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January 23, 2014

Big Story Weather – January 23, 2014

redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Weather Forecast for January 23, 2014

11AM: Arctic high pressure is sliding southward out of the Northern Plains creating a weak boundary ahead of it. Today’s mess will be ahead of this boundary. There will be snow showers over the Great Lakes and a winter mess over the Gulf Coast and Eastern Texas. The Western US will be dry and mild again today.

11PM: The boundary will hit the Gulf of Mexico tonight. Look for this to be the focus of a major winter weather area with rain, sleet, ice, snow and dangerously cold wind chills. A high pressure center will slide into Oklahoma overnight. To the north, another clipper system will bring more light snow to the Northern Plains.

Significant Weather Threat for January 23: A winter weather advisory is in effect for the eastern shores of Lake Michigan. Another winter weather advisory is in effect from Central Texas to Western Louisiana. This area will see light snowfall along with ice. We have a winter storm warning also in effect for places along Lake Michigan for snowfall totals over 6 inches along with strong winds which could create dangerous conditions. The next winter storm warning is in effect for Southeast Texas. This region will see a combination of accumulating snows and also strong winds, freezing rain and ice which will create very dangerous conditions. Wind chill advisories extend over Brownsville, Texas northward towards Dallas. A second area with wind chill advisories is from Dallas eastward across the entire Gulf Coast, Southeast US and all the way down towards Miami Florida. The third wind chill advisory is in effect from the Northern Plains to the Southern Plains and across most of the Eastern US. Wind chill warnings are in effect for portions of the Northern Plains. There are also frost/freeze watches and warnings in effect for South Florida.

Storm Outlook: We are watching one storm which is now just to the south of Alaska. This will bring high seas and strong winds to the open waters. Some snowfall is falling over the island chains to the south as well.

Extended Outlook:

Day 2-6: The Arctic high will center itself over Central Texas and will keep a band of rain/snow/ice over Southeast Texas and possibly over Southern Louisiana and Mississippi. A clipper system will be pushing through the Northern Plains with light snow for the region. Cold air will dominate most of the country from the Rockies to the East Coast. Day three the clipper system will push into the Great Lakes setting the stage for more lake effect snows, while the cold air continues to dominate the country from the Rockies to the East Coast. Mild, dry weather will be found over the Western US. Day four another clipper system will push into the Northern Plains bringing more snowfall to the region. The period will finish with a frontal boundary extending from the Northeast to the Gulf Coast. With plenty of cold air in place we could see snow from Maine to Mississippi. Another Arctic high pressure will settle in over the Northern Plains bringing more cold weather.

Day 7-11: The period will start with cold high pressure dominating the weather from the Rockies to the East Coast. A few showers finally move into the Pacific Northwest. Day eight we will see another storm system setup over the Gulf of Mexico bringing with it another chance of bringing rain, snow and ice to the Gulf Coast and Southeast US. Another Arctic high pressure will build into the Plains and Eastern US bringing another shot of cold weather.

Day 12-16: The long-range period will be dominated by a continued flow of Arctic high pressures and clipper systems through the first part of February, while around the 10th we could finally see a small pattern change take place that would start to alter some of this very cold weather.