Big Story Weather – November 19, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from November 18:
The top stories of yesterday included heavy snowfall that made its way across the Cascades and also the strong winds over the Great Lakes. There was also heavy rainfall along the Gulf Coast with some places getting over 1 inch along the frontal boundary.
Big Story Weather Discussion for November 19:
Surface Map 11AM: High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring cool and dry weather to the region. This will extend over the Eastern US and the Gulf Coast as well. Low pressure over the Northern Rockies will push eastward bringing rain and snow to the region. There is a chance of seeing upwards to 6 inches of snow over Eastern Montana in the higher elevations. A weak low pressure is trying to develop over the SOCAL region. This will bring increased clouds and showers to the region.
Surface Map 11PM: High pressure will side into the Northeast overnight bringing cool conditions to the region. This cool air will extend all the way down towards the Carolinas. Low pressure moving across the Northern Plains will bring a few rain showers and snow showers to the region. The low pressure area will push out of the SOCAL region bringing increased showers to the region along with the Southwest.
Severe Weather: None forecasted.
Winter Weather: The storm system moving across the Rockies will bring some accumulating snowfall to Montana and the Western Dakotas.
Tropical Weather: Sub-tropical storm Melissa has winds around 50kts as it pushes away from land and into the open Atlantic.
Flooding: None forecasted.
Winds: There will be 30-40mph winds behind the cold front over a good portion of the Great Lakes again today.
72hr Westward Storm Watch: Storm 1 is now moving into the Western Gulf of Alaska. This storm will continue to push towards the Gulf bringing high seas and snowfall to Alaska. Storm 2 is now pushing over Northern Japan and will begin to transit into the Northern Pacific over the next 24-36 hours on its way towards the Gulf of Alaska.
Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:
Cleveland OH: Partly cloudy with a high near 36F and overnight lows near 30F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 45F and overnight lows near 37F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 46F and overnight lows near 40F. Friday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 50F and overnight lows near 30F. Total rainfall around 0.35 inches which will create slight impacts in the area. Saturday mostly cloudy with snow. High temps around 30F and overnight lows near 23F. Total snowfall around 2-4 inches creating slight impacts in the area along with gusty winds.
Houston TX: Mostly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 54F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 72F and overnight lows near 68F. Thursday mostly cloudy with thunderstorms. High temps near 81F and overnight lows near 73F. Total rainfall near 1 inch which will create slight impacts in the area. Friday mostly cloudy with thunderstorms. High temps around 79F and overnight lows near 55F. Total rainfall around 0.5 inches which will create slight impacts in the area. Saturday cloudy with showers. High temps around 50F and overnight lows near 40F. Total rainfall near 0.25 inches which will lead to slight impacts in the area.
Sioux Falls SD: Partly cloudy and mild with a high near 52F and overnight lows near 46F. Wednesday partly cloudy with a high near 50F and overnight lows near 32F. Thursday mostly cloudy with snow. High temps around 32F and overnight lows near 27F. Total snowfall around 1-3 inches which will create slight impacts in the area. Friday partly cloudy and cold with high temps around 19F and overnight lows near 7F. This will create a slight impact due to wind chills falling below zero. Saturday partly cloudy and cold with a high near 18F and overnight lows near9F. This will create a slight impact for the area as wind chill values will be below zero.
Boise ID: Mostly cloudy with heavy rain. High temps around 50F and overnight lows near 44F. Total rainfall around 1 inch which will create slight impacts in the area. Wednesday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 45F and overnight lows near 30F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches which will create slight impacts to the area. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 37F and overnight lows near 30F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 41F and overnight lows near 36F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 48F and overnight lows near 44F.
San Francisco CA: Cloudy with showers. High temps around 55F and overnight lows near 50F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches which will create slight impacts for the area. Wednesday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps near 57F and overnight lows near 51F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches which will create slight impacts for the area. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 63F and overnight lows near 57F. Friday partly cloudy and breezy with strong winds. High temps around 61F and overnight lows near 55F. The winds will create a slight impact in the area.
Ask The Weatherman for November 19, 2013:
Question: What is warm air advection?
Answer: Warm air advection is the transfer of warm air by means of the wind – either in the vertical or the horizontal. Warm air advection is important for meteorologists in determining what will happen with air temperatures. If warm air advection sets in to an area, temps are going to warm faster than if there were no warm air advection.
