Big Story Weather – December 13, 2013
redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly
Big Story Weather from December 12:
The cold air was the big story again yesterday as temps over the Northern Plains and the Western Lakes struggled to make it above 10F. The new storm system pushed into the Southwest and will be our next major storm maker.
Big Story Weather Discussion for December 13:
Surface Map 11AM: High pressure will settle in over the Carolinas and will bring partly cloudy skies to the Southeast coast and into the Mid-Atlantic. Low pressure developing over West Texas will bring showers from Eastern Texas to the Gulf Coast. Rain and snow will setup from Northeast Texas into Central Arkansas. Snow will develop from Oklahoma to Missouri and northeastward into the lakes and Ohio. High pressure over the Rockies will bring dry and slightly warmer weather to the Western US.
Surface Map 11PM: Low pressure will push into Northeast Texas bringing showers from Memphis TN to New Orleans LA and back into Houston TX/Gulf Coast region. Rain and snow will mix from Dallas TX to Little Rock AR and northward into portions of Kentucky. Snowfall will be found from Northern Arkansas and Southern Missouri northeastward towards the Ohio River Valley and pushing into the Mid-Atlantic overnight. High pressure will dominate the weather from the Rockies to the West Coast.
Winter Weather: Lake effect snow will be possible along the Eastern Lakes. Winter weather watches and warnings have been issued from Missouri/Arkansas northeastward into the Ohio River Valley and most of the Northeast in preparation of the next big storm system. This storm will bring heavy rains, snows and ice. There is a frost/freeze watches/warnings in effect for Northern Florida and Southern Georgia. Wind chill advisories are in place from Northern MN to the Western Lakes.
Flooding: There is a threat for river flooding over Southeast Mississippi over the next 24 hours.
Winds: The strongest winds will be over the Eastern Lakes which will help enhance the lake effect snows. There will also be stronger winds behind the low over Western Texas and New Mexico.
72hr Westward Storm Watch: Storm 1 is now entering Western Canada with showers and snow. This is also extending into Southern Alaska. Storm 2 is now transiting through the Eastern Pacific and slowly pushing to the Western US. Storm 3 is now pushing into the Kuril Islands and will continue to move northeast towards Alaska over the next week.
Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:
New York NY: Partly cloudy with high temps around 30F and overnight lows near 19F, Saturday mostly cloudy with heavy snow. High temps near 43F and overnight lows near 23F. Total snowfall near 4 inches. Sunday partly cloudy with high temps near 36F and overnight lows near 18F. Monday mostly cloudy with light snow. High temps near 34F and overnight lows near 21F. Total snowfall near 2 inches. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 36F and overnight lows near 27F.
Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy and warmer with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 50F. Saturday mostly cloudy with showers. High temps near 72F and overnight lows near 39F. Total rainfall around 0.50 inches. Sunday partly cloudy with a high near 46F and overnight lows near 34F. Monday partly cloudy with high temps around 54F and overnight lows near 50F. Tuesday partly cloudy with a high near 52F and overnight lows near 41F.
Tulsa OK: Mostly cloudy with showers. High temps around 41F and overnight lows near 34F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches. Saturday partly cloudy with high temps near 36F and overnight lows near 27F. Sunday partly cloudy with high temps around 46F and overnight lows near 34F. Monday partly cloudy with a high near 54F and overnight lows near 41F. Tuesday partly cloudy with high temps around 52F and overnight lows near 41F.
Salt Lake City UT: Partly cloudy with high temps around 32F and overnight lows near 26F. Saturday partly cloudy with high temps near 34F and overnight lows near 30F. Sunday partly cloudy with high temps near 42F and overnight lows near 39F. Monday partly cloudy with high temps around 46F and overnight lows near 40F. Tuesday partly cloudy with high temps around 48F and overnight lows near 42F.
Billings MT: Partly cloudy with a high near 37F and overnight lows near 30F. Saturday partly cloudy with high temps around 41F and overnight lows near 36F. Sunday partly cloudy with high temps around 46F and overnight lows near 40F. Monday partly cloudy with high temps around 45F and overnight lows near 39F. Tuesday partly cloudy with high temps around 45F and overnight lows near40F.
Ask The Weatherman for December 13, 2013:
Question: What is the significance of December 21?
Answer: December 21st marks the beginning of Winter Solstice in the Northern Hemisphere and the Summer Solstice in the Southern Hemisphere. This means that we will be seeing our longest night of darkness, while the Southern Hemisphere will be observing their longest day of sunlight.
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December 13, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
SST Analysis (right image): The ENSO Phase remains in the neutral phase.
We are now watching a large pocket of warm water setting up in the Central Pacific.
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure over the Western part of Canada will bring a cold front across the Northern Plains which will bring light snowfall to the region. Strong low pressure developing over Texas will bring showers, snow showers, and ice to the Southern Plains and the Tennessee River Valley. Low pressure over the Gulf of Alaska will bring heavy rainfall to Western Canada. Heavy snow will be possible over Southern Alaska.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving towards Scandinavia will bring snow showers over Northern Europe, while showers will be over England and into Western Europe.
