure to the east of Bermuda is being watched for possible tropical development, however the storm will remain over open waters and be no threat to land. Low pressure moving through Western Europe will bring another day of showers and higher elevation snows to the region.
Western Pacific: Low pressure over Western China will bring isolated showers to the region. Low pressure moving into the Koreas and Japan will bring showers and some snow showers to higher elevations.
Indian Ocean: Low pressure in the Bay of Bengal is being watched for possible tropical development.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple low pressures moving through the basin. Impacts are being felt over Argentina as a cold front drapes through the region bringing a few showers and thunderstorms to the area. Low pressure to the south of South Africa will create another day of gusty winds for the region. Low pressure moving towards Australia will bring showers and thunderstorms to portions of Western Australia.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for November 18, 2013:
Day 1-3: Low pressure over Southeast Canada will bring a few rain showers to portions of the Northeast. This will also be true along the frontal boundary over the Gulf Coast early this morning. High pressure building in over the Plains will bring partly cloudy skies and cooler weather to the Plains extending into the Rockies and all the way over into the Ohio River Valley. Low pressure moving in over the Pacific Northwest will bring rain and higher elevation snows to the region. On day two, high pressure will settle in over most of the Eastern US, while a storm system pushes through the Northern Rockies bringing some snow and rain to the region. The period will end with high pressure over the Eastern US and a weak low pressure will move through the Central Plains bringing showers and snow showers to the region. High pressure pushing in over the Rockies will bring another shot of cold air and some snow showers to the Rockies.
Day 4-7: The period will start with a new low pressure area beginning to develop over the Southwest. This will bring showers to the Plains along with a few thunderstorms. Day five the storm system will still be over the Southwest bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms. A very strong high pressure will be sliding in over the Plains bringing another Arctic outbreak to the region. Day six a strong storm system will move up the East Coast bringing mostly rain to the region. High pressure will slide into the Mississippi River Valley. Low pressure over the Southwest will again bring another day of showers to the region. The period will finish with high pressure over most of the US.
Day 8-12: The period will start with another strong high pressure center over the Great Lakes, while a low pressure area pushes into the Northwest Gulf of Mexico. This will bring very heavy rainfall to the Gulf Coast. Day ten the storm will push on shore over the Florida Panhandle bringing another day of heavy rainfall to the Gulf Coast along with gusty winds. Day eleven will have the storm system moving up the Eastern US bringing rain, thunderstorms and some snow to the region from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with low pressure moving up the Eastern US bringing another day of showers and snow showers to the region. High pressure will slide into the Plains and the Great Lakes. The period will finish with another storm system pushing across the Southwest into the Gulf Coast bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms and possibly snowfall to parts of the Tennessee Valley. High pressure will slide in over the Plains during this time bringing another shot of cold air.
Green Energy Report for November 18, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be moderate amounts of energy along the entire Eastern US as the cold front exits today. This will also extend into the Gulf of Mexico. There will be moderate amounts of energy over the Southwest. The Pacific Northwest will have extreme amounts of energy as another storm enters the region.
Hydro Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy over the Northeast near the low pressure. There will also be a fair amount of short term energy possible over the Gulf Coast around the boundary as showers linger through the morning. The Pacific Northwest will be looking at moderate amounts of short term and long term energy today as the next front moves in.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy over the Northern Plains extending into the Southern Plains and over into the Southwest as high pressure dominates the region.
Wind Energy: There will be elevated amounts of energy over the Great Lakes and into the Northeast behind the cold front. There will also be increased amounts of energy over the Pacific Northwest ahead of the next storm system .
Weather and Your Wallet for San Diego CA:
A cold front pushing towards the area will bring an increase in cloud cover today with showers moving in by sunrise Tuesday.
Dining: There will be no issues with enjoying lunch at the boardwalk or at the park today.
Transportation: There will be no weather-related issues on the roadways or at the airport today.
Shopping: This afternoon will be a nice time to get out and enjoy some fall shopping.
Electricity: There will be a small demand during the overnight and into the morning hours for heating for the local area. The forecast is for 5HDD’s on the day.
Yard Work: There will be no issues with getting out and working in the garden or the yard today.
Construction: Today will be a nice day to work on those outdoor projects.
Outdoor Venues: Expect a nice afternoon to enjoy a walk through the zoo or parks. Light winds and increasing clouds will keep it cooler today.