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November 19, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
SST Analysis: Today we are watching the temps off the coast of Peru. We see a nice surge of colder waters moving northward associated with the cold current.
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving into the Northern Rockies will bring showers and snow showers to the region.
Atlantic Ocean: Sub-tropical storm Melissa continues to push away and over the open Atlantic. Low pressure off the Eastern US will bring increased winds and seas to the region. Low pressure moving through Spain will bring showers and thunderstorms to Spain and eastward into Italy. Low pressure moving through the Middle East is bringing rare, heavy rainfall to the region which is creating flooding conditions over the area.
Western Pacific: Low pressure moving through Northern Japan will bring rain and snow to the region.
Indian Ocean: One area of convection still sitting in the Bay of Bengal.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving through the basin. Impacts being felt over South America from Chile to Argentina with showers and isolated thunderstorms. Low pressure to the southeast of South Africa will bring another day of gusty winds to the area. Low pressure moving into Southwest Australia will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for November 19, 2013:
Day 1-3: High pressure over the Eastern US will bring partly cloudy skies and colder weather to the region. Low pressure moving through the Northern Rockies will bring some snowfall and breezy conditions to the area. Expect partly cloudy skies over the Plains and the Gulf Coast. The cold front will extend over the Northwest US and will make for a rainy and cold day over the region. Low pressure trying to develop over SOCAL will bring showers and cooler weather to the region as well. Day two high pressure will be found along the Eastern US, while a weak frontal boundary brings snow showers to the Plains. Another shot of Arctic air will arrive over the Northern Rockies, while low pressure continues to push into the Southwest. The period will end with a significant storm system over the Plains with rain showers for the Great Lakes and heavy snowfall for the Northern Plains. The Arctic high will push southward during this time as well.
Day 4-7: The period will start with a massive low pressure system over Southeast Canada bringing heavy snowfall to Canada and also to the Great Lakes. Showers and thunderstorms will be along the Gulf Coast. The Arctic high will be pushing into the Plains and extending all the way to Texas with cold air in place. Day five the Arctic High will take control of the weather, while a low pressure will try to develop over the Southwest US. The period will end with a low pressure moving across Mexico.
Day 8-12: The period will start with high pressure over the majority of the US, while a Gulf low begins to develop and bring heavy rainfall and thunderstorms to the Gulf Coast. Day nine the storm system will be over Florida bringing heavy rainfall to the Gulf Coast and the Southeast. Day ten a major storm system will be moving up the Eastern US bringing showers to the area. Another area of low pressure will be moving into the Pacific Northwest.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with the major low moving up the Eastern US bringing rain and snow to the area. Another low pressure will be moving across the Pacific Northwest. The period will finish with another significant storm system along the Pacific Northwest.
Green Energy Report for November 19, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be extreme amounts of energy along the West Coast as multiple low pressures and cold fronts move over the waters. The Gulf Coast and Southeast will see slight amounts of energy today. There will be moderate amounts of energy over the Northeast behind the cold front.
Hydro Energy: The best places for short term and long term energy today will be over the Pacific Northwest and into the Northern Rockies.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy from the Plains to the Great Lakes and into the Northeast along with the Gulf Coast and the Southeast.
Wind Energy: The strongest wind energy today will be over the Pacific Northwest and also the Great Lakes along with portions of the Southwest.
Weather and Your Wallet for Seattle WA:
Cloudy with morning showers as a cold front passes through the region.
Dining: This morning will be cold and rainy. Make sure to take a jacket this afternoon if you have dining plans outdoors as it will be cold and cloudy.
Transportation: There will be delays both on the roads and at the airport.
Shopping: This morning you will want an umbrella if you have plans to go shopping. This afternoon you will want your winter jacket.
Electricity: The city will see a moderate need for heating this evening and again in the overnight hours as temps fall to the lower 30’s overnight. The forecast is for 24HDD’s on the day.
Yard Work: This afternoon would be the best time to work in the yard, but you need to make sure to dress warm.
Construction: This morning there will be delays to any outdoor projects. This afternoon you will want your winter jacket if you’re working outdoors.
Outdoor Venues: This morning will be dreary and wet. This afternoon if you are heading out for a walk you will want your jacket.