Western Pacific: Low pressure entering Central China will bring strong winds and heavy snowfall to the region. Low pressure near the Kuril Islands will bring rain and gusty winds to the region. Snow showers are also expected for Northeast Russia.
Indian Ocean: Low pressure moving over the central Indian Ocean is being watched for possible tropical development.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple lows moving through the region will have impacts across the entire region. The first low will be impacting Southern Chile and Southern Argentina with rain showers and some thunderstorms. The second low will bring showers and a few thunderstorms to South Africa along with gusty southeast winds. The third low will be impacting New Zealand with showers.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for December 13, 2013:
Day 1-3: High pressure over the Southeast will bring nice weather to Florida and parts of the Southeast. A new low developing over Texas will bring showers from Texas to the Gulf Coast. A rain/snow line will set up from Oklahoma to Arkansas into Kentucky and will track from Missouri into the Great Lakes and across over to the Ohio River Valley and then overnight into the Northeast and the Mid-Atlantic. High pressure over the Rockies will keep the region dry and a tad bit warmer. This will extend into most of the West Coast as well. Day two the storm will push into Kentucky and will bring the rain line from Virginia back to Mississippi and rain and snow will extend over the Mid-Atlantic. Heavy snow will fall from Ohio to Boston. High pressure will dominate the rest of the United States. The period will finish with a few lake effect snow showers. The rest of the country will see high pressure and another round of cool weather.
Day 4-7: The period will start with high pressure dominating most of the country. The only area of concern during this time will be over the Eastern Lakes where more lake effect snow is possible. Day six will have high pressure dominating the weather from the Rockies to the East Coast, while a new storm enters the Pacific Northwest with rain and snow. The period will end with a major winter storm on our hands with heavy rain from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast and heavy snow extending from the Northern Plains back into the Northern Rockies and a good portion of the Northwest.
Day 8-12: The period will start with a low pressure system over the Great Lakes which will bring heavy snow over the region and into the Northeast. It will also trail back into the Tennessee River Valley. A second low will develop in Southern Texas and will bring showers and thunderstorms to the Gulf Coast and Eastern Texas. A 1045mb high will plunge into the Northern Plains and this will be the start of another major Arctic Outbreak as temps will fall to around -10 to -20F to start. On day nine low pressure and the associated frontal boundary will extend from Maine to Mississippi. This will bring rain, snow and blizzard conditions to the Northeast and Ohio River Valley and create showers and thunderstorms for the Southeast and Gulf Coast. On the backside of the front there will be plenty of moisture. The threat exists for snowfall from Louisiana into the Northeast on the backside of the cold front as the strong Arctic High sinks southward bringing temps down to the 10-20F range over Texas. The Northern Plains will be in the -20 to -30F range. Day ten the Arctic high will dominate most of the weather with very cold temps. A weak clipper system will push over the Northern Plains bringing light snow to the region.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with another storm system pushing into the Pacific Northwest with showers and snow showers. During the middle of the period the low will push into the Plains bringing snow to the region as another Arctic high builds in behind that. The period will end with another major storm system tracking from the Eastern Gulf to the Eastern US bringing another round of very heavy snowfall to the region.
Green Energy Report for December 13, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be extreme amounts of energy over the Western US due to multiple storm systems in the region. The Northern Gulf Coast and the Southeast will both have light amounts of energy today as high pressure will be sliding off the Southeast Coast. The Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast will see moderate amounts of energy as the next frontal boundary gets ready to approach the region.
Hydro Energy: There will be a combination of short term and long term energy from the Southwest US into the Mid-Mississippi River Valley. There will be short term energy from Texas to the Gulf Coast. The long term energy will be present from Oklahoma to the Mid-Mississippi River Valley and into the Great Lakes and the Ohio River Valley pushing into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions overnight.
Solar Energy: The best place for solar energy today will be over parts of the Western US and the Northern Rockies. A second area will be over the Southeast and Florida.
Wind Energy: The best place for wind energy will be along the Great Lakes extending back into the Southern Rockies along the frontal boundary and then pushing into the Southwest near the surface low.
Weather and Your Wallet for Memphis TN:
Strong low pressure moving in from the southwest will bring with it periods of heavy rainfall. Some localized flooding will be possible in low lying areas.
Dining: You should take your lunch to work or order in today due to the colder air and heavy rain.
Transportation: There will be delays at the airport today due to periods of heavy rainfall which will reduce visibilities. The roads will also have impacts today as the heavy rain will lead to possible ponding on the roads.
Shopping: If you have shopping plans today, make sure to take your umbrella and be safe on the roads.
Electricity: The demand will be low today, however we will still see around 25HDD’s for the region as the temps remain rather cool over the area.
Yard Work: It would be best to postpone any yard work today.
Construction: Today is a good day to work on those indoor projects as the rain and cold will make it challenging to complete outdoor work.
Outdoor Venues: It would be best to cancel any outdoor plans today.